Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Blacksburg, VA

967 
WGUS71 KRNK 112224
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
624 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

VAC011-031-680-120030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-130712T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-CAMPBELL VA-APPOMATTOX VA-
624 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 619 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. 
MANY ROADS FROM WESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY INCLUDING PARTS OF HIGHWAY 
460 WEST TO THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG HAVE SEEN THE ONSET OF FLOODING 
SINCE 5:30 PM. THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO LIKELY LEAD TO 
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG CITY...
CONCORD...
RUSTBURG...
MADISON HEIGHTS...
AND STONEWALL. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG WHERE STORMS 
REMAIN ABOUT STATIONARY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS LOW LYING AREAS ON ROADWAYS AND
UNDERPASSES. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A WATER COVERED ROAD...TURN AROUND
DON'T DROWN! STAY AWAY FROM DRAINAGE DITCHES AND STORM SEWERS.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND NOW.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP
TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM ON FOOT.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF FLOODING...
INCLUDING MUDSLIDES OR ROAD CLOSURES...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS
AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 7928 3733 7928 3739 7924 3741 7925
      3743 7925 3744 7927 3745 7924 3743 7914
      3740 7912 3741 7910 3739 7907 3742 7907
      3744 7892 3729 7888

$$

JH

049 
WGUS71 KRNK 112253
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
653 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

VAC011-031-680-120030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-130712T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-CAMPBELL VA-APPOMATTOX VA-
653 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 647 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CITY 
OF LYNCHBURG WHERE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST HOUR 
MAINLY NORTH OF THE LYNCHBURG AIRPORT. RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO 
CREATE A SIGNIFICANT URBAN FLASH FLOOD EVENT WITH SOME FLOODING 
PERSISTING OUTSIDE THE CITY INTO WESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY. PERSONS 
IN THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPID RISES IN WATER 
LEVELS...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS WHERE FLASH FLOODING MAY 
QUICKLY OCCUR DUE TO DRAINAGE ISSUES. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LYNCHBURG CITY...
CONCORD...
RUSTBURG...
MADISON HEIGHTS...
AND STONEWALL. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS LOW LYING AREAS ON ROADWAYS AND
UNDERPASSES. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A WATER COVERED ROAD...TURN AROUND
DON'T DROWN! STAY AWAY FROM DRAINAGE DITCHES AND STORM SEWERS.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND NOW.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP
TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM ON FOOT.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF FLOODING...
INCLUDING MUDSLIDES OR ROAD CLOSURES...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS
AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 7928 3733 7928 3739 7924 3741 7925
      3743 7925 3744 7927 3745 7924 3743 7914
      3740 7912 3741 7910 3739 7907 3742 7907
      3744 7892 3729 7888

$$

JH

259 
WGUS71 KRNK 112339
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
739 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

VAC011-031-680-120030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-130712T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-CAMPBELL VA-APPOMATTOX VA-
739 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 735 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED 
THAT HEAVY RAIN HAD DIMINISHED TO MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE 
REGION. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN FROM THE CITY 
OF LYNCHBURG EAST TO CONCORD AND SPOUT SPRING. RUNOFF FROM THIS 
EARLIER HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY KEEP FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS AND 
STREAMS GOING...WITH ADDED URBAN FLOODING PERSISTING A WHILE LONGER. 
 
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... LYNCHBURG 
CITY... CONCORD... RUSTBURG... MADISON HEIGHTS... AND STONEWALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS WELL AS LOW LYING AREAS ON ROADWAYS AND
UNDERPASSES. IF YOU ENCOUNTER A WATER COVERED ROAD...TURN AROUND
DON'T DROWN! STAY AWAY FROM DRAINAGE DITCHES AND STORM SEWERS.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND NOW.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP
TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM ON FOOT.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF FLOODING...
INCLUDING MUDSLIDES OR ROAD CLOSURES...TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. REPORTS
AND PICTURES CAN ALSO BE SHARED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BLACKSBURG FACEBOOK PAGE AND ON TWITTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3724 7928 3733 7928 3739 7924 3741 7925
      3743 7925 3744 7927 3745 7924 3743 7914
      3740 7912 3741 7910 3739 7907 3742 7907
      3744 7892 3729 7888

$$

JH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
413 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL PUSH A COLD
FRONT INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY...BUT WILL BE OVERWHELMED BY
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVERHEAD THIS
WEEKEND AND THEN RETROGRADE...MOVING WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
UNITED STATES NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8AM FRIDAY MORNING.

