Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Blacksburg, VA

954 
WWUS51 KRNK 261914
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
314 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

VAC775-261922-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-130626T1945Z/
CITY OF SALEM VA-
314 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
THE CITY OF SALEM IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OUT OF 
THE AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3741 7931 3704 7953 3704 7960 3689 7963
      3683 7966 3682 7971 3695 8018 3727 8003
      3727 8002 3728 8002 3749 7992
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 288DEG 20KT 3740 7983 3699 8001 

$$

VAC019-023-063-067-161-515-770-261945-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-130626T1945Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-ROANOKE VA-FLOYD VA-BOTETOURT VA-
FRANKLIN VA-CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
314 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
CITY OF ROANOKE IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
EASTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
EASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
CITY OF BEDFORD IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
   
AT 308 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BLUE RIDGE TO CALLAWAY...AND WERE MOVING TO THE EAST
AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROANOKE...
STEWARTSVILLE...
BEDFORD CITY...
HUDDLESTON...
AND MONETA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT GET CAUGHT OUTSIDE. SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3741 7931 3704 7953 3704 7960 3689 7963
      3683 7966 3682 7971 3695 8018 3727 8003
      3727 8002 3728 8002 3749 7992
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 288DEG 20KT 3740 7983 3699 8001 

$$

KK

154 
WWUS51 KRNK 261928
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
328 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

VAC063-261936-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-130626T1945Z/
FLOYD VA-
328 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
EASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3741 7931 3704 7953 3704 7960 3689 7963
      3683 7966 3682 7971 3692 8006 3729 7992
      3729 7995 3748 7988
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 288DEG 20KT 3738 7974 3697 7992 

$$

VAC019-023-067-161-515-770-261945-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-130626T1945Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-ROANOKE VA-BOTETOURT VA-FRANKLIN VA-
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
328 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
EASTERN CITY OF ROANOKE IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHEASTERN ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
CITY OF BEDFORD IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
   
AT 325 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MONTVALE TO ROCKY MOUNT...AND WERE MOVING TO THE EAST
AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEWARTSVILLE...
BEDFORD CITY...
HUDDLESTON...
MONETA...
AND SYDNORSVILLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT GET CAUGHT OUTSIDE. SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

IF ON OR NEAR SOUTHERN SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER 
AND MOVE INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER NOW. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU 
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3741 7931 3704 7953 3704 7960 3689 7963
      3683 7966 3682 7971 3692 8006 3729 7992
      3729 7995 3748 7988
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 288DEG 20KT 3738 7974 3697 7992 

$$

KK

173 
WWUS51 KRNK 261950
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
350 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

VAC019-023-067-161-515-770-261955-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-130626T1945Z/
BEDFORD VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-ROANOKE VA-BOTETOURT VA-FRANKLIN VA-
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-
350 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR 
BEDFORD...SOUTHEASTERN ROANOKE...SOUTHWESTERN BOTETOURT FRANKLIN
COUNTY...THE CITY OF ROANOKE AND THE CITY OF BEDFORD HAS EXPIRED...
    
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA. SEVERE WARNING 100 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF 
BEDFORD AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. 

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZE
OR LARGER HAIL...AS WELL AS ANY REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
DOWNED TREES OR LARGE LIMBS...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS AND
PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

LAT...LON 3741 7931 3704 7953 3704 7960 3689 7963
      3683 7966 3682 7971 3692 8006 3729 7992
      3729 7995 3748 7988
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 288DEG 20KT 3738 7974 3697 7992 

$$

KK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
131 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE A WARM MOIST SUBTROPICAL
FEED OF AIR INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST.
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND EVENTUALLY
STALL SOMEWHERE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THIS WEEKEND AS IT
ENCOUNTERS THE BERMUDA HIGH WHICH IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY
MUCH FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. THIS REGIME WILL PROMOTE A DAILY
THREAT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1030 AM WEDNESDAY...

