Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2013
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS San Diego, CA
NWS San Diego, CA issued this red flag warning at Oct 4, 2013, 3:27 AM PDT for 4 counties in California. It took effect at Oct 4, 2013, 6:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 60 hr. 22 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 4, 2013, 3:27 AM PDT (10:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 4, 2013, 6:00 AM PDT
- Expired
- Oct 6, 2013, 6:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Diego, CA
Counties Orange County, CA, Riverside County, CA, San Bernardino County, CA, San Diego County, CA
The radar
The Santa Ana Mts radar (KSOX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 7:56 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 5 Ne Thousand Palms, CA | MESONET STATION SKY VALLEY /EW3081/ NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 3 HOURS |
| Oct 4, 9:51 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 66 | 6 Ene Tustin Foothills, CA | MESONET STATION FREMONT CANYON /FRCC1/ NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 3 HOURS |
| Oct 4, 10:16 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 49 | 4 Sse Beaumont, CA | MESONET STATION HIGHLAND SPRINGS /HSGC1/ NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS |
| Oct 4, 10:30 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 61 | 8 N Portola Hills, CA | MESONET STATION PLEASANTS PEAK /EW3131/ |
| Oct 4, 10:50 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 46 | 2 Ne Bloomington, CA | MESONET STATION RIALTO /AU239/ NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS |
| Oct 4, 8:16 PM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 55 | 4 Sse Beaumont, CA | MESONET STATION HIGHLAND SPRINGS /HSGC1/ |
| Oct 5, 12:30 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 53 | 6 S Pine Valley, CA | MESONET STATION BUCKMAN SPRINGS /BMSSD/ |
| Oct 5, 1:00 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | 5 E Valley Center, CA | MESONET STATION HELLHOLE CANYON /HHCSD/ |
| Oct 5, 1:10 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 60 | 9 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SILL HILL /SILSD/ |
| Oct 5, 2:14 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | 6 Sse Banning, CA | MESONET STATION POPPET FLAT /POPC1/ |
| Oct 5, 2:27 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 55 | 9 Nne Ramona, CA | MESONET STATION 9 NNE RAMONA /HP016/ |
| Oct 5, 2:51 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 6 Ene Tustin Foothills, CA | MESONET STATION FREMONT CANYON /FRCC1/ |
| Oct 5, 4:47 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 9 Nne Ramona, CA | MESONET STATION 9 NNE RAMONA /HP016/ |
| Oct 5, 6:20 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 56 | 6 S Pine Valley, CA | MESONET STATION BUCKMAN SPRINGS /BMSSD/ |
| Oct 5, 7:50 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 58 | 10 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION BOULDER CREEK /BOCSD/ |
| Oct 5, 8:10 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 50 | 7 E San Diego Country, CA | MESONET STATION NORTH BOULDER CREEK /NBCSD/ |
| Oct 5, 8:10 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 70 | 9 Ssw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SILL HILL /SILSD/ |
| Oct 5, 8:20 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 53 | 14 Se Pine Valley, CA | MESONET STATION CRESTWOOD /CWDSD/ |
| Oct 5, 8:20 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 59 | 5 E Valley Center, CA | MESONET STATION HELLHOLE CANYON /HHCSD/ |
| Oct 5, 9:00 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 52 | 7 Nw Julian, CA | MESONET STATION SANTA YSABEL RANCH /SYRSD/ |
| Oct 5, 10:00 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 62 | 8 N Portola Hills, CA | MESONET STATION PLEASANTS PEAK /EW3131/ |
| Oct 5, 10:37 AM PDT | NON-TSTM WND GST 65 | 9 Nne Ramona, CA | MESONET STATION BIG BLACK MOUNTAIN /HP016/ |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
San Diego, CA (KNKX), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 680 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 80 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
435 WWUS86 KSGX 041027 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 327 AM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR 6 AM TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS...AND ALL OF WESTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR 8 AM TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... .SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF STRONG NORTHEAST SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH SUNDAY. STRONGEST WINDS FOR ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AND FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY FOR SATURDAY. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. CAZ242-248-255>257-261-042130- /O.CAN.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KSGX.FW.W.0005.131004T1300Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST-COACHELLA VALLEY- INCLUDING THE PALM SPRINGS SOUTH COAST DESERT DISTRICT- 327 AM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 75 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME BELOW 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * TIMING...STRONGEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD WINDS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE LESS WIDESPREAD WITH GUSTS MOSTLY 45 MPH OR LESS. * OUTLOOK...CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR MONDAY. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST COULD BRING WETTING RAINS...MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS IN ADDITION TO COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-042130- /O.EXT.KSGX.FW.W.0004.131004T1500Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 327 AM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME BELOW 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH STRONGEST WINDS SATURDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SUNDAY WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * OUTLOOK...CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR MONDAY. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST COULD BRING WETTING RAINS...MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS IN ADDITION TO COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0 17
