Wind Advisory 11, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Alleghany County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Carroll County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, Floyd County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Wythe County, VA

818 
WWUS71 KRNK 052222
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
522 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MERGE WITH A
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. AS THE RESULTING
LOW DEEPENS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND
GUSTY.

NCZ003-004-019-020-VAZ032-043-060630-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
SURRY-STOKES-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...DANBURY...WILKESBORO...
YADKINVILLE...STUART...MARTINSVILLE
522 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME SMALLER
  TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-060630-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON
522 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME SMALLER
  TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ012-013-016-017-060630-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-WYTHE-PULASKI-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...GALAX...FLOYD
522 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME SMALLER
  TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO ISOLATED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

164 
WWUS71 KRNK 060442
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1142 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES
TO EASTERN VIRGINIA WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE BRINING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS TO THE AREA.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-061245-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...STUART...MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON
1142 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ012-013-016-017-061245-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-WYTHE-PULASKI-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...GALAX...FLOYD
1142 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

272 
WWUS71 KRNK 060911
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
411 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS EASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY AND
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH
PRESSURE WELL TO THE WEST WILL BRING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS INTO
THIS EVENING.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-061715-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...STUART...MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON
411 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ012-013-016-017-061715-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.130306T1100Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-WYTHE-PULASKI-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...GALAX...FLOYD
411 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NEW RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATER TODAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

706 
WWUS71 KRNK 061758
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1258 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS EASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY AND
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH
PRESSURE WELL TO THE WEST WILL BRING STRONG WINDS INTO THIS
EVENING.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-070200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...STUART...MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON
1258 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ012-013-016-017-070200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-WYTHE-PULASKI-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...GALAX...FLOYD
1258 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NEW RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATER TODAY.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

093 
WWUS71 KRNK 062102
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
402 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST WILL DEEPEN TONIGHT AS IT
MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE. CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN. THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE WELL TO THE WEST WILL BRING
STRONG WINDS INTO THIS EVENING.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-062215-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...DANBURY...EDEN...YANCEYVILLE...
WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...STUART...MARTINSVILLE...DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON
402 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

WINDS SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 40 MPH. 

$$

VAZ009-015-070200-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
SMYTH-GRAYSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...
TROUTDALE...VOLNEY
402 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ002-VAZ012-013-016-017-070200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-WYTHE-PULASKI-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...GALAX...FLOYD
402 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NEW RIVER VALLEY INTO THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA 
  MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...LOOSE OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND...AND SOME 
  SMALLER TREES AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN OVER LEADING TO 
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

898 
WWUS71 KRNK 070026
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
726 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013


NCZ002-VAZ009-012-013-015>017-070130-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-130307T0200Z/
ALLEGHANY NC-SMYTH-WYTHE-PULASKI-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPARTA...MARION...WYTHEVILLE...
RADFORD...PULASKI...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD
726 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
102 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
TODAY...THEN REFORM AND INTENSIFY ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO MUCH OF
THE REGION...WITH RAIN OR MIXED PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO HEAVY
WET SNOW IN THE MID APPALACHIANS NORTH TOWARD THE MASON DIXON
LINE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE STORM THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 430 AM EST TUESDAY...

LEADING EDGE OF WARM MOIST ADVECTION AND ASSOCIATED ISENTROPIC
LIFT RESULTED IN A BRIEF BURST OF LIGHT SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
IN PORTIONS OF THE NEW RIVER VALLEY...WITH SOME LIGHT SLEET OR
RAIN ONGOING FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. ALTHOUGH
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE/HAVE BEEN GENERALLY AROUND A
TRACE...SOME LOCALIZED ICY SPOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS ON NORTH- FACING WALKWAYS WHERE GROUND/SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ARE STILL BELOW FREEZING...AS WELL AS SOME BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES...SO HAVE A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT RUNNING TO COVER
THE THREAT UNTIL TEMPERATURES UNIFORMLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING
SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK.

INITIAL AREA OF LIFT FORECAST TO EXIT THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
BLACKSBURG FORECAST AREA BY DAYBREAK...TO BE REPLACED BY A MUCH
BROADER AREA OF DEEP LIFT AS STRONG WARM MOIST
ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT AND DIFFERENTIAL POSITIVE VORTICITY
ADVECTION AND ASSOCIATED QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC FORCING PUSHES EAST
INTO THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROF.

