Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Shreveport, LA

January 12, 2013Gregg County, Harrison County, Rusk County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 12, 2013, 10:40 PM CST for Gregg County, Harrison County, Rusk County, Texas. It was in force for 65 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 12, 2013, 10:40 PM CST (04:40 UTC)
Expired: Jan 12, 2013, 11:45 PM CST
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Rusk County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 12, 11:00 PM CST	HAIL 1	New London, TX

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 20 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1010 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 620 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 340 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 398 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.8
Supercell composite: 9.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

584 
WUUS54 KSHV 130440
SVRSHV
TXC183-203-401-130545-
/O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0004.130113T0440Z-130113T0545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1040 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREGG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
  WESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MARSHALL...
  NORTHERN RUSK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1145 PM CST

* AT 1035 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW LONDON...OR 7 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF HENDERSON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO   
HALLSVILLE...EASTON...MONROE...LAKEPORT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 9445 3252 9422 3218 9487 3228 9494
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 226DEG 49KT 3228 9482

$$

06

1 follow-up statement

534 
WWUS54 KSHV 130544
SVSSHV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1144 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

TXC183-203-401-130555-
/O.EXP.KSHV.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130113T0545Z/
GREGG TX-HARRISON TX-RUSK TX-
1144 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR RUSK...HARRISON AND GREGG
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

LAT...LON 3266 9445 3252 9422 3218 9487 3228 9494
TIME...MOT...LOC 0545Z 226DEG 49KT 3290 9405

$$

06

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 12, 10:28 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 10:28 PM CST, 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1028 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ALONG AN ARKADELPHIA ARKANSAS TO TEXARKANA TO LUFKIN
TEXAS LINE. CONVECTIVE LINE ALONG THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLIDE
EAST WITH ADDITIONAL CELLS DEVELOPING EAST OF IT. OVERALL THREAT
FOR TORNADOES CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS ROTATIONAL SHEAR DECREASES
AND ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO TRANSITION INTO MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT. MUCH COLDER AIR PUSHING SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH A
30 DEGREE SPREAD FROM SHREVEPORT AT 71 DEGREES TO TYLER AT 41 DEGREES.
FOR THIS FORECAST UPDATE...WENT AHEAD AND TRIMMED WESTERN COUNTIES
FROM TORNADO WATCH 3 AND LOWERED OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS ACROSS
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
A STG COLD FRONT BISECTS OUR CWA WITH A LINE OF TSTMS BEARING DOWN
ON KSHV AND KLFK ATTM. GUSTS TO 20-40 KTS HAVE BEEN COMMON IN TSTMS
AHEAD THE FRONT WITH SUSTAINED S/SW 10-20KTS WINDS SHIFTING TO
NW15G25KTS RIGHT ALONG THE LINE. ISOLD TSTMS WITH DIME SIZED HAIL
HAVE TRAILED THE COLD FRONT BY A FEW COUNTIES IN OK AND SOON INTO
AR...BUT ARE KEEPING STATION OVER N TX AT KDFW. LOW LVL MOISTURE
TRAPPED IN STG POST FRONTAL INVERSION WILL KEEP LOW MVFR TO IFR CIGS
AND SOME LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. EXPECT SOME IMPROVEMENT
TO VFR 15-18Z SUN FOR OUR WEST KTYR/KGGG/KTXK/KLFK AND THEN 18-21Z
FOR KSHV/KELD/KMLU. /24/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 538 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013/

UPDATE...
SENT OUT A QUICK UPDATE TO ISSUE TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3 FOR PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. THE WATCH WILL BE IN AFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT. /05/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013/

DISCUSSION...
FRONT CURRENTLY ENTERING EXTREME NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA.
BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR
CONTINUED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN
LIKELY...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES.
SEVERE WEATHER ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY IN AREAS ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF I-30. WIND AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE
THE PRIMARY CONCERN. TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THIS
WILL DEPEND ON STORMS BECOMING SURFACE BASED...WHICH DOES NOT LOOK
LIKE IT WILL HAPPEN WITH THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA.
COLD AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL DROP TEMPERATURES INTO THE 30S
NORTHWEST TONIGHT...WITH 20S AND 30S AREAWIDE FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. AFTER THE FRONT...UPPER FLOW WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST
WHICH WILL KEEP THE COLD AIR RATHER SHALLOW. SOME ADDITION PRECIP
IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY...BUT AT THIS TIME THE TEMPERATURES IN THE RAIN AREAS
SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. DRIER AIR
MOVES OVER THE REGION AFTER WEDNESDAY...ENDING THE PRECIP THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

