Alert archive / North Carolina / Winter Storm Warnings in 2013

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Raleigh, NC

January 17, 201320 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this winter storm warning at Jan 17, 2013, 3:56 AM EST for 20 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 17, 2013, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 8 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 17, 2013, 3:56 AM EST (08:56 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2013, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 18, 2013, 2:22 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC

Counties Alamance County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 17, 6:38 PM ESTSNOW 0Stokesdale, NCSPOTTER REPORTS CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN STOKESDALE WITH LIGHT COATING ON ELEVATED SURFACES.
Jan 17, 6:43 PM ESTSNOW 05 N Roxboro, NCCHANGEOVER TO SNOW REPORTED IN NORTHERN PERSON COUNTY.
Jan 17, 6:56 PM ESTSNOW 0Colfax, NCGUILFORD EM REPORTS CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN COLFAX AND NORTH HIGH POINT
Jan 17, 6:57 PM ESTSNOW 04 W Piedmont Triad Airp, NCCHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW 4 W OF PTI AIRPORT
Jan 17, 7:01 PM ESTSNOW 05 Se Lexington, NCSILVER VALLEY FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTS CHANGE OVER TO SNOW
Jan 17, 7:04 PM ESTSNOW 02 W Greensboro, NCCHANGE OVER TO SNOW ON WEST SIDE OF GREENSBORO.
Jan 17, 7:17 PM ESTSNOW 0Efland, NCCHANGE OVER TO SNOW REPORTED IN EFFLAND
Jan 17, 7:17 PM ESTSNOW 0.52 N Greensboro, NCSPOTTER REPORTS 0.5 INCHES ON ELEVATED SURFACES.
Jan 17, 7:28 PM ESTSNOW 0Greensboro, NCEM REPORTS SECONDARY ROADS IN GUILFORD COUNTY BECOMING COVERED WITH SNOW AND SLIPPERY. MULTIPLE VEHICLE ACCIDENTS REPORTED.
Jan 17, 7:32 PM ESTSNOW 04 S Oxford, NCCHANGE OVER REPORTED SOUTH OF OXFORD.
Jan 17, 7:37 PM ESTSNOW 1Kernersville, NC1 INCH OF SNOW REPORTED IN KERNERSVILLE WITH THUNDERSNOW
Jan 17, 7:52 PM ESTSNOW 0Graham, NCCHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN GRAHAM
Jan 17, 8:07 PM ESTSNOW 1.5Greensboro, NCSPOTTER REPORTED 1.5 INCHES OF SNOW AT E. MARKET AND HWY 29 IN GREENSBORO
Jan 17, 8:18 PM ESTSNOW 0Chapel Hill, NCSPOTTER REPORTED HEAVY SLEET AND FULL CHANG OVER TO SNOW ON THE ORANGE AND DURHAM COUNTY LINE.
Jan 17, 8:25 PM ESTSNOW 11 W Greensboro, NCINCH OF SNOW REPORTED IN GREENSBORO
Jan 17, 8:41 PM ESTSNOW 02 S Raleigh, NCEM REPORTED CHANGE OVER TO SLEET SNOW MIX SOUTH OF RALEIGH NEAR GARNER
Jan 17, 8:45 PM ESTSNOW 03 Nw Raleigh, NCCHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AND LIGHT ACCUMULATION IN NORTH RALEIGH
Jan 17, 8:56 PM ESTSNOW 0.1Rdu International Airpo, NCALL SNOW REPORTED AT RDU AIRPORT
Jan 17, 8:56 PM ESTSNOW 0.52 N Saxapahaw, NCSPOTTER REPORTED A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ON THE GROUND...AND BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE ON THE ROADWAY AT THE INTERSECTION OF BREVARD ROAD AND SWEPSONVILLE-SAXAPAHAW ROAD.
Jan 17, 9:00 PM ESTSNOW 0Troy, NCSNOW REPORTED IN TROY
Jan 17, 9:10 PM ESTSNOW 04 Sw Raleigh, NCRAIN CHANGED TO SNOW AT THE NWS OFFICE IN RALEIGH ON NCSU CENTENNIAL CAMPUS AT APPROXIMATELY 910 PM.
Jan 17, 9:10 PM ESTSNOW 1.93 Se Mcleansville, NCSPOTTER MEASURED 1.9 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND IN SEDALIA NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATE 85 AND HIGHWAY 70...MOST OF WHICH FELL IN A ONE HOUR PERIOD. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WAS ALSO OBSERVED.
Jan 17, 9:20 PM ESTSNOW 01 E Apex, NCNWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED THAT RAIN CHANGED TO SNOW IN APEX AT APPROXIMATELY 910 PM...WITH A DUSTING ON VEHICLES AND ELEVATED SURFACES AS OF 920 PM.
Jan 17, 9:34 PM ESTSNOW 21 W Greensboro, NC2 INCHES SNOW REPORTED BY COCORAHS OBSERVER
Jan 17, 9:40 PM ESTSNOW 1.55 Se Lexington, NCESTIMATED 1.5 INCHES OF SNOW AT SILVER VALLY FIRE DEPARTMENT
Jan 17, 9:40 PM ESTSNOW 3.3Greensboro, NC3.3 INCHES REPORTED AT UNC GREENSBORO
Jan 17, 9:50 PM ESTSNOW 4.55 N Roxboro, NCSPOTTER REPORTED 4.5 INCHES OF MEASURED SNOW IN NORTHERN PERSON COUNTY
Jan 17, 9:55 PM ESTSNOW 0.5Rdu International Airpo, NCRDU AIRPORT OBSERVER MEASURED 0.5 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION AT 955 PM. 0.4 INCHES OF SNOW FELL BETWEEN 855 PM AND 955 PM.