ASSOCIATED LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED
TO ADVANCE EAST THROUGH EASTERN KY AND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE BLACKSBURG FORECAST AREA BY MID TO LATE MORNING...SPREADING
EAST TO ENCOMPASS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THERMAL
PROFILES SUGGEST THAT BY THE TIME THAT THIS SECOND BATCH OF
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES...TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE AT
MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD BE ABOVE FREEZING...SO DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE
A WIDESPREAD ICING THREAT TODAY. HOWEVER...IF ONSET OF PRECIPITATION
CAN SNEAK IN BEFORE 900-1000 AM...SOME MOUNTAIN VALLEYS MAY STILL
BE JUST BELOW FREEZING...SO THIS POSSIBILITY WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND WILL ISSUE ANOTHER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT OR HOIST A SHORT-LIVED ADVISORY AS/IF
APPROPRIATE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A CHALLENGE TODAY DUE TO INITIALLY LOW DEW
POINTS...ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER...AND A LIMITED MIXING WIND...WHICH
WILL SUPPORT MAINTENANCE OF A WEAK IN-SITU WEDGE DUE TO WET BULB
PROCESSES. FAVORED THE COOLER MAVMOS GUIDANCE OVER THE METMOS FOR
THIS REASON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 450 AM EST TUESDAY...

NOT A LOT OF CHANGE TO THE OVERALL THINKING WITH INITIAL LOW
PRESSURE EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE SRN OHIO VALLEY THIS EVENING
BEFORE GIVING WAY TO A ANOTHER DEEPENING WAVE ALONG THE VA/NC
BORDER BY MIDNIGHT. THIS MAIN AREA OF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN
PIVOT NNE INTO SE VA EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE BEING BLOCKED EAST OFF
THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. MODELS REMAIN RATHER CONSISTENT IN
SHOWING THIS SCENARIO BUT STILL DIFFER ON EXACTLY HOW FAST THE
COLD AIR SCOOTS EAST INTO THE AXIS OF ONGOING RAINFALL
TONIGHT...AND JUST WHERE THE DEFORMATION CONVEYER BELT SETS UP ON
WEDNESDAY. MAIN TREND HAS BEEN TO SLOW DOWN THE 85H 0C FREEZING
LINE FROM HEADING EAST OVERNIGHT WITH LATEST PROGS NOW LOOKING
LIKE THIS WONT REACH THE BLUE RIDGE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND
POINTS OUT EAST UNTIL JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. THIS ALONG WITH
RESIDUAL RATHER WARM BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS MAKES SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
QUITE TRICKY AS THE DRY SLOT QUICKLY CUTS THINGS OFF OVER SW VA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER THE LATEST 00Z EC/NAM CONTINUE TO PINPOINT
AREAS NORTH OF HIWAY 460 FOR THE HIGHER TOTALS FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT
THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY SO UPGRADED THE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR A
FEW CTYS ACROSS THE NW OVERNIGHT...AND IN THE NE CORRIDOR FOR
MAINLY WED. ROA/LYH REMAIN ON THE POTENTIAL SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE
HIGHER TOTALS WITH LESS ACROSS THE NEW RIVER AND SW VA. ALTHOUGH
APPEARS THE NW NC MTNS SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET A FEW INCHES FOLLOWED
BY A ANOTHER BURST OF SNOW UNDER THE RESIDUAL UPPER LOW WED AND
CONTINUED UPSLOPE IN WED NIGHT. THIS MAY PUT THE HIGHER RIDGES
INTO WARNING LEVELS SO INCLUDED A COUPLE OF THOSE CTYS IN A LESS
CONFIDENT WARNING AS WELL. ELSW BASICALLY RUNNING WITH AN ADVISORY
FOR THE REST OF THE COUNTIES WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND OUT EAST
NORTH OF THE ROA RIVER FOR NOW. THINKING AN INCH OR LESS FARTHER
SOUTH INTO THE PIEDMONT SECTIONS OF NW NC SO NO HEADLINES THERE.

