Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Blacksburg, VA

401 
WWUS41 KRNK 030912
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
412 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...A COUPLE OF CLIPPERS TO BRING EXTENDED PERIOD OF SNOWFALL
THROUGH TODAY...

.ONE DISTURBANCE EARLY THIS MORNING WILL PASS BY WITH A PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR THE MOUNTAINS. A SECOND AND STRONGER
DISTURBANCE ARRIVE BEFORE NOON IN THE MOUNTAINS...SHIFTING EAST OF
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH EACH PASSAGE OF
DISTURBANCES...WINDS ARE GOING TO PICK UP AND GUST UP TO 40 TO 50
MPH...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN CREATING BLOWING SNOW.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-043-045-031715-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...BLAND...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...
TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
412 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND
  THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4
  INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE WEST FACING SLOPES.

* TIMING...OFF AND ON THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...WITH OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN
  VISIBILITIES.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.



&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ011-013-014-016>020-WVZ044-031715-
/O.CON.KRNK.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...PEARISBURG...RADFORD...
PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...
CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...UNION
412 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS AND NEW RIVER VALLEY AREA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. BLOWING SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* TIMING...OFF AND ON THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

&&

$$

WHP

657 
WWUS41 KRNK 031526
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1026 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...ONE MORE SYSTEM TO BRING MODERATE SNOWFALL THROUGH TODAY...

.A DISTURBANCE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL PASS BY WITH A PERIODS OF
MODERATE SNOWFALL FOR THE MOUNTAINS...MORESO ACROSS WESTERN SLOPES
AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ONCE THIS WAVE TRACKS EAST OF THE
AREA...WINDS ARE GOING TO PICK UP AND GUST UP TO 40 TO 50
MPH...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN CREATING BLOWING SNOW.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-043-045-032330-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...BLAND...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...
TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
1026 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
   AND THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE WEST FACING SLOPES.

* TIMING...OFF AND ON THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...WITH OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN 
  VISIBILITIES.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ011-013-014-016>020-WVZ044-032330-
/O.CON.KRNK.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...PEARISBURG...RADFORD...
PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...
CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...UNION
1026 AM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS AND NEW RIVER VALLEY AREA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. BLOWING SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* TIMING...OFF AND ON THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

&&

$$

796 
WWUS41 KRNK 032017
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
317 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...UPSLOPE SNOW INTO THIS EVENING AND ANOTHER CLIPPER MONDAY NIGHT...

.WINDS HAVE TURNED TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW TO WESTERN SLOPES THIS EVENING. UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS WILL END EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FAST MOVING
CLIPPER WILL BRING SNOW BACK TO THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

WVZ045-040430-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WW.Y.0007.130203T2017Z-130204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.A.0002.130204T2100Z-130205T1700Z/
GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISBURG...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
317 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR TODAY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A 
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... 
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS DOWNGRADED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING TO
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WINTER
STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...GREENBRIER COUNTY...MAINLY WESTERN SLOPES.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE AND
  GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT. MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES...
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE WEST FACING SLOPES. MONDAY
  NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...UP TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW INTO THIS EVENING.
  SNOW MONDAY COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS 400 PM TAPERING TO FLURRIES
  BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...WITH OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN 
  VISIBILITIES.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER TEENS TONIGHT...REMAINING AROUND
  FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL DROP
  INTO THE 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-043-040430-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WW.Y.0007.130203T2017Z-130204T0600Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-WYTHE-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...BLAND...WYTHEVILLE...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...
TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX
317 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR TODAY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS DOWNGRADED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING TO
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  AND THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND GUSTY
  WINDS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES...
  WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE WEST FACING SLOPES.

* TIMING...OFF AND ON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS...WITH OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN 
  VISIBILITIES.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT
PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ011-013-014-016>020-WVZ044-032130-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130204T0000Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-
317 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING THEN TAPERING TO
FLURRIES BY MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

$$
RCS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
928 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
AND OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS THIS SYSTEM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE CROSSES
THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH
DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 900 PM EST SATURDAY...