6 follow-up statements
523 WWUS86 KSGX 042117 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 217 PM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS...AND ALL OF WESTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY FOR STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY... ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE VALLEYS AND MOUNTAINS OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY FOR STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY... .SANTA ANA CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AND EXPAND ACROSS SAN DIEGO COUNTY. MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH SUNDAY. SIMILARLY STRONG WINDS WILL IMPACT CANYONS AND PASSES OF ORANGE AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. STRONGER AND MORE WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS SAN DIEGO COUNTY TONIGHT AND PEAK DURING SATURDAY MORNING...STRONGEST WINDS GUSTS 50 TO 65 MPH. POOR HUMIDITY RECOVER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD DAYTIME HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT ON SATURDAY INCLUDING MOST OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...STRONGEST IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY WHERE GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. SLOW INCREASE TO SEA BREEZE AND MODERATING HUMIDITY ON MONDAY ALONG AND WEST OF I-15...LOW HUMIDITY TO THE EAST AND ALL OF INLAND EMPIRE INCLUDING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. CAZ242-248-255>257-261-051230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST-COACHELLA VALLEY- INCLUDING THE PALM SPRINGS SOUTH COAST DESERT DISTRICT- 217 PM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...WIDESPREAD NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS 50 TO 65 MPH IN CANYONS AND DOWNWIND OF PASSES. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME 5 TO 10 PERCENT WITH VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * TIMING...STRONGEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD WINDS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WILL DECREASE BY 10 TO 20 MPH BUT STILL LOCAL GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH...STRONGEST NEAR CAJON AND BANNING PASS. * OUTLOOK...CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AND IMPROVING HUMIDITY FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW ON TUESDAY BUT STILL LOW HUMIDITIES FOR DESERT SLOPES. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CARVING ALONG THE WEST COAST COULD BRING WETTING RAINS... MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL...AND MODERATE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS IN ADDITION TO MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-051230- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 217 PM PDT FRI OCT 4 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...INCREASING IN SPEED AND COVERAGE AT EAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. WIND GUSTS INCREASING TO 50 TO 65 MPH FOR WINDIEST CANYONS SUCH AS WEST OF CUYAMACA PEAK. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...DECREASING AND LOWERING OVERNIGHT TO AREAS ALONG I-15 AND WEST TO I-5. WIDESPREAD DAYTIME 5 TO 10 PERCENT FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. HIGH HUMIDITIES IN WESTERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY ERODING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND EXPAND TOWARDS THE COASTAL HILLS AND MESAS WITH STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING SATURDAY MORNING IN THE FOOTHILLS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SATURDAY NIGHT BUT STILL PREVAILING EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH THROUGH SUNDAY...UP TO 50 MPH WEST OF CUYAMACA PEAK. * OUTLOOK...CONTINUED LOW HUMIDITIES WITH WEAKER WINDS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BUT STILL OFFSHORE FLOW AND LOCAL WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE FOOTHILLS AND CANYONS INTO MONDAY MORNING. SEA BREEZE BUILDING MONDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREADING TO INLAND VALLEYS. INCREASING ONSHORE MOIST FLOW ON TUESDAY BUT STILL LOW HUMIDITY FOR DESERT SLOPES. FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BRING WETTING RAINS...AND GUSTY WEST WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS SLOPES IN ADDITION TO MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ TARDY HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0
461 WWUS86 KSGX 051036 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 336 AM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...AND FOR MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE...AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WITH STRONGEST WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH WEAKER WINDS. CAZ261-051145- /O.CAN.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ COACHELLA VALLEY- INCLUDING THE PALM SPRINGS SOUTH COAST DESERT DISTRICT- 336 AM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND BUT WITH WEAKER WINDS. LOCALLY GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE INTO SUNDAY...MAINLY FOR FAR NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COACHELLA VALLEY. $$ CAZ242-248-255>257-052100- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 336 AM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AREAS OF NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NOON SUNDAY...AREAS OF NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS BELOW THE CAJON AND BANNING PASSES AND IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS OF THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-052100- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 336 AM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... * WINDS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AREAS OF EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. * WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NOON SUNDAY...AREAS OF EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME OF 5 TO 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0 17