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT. GIVEN THE EXTREMELY LOW FFG VALUES...EFFICIENT RAIN
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS...VERY WET ANTECEDENT SOIL CONDITIONS AND
THE EXTREME EVENTS IN SOME LOCATIONS YESTERDAY.

AN AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THESE FEATURES COMBINED WITH
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR
AREA. SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
MOUNTAINS. PWATS REMAIN VERY HIGH EAST OF THE ALLEGHANYS 2.0+
INCHES. USED A BLEND OF HRRR...RNKWRFARW AND NAM FOR POPS TONIGHT.
LEANED LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT TOWARDS THE WARMER ADJMAV WITH
READINGS FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO AROUND 70 DEGREES IN
THE SOUTHEAST. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADDED SOME
FOG TO ISC GRIDS OVERNIGHT.  THE UPPER LOW WILL RETROGRADE BACK INTO
OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. PLACED THE HIGHEST POPS IN
THE EAST FRIDAY. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S IN THE
NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER 80S IN THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 PM EST THURSDAY...

UPPER TROUGH ENTERING NEW ENGLAND IS NO MATCH FOR THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC BERMUDA HIGH. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY CUT
OFF...APPEARING TO BOUNCE OFF THE HIGH (LOOP THE ECMWF 500 HEIGHTS)
AND BEGIN RETROGRADING THIS WEEKEND. AS SUCH...ANY DRY AIR THAT
MANANGES TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT IS
GONE BY SATURDAY.  WITH THE UPPER LOW OVERHEAD...COMBINATION OF LIFT
AND DEEPENING EASTERLY FLOW WILL PROMOTE MORE CLOUDS THAN SUN.
MODEL TRENDS SUGGEST A MUCH WETTER SOLUTION OVER THE WEEKEND.  HAVE
RAISED POPS AND QPF ACCORDINGLY. WPC (HPC) IS NOW FORECASTING
UPWARDS OF AN INCH /1.00/ OF RAIN CENTERED OVER OUR MTNS FROM
12Z/8AM SATURDAY THROUGH 12Z/8AM SUNDAY.  ATTM THINK BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL COME LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY PER DEEPENING
SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY NIGHT.
SOMETHING ELSE THAT MAY AID IN THE INCREASING RAIN THREAT WILL BE
THE REMNANTS OF TS CHANTAL.  THE 85H WIND FIELD FCST TRACK THIS
FEATURE FROM THE BAHAMAS NW INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  THE GFS
SEEMS OVERDONE...BUT THE ECMWF SEEM ABOUT RIGHT RESEMBLING MORE OF
AN OPEN WAVE.  EITHER MODEL...HOWEVER...SUGGEST LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL RAIN THREAT.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD BUT HELD TO A NARROW DIURNAL RANGE PER
MORE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP THIS WEEKEND...MAINLY 70S TO AROUND
80 FOR HIGHS...LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM EDT THURSDAY...

MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME TO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL FEATURE A BUILDING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC.  THE UPPER LOW WHICH DEVELOPS AND
BREAKS AWAY FROM THE UPPER TROUGH OVER NEW ENGLAND THIS WEEKEND IS
FORECAST TO RETROGRADE AND PUSH WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD REACHING THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...DAY 7.

THIS SUGGESTS LIFT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL BE LIMITED
TO DAYTIME HEATING...THE UPPER LOW MOVING TOO FAR WEST TO BE AN
INFLUENCE. IF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS AS ROBUST AS FORECAST
597DM...THIS MAY CAUSE ENOUGH WARMING ALOFT TO POTENTIALLY LIMIT
DEEP CONVECTION TO LESS THAN 20 PERCENT COVERAGE EXCEPT FOR MAYBE
THE MOUNTAINS.

MODEL TEMPS HAVE TRENDED WARMER...BUT STILL NOTHING EXTREME. 85H
TEMPS ARE FCST TO BUILD CLOSE TO +20 DEG C BY MID WEEK WHICH SUGGEST
HIGH TEMPS WELL INTO THE 80S...POSSIBLY 90 URBAN AREAS. LOWS SHOULD
ALSO CREEP UPWARD A LITTLE WITH TMINS IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT THURSDAY...

