Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 551

October 31, 201325 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Mississippi; 4 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 31, 2013, 7:32 AM CDT for 25 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Mississippi; 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2013, 7:32 AM CDT (12:32 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2013, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 35 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 8:13 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Rapides, Vernon6 hr
Oct 31, 8:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Orange6 hr
Oct 31, 8:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn3 hr
Oct 31, 9:18 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANFranklin, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll6 hr
Oct 31, 9:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu27 min
Oct 31, 9:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Newton, Tyler4 hr
Oct 31, 9:43 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu32 min
Oct 31, 9:47 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu, Vernon4 hr
Oct 31, 9:56 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis34 min
Oct 31, 10:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn38 min
Oct 31, 10:13 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Jefferson Davis32 min
Oct 31, 10:17 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHRapides13 min
Oct 31, 10:27 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAllen33 min
Oct 31, 10:40 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Jefferson Davis35 min
Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAllen, Evangeline30 min
Oct 31, 11:08 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Jefferson Davis37 min
Oct 31, 11:41 AM CDTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles, Evangeline, Saint Landry34 min
Oct 31, 12:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLCHAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Rapides, Saint Landry and 1 more4 hr
Oct 31, 12:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHLafayette, Saint Landry, Saint Martin23 min
Oct 31, 1:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXIberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 785 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2013-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 317 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
785 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
317 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
378 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
10.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 6:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 30 more2 hr
Oct 31, 10:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Cameron and 20 more83 min
Oct 31, 12:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington93 min
Oct 31, 12:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 12 more7 hr
Oct 31, 3:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa and 1 more94 min
Oct 30, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 20 more2 hr
Oct 30, 11:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWichita, Wilbarger2 hr
Oct 31, 1:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Austin, Bastrop, Brazos, Burleson, Caldwell and 25 more114 min
Oct 31, 10:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Matagorda92 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2013Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2013Tornado Watches in Texas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.