Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Raleigh, NC

020 
WWUS52 KRAH 301925
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
325 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC037-063-135-302000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
CHATHAM NC-DURHAM NC-ORANGE NC-
325 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE...SOUTHERN DURHAM AND NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM
COUNTIES...

AT 318 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHAPEL
HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...PARKWOOD...DURHAM... 
AND BETHESDA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 266 AND 283...INTERSTATE 
85 BETWEEN EXITS 172 AND 180...AND THE DURHAM FREEWAY BETWEEN EXITS 
5 AND 16.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM FOR ORANGE AND 
DURHAM COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3587 7883
      3587 7890 3583 7892 3580 7908 3593 7913
      3603 7899
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 239DEG 4KT 3591 7899

$$

VINCENT

975 
WWUS52 KRAH 301939
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
339 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC037-301947-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
CHATHAM NC-
339 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS NOW LOCATED TO THE NORTH IN 
ORANGE AND DURHAM COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE WARNING FOR CHATHAM 
COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3590 7882
      3589 7882 3588 7882 3587 7883 3587 7886
      3587 7890 3586 7906 3599 7904 3603 7899
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 244DEG 8KT 3593 7894

$$

NCC063-135-302000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
DURHAM NC-ORANGE NC-
339 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE AND SOUTHERN DURHAM COUNTIES...

AT 332 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PARKWOOD...OR NEAR DURHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...DURHAM AND BETHESDA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 270 AND 283...INTERSTATE 
85 BETWEEN EXITS 172 AND 180...AND THE DURHAM FREEWAY BETWEEN EXITS 
5 AND 16.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM FOR ORANGE AND 
DURHAM COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3590 7882
      3589 7882 3588 7882 3587 7883 3587 7886
      3587 7890 3586 7906 3599 7904 3603 7899
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 244DEG 8KT 3593 7894

$$

VINCENT

081 
WWUS52 KRAH 301952
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
352 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC135-302001-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
ORANGE NC-
352 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS NO LONGER AFFECTING ORANGE 
COUNTY...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3587 7883
      3586 7897 3604 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 255DEG 6KT 3592 7886

$$

NCC063-302000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
DURHAM NC-
352 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN DURHAM COUNTY...

AT 346 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BETHESDA...OR NEAR DURHAM...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF DURHAM COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 274 AND 283...INTERSTATE 
85 BETWEEN EXITS 173 AND 180...AND THE DURHAM FREEWAY BETWEEN EXITS 
5 AND 16.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3587 7883
      3586 7897 3604 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 255DEG 6KT 3592 7886

$$

VINCENT

729 
WWUS52 KRAH 302001
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
401 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCC063-302010-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0087.000000T0000Z-130630T2000Z/
DURHAM NC-
401 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN DURHAM COUNTY EXPIRES
AT 400 PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND SEVERE WEATHER 
IS NO LONGER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...PEA SIZED HAIL...WIND 
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH 
THIS STORM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EAST INTO FAR NORTHERN WAKE COUNTY.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE REPORT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 274 AND 283.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 85 BETWEEN EXITS 173 AND 180.

THIS INCLUDES THE DURHAM FREEWAY BETWEEN EXITS 5 AND 16.

LAT...LON 3609 7885 3592 7876 3593 7880 3587 7883
      3586 7897 3604 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 255DEG 6KT 3592 7884

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
245 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
THE COMBINATION OF A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS OVER THE REGION... AND
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION...
WILL BRING CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH MID WEEK... WITH
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 245 PM SUNDAY...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

OVERALL: OUR PRIMARY CONCERN REMAINS THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WITH
ANY DISCRETE CELLS OR STORM CLUSTERS OR BANDS THROUGH THE NEXT 48-60
HOURS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC
STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL RAIN TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... HOWEVER WE ARE CERTAIN
TO SEE POCKETS OF HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES LOCALLY IN AREAS THAT
SEE SLOW-MOVING AND/OR REPEATED STORMS.

