Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366

June 25, 201311 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2013, 6:38 PM EDT for 11 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2013, 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 26, 2013, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale41 min
Jun 25, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale29 min
Jun 25, 7:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee73 min
Jun 25, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Saint Joseph39 min
Jun 25, 8:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch49 min
Jun 25, 8:31 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale, Saint Joseph6 hr
Jun 25, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale50 min
Jun 25, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale46 min
Jun 25, 8:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Cass, Saint Joseph52 min
Jun 25, 10:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRJackson29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 269 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
269 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
924 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 9:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Eaton and 13 more64 min
Jun 25, 3:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Berrien, Cass, Van Buren97 min
Jun 25, 8:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Cass, Saint Joseph53 min
Jun 25, 6:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Eaton, Hillsdale and 11 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.