OVERALL...THE ADVISORY AREA AND AMOUNTS HAVE PANNED OUT RELATIVELY
WELL BASED ON A MYRIAD OF REPORTS WE HAVE ACQUIRED THIS EVENING.
MOST AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN IN THE 2-3 INCH RANGE...WITH LITTLE OR NONE
EAST OF A LEXINGTON...ROANOKE...WILKESBORO LINE. HOWEVER...AMOUNTS
HAVE BEEN A LITTLE HEALTHIER ACROSS SE WV...WITH 9 INCHES AT
QUINWOOD IN NORTHWEST GREENBRIER. HAVE CONTEMPLATED UPGRADING
PARTS OF SE WV TO A WARNING OR AT LEAST AN ELEVATION BASED
WARNING...BUT NOT ENOUGH CONSENSUS AT THIS POINT TO PROCEED WITH
THAT...AND ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL NOT MEET WARNING CRITERIA.
WARNING SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SPOTTY OVERALL.

AT THIS POINT...THERE APPEAR TO BE TWO MORE CLIPPER/NW FLOW SHORT
WAVES TO IMPACT THE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH THE LAST ONE EXITING
THE REGION JUST AFTER DAYBREAK. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY JUST BELOW WARNING CRITERIA...BUT WE WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORING.

T/TD AND POPS WERE ADJUSTED IN MINOR AMOUNTS.

AS OF 345 PM EST SATURDAY...

FIRST WAVE OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM
IS TRAVERSING THE REGION. MUCH OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ACTIVITY
REMAINED AS VIRGA AS IT PASSED OVERHEAD. BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON
LIGHT SNOW WAS REPORTED IN VARIOUS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA
AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THEN INTO NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PRIMARILY WESTERN PARTS OF THE
REGION OVERNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER MORE WESTERLY...AND THEN
SHIFT NORTHWEST WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

COUNTIES ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE ADVISORY IN VIRGINIA WILL BE
LEFT IN THE ADVISORY BASED UPON THE IMPACT CONCERNS. WE HAVE
ADJUSTED THE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DOWNWARD IN THIS REGION GIVEN
MOST OF THIS FIRST PULSE OF MOISTURE REMAINDER ALOFT AND PROVIDED
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE SNOW. ONCE THE SUN SETS...WE EXPECT
A BETTER CHANCE OF THE SNOW STARTING TO STICK IN LIGHT AMOUNTS OVER
PARTS OF ALLEGHANY...CRAIG...MONTGOMERY AND PULASKI COUNTIES.

OTHER COUNTIES WITHIN THE ADVISORY ARE FORECAST WITH LESS SNOW
GIVEN THE THE LIMITED IMPACT OF THE FIRST WAVE OF ENERGY. A LULL IN
THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT JUST BEFORE THE PASSAGE OF
THE FRONT. AS WE TRANSITION TO NORTHWEST FLOW UPSLOPE IN THE
WEST...OUR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE AND MORE CONFINED TO
WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. ALSO...THE FRONT ITSELF MAY HELP TO CARRY
SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE PIEDMONT COINCIDENT TO ITS PASSAGE...BUT ANY
WILL BE SHORT LIVED ONCE THE NORTHWEST FLOW BEGINS.

DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...AREAS LONG AND EAST OF THE CREST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE WILL EXPERIENCE A TREND TOWARD DECREASING CLOUD COVER THANKS
TO SUBSIDENCE AND DRIER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS
SAME NORTHWEST FLOW WILL HELP MAINTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OVER WESTERN SLOPES OF
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 PM EST SATURDAY...

UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CYCLONIC
NW FLOW KEEPING RATHER COLD AIR IN PLACE UNTIL WEDNESDAY WHEN A MORE
ZONAL 5H TRAJECTORY LOOKS TO TAKE SHAPE. INITIAL WAVE/CLIPPER FROM
THIS WEEKEND WILL HAVE EXITED OFFSHORE BY SUNDAY EVENING LEAVING
ONLY SOME RESIDUAL UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES...MAINLY EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY ACCOUNT FOR
ADDED LIGHT ACCUMULATION MAINLY NW SUNDAY EVENING...OTRW MAINLY
CHANCE POPS AT THIS POINT FOR DECREASING COVERAGE AS DRYING FROM
ALOFT WINS OUT UNDER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN LATE. NW WINDS WILL
REMAIN QUITE GUSTY UNDER THE TIGHT LEFTOVER PRESSURE GRADIENT SUNDAY
EVENING BUT APPEARS ONLY MARGINAL ADVISORY LEVELS ESPCLY NW NC
RIDGES FOR NOW. LOWS STILL QUITE COLD...MAINLY TEENS WEST TO 20S
EAST AS MOST OF THE ARCTIC AIR LOOKS TO STAY JUST NORTH BEHIND THIS
DEPARTING WAVE.