CONVECTION WILL HINDER AVIATION OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. MVFR/IFR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST
ACROSS THE REGION WITH BEST COVERAGE ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

CIGS WILL OSCILLATE FROM VFR/MVFR OUTSIDE SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY...BUT
SHOULD PREVAIL HIGH END MVFR TO LOW END VFR.

LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRAINSITION TO WEST
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. STRONGER WIND SPEED EXPECTED
NEAR AND WITH THUNDERSTORMS. OVERNIGHT...WEST OF THE PIEDMONT...EXPECT
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS/CIGS AND VSBYS TO DEVELOP IN MANY AREAS DUE
TO WET GROUND AND NEAR CALM WINDS. WIDESPREAD IFR-LIFR CIGS/VSBYS
ARE EXPECTED AFT 06Z.

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN CIGS/VSBYS THROUGH TAF VALID PERIOD.
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND SPD/DIR THROUGH TAF VALID
PERIOD.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN TSRA POTENTIAL AND TIMING THROUGH TAF VALID
PERIOD.

EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALLY PUSH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE COASTAL AREAS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WITH SOME CLEARING OVER THE APPALACHIANS IN THE WAKE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF. RETURN FLOW HOWEVER...IS EXPECTED TO
BRING THE THREAT OF SHOWERS BACK INTO THE FORECAST FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK...POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS SUNDAY. UNTIL THE MOISTURE
RETURNS...SHOULD SEE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND...ASIDE FROM EARLY MORNING IFR BR/FG.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR VAZ012>019-
     022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...KK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...KK/RAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
422 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ012>019-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-122030-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-
CHARLOTTE-
422 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 81. THE GROUND
ACROSS THE REGION IS TOTALLY SATURATED FROM PERSISTENT HEAVY
RAINFALL DURING THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. LOCATIONS THAT
EXPERIENCE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING QUICKLY THEREAFTER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS AGAIN POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. OTHERWISE...THE
PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR THE PERIOD MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING MAY BE NEEDED
TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED AND CAN BE
SENT TO THE BLACKSBURG FORECAST OFFICE VIA OUR WEB
SITE...FACEBOOK...TWITTER...OR PHONED INTO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ007-009>011-020-WVZ042>045-122030-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
422 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS AGAIN POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. OTHERWISE...THE
PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR THE PERIOD MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
433 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

NCZ003-112100-
SURRY NC-
433 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 429 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOW GAP...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 10 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  NORTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3646 8092 3653 8087 3652 8075 3640 8081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 285DEG 8KT 3649 8086

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
445 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLOOD            GALAX CITY              36.67N 80.92W
07/11/2013                   CITY OF GALAX      VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ON GIVENS RD NEAR CHESTNUT CREEK

&&

FISHER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
457 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

NCZ004-005-112130-
STOKES NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-
457 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 456 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR AYERSVILLE...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 10
  MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  AYERSVILLE...
  AND PRESTONVILLE.

LAT...LON 3645 8014 3654 8009 3651 7996 3640 8001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 288DEG 7KT 3647 8007

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
511 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

NCZ003-112145-
SURRY NC-
511 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 507 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MOUNTAIN PARK...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST
  AT 10 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNTAIN PARK...
  AND STATE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3626 8080 3631 8087 3633 8087 3634 8089
      3637 8091 3641 8088 3636 8071
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 301DEG 11KT 3636 8086

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
512 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

NCZ004-005-112145-
STOKES NC-ROCKINGHAM NC-
512 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  CENTRAL STOKES COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  WESTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 507 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM AYERSVILLE TO
  DANBURY...MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
  STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND
  ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MADISON...
  DANBURY...
  MAYODAN...
  AYERSVILLE...
  AND MEADOWS.

LAT...LON 3641 7990 3630 8019 3641 8028 3649 8002
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 308DEG 8KT 3645 8002 3637 8024

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
516 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

VAZ035-112145-
AMHERST VA-
516 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  WESTERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 513 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PLEASANT VIEW...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 5
  MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
  STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NAOLA...
  AND PLEASANT VIEW.

LAT...LON 3752 7930 3762 7930 3765 7918 3754 7912
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 258DEG 5KT 3757 7923

DS