Jan 17, 10:13 PM ESTSNOW 23 E Walkertown, NCOFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED 2.0 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION 3 MILES EAST OF WALKERTOWN NEAR KERNERSVILLE.
Jan 17, 10:15 PM ESTSNOW 2.32 Wnw Greensboro, NCSTILL SNOWING LIGHTLY... AFTER NUMEROUS OCCURRENCES OF THUNDERSNOW DURING THE EVENING.
Jan 17, 10:26 PM ESTSNOW 4.57 Ne Roxboro, NC4.5 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED IN TRIPLE SPRINGS
Jan 17, 10:39 PM ESTSNOW 31 W Greensboro, NC3 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED
Jan 17, 10:44 PM ESTSNOW 1.57 Wsw Purnell, NC1.5 INCHES MEASURED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CREEDMOOR AND HWY 98
Jan 17, 10:50 PM ESTSNOW 0.6Rdu International Airpo, NC0.6 INCHES MEASURED AT THE RDU AIRPORT
Jan 17, 11:15 PM ESTSNOW 35 N Efland, NC3 INCHES OF SNOW NEAR EFLAND.
Jan 17, 11:20 PM ESTSNOW 0Seven Lakes, NCCHANGE OVER TO SNOW REPORTED IN SEVEN LAKES... TRACE.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 0.31 N Chapel Hill, NC0.3 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF ALLARD ROAD AND LYONS ROAD IN CHAPEL HILL.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 0.5Halifax, NCSEVERAL ACCIDENTS REPORTED.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 0.5Louisburg, NC0.5 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED AROUND LOUISBURG.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 1.8High Point, NC1.8 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN HIGH POINT.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 2Henderson, NC2 INCHES OF SNOW IN HENDERSON.
Jan 17, 11:30 PM ESTSNOW 2Warrenton, NC1-2 INCHES OF SNOW REPORTED AROUND WARRENTON.
Jan 17, 11:40 PM ESTSNOW 2.52 Nnw Archdale, NC2.5 INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED AT WGHP FOX8.
Jan 17, 11:40 PM ESTSNOW 2.54 Ene Jamestown, NC2.5 INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED AT WGHP.
Jan 17, 11:58 PM ESTSNOW 0.7Rdu International Airpo, NC0.7 INCHES MEASURED AT THE RDU AIRPORT.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 0.14 Sw Raleigh, NC0.1 INCHES AT THE RALEIGH NWS OFFICE.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 0.2Seven Lakes, NC0.1 TO 0.2 INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED IN THE SEVEN LAKES AREA.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 0.5Cary, NC0.5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL REPORTED MAINLY ON GRASSY AND ELEVATED SURFACES IN CARY.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 1Roanoke Rapids, NC1.0 INCH OF SNOW REPORTED IN ROANOKE RAPIDS.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 3Elon College, NCAROUND 3.0 INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED AT ELON COLLEGE.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 3Piedmont Triad Airport, NC3.0 INCHES AT PTI AIRPORT.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.1High Point, NC3.1 INCHES REPORTED IN HIGH POINT.
Jan 18, 12:00 AM ESTSNOW 52 Ese Bethel Hill, NC5.0 INCHES NEAR TRIPLE SPRINGS.
Jan 18, 12:20 AM ESTSNOW 0.52 Sw Holly Springs, NCOFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED 0.5 INCHES OF SNOW IN HOLLY SPRINGS
Jan 18, 12:55 AM ESTSNOW 0.8Rdu International Airpo, NC0.8 INCHES MEASURED AT RDU AIRPORT.
Jan 18, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 0Sanford, NCTRACE OF SNOW IN SANFORD.
Jan 18, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 0.8Rdu International Airpo, NC0.8 INCHES MEASURED AT THE RDU AIRPORT.
Jan 18, 1:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.3Gibsonville, NC
Jan 18, 1:30 AM ESTSNOW 1Nashville, NCSNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGE FROM AROUND A TRACE TO HALF AND INCH ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NASH COUNTY TO AROUND 1 INCH ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.
Jan 18, 2:00 AM ESTSNOW 5Archdale, NC3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW WAS REPORTED IN ARCHDALE AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF RANDOLPH COUNTY. ROAD WERE REPORTED TO BE SNOW COVERED IN AN AROUND ARCHDALE... WITH SEVERAL ACCIDENTS REPORTED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2013-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2013-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
928 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
352 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