SURFACE HIGH BUILDS OVERHEAD ON MONDAY BUT WILL GRADUALLY GET
UNDERCUT BY MOISTURE/CLOUDS ARRIVING WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SHORTWAVE COMPLEX HEADING EAST/SE IN THE FAST FLOW ALOFT. THIS
SHOULD HELP KEEP CHILLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS...LOW/MID 30S OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...WHILE THE EAST BUMPS UP INTO THE 40S AIDED BY MORE
INSOLATION AND DOWNSLOPE.

MODELS CONTINUE THE TREND OF ZIPPING DEEPER MOISTURE WITH THE NEXT
CLIPPER INTO THE NW MONDAY EVENING AND OVER MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINS
MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER DIFFERENCES REMAIN WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE
INITIAL DAMPENING NORTHERN STREAM WAVE AND JUST HOW FAR SOUTH IT
DIGS INTO EARLY TUE. NAM REMAINS THE MOST ROBUST IN KEEPING THIS
FEATURE INTACT LONGER AND ATTEMPTS TO BRIEFLY HANG ONTO THE SRN
STREAM WAVE BEFORE SPLITTING...ALLOWING THE BEST LIFT/MOISTURE TO
DROP WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION. THIS COULD PUT DOWN A QUICK SWATH
OF SNOW FAR NW WITH SOME COVERAGE ELSW MOUNTAINS...AND PERHAPS A
BIT OUT ACROSS THE NE. THUS BUMPED POPS NW TO LOW LIKELYS MONDAY
NIGHT...AND EXTENDED CHANCES ELSW OVER THE WEST/NORTH...WHILE
INCLUDING SLIGHT POPS SE DESPITE A FARTHER NORTH/WEAKER SCENARIO
AS SUGGESTED BY THE NEW 12Z EURO. ANY SIG PRECIP AGAIN WINDS DOWN
AS MOSTLY LEFTOVER UPSLOPE COVERAGE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
ALTHOUGH MORE OF A WESTERLY TRAJECTORY SHOULD KEEP COVERAGE
LIMITED. IN ADDITION SOME OF THE PRECIP COULD GO OVER TO JUST RAIN
AS 85H TEMPS WARM ABOVE 0C SOUTHERN HALF...AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS WITH HEATING TUE AFTERNOON GIVEN LACK OF ANY STRONG COLD
ADVECTION.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WED WITH SUNSHINE
RETURNING AND TEMPS WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL...LOW 50S SE AND 40S
ELSW OUTSIDE OF THE COLDER NW WHERE THE LINGERING 85H COLD POCKET
MAY KEEP 30S IN PLACE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 341 PM EST SATURDAY...

MORE OR LESS A ZONAL PATTERN ALOFT UNTIL THE END OF THE LONG TERM
WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE
50S TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. BASED UPON A RATHER DRY COLUMN
DID FAVOR THE WARMER MEX MOS TEMPS AFTER H85 ADJUSTMENTS. ONLY CHC
OF PRECIP WOULD BE A WEAK FRONT APPROACHING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
RAIN SHOWERS AS CLOUDS AND WAA AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD KEEP
TEMPS MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING WHEN THE PRECIP ARRIVES. ALTHOUGH A
RIDGE BUILDS IN THE EAST NEXT WEEKEND...AT THE VERY LEAST A DRY
WEDGE WILL BE IN PLACE KEEPING TEMPS DOWN SOMEWHAT...POSSIBLY AHEAD
OF A MORE POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM AT THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 647 EST SATURDAY...