561 WWUS86 KSGX 052006 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 106 PM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...AND FOR MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE...AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...BUT GUSTS WILL STILL EXCEED 45 MPH LOCALLY NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. LOW HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. HOT ON SUNDAY WITH MAXIMUM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S AND 90S. SLIGHTLY COOLER ON MONDAY. CAZ242-248-255>257-061030- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 106 PM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. PEAK GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH BELOW THE BANNING PASS. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS BELOW THE CAJON AND BANNING PASSES AND IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS OF THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-061030- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 106 PM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT SUNDAY. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST AREAS EARLY SUNDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST BELOW CUYAMACA PEAK...AND ALONG THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0
090 WWUS86 KSGX 060940 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 240 AM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE...AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... .GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST SANTA ANA WINDS WILL WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW INTO MONDAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. CAZ242-248-255>257-062130- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 240 AM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS BELOW THE CAJON AND BANNING PASSES AND IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS OF THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-062130- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 240 AM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS...EAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 60 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0 17
640 WWUS86 KSGX 061933 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 1233 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH 6 PM TODAY FOR ORANGE COUNTY...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE...AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES FOR VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS... .EASTERLY WINDS HAVE WEAKENED ACROSS THE REGION...HOWEVER A VERY DRY AIR MASS IS IN PLACE AND LOCAL WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH OR MORE ARE STILL POSSIBLE. AS WINDS DIE OFF FURTHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THE RED FLAG WARNING IS SET TO EXPIRE. VERY POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH VALUES BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT ON MONDAY...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. CAZ242-248-255>257-070100- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 1233 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS...EAST TO NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS BELOW THE CAJON AND BANNING PASSES AND IN THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS OF THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ CAZ250-258-070100- /O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 1233 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...LOWEST DAYTIME AROUND 5 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * LOCATION...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR THE COASTAL FOOTHILLS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ELEVATED TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEG0
209 WWUS86 KSGX 070115 RFWSGX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 615 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ....RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... .THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HAS EXPIRED. WHILE THE AIRMASS REMAINS VERY DRY...THE GUSTY EAST WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. CAZ250-258-070215- /O.EXP.KSGX.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 615 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GUSTY EAST WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. $$ CAZ242-248-255>257-070215- /O.EXP.KSGX.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131007T0100Z/ ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST- 615 PM PDT SUN OCT 6 2013 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GUSTY EAST WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. $$ MOEDE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 3, 9:15 PM PDT, 6 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 9:15 PM PDT, 6 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
915 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND BRINGING MUCH
WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER. STRONG AND GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH WEAKER
OFFSHORE WINDS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN NEXT
WEEK FOR COOLER WEATHER AND A RETURN OF THE MARINE LAYER.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
LOW CLOUDS ARE FILLING IN WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS THIS
EVENING...OTHERWISE SKIES WERE CLEAR. LOW CLOUDS WILL CLEAR FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING AS OFFSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPS. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE ALREADY QUICKLY TRENDING
OFFSHORE...CURRENTLY AT -6 MB SAN-TPH AND +3 MB SAN-DAG.
FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS TO DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT...PEAKING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS FRIDAY WILL
BE BELOW THE CAJON PASS...AND THE CANYONS AND FOOTHILLS OF THE
SANTA ANA AND LITTLE SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS WHERE GUSTS TO AROUND
60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE FAVORED CANYONS IN THE SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BECOME
SLIGHTLY MORE EASTERLY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. EAST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN FURTHER FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...STRONGEST
THROUGH AND BELOW THE BANNING PASS...ALONG THE COASTAL SLOPES OF THE
CUYAMACA MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE INLAND SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.
WINDS WILL WEAKEN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...BUT REMAIN GUSTY IN THE
FAVORED SPOTS THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY MORNING.
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL BRING MUCH WARMER
WEATHER WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY COOL TOMORROW AS COLD AIR DIVES SOUTH
FROM THE GREAT BASIN....WITH GRADUAL WARMING SAT AND SUNDAY. ALL
AREAS WILL BE EXTREMELY DRY.
FLOW WILL TRANSITION BACK ONSHORE MONDAY FOR SOME
COOLING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. ONSHORE FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN
TUE AND WED AS LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AMPLIFIES
ALONG THE WEST COAST...BRINGING MORE COOLING AND A RAPID RETURN AND
DEEPENING OF THE MARINE LAYER. LATEST GUIDANCE IS COMING INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
SPREAD IN THE GFS AND EC ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AS WELL AS THE EXACT
TIMING OF THE SYSTEM. AS IT STANDS...THE MODELS ARE DEVELOPING A
CLOSED LOW IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WED INTO THU. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL BY
MIDWEEK...MAINLY OVER AND WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. LEFT THE FORECAST
DRY FOR NOW DUE TO LACK OF CONSISTENCY IN MODEL SOLUTIONS.
&&
.AVIATION...
040300Z...COAST/VALLEYS...AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THIS EVENING WITH BKN-OVC CIGS AROUND 2000 FT MSL AND TOPS AROUND
3000 FT MSL. CLOUDS ARE FAR ENOUGH INLAND TO BRING AREAS OF FOG WITH
3-5SM VIS ON COASTAL MTN SLOPES. STRONG NE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AFT
09Z...CLEARING OUT THE LOW CLOUDS FROM ORANGE COUNTY AND THE INLAND
EMPIRE BY 12Z. ALTHOUGH...CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY HIGH AS TO THE
EXACT TIMING OF THE ONSET OF STRONG NE WINDS. THE NE WINDS WILL ALSO
BRING STRONG LLWS TO KSNA AND KONT BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z. WINDS WILL
REACH THE SFC AFT 15Z WITH GUSTS 40-55KT POSSIBLE AT TIMES BELOW THE
CAJON PASS AND THROUGH THE SANTA ANA MTN CANYONS. LOW CLOUDS SHOULD
CLEAR OUT IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY BETWEEN 14Z AND 16Z.
MTNS/DESERTS...CLEAR WITH UNRESTRICTED VIS. AREAS OF NE WINDS 40 KT
OR MORE WILL DEVELOP AFTER 09Z IN THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MTNS AND
THE SANTA ANA MTNS...WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG UDDFS AND LLWS.
&&
.MARINE...
A WEST-NORTHWEST SWELL WITH A PERIOD OF 10-12 SECONDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING 3 TO 5 FOOT SURF...WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER SETS...AND STRONG
RIP CURRENTS ALONG EXPOSED WEST FACING BEACHES INTO FRI...THEN
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING LATE FRI AND SAT. THE SOUTH SWELL WILL MOSTLY
REMAIN AROUND 2 FEET/16-18 SECONDS THROUGH SAT...BUT WILL STILL
BRING 3-5 FT SURF ON SOUTH-FACING BEACHES WITH HIGHER SET AT FAVORED
LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY INTO SAT.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
155 PDT THURSDAY...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT
THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY AND THE SAN DIEGO DESERTS.