724 
WWUS42 KRAH 170856
WSWRAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
356 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...A RAPID CHANGE TO WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT...

.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE QUICKLY TO
SNOW THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW AND COLD AIR MOVE OVERHEAD.

NCZ007>011-021>026-038>041-073-172100-
/O.UPG.KRAH.WS.A.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE
356 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...A LARGE PART OF THE PIEDMONT AND THE NORTHERN
  COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING THE TRIAD...THE TRIANGLE AND ROCKY MOUNT

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO HEAVY WET SNOW
  THIS EVENING. THIS TRANSITION WILL OCCUR WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THE
  WARNING AREA.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED

* TIMING...THE CHANGEOVER IS EXPECTED IN THE TRIAD REGION EARLY
  THIS EVENING...REACHING THE TRIANGLE AREA BY MID TO LATE
  EVENING. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH WEST TO EAST AFTER 1 AM...ENDING
  IN THE EAST BY 4 AM.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL QUICKLY
  LEAD TO AN ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES. DUE TO THE WARM
  PAVEMENT AND THE RAIN EXPECTED PRIOR TO CHANGEOVER...MOST ROADS
  WILL INITIALLY REMAIN WET BUT MAY BECOME VERY SLUSHY...ESPECIALLY
  WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES OCCUR. TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
  SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL LEAD TO
  ROADS QUICKLY BECOMING SLICK AND HAZARDOUS....ESPECIALLY WEST OF
  THE TRIANGLE. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DANGEROUS THROUGH MOST OF
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S TO THE LOWER 50S TODAY
  WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 30S THIS EVENING...AND TO NEAR OR
  SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF
  MILE IN SNOW AND FOG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NCZ027-074>076-172100-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
NASH-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NASHVILLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES...
SANFORD
356 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SECTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...A LARGE PART OF THE PIEDMONT AND THE NORTHERN
  COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING THE TRIAD...THE TRIANGLE AND ROCKY MOUNT

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO HEAVY WET SNOW
  THIS EVENING. THIS TRANSITION WILL OCCUR WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THE
  WARNING AREA.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED

* TIMING...THE CHANGEOVER IS EXPECTED IN THE TRIAD REGION EARLY
  THIS EVENING...REACHING THE TRIANGLE AREA BY MID TO LATE
  EVENING. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH WEST TO EAST AFTER 1 AM...ENDING
  IN THE EAST BY 4 AM.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL QUICKLY
  LEAD TO AN ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES. DUE TO THE WARM
  PAVEMENT AND THE RAIN EXPECTED PRIOR TO CHANGEOVER...MOST ROADS
  WILL INITIALLY REMAIN WET BUT MAY BECOME VERY SLUSHY...ESPECIALLY
  WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES OCCUR. TEMPERATURES NEAR OR
  SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL LEAD TO
  ROADS QUICKLY BECOMING SLICK AND HAZARDOUS....ESPECIALLY WEST OF
  THE TRIANGLE. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DANGEROUS THROUGH MOST OF
  FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S TO THE LOWER 50S TODAY
  WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 30S THIS EVENING...AND TO NEAR OR
  SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF
  MILE IN SNOW AND FOG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN
YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NCZ028-042-043-077-078-083-084-172100-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WW.Y.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM
356 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO HEAVY WET SNOW LATE THIS
  EVENING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS... ONE TO TWO INCHES...MAINLY ION GRASSY SURFACES.

* TIMING...THE RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN
  PIEDMONT BETWEEN 6 AND 10 PM...AND IN THE COASTAL PLAIN BETWEEN
  9 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL QUICKLY
  LEAD TO AN ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES. DUE TO THE WARM
  PAVEMENT AND THE RAIN EXPECTED PRIOR TO CHANGEOVER...MOST ROADS
  WILL INITIALLY REMAIN WET BUT MAY BECOME VERY SLUSHY...ESPECIALLY
  WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES OCCUR. TEMPERATURES NEAR
  FREEZING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL LEAD TO ROADS QUICKLY
  BECOMING SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DANGEROUS
  THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S TO THE LOWER 50S TODAY
  WILL QUICKLY FALL INTO THE 30S THIS EVENING...AND TO NEAR OR
  SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF
  MILE IN SNOW AND FOG.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
221 
WWUS42 KRAH 172041
WSWRAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
341 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...A RAPID CHANGE TO WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT...

.A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE QUICKLY TO SNOW THIS
EVENING... AND CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. 

NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-073>076-180900-
/O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...
ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD
341 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...IMPACTED AREAS INCLUDE A LARGE PART OF THE PIEDMONT
  AND THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN... INCLUDING THE TRIAD...THE
  TRIANGLE AND ROANOKE RAPIDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO HEAVY WET SNOW
  FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. A LITTLE MIXED SNOW AND
  SLEET IS POSSIBLE AT ONSET.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA.

* TIMING...THE CHANGEOVER IS EXPECTED IN THE TRIAD REGION BY EARLY
  THIS EVENING... REACHING THE TRIANGLE AREA BY MID EVENING. THE
  SNOW WILL DIMINISH WEST TO EAST AFTER 1 AM... ENDING IN THE EAST
  BY 4 AM. MOST OF THE HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 7 PM
  AND 1 AM.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL QUICKLY
  ACCUMULATE... ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY SURFACES AS WELL AS BRIDGES
  AND OVERPASSES. THE WARM AND WET PAVEMENT WILL LIMIT
  ACCUMULATION INITIALLY... BUT AS SNOWFALL RATES INCREASE...
  ROADS WILL BEGIN TO GET SNOW COVERED AND SLUSHY. AS TEMPERATURES
  DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
  MORNING... ROADS WILL BECOME VERY SLICK AND DANGEROUS...
  ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE TRIANGLE. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS
  THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
  WILL GUST PERIODICALLY TO AROUND 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 30S THROUGH
  EARLY TO MID EVENING... AND TO THE 26 TO 32 DEGREE RANGE BY
  DAYBREAK FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB THROUGH THE
  30S ON FRIDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A HALF 
  MILE IN SNOW AND FOG. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN
YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

YOUNG OR INEXPERIENCED DRIVERS SHOULD AVOID DRIVING DURING THIS
WINTRY WEATHER.

&&

$$

NCZ028-042-043-077-078-083-084-180900-
/O.CON.KRAH.WW.Y.0001.130117T2300Z-130118T0900Z/
EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM
341 PM EST THU JAN 17 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...IMPACTED AREAS INCLUDE PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTHERN
  PIEDMONT AND CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN.

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO A RAIN AND SNOW MIX THIS
  EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MOSTLY WET SNOW TOWARD LATER THIS
  EVENING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS... STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE
  TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED... MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES.

* TIMING...THE RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW IN THE FAR SOUTHERN
  PIEDMONT BETWEEN 7 PM AND 9 PM...AND IN THE CENTRAL COASTAL
  PLAIN BETWEEN 9 PM AND 11 PM.

