Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1944

October 5, 201333 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 5, 2013, 8:01 PM EDT for 33 counties in Kentucky; 6 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2013, 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2013, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 39 counties

Anderson County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Owen County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Gibson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 930 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
930 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 9:42 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more5 hr
Oct 5, 11:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Graves, Henderson, Hopkins and 6 more97 min
Oct 6, 12:49 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Jefferson, Meade, Oldham, Shelby and 1 more56 min
Oct 6, 2:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Carroll, Christian and 14 more58 min
Oct 6, 1:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Bath, Boyd, Breathitt, Carter, Casey and 30 more3 hr
Oct 6, 3:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Grant, Harrison, Kenton and 4 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.