Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2013

Tornado Watch 201

May 21, 20134 counties in Oklahoma; 64 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 21, 2013, 10:26 AM CDT for 4 counties in Oklahoma; 64 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2013, 10:26 AM CDT (15:26 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2013, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 68 counties

Bryan County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Menard County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 10:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford, Throckmorton52 min
May 21, 11:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay, Wichita62 min
May 21, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford33 min
May 21, 12:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDStephens60 min
May 21, 12:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Johnston, Marshall, Murray, Pontotoc56 min
May 21, 1:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton, Wise60 min
May 21, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Wise64 min
May 21, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Grayson61 min
May 21, 1:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Tarrant53 min
May 21, 1:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston63 min
May 21, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Pittsburg, Pushmataha62 min
May 21, 2:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton19 min
May 21, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Fannin, Grayson, Hunt, Rockwall61 min
May 21, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLamar77 min
May 21, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha25 min
May 21, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins79 min
May 21, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell54 min
May 21, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMcLennan67 min
May 21, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell61 min
May 21, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDKaufman, Van Zandt53 min
May 21, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson62 min
May 21, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDFalls65 min
May 21, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLeon, Robertson38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1513 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 316 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1513 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-271 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
793 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
316 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
251 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

588 
WWUS20 KWNS 211532
SEL1  
SPC WW 211532
OKZ000-TXZ000-220000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1025 AM UNTIL
  700 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
ABILENE TEXAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...AIDED BY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
TURNING EAST OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...INCREASING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG A SURFACE
COLD FRONT AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS THE WW AREA.  THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...SITUATED NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER MAY
BECOME THE FOCUS FOR AN INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.  DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRAILING
SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM...SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL
TEXAS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS
NORTHERN TEXAS.  ONE OR TWO STRONG TORNADOES MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...KERR

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Haskell and 10 more6 hr
May 20, 11:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Murray, Pittsburg and 2 more24 min
May 21, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Caddo, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche and 19 more7 hr
May 21, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Garvin and 17 more55 min
May 21, 8:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Jefferson and 8 more93 min
May 21, 9:46 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Creek and 26 more2 hr
May 21, 10:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal and 30 more6 hr
May 21, 1:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Choctaw, Marshall, Pushmataha116 min
May 21, 1:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMcCurtain8 hr
May 21, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha87 min
May 20, 8:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 37 more60 min
May 21, 10:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bosque, Bowie, Brown, Callahan, Camp and 57 more96 min
May 21, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 17 more115 min
May 21, 4:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazos, Burleson, Houston, Madison, Trinity, Walker95 min
May 21, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg and 11 more66 min
May 21, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrazos, Burleson, Grimes, Hardin, Houston, Jasper and 9 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2013Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2013Every tornado watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.