Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1877

September 12, 201318 counties in New York; 32 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 12, 2013, 12:02 PM EDT for 18 counties in New York; 32 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 2013, 12:02 PM EDT (16:02 UTC)
Expired
Sep 12, 2013, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 50 counties

Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2013-09-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1009 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2013-09-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1009 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
970 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 11, 9:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence61 min
Sep 12, 12:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia66 min
Sep 12, 12:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland and 20 more7 hr
Sep 12, 1:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester9 hr
Sep 12, 2:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 18 more64 min
Sep 12, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Dutchess, Orange, Putnam, Ulster64 min
Sep 12, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond and 1 more66 min
Sep 12, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Delaware, Lehigh and 4 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2013Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.