* IMPACTS...ONCE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO MOSTLY SNOW... IT
  WILL BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE... MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES AS WELL AS
  BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THE WARM AND WET PAVEMENT WILL LIMIT
  ACCUMULATION INITIALLY... BUT AS SNOWFALL RATES INCREASE...
  ROADS MAY BEGIN TO GET SLUSHY. AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR
  FREEZING LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING... ROADS WILL BECOME
  VERY SLICK AND DANGEROUS. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS
  THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH 
  TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 30S THROUGH
  EARLY TO MID EVENING... AND TO THE 29 TO 33 DEGREE RANGE BY
  DAYBREAK FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB ABOVE 40
  DEGREES ON FRIDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN A MILE
  IN SNOW AND FOG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

YOUNG OR INEXPERIENCED DRIVERS SHOULD AVOID DRIVING DURING THIS
WINTRY WEATHER.

&&

$$

HARTFIELD
225 
WWUS42 KRAH 180722
WSWRAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
222 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER HAS ENDED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...


.STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION PULLING
AWAY FROM CENTRAL NC. 

NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-073>076-180830-
/O.CAN.KRAH.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130118T0900Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...
ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD
222 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

WINTRY PRECIP HAS ENDED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN
COASTAL PLAIN OF CENTRAL NC. THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.


$$

NCZ028-042-043-077-078-083-084-180830-
/O.CAN.KRAH.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130118T0900Z/
EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...
LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM
222 AM EST FRI JAN 18 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE THREAT OF WINTRY PRECIP HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION. THUS THE
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 17, 3:25 AM EST, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 3:25 AM EST, 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
325 AM EST THU JAN 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION THIS
MORNING WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE STORM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 325 AM THURSDAY...

CHALLENGING FORECAST IN RESPECT TO DYNAMIC COOLING THAT TAKES PLACES
THIS EVENING...LIKELY LEADING TO FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON.
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CUT INTO SNOW AMOUNTS.

LATEST 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE EXHIBITING FAIRLY GOOD RUN-TO-RUN
CONTINUITY...ESPECIALLY THE GFS AND ECMWF. HAVE USED A BLEND OF
THESE TWO MODELS TO ARRIVE AT FORECAST SOLUTION. WHILE FEEL FAIRLY
CONFIDENT WE WILL SEE RAIN END AS SNOW WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW
ALSO LIKELY FOR ONE TO TWO HOURS...CONFIDENCE NOT AS GREAT
CONCERNING AMOUNTS DUE TO THE WET WARM CONDITIONS PRECEDING THE
SNOW AND A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR THAT
RUSHES IN IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE SYSTEM. IN MY 14+ YEARS FORECASTING
AT RAH...HAVE NOT SEEN THIS MUCH DYNAMIC COOLING TAKE PLACE SINCE
POSSIBLY JANUARY 2000 (BACK THEN...ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS MORE
FAVORABLE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW).

SYSTEM IN QUESTION TAKING SHAPE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH A DISTINCT MID-UPPER LEVEL WAVE NOTED ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SOUTH OF LITTLE ROCK ARK AND A PRONOUNCED BAROCLINIC LEAF
OVER THE OH VALLEY. THIS SYSTEM CROSSES THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY THEN
SWINGS NE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT...BEING PUSHED ALONG BY A S/W
IN THE NORTHERN STREAM...CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...AND
EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE SOUTHERN SYSTEM OFF THE DELMARVA FRIDAY
MORNING. SYSTEM ALREADY PRODUCING WINTRY PRECIP ACROSS MISSISSIPPI
WITH LIGHT SNOW BEING REPORTED AT JACKSON AND VICKSBURG AT 2 AM EST.
ATTENDANT 850 AND 700MB CYCLONES PROJECTED TO TRACK IMMEDIATELY
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OUR REGION...A TRACK FAVORABLE FOR WINTRY PRECIP
IF CONDITIONS ARE COLD ENOUGH.