AREA OF HIGHER REFLECTIVITY SNOW WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE
AFFECTING BCB/ROA/LWB/BLF OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AT THE VERY
LEAST...IFR VIS IS LIKELY AND THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW PERIODS OF
LIFR VIS/CIG BEFORE THE SNOW BURST ENDS IN A FEW HOURS. CONFIDENCE
IS ABV AVG. FURTHER EAST...CONF IS AVG THAT IFR CIG/VIS AFFECT LYH
AS THE AREA OF MODERATE SNOW QUICKLY CROSSES THE BLUE RIDGE IN THE
NEXT HOUR. A LIGHTER BAND OF SNOW OVER WEST VIRGINIA WILL NOT
HAVE AS GREAT OF AN EFFECT CIG AND VIS AS THE FIRST ONE HAS HAD.
ONLY EXPECTING MVFR SNOW SHOWERS LWB/BLF AFTER 6Z WITH UPSLOPE
COMPONENT NOT THE MOST FAVORED...WITH WINDS BLOWING ALMOST DUE
WEST. SNOW SHOULD BE PRETTY MUCH OVER AFTER 6Z AT ALL OTHER SITES.
DOWNSLOPING FLOW WILL BREAK CIGS TO BKN OR EVEN SCT AT ALL SITES
OTHER THAN LWB/BLF DURING SUNDAY. WINDS MAY ALSO GUST TO 30 KTS AS
THE SUN POPS OUT IN THE AFTERNOON AT BCB/ROA. POSSIBLY CIGS BREAK
TO BKN AT LWB/BLF LATE DAY.

.EXTENDED AVIATION...
OVERALL RATIONALE FOR EXTENDED AVIATION HAS NOT CHANGED. UPPER
FLOW WILL BE TRANSITIONING FROM AN EASTERN TROF TO ZONAL FLOW BY
MONDAY. THIS IS NOT CONDUCIVE TO DEVELOPING BIG STORMS BUT WILL
ALLOW A SERIES OF FAST MOVING SYSTEMS TO ROLL THROUGH THE AREA FOR
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. EXPECT PERIODS OF MVFR OR LOWER
CIGS/VSBYS WITH THESE SYSTEMS FOLLOWED BY LINGERING UPSLOPE -SHSN
FOR KBLF AND KLWB...POSSIBLY INTO KBCB AND KROA. LOOKS LIKE A
SPIKE IN THE LOW LEVEL JET COMING THROUGH WITH STIFF NW WINDS
SUNDAY NIGHT AND OVERALL WIND FIELD LOOKS LIKE IT WILL STAY
ENERGIZED THROUGH MIDWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD OVER THE
EASTERN US AND SHOULD HELP RELAX THINGS BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ007-
     009>015-018>020.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR WVZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/WP
NEAR TERM...DS/RAB/WP
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...KM
AVIATION...DS/KM/MBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
343 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009>015-018-WVZ044-032045-
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-
GRAYSON-CRAIG-MONROE-
343 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME BUT SNOWFALL
REPORTS ARE REQUESTED.

NCZ002-VAZ016-017-022>024-032045-
ALLEGHANY NC-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
343 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. UP TO 1
INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE
RIDGES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING ANOTHER HALF INCH OF SNOW EARLY SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME BUT SNOWFALL
REPORTS ARE REQUESTED.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-032045-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
343 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ019-020-WVZ042-043-045-032045-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-GREENBRIER-
343 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

ANOTHER WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME BUT SNOWFALL
REPORTS ARE REQUESTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
859 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 PM     SNOW             1 SE WEST JEFFERSON     36.39N  81.49W
02/02/2013  M2.5 INCH        ASHE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300449

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
913 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     SNOW             1 E SPARTA              36.50N  81.11W
02/02/2013  M0.5 INCH        ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300450

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
920 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     SNOW             2 SW PINEY CREEK        36.53N  81.33W
02/02/2013  M2.3 INCH        ALLEGHANY          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300451

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
938 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     SNOW             2 ENE ORISKANY          37.63N  79.95W
02/02/2013  M1.5 INCH        BOTETOURT          VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300452

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
939 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 PM     SNOW             ATHENS                  37.42N  81.02W
02/02/2013  E3.0 INCH        MERCER             WV   COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300453

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1020 PM EST SAT FEB 02 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     SNOW             WYTHEVILLE              36.95N  81.08W
02/02/2013  M3.0 INCH        WYTHE              VA   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1300454

KK