Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1941

October 5, 20135 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 5, 2013, 2:15 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2013, 2:15 PM CDT (19:15 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 2013, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 41 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Butler County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, DeSoto County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-10-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1271 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2013-10-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1271 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Crittenden, Daviess, Hancock, Henderson, Hopkins and 5 more116 min
Oct 4, 9:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Buchanan, Carroll, Cass, Cedar and 12 more90 min
Oct 5, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCape Girardeau, Perry2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.