SNOWFALL SHOULD GRADUALLY TAPER ACROSS THE FAR NE BY LATE WED WITH
LINGERING FLURRIES/SNOW SHOWERS ELSW INTO WED AFTERNOON. DEGREE OF
BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING MAY ALSO PLAY INTO SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS WEDNESDAY BUT STILL THINKING ENOUGH FOR A WARNING NE
ZONES. OTRW WITH THE LOW DEEPENING NEAR THE COAST AND THE 85H JET
INCREASING SHOULD SEE WINDS QUICKLY INCREASE WED AND CONTINUE INTO
WED NIGHT ALONG WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVIER UPSLOPE. THINK MAY BE CLOSE
TO WARNING CRITERIA WITH WINDS ACROSS NW NC SO WILL INCLUDE WITHIN
THE WSW PRODUCTS FOR NOW. APPEARS THINGS SHOULD START DRY OUT A
BIT FASTER OVER CENTRAL SECTIONS LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A DRIER
NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS. HOWEVER STILL EXPECT SOME SCATTERED
UPSLOPE -SHSN TO LINGER FAR NW INTO THU AS WELL AS SOME CLOUDS IN
THE FAR EAST ON THE BACK OF THE SLOW TO EXIT LOW OFFSHORE.

KEPT TEMPS CLOSE TO THE COLDER MAV MOS TONIGHT AND MORE IN LINE WITH
THE MUCH COLDER EC MOS INTO WED NIGHT OR EVEN THURSDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 330 PM EST MONDAY...

SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THURSDAY NIGHT...
HOWEVER EXPECT WE WILL STILL SEE A FEW LEFTOVER SHOWERS ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF GREENBRIER COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA THAT WILL LAST
INTO FRIDAY EVENING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE PLAINS WILL RESULT IN WARMING
TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE COMBINATION OF THIS
WARMING TREND...WITH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY HIGHS REACHING INTO THE
50S AREAWIDE...AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW MOST OF THE SNOW TO
MELT BEFORE THE WEEK ENDS.

CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS OUR NEXT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY IN THE
FOLLOWING WORKWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1250 PM EST TUESDAY...

A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TONIGHT
WITH ONE SURFACE LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND A SECOND
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MOVING INTO
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...THEN BOTH COMBINE AND TRACK OFF THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING. ONCE THE LOWS PASS TO THE
EAST...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SHARPLY....CHANGING ALL THE RAIN TO
SNOW. IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR BCB/BLF/LWB/LYH/ROA BY 12Z.
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES AT DAN WILL ALSO LOWER BUT WITH LITTLE
TO MIX OR CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.

WINDS WILL INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. GUSTS OF 25 TO 40 KNOTS
ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY. CEILINGS WILL LIFT IN THE
FOOTHILLS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE
CONFIDENCE THAT DAN AND ROA WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY 18Z.
HOWEVER...MODELS WERE INDICATING THERE MAY BE A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF SNOW THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY NORTH AND EAST OF LYH...WHERE
CONDITIONS MAY BE VERY SLOW TO IMPROVE. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP IN THE MOUNTAINS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH SNOW SHOWERS
RESULTING IN IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES AT BLF AND LWB
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES
AND VFR WX IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ011>014-016>018-022-033.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR VAZ019-020-023-024-035.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010-015.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR VAZ046-047.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR VAZ034-045-059.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NCZ002.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR WVZ044.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR WVZ042-043.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR WVZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WERT
NEAR TERM...WERT
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...NF
AVIATION...AMS/JH/WP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

VAZ019-020-023-024-035-061000-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS MAY TOPPLE TREES
AND LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

NCZ001-018-WVZ045-061000-
ASHE-WATAUGA-GREENBRIER-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

VAZ046-047-061000-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

VAZ007-009-010-015-WVZ042-043-061000-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-061000-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS IN
COMBINATION WITH GUSTY WINDS COULD CAUSE A FEW TREES TO TOPPLE AND
LEAD TO POWER OUTAGES WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ033-061000-
FRANKLIN-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS.

VAZ034-045-059-061000-
BEDFORD-CAMPBELL-CHARLOTTE-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS.

NCZ002-VAZ011>014-016>018-022-WVZ044-061000-
ALLEGHANY NC-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ROANOKE-MONROE-
454 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS.