Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 784

May 23, 201316 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 23, 2013, 3:32 PM CDT for 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2013, 3:32 PM CDT (20:32 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2013, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Castro County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Motley County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 913 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 279 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
913 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-404 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1745 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

347 
ACUS11 KWNS 232033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232032 
TXZ000-232200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0784
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PANHANDLE/NWRN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 213...

VALID 232032Z - 232200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 213 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GREATEST NEAR-TERM POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...SEVERE
WINDS AND MESOCYCLONE TORNADOES SHOULD REMAIN WITH A SUPERCELL
CLUSTER IN THE ERN HALF OF THE LUB CWA. ADDITIONAL TSTMS MAY DEVELOP
BY 22Z ALONG THE OCCLUDED OUTFLOW/FRONT FARTHER NW IN THE WRN TX
PANHANDLE.

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL OVER FLOYD COUNTY HAS PERSISTENTLY MOVED
SLOWLY SWD...WHILE ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS HAVE FORMED SEWD ON THE COOL
SIDE OF THE INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE LARGER-SCALE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. WITH
60S SURFACE DEW POINTS PERSISTING N/E OF THE OUTFLOW ACROSS THE LOW
ROLLING PLAINS INTO N-CNTRL TX /SAMPLED BY 20Z FWD RAOB/...AND
SURFACE TEMPERATURES S/W OF THE BOUNDARY FROM 95-100 DEG F...LARGE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ALL SEVERE HAZARDS WITH
ACTIVITY GRADUALLY SHIFTING S/SEWD.

FARTHER NW...INITIAL CONVECTIVE ATTEMPTS HAVE FAILED TO YIELD TSTMS
ALONG THE SLOWLY WWD-PROGRESSING OUTFLOW WHICH HAS ESSENTIALLY
OCCLUDED WITH THE REMNANT QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT QUITE AS WARM AS FARTHER S...REINFORCING
OUTFLOW FROM THE SUPERCELL CLUSTERS MAY YIELD SUSTAINABLE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT INTO THE WRN TX PANHANDLE.

..GRAMS.. 05/23/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON   34210044 33809969 33189959 32789978 32650017 32530071
            32960149 33780214 34380237 35110256 35410245 35550224
            35490202 35180199 34620190 34400163 34160095 34210044

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 8:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Denton, Fannin, Grayson, Montague53 min
May 23, 12:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Jeff Davis, Loving, Pecos, Presidio and 4 more2 hr
May 23, 1:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Cottle, Crosby and 17 more116 min
May 23, 1:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Armstrong, Bailey, Baylor, Borden, Briscoe and 54 more8 hr
May 23, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Brown, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 24 more8 hr
May 23, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Culberson, Ector, Jeff Davis, Loving and 8 more59 min
May 23, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Callahan, Carson, Castro and 29 more95 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.