Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 532

September 22, 201316 counties in Colorado; 8 counties in Utah

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 22, 2013, 10:53 AM MDT for 16 counties in Colorado; 8 counties in Utah. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2013, 10:53 AM MDT (16:53 UTC)
Expired
Sep 22, 2013, 4:45 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 24 counties

Archuleta County, CO, Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Carbon County, UT, Duchesne County, UT, Emery County, UT, Garfield County, UT, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT, Wayne County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 22, 10:57 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningSLCGarfield, Kane, San Juan, Wayne3 hr
Sep 22, 11:08 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTGarfield4 hr
Sep 22, 11:43 AM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTSan Juan3 hr
Sep 22, 12:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTSan Juan39 min
Sep 22, 12:23 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTLa Plata6 hr
Sep 22, 12:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTSan Miguel3 hr
Sep 22, 12:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTSan Juan44 min
Sep 22, 12:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTMontrose, San Miguel40 min
Sep 22, 1:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTLa Plata, Montezuma44 min
Sep 22, 1:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTDelta, Mesa, Montrose50 min
Sep 22, 1:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTLa Plata41 min
Sep 22, 2:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTLa Plata49 min
Sep 22, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTArchuleta, Hinsdale, La Plata46 min
Sep 22, 3:08 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTLa Plata, Montezuma3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-09-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 143 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-09-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 155 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
143 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1807 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 22, 9:46 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, La Plata, Mesa and 9 more44 min
Sep 22, 2:08 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArchuleta, Chaffee, Conejos, Delta, Dolores, Eagle and 17 more97 min
Sep 22, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamosa, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley, Custer and 16 more6 hr
Sep 22, 4:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Weld2 hr
Sep 22, 5:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Huerfano, Rio Grande60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Utah, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.