WINDS WILL START TONIGHT FOR WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
MOUNTAINS...CAJON PASS AND DOWNWIND INTO THE SANTA ANA
MOUNTAINS...JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS WIND WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
FRIDAY MORNING HOURS. PEAK GUSTS WILL BE 75 MPH AT FREMONT CANYON
AND AROUND 45 MPH FOR ONTARIO...POSSIBLE 60 MPH NEAR RIALTO. RH WILL
RAPIDLY DROP BEFORE SUNRISE. WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO RIVERSIDE COUNTY
AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY ON FRIDAY BUT WEAKER GUSTS. HIGHLAND SPRINGS
AND BANNING WILL BE THE STRONGEST WITH 55 TO 60 MPH. PEAK GUSTS OF
40 MPH IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY BY AFTERNOON.
HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS HOLD SHALLOW MARINE LAYER ALONG THE SAN DIEGO
COUNTY COAST ON FRIDAY...OFTEN THE CASE WHERE A WEAK EDDY
CIRCULATION WILL LINGER AS THE STRONGER OFFSHORE WINDS ARE JUST TO
THE NORTH AND OVER THE TOP OF IT. ANOTHER SURGE OF WIND WILL DEVELOP
FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE SAME AREAS...NEARLY AS STRONG BUT DOWN 5-10 MPH
FOR SANTA ANA AND CAJON PASS. FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING WILL
BE THE STRONGEST WINDS FOR BANNING PASS AND DOWN INTO SAN DIEGO
COUNTY...WHERE GUST 55 TO 60 MPH WILL OCCUR. RH RECOVERY WILL BE
VERY POOR. THE WINDIEST PERIOD FOR SAN DIEGO COUNTY WILL BE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. LOCAL GUSTS IN THE VALLEYS WILL REACH 35
MPH WITH VERY POOR RH RECOVERY. SATURDAY WILL HAVE WIDESPREAD 5 TO
10 PERCENT MINIMUM RH.
WIND DECREASING SIGNIFICANTLY FOR NORTHERN AREAS ON SUNDAY. WE WILL
SEE ANOTHER SURGE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...CONFINED TO
SAN DIEGO COUNTY WESTERN SLOPES WHERE GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH SHOULD
OCCUR. RH WILL REMAIN CRITICALLY LOW...10 PERCENT ON
SUNDAY..WIDESPREAD. THE WARMEST DAY WILL BE ON SUNDAY AS
WELL...RIGHT UP TO THE COASTLINE.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE
COACHELLA VALLEY...RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE
COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE...SAN DIEGO COUNTY
MOUNTAINS...SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE
COACHELLA VALLEY-INCLUDING THE PALM SPRINGS SOUTH COAST
DESERT DISTRICT...ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...RIVERSIDE
COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE SAN JACINTO RANGER DISTRICT
OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL FOREST...SAN BERNARDINO AND
RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE...SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE MOUNTAIN TOP AND FRONT
COUNTRY RANGER DISTRICTS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO NATIONAL
FOREST...SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE TRABUCO RANGER
DISTRICT OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 8 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR THE
SAN DIEGO COUNTY INLAND VALLEYS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY
MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE PALOMAR AND DESCANSO RANGER
DISTRICTS OF THE CLEVELAND NATIONAL FOREST.
PZ...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC...SS
AVIATION/MARINE...PG
FIRE WEATHER...TARDYHazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 4:00 PM PDT, 11 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 400 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013 CAZ043-041300- SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- 400 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...LOCAL GUSTY EAST WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. CAZ042-048-055>057-061-041300- ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- COACHELLA VALLEY- 400 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT RED FLAG AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS GO INTO EFFECT AT 2 AM TONIGHT AS GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOP. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 65 MPH. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN AND BELOW THE FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...RED FLAG AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH GUSTING BETWEEN 50 AND 65 MPH IN WIND PRONE LOCATIONS....AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MOSTLY 5 TO 15 PERCENT. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING WITH A SECOND SLIGHTLY WEAKER PEAK SATURDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. CAZ050-058-041300- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- 400 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG THE COASTAL SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY...A RED FLAG REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EAST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO 55 MPH....AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MOSTLY 5 TO 15 PERCENT. ISOLATED GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FAVORED CANYONS AND COASTAL SLOPES OF THE CUYAMACA MOUNTAINS. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS...AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE VALLEYS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. CAZ060-062-041300- APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 400 PM PDT THU OCT 3 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. SS
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Diego, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 3:46 AM PDT | High Wind Warning | SGX | San Diego | 34 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in California, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.