RAIN CHANCES AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT: WHILE WE DON'T EXPECT IT TO RAIN
CONSTANTLY THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME... THE ENTIRE AREA SHOULD SEE AT
LEAST A COUPLE OF HOURS (AND LIKELY LONGER) OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN. LARGE SCALE KINEMATICS AND FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPROVE... INCLUDING INCREASING UPPER DIVERGENCE DUE TO THE
SHARPENING UPPER JET FROM ERN TN/KY THROUGH THE ST LAWRENCE
VALLEY... STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO 30-40 KTS... AND
REPEATED SHOTS OF DPVA AS PERTURBATIONS RIDE FROM THE NE GULF UP THE
EAST SIDE OF THE DIGGING TROUGH TO OUR WEST. IN PARTICULAR... BOTH
CONVECTION-ALLOWING AND PARAMETERIZED-CONVECTION MODELS LATCH ONTO
THE MID LEVEL MCV OVER THE FL PANHANDLE AND BRING IT NORTHWARD WHILE
DRAWING DEEP MOISTURE AND WIDESPREAD RAIN WITHIN THE STRENGTHENING
SSW STEERING FLOW NORTHWARD TOWARD NC TONIGHT. THIS IS THEN FOLLOWED
CLOSELY BY AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE (NOTED ON MODEL DYNAMIC TROPOPAUSE
PLOTS) NOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. IN ADDITION TO THE
STRENGTHENING DYNAMICS... MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY HOLDS
OVER CENTRAL NC WITH MLCAPE STAYING IN THE 400-800 J/KG RANGE BOTH
TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... AND RISING TO 800-1600 ON MONDAY. (IN
THE NEAR TERM... MESOANALYSES SHOWING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND
7-7.5 C/KM... MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 6 C/KM... AND MLCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG SUPPORT CONTINUED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS.) DEEP
MOISTURE WILL BE PLENTIFUL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH VERY HIGH PW
AND STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT FEEDING IN DIRECTLY FROM THE
GULF AND ATLANTIC. THESE SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE HIGHLY EFFICIENT
RAIN PRODUCERS... AS THE DEEP WARM LAYER (LCL TO FREEZING LEVEL
DEPTH OVER 4 KM) WILL ENCOURAGE WARM RAIN PROCESSES... AND THE
ANTICIPATED ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PW VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES ARE AROUND 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THUS... EVEN IF IT ONLY RAINS
HEAVILY FOR 15-30 MINUTES IN ANY GIVEN SPOT... RAPID RAIN RATES ARE
LIKELY AND A QUICK INCH OF RAIN COULD EASILY FALL... LEADING TO
RAPID RUNOFF AND A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT ON ANY STREETS AND
ESPECIALLY NEAR CREEKS AND LOW LYING AREAS. IN ADDITION... STORMS
MAY HOLD IN THE SAME AREA FOR AN EXTENDED TIME AS CELLS MAY TEND TO
PROPAGATE BACK TO THE SW... AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY RECENT RAP RUNS
SHOWING LOWERING MBE VELOCITIES THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.
TRAINING CELLS ARE LIKELY AS WELL AS CONVECTIVE BANDS BECOME
ORIENTED PARALLEL TO THE MEAN STEERING FLOW. HAVE RAISED POPS TO
70-90% CHANCE EVERYWHERE TONIGHT AS BOTH STORM-SCALE AND LARGE SCALE
ASCENT WITHIN A VOLATILE AND VERY WET COLUMN APPEAR INEVITABLE...
AND WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST LIKELY POPS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WHILE
WE ARE LIKELY TO SEE A COUPLE OF RELATIVE LULLS WITH ONLY SCATTERED
COVERAGE AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... IT IS DIFFICULT TO
IMPOSSIBLE TO DISCERN WHEN SUCH A LULL MIGHT OCCUR. AND EVEN DURING
TIMES OF LOWER STORM COVERAGE... INDIVIDUAL CELLS COULD STILL DROP
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.