CONTINUED MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND INCREASING DYNAMICS ALOFT WILL LEAD
TO WIDESPREAD RAIN OVERSPREADING CENTRAL NC FROM THE SW LATER THIS
MORNING WITH RAINFALL INTENSITY INCREASING THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT. DO
NOT PLAN TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME OVER THE NW PIEDMONT
AS RAINFALL SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FFG FOR THE 3-6 HOUR PERIOD.
HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING SINCE THIS REGION HAS SEEN 1-3
INCHES SINCE MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DEPICT RAPID COOLING OCCURRING WITH THE
APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE MID LEVEL LOW THIS EVENING. LIFT WILL BE
STRONG THANKS TO FRONTOGENESIS IN THE 850-700 MB AND DUE TO A 170+KT
JET OVER NEW ENGLAND...PLACING THE CAROLINAS IN THE FAVORABLE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION.

EXPECT RAIN TO CHANGEOVER TO HEAVY WET SNOW IN THE TRIAD REGION
BETWEEN 6 AND 8 PM. THIS TRANSITION WILL SHIFT EWD WITH TIME AS MID
LEVEL LOW TRAVERSES THE REGION. THIS TRANSITION  SHOULD REACH THE
THE TRIANGLE AREA AND THE NORTHERN-CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN BETWEEN 9
AND MIDNIGHT. THE TRACK OF THE 700MB CYCLONE SUGGEST A GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR A SNOW BAND TO OCCUR OVER SECTIONS OF THE
PIEDMONT...POSSIBLY NEAR OF JUST WEST OF THE TRIANGLE. IN
ADDITION...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO HAVE SOME LIGHTING OCCUR
WITHIN THE HEAVY SNOW BANDS.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THIS
WILL LEAD TO SNOW AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. A
WARM TOP SOIL...WARM PAVEMENT AND HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING PRIOR TO
CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL INITIALLY LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATION.
STILL...EXPECT 2-4 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT MAINLY IN
GRASSY AREAS WITH 1-2 INCHES OF SLUSH DEVELOPING ON ROADWAYS. WITH
TEMPS EXPECTED TO FALL PRIOR TO DAYBREAK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
FREEZING...DRIVING MAY QUICKLY BECOME TREACHEROUS/DANGEROUS
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

AGAIN...THE THING THAT BOTHERS ME THE MOST IS THE LACK OF COLD AIR
IN PLACE PRIOR TO STORM ARRIVAL. A DELAY OF CHANGEOVER BY ONE-TWO
HOURS WILL CUT INTO EXPECTED SNOW AMOUNTS. IF THIS DELAY
OCCURS...FINAL SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE AT LEAST HALF OF WHAT IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST (IF NOT MORE).

BASED ON EXPECTED CONDITIONS...HAVE UPGRADED THE WATCH TO A WARNING
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TIME. HAVE EXPANDED THE WARNING A BIT FARTHER
TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST. AS A BUFFER...HAVE ADDED A STRING OF
COUNTIES ON THE SOUTH EDGE OF THE WARNING TO AN ADVISORY FOR AMOUNTS
NEAR AN INCH. FOR PLACES AROUND LAURINBURG...FAYETTEVILLE AND
CLINTON...EXPECT A BRIEF CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE PRECIP ENDS BY
4 AM. COULD SEE A DUSTING IN GRASSY AREAS AND SOME SLUSH ON RODA BUT
NOT EXPECTING ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO WARRANT INCLUSION IN AN
ADVISORY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM THURSDAY...

QUITE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY RETURN BY FRIDAY... WITH
SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING IN THE WAKE OF THE THE QUICK MOVING STRONG
S/W... WHICH WILL LIFT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY.
THIS WILL YIELD SUNNY SKIES FOR CENTRAL NC. HOWEVER... AFTERNOON LOW
LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO STRUGGLE TO REACH 1300
METERS. THIS COUPLED WITH POSSIBLY SOME SNOW ON THE GROUND ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES CHILLY. WILL GO
HIGH TEMPS RANGING FROM THE LOW 40S ACROSS THE NORTH TO UPPER 40S
ACROSS THE SOUTH.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...
BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY... WHILE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW
GENERALLY REMAINS WESTERLY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO YIELD SUNNY/CLEAR
SKIES ACROSS THE AREA... WITH A COLD SATURDAY MORNING GIVEN THE
CLEAR SKIES AND CALM TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. THUS... WILL GO
WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR SATURDAY MORNING. HIGHS SATURDAY
SHOULD BE WARMER THAN FRIDAY... AS A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS
AND AFTERNOON LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES REBOUND INTO THE 1320S.
HOWEVER... STILL THINK WE WILL SEE HIGH TEMPS ONLY REBOUND TO NEAR
NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL... GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S... AS THE MIXED LAYER WILL BE QUITE SHALLOW. TEMPS SUNDAY
MORNING WILL FOLLOW THE SAME TREND (WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS
MORNING)... WITH LOWS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY RANGE FROM 30-35 DEGREES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 3 AM THURSDAY...

