Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2013
Tornado Watch 207
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 21, 2013, 3:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2013, 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 21, 2013, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 73 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 45 min |
| May 21, 3:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Mississippi, Poinsett | 40 min |
| May 21, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Tippah | 37 min |
| May 21, 3:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Poinsett | 25 min |
| May 21, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Poinsett, St. Francis | 37 min |
| May 21, 3:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis | 41 min |
| May 21, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Mississippi, Poinsett | 46 min |
| May 21, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett | 51 min |
| May 21, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall | 25 min |
| May 21, 5:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | DeSoto | 6 hr |
| May 21, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Shelby | 31 min |
| May 21, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 42 min |
| May 21, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln | 36 min |
| May 21, 7:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Panola | 3 hr |
| May 21, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Drew, Lincoln | 30 min |
| May 21, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Tallahatchie | 25 min |
| May 21, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada, Leflore | 33 min |
| May 21, 8:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 48 min |
| May 21, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 59 min |
| May 21, 8:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| May 21, 8:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada | 62 min |
| May 21, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Yalobusha | 43 min |
| May 21, 9:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Panola, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
| May 21, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -268 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1441 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
009
WWUS20 KWNS 212005
SEL7
SPC WW 212005
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-220300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GREENWOOD
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 201...WW 202...WW
203...WW 204...WW 205...WW 206...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ADVANCING TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THE INTERSECTION OF THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH ANOTHER OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STALLED/RETREATING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE BORDER COULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND UPSCALE GROWTH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN
INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM APPEARS
POSSIBLE BY EARLY EVENING...PERHAPS PRECEDED BY ISOLATED DISCRETE
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...KERRSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 7:39 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 26 more | 6 hr |
| May 21, 12:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 7 hr |
| May 21, 12:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 5 more | 3 hr |
| May 21, 4:20 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 55 min |
| May 21, 7:47 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, Poinsett and 1 more | 58 min |
| May 21, 1:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lafayette, Miller | 115 min |
| May 21, 1:50 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 13 more | 8 hr |
| May 21, 2:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 8 more | 63 min |
| May 21, 3:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 11 more | 87 min |
| May 21, 5:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada and 2 more | 66 min |
| May 21, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Desha | 67 min |
| May 20, 8:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Callaway, Christian, Cole, Douglas, Gasconade and 15 more | 23 min |
| May 20, 8:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lewis, Lincoln and 10 more | 67 min |
| May 20, 10:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot and 5 more | 65 min |
| May 20, 10:56 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid and 5 more | 6 hr |
| May 21, 2:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mississippi, Scott | 91 min |
| May 21, 11:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 39 more | 63 min |
| May 21, 2:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Claiborne, Clay, Cumberland and 15 more | 63 min |
| May 21, 2:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Carter and 32 more | 7 hr |
| May 21, 6:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blount, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen and 8 more | 60 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2013Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2013Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.