Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Springfield, MO

780 
WWUS53 KSGF 080203
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

MOC029-105-169-080230-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130408T0230Z/
CAMDEN MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-
903 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
PULASKI...NORTHEASTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL
930 PM CDT...

AT 859 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES WEST OF RICHLAND TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
RICHLAND TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RICHLAND...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CROCKER...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN FORT LEONARD WOOD...LAQUEY...OZARK
SPRINGS...RICHLAND...STOUTLAND...SWEDEBORG AND WET GLAIZE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 137 AND 154 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 
SOUTHERN LACLEDE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3768 9255 3780 9255 3793 9262 3800 9226
      3765 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 246DEG 26KT 3791 9254 3781 9245
          3774 9245

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WISE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
653 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

WE ARE EXPECTING A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND THROUGH 9 PM WITH THE
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES COMING ACROSS CEDAR AND NORTHERN DADE
COUNTIES. INSTABILITY TO THE EAST OF THIS ACTIVITY IS WEAKER DUE
TO LOWER AMOUNTS OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY
THE STILL ONGOING KSGF 00 UTC RAOB. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALSO REMAINS
VERY WEAK...THUS ANY KIND OF TORNADO THREAT REMAINS VERY LOW.
THUS...THE PRIMARY THREATS THROUGH MID EVENING WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND PERHAPS DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

SLOWLY BUT SURELY WE CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AND DESTABILIZE. A WEST
TO EAST DEWPOINT BOUNDARY HAS POSITIONED ITSELF FROM SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...AND THIS BOUNDARY WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HEADING INTO
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. ACCORDING TO LAPS DATA...
MLCAPE HAS RISEN TO BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG ALONG AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO SPRINGFIELD AND BRANSON MISSOURI
WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF INHIBITION. MUCAPE HAS RISEN TO BETWEEN
1500 AND 2000 J/KG ACROSS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA...
WHICH IS ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HWY 60 AND ALONG AND WEST OF
HWY 65.

A CLUSTER OF STORMS THAT INITIATED IN THE VICINITY OF WICHITA
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IS HEADING EAST. THESE CELLS HAVE SHOWN
SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS AS WELL AS SPLITTING TENDENCIES. THIS
CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE TO GENERALLY MOVE EAST WITH ADDITIONAL...
ISOLATED CELL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE NEAR THE DEWPOINT "FRONT." AS
HAS BEEN ADVERTISED...HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN RISK...WITH UP TO
QUARTER/PING PONG BALL SIZED STONES POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
CELLS. THERE IS A LOCALIZED RISK FOR WIND DAMAGE.

SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY FOCUS MORE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN THIRD OR SO OF THE OUTLOOK AREA AS WE HEAD INTO THE
EVENING HOURS (HWY 54 CORRIDOR). CANNOT RULE OUT A DECAYING
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ENTERING FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER
THE LOSS OF INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN THIS SYSTEM DISINTEGRATING
OVER THE AREA BY SUNRISE MONDAY.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT LARGELY LOOK QUIET. ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER/CAP WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND SHIFT A SURFACE BOUNDARY
WELL TO OUR NORTH. CANNOT RULE OUT A ROGUE SHOWER OR STORM...
PARTICULARLY OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI...BUT MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD
REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE. SHOULD SEE AN APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN
STRATUS LATE TONIGHT AND THIS WILL LIKELY STICK AROUND MOST OF
MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD WITH 50S
FOR LOWS AND LOW 70S FOR HIGHS...ANY BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST COULD
YIELD A FEW MORE DEGREES OF WARMING MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE
INTERESTING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS
ESPECIALLY AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 WHERE SPC HAS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA IN A HATCHED SHADED OUTLOOK ON DAY 3 ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE
AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK. FOR THE MOST PART...DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY WILL BE QUIET WITH A STRONG CAP AROUND 800 MB KEEPING ANY
CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING. DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 60S
WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MIDDLE 70S. A WARM AND MUGGY SPRING-LIKE
DAY.

