Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162

May 15, 201329 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 15, 2013, 11:28 PM CDT for 29 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2013, 11:28 PM CDT (04:28 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2013, 4:07 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 29 counties

Anderson County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Houston County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Milam County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Walker County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro52 min
May 16, 1:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano60 min
May 16, 2:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1604 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 244 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1604 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
436 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
20.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 7:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Cottle, Dickens and 19 more57 min
May 15, 7:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 13 more65 min
May 15, 9:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Brown, Burleson and 45 more88 min
May 15, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Coryell, Dallas, Ellis, Hamilton and 11 more96 min
May 16, 1:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 21 more94 min
May 16, 3:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazos, Burleson, Grimes, Lee, Madison, Milam and 1 more24 min
May 16, 12:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Marion83 min
May 16, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro and 27 more87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2013Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.