Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461

August 3, 201334 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2013, 1:29 AM CDT for 34 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2013, 1:29 AM CDT (06:29 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2013, 7:43 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 2:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFLaclede, Wright9 hr
Aug 3, 2:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass50 min
Aug 3, 2:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCedar, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair8 hr
Aug 3, 2:59 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Texas, Wright8 hr
Aug 3, 3:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Greene, Lawrence, Polk46 min
Aug 3, 4:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Dallas, Greene, Polk, Webster41 min
Aug 3, 4:28 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Polk, Webster6 hr
Aug 3, 4:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Greene, Lawrence5 hr
Aug 3, 6:08 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFHowell, Ozark6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2013-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2924 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2013-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2924 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
955 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
12.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon7 hr
Aug 2, 9:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Bollinger, Butler, Camden, Carter, Crawford and 26 more58 min
Aug 2, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Jasper, McDonald, Newton, Vernon55 min
Aug 2, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 26 more92 min
Aug 3, 1:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBates, Benton, Butler, Camden, Carter, Cedar and 24 more90 min
Aug 3, 4:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Douglas and 14 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.