Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2013

Mesoscale Discussion 1648

August 7, 201322 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 7, 2013, 2:12 AM EDT for 22 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 7, 2013, 2:12 AM EDT (06:12 UTC)
Expired
Aug 7, 2013, 3:15 AM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 22 counties

Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2013-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 424 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2013-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
424 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1453 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 7, 2:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Bay, Benzie and 30 more5 hr
Aug 7, 6:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 27 more113 min
Aug 7, 8:52 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Hillsdale, Jackson and 7 more113 min
Aug 7, 2:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Hillsdale, Jackson, Saint Joseph119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2013Every mesoscale discussion in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.