A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA BORDER
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH A SHARP DRYLINE. THIS AREA WILL BE
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT BY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE GFS AND NAM ALONG WITH HIRES 4KM WRF SUGGEST A
PREFRONTAL TROUGH AREA OF CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP BY
TUESDAY EVENING FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN MISSOURI. IF
THIS AREA DOES MATERIALIZE AND BREAK THE CAP...SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE LIKELY WITH SOME SUPERCELL POTENTIAL EARLY IN THE EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. CAPE VALUES
WILL BE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR WILL BE 50 KNOTS
PLUS. 0-3KM HELICITY WILL BE NEAR 300 M2/S2. THERE IS EVEN SOME
EVIDENCE EARLY ON THE IN EVENING OF 0-1KM LOW LEVEL CAPE
APPROACHING 100 J/KG. IF ANY ROTATING CELLS CAN TAP INTO THIS
LOWER LEVEL ENERGY...WILL HAVE A THREAT OF A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
AROUND THE AREA. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER LOOK POSSIBLE WITH
MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL TAKE OVER THE DRYLINE SURGING SOUTHEASTWARD
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL HELP DEVELOP THE STORMS INTO A LINEAR FASHION
OR A SQUALL LINE. THE MAIN THREAT FOR THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ALONG WITH
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL. TWO DAYS RAINFALL TOTAL QPF
THROUGH THE MID WEEK EVENT WILL BE BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. SATURATED GROUNDS AND ANY TRAINING OF
STORMS MAY PRODUCE AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING THREAT AND SOME
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AREAS OF THE FAR EASTERN OZARKS MAY DESTABILIZED JUST
ENOUGH BY MIDDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR
ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS MOVING OFF INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. RAIN
WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH ON THURSDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR A COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE TROUGH LIFTS OUT BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MODERATING
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW MAY BRING A
FEW SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AERODROMES THIS
EVENING...BUT WE WILL MONITOR THE KSGF AERODROME CLOSELY OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN AVIATION IMPACTS INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING WILL BE DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND
INCREASING LOW CLOUDS. WE HAVE DELAYED THE ONSET OF MVFR SLIGHTLY
GIVEN THE LACK OF MVFR ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MVFR WILL PERSIST FOR
MUCH OF MONDAY.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...SCHAUMANN
SHORT TERM...GAGAN
LONG TERM...GRIFFIN
AVIATION...SCHAUMANN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
749 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
749 PM CDT SUN APR 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY
  WEAKEN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS
  CENTRAL MISSOURI. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL BE THE
  PRIMARY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL
  ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...
  PRIMARILY FROM SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI.
  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING STRIKES...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND LOCALLY
  HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE MONDAY...HOWEVER MOST
  LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AND SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

  A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS ON
  TUESDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
  KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MOVE INTO WESTERN
  MISSOURI TUESDAY EVENING...AND THEN MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
  DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. ALL MODES OF
  SEVERE WEATHER ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...INCLUDING LARGE
  HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES. THERE IS ALSO
  POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS ALONG
  AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY
  60 CORRIDOR.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
815 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             HALF WAY                37.62N 93.24W
04/07/2013  E1.75 INCH       POLK               MO   PUBLIC

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
826 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             BUFFALO                 37.64N 93.09W
04/07/2013  E1.00 INCH       DALLAS             MO   PUBLIC

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
827 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             2 NW ALDRICH            37.57N 93.58W
04/07/2013  M1.50 INCH       POLK               MO   PUBLIC

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
828 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 PM     HAIL             CONWAY                  37.50N 92.82W
04/07/2013  M1.75 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
839 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     HAIL             PHILLIPSBURG            37.55N 92.78W
04/07/2013  E1.75 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

JCOLUCCI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
842 PM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     HAIL             CONWAY                  37.50N 92.82W
04/07/2013  M1.75 INCH       LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTING NUMEROUS WINDOWS DAMAGED DUE
            TO GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL.

&&

MGRIFFIN