DECREASING POPS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE MORNING...THEN AMPING UP
POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST (MTN EMPIRE) WHERE ACTIVITY IS
APPROACHING FROM KENTUCKY. LINEAR TIMING HAS THESE STORMS
ENTERING AROUND NOON. LOW CLOUDS ALONG WESTERN SLOPES SHOULD KEEP
THESE STORMS FROM BECOMING TO STRONG THROUGH THE MORNING.
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS MAY HAVE THESE STORMS
DECREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
MORNING...THEN RE-FIRING TOWARDS THE BLUE RIDGE AND/OR FOOTHILLS
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...CAPE VALUES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THIS MORNING ARE IN THE RANGE OF 1500 (NORTH) TO NEAR 3000
(SOUTH). EVEN THOUGH STORM COVERAGE MAY DECREASE...A FEW MAY
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE CROSSING THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE INTO THE
GRAYSON/NW NC HIGHLANDS AND SOUTHERN NEW RIVER VALLEY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AS OF 500 AM WEDNESDAY...

SHOWERS/STORMS ONGOING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING PER
UPPER LEVEL TROF OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. MYRIAD OF
MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS (MCS) HAVE EVOLVED OVER TIME WITH
CLUSTERS OF STORMS AND LINE SEGMENTS MOVING EAST ACROSS
IL/IN/OH/PA. THIS MCS LADEN ENVIRONMENT WHICH RESIDES JUST
UPSTREAM OF OUR AREA CREATES FORECAST TIMING CHALLENGES BEYOND
WHAT ANY MODEL CAN RESOLVE. THE ENVIRONMENT TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
CERTAINLY SUPPORT DEEP CONVECTION...BUT DOUBT MODELS WILL BE ABLE
TO TIME EVERY LITTLE MCS THAT GETS GENERATED. AS SUCH...HAVE TO
TAKE MORE OF A SHOT GUN APPROACH FOR POPS UNTIL RADAR TRENDS
SUPPORT OTHERWISE. WE THINK ITS A GIVEN THAT SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
FORM IN THE USUAL PLACES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH FOCUS ALONG THE
BLUE RIDGE EARLY-MID AFTERNOON AND INTO THE PIEDMONT THIS
EVENING. TIMING OF THE ACTIVITY THAT MOVES IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
WILL DEPEND LARGELY ON HOW INTACT THE MORNING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
AND ASSOCIATED MESOSCALE VORTICIES (MCV) PROPAGATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CORFIDI VECTOR FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON SUGGEST ANY UPSTREAM
ACTIVITY WOULD BE MOVING ON A 270-290 DEGREE TRAJECTORY...THUS WE
COULD VERY WELL BE LOOKING AT THE ARRIVAL OF SOMETHING FROM THAT
GENERAL DIRECTION...ENTERING OUR NORTHWESTERN CWA AS EARLY AS THIS
AFTERNOON. MODELS SUGGEST A LATER TIMING...OF AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...BUT I WOULD NOT PUT A LOT OF CREDENCE ON THE SYNOPTIC
MODELS IN THIS SORT OF SITUATION.

LOCAL ENVIRONMENT...PER FULL INSOLATION TODAY...SHOULD YIELD
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY. THIS WILL FUEL PULSE STORMS FOR
THE ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS INOF THE BLUE RIDGE AND LEE TROF
CONVERGENCE...IN ADDITION TO ANY ORGANIZED MCS ACTIVITY THAT MOVES
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. THAT SAID...THE ACTIVITY THAT
FORMS LEE OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND MOVES INTO THE PIEDMONT SHOULD
FADE WITH LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. HOWEVER...ANY ORGANIZED ACTIVITY
THAT MOVES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL NOT...AS IT WILL
BE DRIVEN BY STRONGER DYNAMICS FROM THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
TROF. FOR TONIGHT...MAINTAINED SOMEWHAT HIGHER THREAT FOR
STORMS...ESP THE NORTHWESTERN CWA...PER INCREASING THREAT THAT MCS
RELATED FEATURES WILL REACH OUR CWA EVEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT...VERY SIMILAR TO THE LAST 48
HOURS. USED PERSISTENCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 430 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD ON
THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD NEAR THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. DESPITE THE SPOTTY CONVECTION DEVELOPING DURING LATE
MORNING...BELIEVE WE WILL START THE DAY WITH ENOUGH SUNSHINE AND
HEATING TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOW
90S ACROSS THE EAST...WHILE HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THE HEATING...WHEN COMBINED WITH CONVERGENCE
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WILL ALLOW SOME STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE...AND BELIEVE WE WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SEVERE THREAT
ACROSS THE PIEDMONTS THURSDAY EVENING...WITH BOTH WIND AND HAIL AS
PRIMARY THREATS. AS WE APPROACH LATE EVENING...SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO WANE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. HOWEVER THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
STALL ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN THURSDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING FOCUS FOR
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

