Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1827

September 1, 201317 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 1, 2013, 5:52 PM EDT for 17 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2013, 5:52 PM EDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2013, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2013-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.