Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 178

May 18, 2013Clay County, Norman County, Wilkin County, Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 18, 2013, 11:49 PM CDT for Clay County, Norman County, Wilkin County, Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2013, 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2013, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Clay County, MN, Norman County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Traill County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2013-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 43 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2013-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-169 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2157 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 18, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNobles, Rock117 min
May 18, 11:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Wilkin63 min
May 19, 2:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Norman, Wilkin88 min
May 19, 11:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Dakota, Dodge, Faribault and 14 more90 min
May 19, 1:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 41 more8 hr
May 19, 5:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 53 more56 min
May 19, 5:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCKanabec, Mille Lacs, Pine5 hr
May 18, 10:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Dickey, Eddy, Emmons, Foster and 15 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2013Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.