AVIATION...
BANDS OF MAINLY ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING...MAINLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF I-30 THIS AFTN. AS TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM THRU THE
70S...THIS CONVECTION MAY BECOME MORE SFC BASED. STG TSTMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE AS STG LOW LVL SHEAR...DEEP STG
SW FLOW ALOFT...AND FAVORABLE MOISTURE PROFILES FOR ROTATING STORMS.
SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE REMAINED AROUND 10 TO 15 KTS ACROSS AREA. COLD
FRONT POISED NORTH OF I-35 JUST OUTSIDE CWA...WILL MOVE LITTLE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS UNTIL SFC LOW DEEPENS ALONG FRONT. INCREASED EASTERLY
COMPONENT OF SFC WINDS EAST OF THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL ENHANCE SVR
STORM THREAT. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS KTYR...KGGG...AND KTXK
BEFORE 03Z...KLFK...KSHV...AND KELD BTWN 06-09Z...AND FINALLY THRU
KMLU BEFORE 12Z SUN. LOW LVL MOISTURE TRAPPED IN STG POST FRONTAL
INVERSION WITH LOW MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND SOME RAIN FOR A FEW HOURS...
WITH PARTIAL LOW CLOUD CLEARING BEFORE 18Z SUN. ANY POSSIBLE EVAP
COOLING FRZN PCPN SHOULD REMAIN BRIEF...LIGHT...AND NORTH OF ALL
TERMINALS...INCLUDING KTXK./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  46  49  34  44  33 /  80  50  20  20  20
MLU  57  61  34  42  33 /  90 100  40  30  30
DEQ  34  47  22  47  21 /  40  20   0   0  10
TXK  40  45  28  47  28 /  60  20  10  10  10
ELD  48  52  33  44  30 /  80  70  30  20  20
TYR  36  46  32  48  28 /  40  20  10  10  10
GGG  40  46  34  45  28 /  60  30  10  10  10
LFK  47  50  35  46  36 /  80  50  30  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

05/24/

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 11:54 AM CST, 10 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1154 AM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-131200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1154 AM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...
BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS IS MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST
TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY IN THE
EVENING ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ALSO...RAINFALL FROM
THIS SYSTEM COULD RANGE BETWEEN TWO AND THREE INCHES ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR. THE SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY
WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY TONIGHT...HOWEVER THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL
NOT. TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY...THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT
SOUTH AND EAST...INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

AN OVERRUNNING...COLD POSTFRONTAL RAIN COULD CONTINUE ACROSS DEEP
EAST TEXAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...AS
WELL AS POSSIBLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE EXCESSIVE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NEED TO KEEP ABREAST FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF STORM ACTIVATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 12, 5:07 PM CST, 5 hours 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
507 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

ARZ050-051-OKZ077-122345-
HOWARD-MCCURTAIN-SEVIER-
507 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CST...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
     HOWARD AND SEVIER...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
     MCCURTAIN...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     ATHENS...GILLHAM AND UMPIRE...

AT 506 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF GILLHAM...OR 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DE QUEEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

MOTHBALL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

VII

Special weather statement, Jan 12, 8:41 PM CST, 1 hour 59 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
841 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

ARZ070-TXZ097-112-130315-
BOWIE-CASS-MILLER-
841 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 PM CST...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
     MILLER...
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
     CASS AND BOWIE...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     GENOA...MANDEVILLE...TEXARKANA...NASH...QUEEN CITY AND WAKE
     VILLAGE...

AT 837 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR QUEEN CITY...OR 5 MILES NORTH OF
ATLANTA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

05

Special weather statement, Jan 12, 10:04 PM CST, 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1004 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

TXZ136-149-150-130500-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-SMITH-
1004 PM CST SAT JAN 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CST...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
     RUSK...SMITH AND CHEROKEE...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     HENDERSON...JACKSONVILLE...JOINERVILLE...NEW LONDON...PONTA AND
     TURNERTOWN...

AT 1001 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR JACKSONVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

06

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 12, 11:36 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Angelina, Nacogdoches, San Augustine, Shelby	54 min
Jan 12, 11:43 PM CST	Flash Flood Watch	SHV	Angelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby	12 hr
Jan 13, 12:09 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Panola, Shelby	46 min
Jan 13, 1:02 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	Panola, Shelby	3 hr
Jan 13, 10:27 AM CST	River Flood Warning	SHV	Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby	7 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2013 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.