Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 207

May 21, 20134 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 21, 2013, 3:00 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2013, 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2013, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 73 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips, St. Francis45 min
May 21, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett40 min
May 21, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Tippah37 min
May 21, 3:20 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPoinsett25 min
May 21, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett, St. Francis37 min
May 21, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, St. Francis41 min
May 21, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett46 min
May 21, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett51 min
May 21, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDeSoto, Marshall25 min
May 21, 5:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDeSoto6 hr
May 21, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Shelby31 min
May 21, 6:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot42 min
May 21, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln36 min
May 21, 7:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGPanola3 hr
May 21, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDrew, Lincoln30 min
May 21, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTallahatchie25 min
May 21, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada, Leflore33 min
May 21, 8:12 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGTallahatchie, Yalobusha48 min
May 21, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley, Chicot59 min
May 21, 8:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGPanola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha3 hr
May 21, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANGrenada62 min
May 21, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCalhoun, Yalobusha43 min
May 21, 9:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLafayette, Panola, Yalobusha3 hr
May 21, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChicot63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-268 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

009 
WWUS20 KWNS 212005
SEL7  
SPC WW 212005
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-220300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
  MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
  NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
  WESTERN TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF GREENWOOD
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 201...WW 202...WW
203...WW 204...WW 205...WW 206...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ADVANCING TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 
THE INTERSECTION OF THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH ANOTHER OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY STALLED/RETREATING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE BORDER COULD PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND UPSCALE GROWTH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AN
INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED SEVERE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM APPEARS
POSSIBLE BY EARLY EVENING...PERHAPS PRECEDED BY ISOLATED DISCRETE
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...KERR

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 26 more6 hr
May 21, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian7 hr
May 21, 12:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 5 more3 hr
May 21, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian55 min
May 21, 7:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, Poinsett and 1 more58 min
May 21, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLafayette, Miller115 min
May 21, 1:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 13 more8 hr
May 21, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 8 more63 min
May 21, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 11 more87 min
May 21, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada and 2 more66 min
May 21, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha67 min
May 20, 8:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Callaway, Christian, Cole, Douglas, Gasconade and 15 more23 min
May 20, 8:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lewis, Lincoln and 10 more67 min
May 20, 10:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot and 5 more65 min
May 20, 10:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid and 5 more6 hr
May 21, 2:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, Scott91 min
May 21, 11:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 39 more63 min
May 21, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Claiborne, Clay, Cumberland and 15 more63 min
May 21, 2:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Carter and 32 more7 hr
May 21, 6:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Claiborne, Cocke, Grainger, Greene, Hamblen and 8 more60 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2013Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2013Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.