MID/UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED WITH A DEEP
TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S.... ALLOWING MUCH COLDER
AIR TO SURGE INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COUPLE OF DRY COLD
FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THIS TIMEFRAME...
ONE LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY AND ANOTHER POSSIBLE DRY COLD FRONT ON
WEDNESDAY. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE MEDIUM RANGE
RANGE... AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD BRING SOME OF THE
COLD AIR YET OF THE WINTER SEASON. THUS... EXPECT HIGHS SUNDAY WILL
RANGE FROM AROUND 50 NW TO NEAR 60 SOUTH/SOUTHEAST (A BIT OF TRICKY
TEMP FORECAST THOUGH GIVEN ABOUT 6 TO 9 HOURS DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE
GFS AND ECWMF). HIGHS AND LOW TEMPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD
ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL... WITH LOW TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE
20S... WITH POSSIBLY EVEN SOME TEENS BY TUESDAY MORNING IN THE COLD
OUTLYING AREAS. HIGH TEMPS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
40S... WITH MAYBE A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH ON TUESDAY
STRUGGLING TO REACH 40 DEGREES.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 100 AM THURSDAY...

24 HOUR TAF PERIOD:

IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS WITH RAIN AND FOG WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH
LESS OF AN IMPACT AT KFAY UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. A QUICK CHANGE TO
SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING BETWEEN 00Z/03Z IN THE TRIAD AND
01Z-04Z AT KRDU AND KRWI. THE SNOW AND FOG WILL KEEP LIFR CONDITIONS
IN PLACE THROUGH 05Z-06Z... WHEN THE SNOW WILL END FROM THE WEST.
KFAY MAY BRIEFLY CHANGE TO SNOW BETWEEN 04Z-06Z... BEFORE ENDING.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BETWEEN 06Z-12Z... THEN LAST THROUGH
FRIDAY. NE-E WINDS AT 10-20KT WILL BECOME N THEN NW LATER TONIGHT AT
10KT. NW WINDS 10-20KT FRI.

LONG TERM:

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED SAT-MON.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY
FOR NC028-042-043-077-078-083-084.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
NCZ007>011-021>027-038>041-073>076.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...BSD
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...BADGETT/ELLIS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 16, 11:19 PM EST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1119 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

NCZ007>011-021>026-038>041-073-180430-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-
1119 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

IN ADDITION...ANY MELTED SNOW AND SLUSH IS LIKELY TO REFREEZE
FRIDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. THIS WILL LEAD
TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE FRIDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY
TUNED AND REPORT ANY WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

NCZ027-042-074>077-180430-
NASH-JOHNSTON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-
1119 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY EVENING AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT BEFORE COMING TO AN END FRIDAY MORNING. A DUSTING
TO LESS THAN ONE INCH OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ON GRASSY SURFACES.
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY ALSO LEAD TO AREAS OF BLACK ICE AND
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY
TUNED AND REPORT ANY WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

NCZ028-043-078-083>086-088-089-180430-
EDGECOMBE-WILSON-WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
SAMPSON-
1119 PM EST WED JAN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE CAROLINAS THURSDAY EVENING AND
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH RAIN BRIEFLY MIXING WITH SNOW BEFORE COMING TO
AN END FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR
FREEZING BY SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. IN AREAS THAT FALL BELOW
FREEZING...ANY LINGERING MOISTURE ON ROADWAYS MAY
REFREEZE...LEADING TO PATCHY BLACK ICE AND HAZARD TRAVEL
CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY
TUNED AND REPORT ANY WINTER WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PWB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 17, 3:56 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRAHAnson, Edgecombe, Harnett, Johnston, Richmond, Wayne and 1 more22 hr
Jan 17, 1:00 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHDavidson11 hr
Jan 17, 6:14 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph3 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in North Carolina, 2013Every winter storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.