ON FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY NORTHWESTERLY
AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE
ROCKIES...WHILE AN UPPER LOW SETTLES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. AS
SUCH...EXPECT ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS AS HEATING INCREASES...WHICH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE DIMINISHING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE...AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT IN THE RIVER
VALLEYS AND ACROSS AREAS WHICH RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THE
EVENING BEFORE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 315 PM EDT TUESDAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL RESIDE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES FOR
SUNDAY...WHILE A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HOLDS OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND THE MID ATLANTIC. BECAUSE OF THIS OVERALL PATTERN...UNSETTLED
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK...AS SMALL
DISTURBANCES PASS OVERHEAD AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH.
CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO DIURNAL HEATING...FAVORABLE DYNAMICS
ALOFT...AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...WILL REMAIN
PREVALENT IN THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...BEFORE EVENTUAL TAPERING
TO SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHTS AND MORNINGS.

BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND THE 00Z ECMWF DEPICT THE TROUGH RETROGRADING
SLIGHTLY BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THUS...THIS TREND OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A CLEAR END IN SIGHT INTO THE
FOLLOWING WEEK. FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER...DEWPOINTS IN THE
60S...AND THE OVERHEAD TROUGH...WILL KEEP THE DIURNAL RANGE LIMITED
WITH REGARD TO TEMPERATURES...WHICH WERE KEPT IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE LATEST HPC GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 110 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

BROKEN AREA OF CONVECTION SLOWLY MOVING INTO WESTERN AREAS ATTM
WITH GREATEST IMPACT TO THE KBLF/KLWB SITES CURRENTLY AND PERHAPS
KBCB/KROA AFTER 19Z/2PM. THESE SHRA/TSRA WILL LIKELY BRING A
PERIOD OF MVFR/OCNL IFR TO THE WESTERN LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH LESS COVERAGE FARTHER EAST WHERE WILL CONTINUE WITH A VCTS
MENTION. GUSTY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE SO INCLUDING BRIEF GUSTS WITH
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS ESPCLY NEAR KBLF IN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO. IF THE AREA OF CONVECTION ORGANIZES MORE THEN COULD BE
LOOKING AT MORE WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR FARTHER EAST WITH SHRA
LINGERING INTO THE EVENING...BUT TOO IFFY TO EXTEND PREVAILING
TSRA COVERAGE TO KDAN ATTM.

OTRW EXPECTING SHOWERS TO SLOWLY FADE AFTER SUNSET GIVING WAY TO
PATCHY FOG ESPCLY WHERE AFTERNOON RAINFALL OCCURRED. HOWEVER NEXT
UPSTREAM MCS POSES THE THREAT FOR ADDED SHRA/TSRA AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND ESPCLY OVER THE WEST BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. FASTER MOVEMENT
THAN PROGGED COULD CAUSE SHRA TO RUN EARLIER THAN MOST BUFKIT
MODEL PROGS. THUS KEEPING A PREVAILING SHRA ACROSS SE WVA LATE
TONIGHT WITH VCTS MENTION AS TSRA POSSIBLE GIVEN UPPER SUPPORT
DESPITE BEING LATE AT NIGHT. WILL CARRY THIS PROBABLE BAND OF
CONVECTION EAST TO KBCB EARLY THURSDAY AND THEN ONLY INCLUDE A
VCSH ELSW IN THE MORNING WHERE CONFIDENCE IS LOWER IN SEEING THE
SYSTEM CROSS THE BLUE RIDGE FOR NOW. ONCE THIS PASSES EXPECTING
MOSTLY VFR IN SCTD/BKN CU NEAR OR AFTER THE END OF THE VALID TAF
PERIOD THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.AVIATION EXTENDED...

WE WILL BE TRANSITIONING FROM A FLAT UPPER RIDGE TO A BLOCKY
PATTERN...WITH AN EASTERN CONUS TROF/WESTERN CONUS RIDGE...THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PERIOD. SFC HIGH OFF THE EAST COAST WILL KEEP WARM AND
MOIST AIR OVER THE REGION WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIPPLING THROUGH
THE FLOW. THIS WILL PRIMARILY LEAVE US WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN A
WEAKLY FORCED CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT THROUGH MONDAY. EXPECT A
DIURNAL PATTERN OF CONVECTION WITH VFR IN THE MORNING...THEN MVFR
WITH SHRA/TSRA IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVE...THEN POSSIBLE IFR WITH
NOCTURNAL FOG/STRATUS.
&&

.EQUIPMENT...
KFCX RADAR IS CURRENTLY BACK OPERATIONAL BUT IS BEING MONITORED
FOR ADDITIONAL PEDESTAL FAULT ISSUES...WHICH COULD CAUSE THE
RECEIVER TO GO INTO STANDBY MODE.
&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/PM
NEAR TERM...PM/RCS
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...JH/PM
EQUIPMENT...PM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
542 AM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-270945-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
542 AM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
MAIN THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS. STORMS WILL FORM
NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE AND MOVE EAST INTO THE PIEDMONT DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY LATER TODAY AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A DAILY THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY AND
AGAIN THURSDAY.

11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
157 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

VAZ011-014-018-022-023-261845-
MONTGOMERY VA-GILES VA-CRAIG VA-ROANOKE VA-BOTETOURT VA-
157 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  EASTERN GILES COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN CRAIG COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  CENTRAL ROANOKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 156 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SIMMONSVILLE...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 30
  MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SALEM CITY...
  CATAWBA...
  SINKING CREEK...
  MAGGIE...
  AND HUFFMAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 7991 3720 8008 3731 8050 3743 8047
      3748 8037
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 283DEG 28KT 3738 8038

JH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
216 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             1 N BLACKSBURG          37.25N 80.42W
06/26/2013  E0.50 INCH       MONTGOMERY         VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DIME SIZE HAIL

&&

MBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
216 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

NCZ003-004-VAZ015-016-032-043-261915-
STOKES NC-SURRY NC-HENRY VA-GRAYSON VA-PATRICK VA-CARROLL VA-
216 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 213 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAMBSBURG...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 50
  MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND
  ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  GALAX CITY...
  ARARAT...
  FRANCISCO...
  AND CANA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 8093 3656 8091 3657 8093 3669 8094
      3675 8049 3671 8047 3675 8044 3674 8040
      3677 8040 3681 8007 3643 8003
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 268DEG 45KT 3662 8074

KK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
224 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RADFORD                 37.13N 80.57W
06/26/2013                   CITY OF RADFORD    VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON GROVE AVENUE. ALSO DIME
            SIZE HAIL.

&&

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
226 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     HAIL             FAIRLAWN                37.15N 80.56W
06/26/2013  E0.25 INCH       PULASKI            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL AND SOME PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS

&&

MBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
242 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

NCZ019-261945-
WILKES NC-
242 PM EDT WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 239 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ELKVILLE...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 15
  MPH.

* DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WILKESBORO...
  BOOMER...
  ELKVILLE...
  BUCK...
  AND MAPLE SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

&&

LAT...LON 3607 8141 3607 8144 3609 8145 3610 8152
      3611 8152 3619 8147 3622 8147 3625 8145
      3606 8093 3605 8101 3603 8106 3604 8120
      3603 8127 3600 8133
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 313DEG 13KT 3610 8139

KK