CLOUDS/TEMPS: EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH
PLENTY OF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AROUND... AND ANY
SIGNIFICANT HOLES IN THE CLOUDS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD QUICKLY FILL IN
WITH EITHER STRATUS AT NIGHT OR CUMULUS DURING THE DAY. THIS... IN
CONJUCTION WITH THE STEADY BREEZE FROM THE SSE OR SOUTH... SHOULD
LIMIT THE DIURNAL TEMP RANGE WITH WARM NIGHTS (LOWS IN THE LOW-MID
70S) AND WARM HUMID DAYS (HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE MID 80S). -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM SUNDAY...

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL IMPEDE THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF ANY STORM
SYSTEMS FROM THE CENTRAL U.S. THIS PERIOD. THUS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE OH VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT WILL SLOWLY RETROGRADE TO A POSITION
OVER THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE CIRCULATION
AROUND THIS LOW AND THE ATLANTIC HIGH WILL RESULT IN A DEEP SLY FLOW
OVER THE CAROLINAS. THIS FLOW WILL ORIGINATE OVER THE MOISTURE-RICH
SOUTHERN GULF WHERE PRECIP WATER VALUES ARE IN THE 2.25-2.4 INCH
RANGE THIS MORNING.  THIS MOISTURE LADEN AIR MASS WILL SERVE AS A
LAUNCHING PAD FOR SHOWERS AND T-STORMS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY OR WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANY UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES. THUS...EXPECT ABNORMALLY HIGH POPS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING AS DEEP SLY FLOW WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN CONVECTION TRAINING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATION. WHILE THE NEED FOR A FLOOD OR FLASH FLOOD WATCH NEEDS TO
BE CONSIDERED...DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT TIME AND LOCATION DUE TO THE
LACK OF A LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY TO FOCUS CONVECTION. NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION THAT 1-3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS CENTRAL NC THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS PROBABLE. BEST ROUTE AT THIS
TIME IS TO HIGHLIGHT FLOODING THREAT IN HWO.

EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED-NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
LIMIT NORMAL DIURNAL TEMP TREND. WHILE OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS WILL BE
IN THE MUGGY UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...AFTERNOON TEMPS IN THE LOW-MID
80S WILL BE COMMON (VERSUS NORMAL UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90).

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM SUNDAY...

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SHOULD SEE A GRADUAL DIMINISHING IN THE
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AS MAIN MOISTURE PLUME SHIFTS WESTWARD IN
RESPONSE TO ATLANTIC HIGH BUILDING WESTWARD. RESIDUAL MOISTURE
COUPLED WITH HEATING WILL CAUSE ISOLATED-SCATTERED AFTERNOON
CONVECTION. AFTERNOON TEMPS WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS AS
BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL LEAD TO DRIER AIR AND BETTER POTENTIAL
FOR PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. AFTERNOON TEMPS THURSDAY IN THE MID-UPPER
80S....RISING INTO THE THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 FRIDAY-SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM SUNDAY...

PERIODIC ADVERSE AVIATION CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL
NC... WITH AREAS OF RAIN AND STORMS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY... AND
LOWERING CIGS TONIGHT. EARLIER SUB-VFR CIGS HAVE LARGELY LIFTED BUT
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH 20Z AT ALL CENTRAL NC
TAF SITES. OTHERWISE... SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN ARE ALREADY INCREASING IN NUMBER OVER CENTRAL NC... AND IF
THESE PASS NEAR ANY TAF SITE THEY WILL PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR
CONDITIONS. GSO AND FAY HAVE THE MOST IMMEDIATE THREAT OF SEEING A
STORM IN THEIR AREAS IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BUT THERE IS A
CHANCE OF STORMS ANYWHERE THROUGH TONIGHT... ALTHOUGH THE DETAILS OF
EXACTLY WHEN AND WHERE THEY WILL TRACK NEAR TAF SITES IS TOUGH TO
RESOLVE AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE... CIGS AFTER 20Z WILL BE MOSTLY
VFR... BUT MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AFTER MIDNIGHT... MUCH
LIKE THE PAST FEW NIGHTS... AT ALL LOCATIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
SEEING IFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT WILL BE AT RDU/GSO/INT. THESE SUB-VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT AFTER 14Z MONDAY... HOWEVER THE RISK
OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST
VALID PERIOD.

LOOKING BEYOND 18Z MONDAY... SHOULD SEE MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FROM
LATE MORNING THROUGH MID EVENING EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WITH
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH MID MORNING.
BUT PERIODS OF SUB-VFR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT ALL
CENTRAL NC TAF SITES THROUGH WEDNESDAY... AND WILL NOT NECESSARILY
BE RESTRICTED TO THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS... WITH HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND LOW CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT NIGHT AS WELL. WE SHOULD
SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT IN AVIATION CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY AS
DRIER AIR AND A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC
STARTS TO BUILD WESTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS. -GIH

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-
089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...WSS
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
402 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-010930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
402 AM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SINCE THE GROUND IS NEARLY
SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINFALL...THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL RUN-
OFF...CAUSING WATER LEVELS ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO RISE
QUICKLY...POSSIBLY LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...THIS
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG
CREEKS AND STREAMS IN URBANIZED LOCATIONS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY
BE NEEDED ONCE IT BECOMES MORE CERTAIN WHEN AND WHERE THE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
115 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ038-039-073-074-083-301815-
ANSON-DAVIDSON-MONTGOMERY-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
115 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS STANLY...RANDOLPH...
MONTGOMERY...DAVIDSON AND ANSON COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

AT 111 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM WEST OF WADESBORO TO NEAR
SEAGROVE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.  MUCH OF THE AREA AFFECTED HAS
RECEIVED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FROM TRAINING OF THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY
QUICKLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ALBEMARLE...NORWOOD...NEW
LONDON...BADIN LAKE...ELDORADO...NEWSOM...NEW HOPE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...STANDING
WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA
CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS WHERE
PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN CAN QUICKLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3520 8051 3550 8030 3551 8019 3558 8021
      3566 8031 3564 7969 3557 7970 3551 7977
      3539 7977 3525 7985 3518 7986 3514 8008
      3511 8006 3509 8000 3480 8011 3481 8031
      3519 8029 3516 8035 3516 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 202DEG 15KT 3530 8018

22

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
203 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ089-301845-
SAMPSON-
203 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

AT 203 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES WEST OF IVANHOE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...IVANHOE AND HARRELLS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 7827 3461 7832 3467 7833 3473 7840
      3475 7840 3488 7825 3484 7816 3474 7819
      3472 7814 3472 7811 3471 7810 3468 7815
      3456 7824 3455 7826
TIME...MOT...LOC 1803Z 225DEG 15KT 3455 7841

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
226 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ074-075-083-084-301930-
ANSON-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-RICHMOND-
226 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS RICHMOND...MOORE...
MONTGOMERY AND ANSON COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...

AT 225 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM STEEDS TO MCFARLAN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF TROY TO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CHERAW...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...MCFARLAN...
CANDOR...NORMAN...GLENDON...ROCKINGHAM...SEVEN LAKES...AND ELLERBE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS...STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MINOR
FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING...
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS WHERE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN CAN QUICKLY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 8012 3551 7985 3552 7935 3549 7934
      3548 7936 3535 7941 3508 7952 3499 7958
      3493 7958 3491 7956 3485 7963 3482 7962
      3481 7969 3480 7969
TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 270DEG 15KT 3546 7970 3478 8002

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
242 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ040-301915-
CHATHAM-
242 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS CHATHAM COUNTY THROUGH 315
PM EDT...

AT 241 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
BYNUM...OR ABOUT OVER PITTSBORO...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...AREAS JUST WEST OF
FEARRINGTON NORTH TO THE ORANGE COUNTY BORDER.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS...STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MINOR
FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING...
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS WHERE PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN CAN QUICKLY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 7921 3586 7911 3586 7904 3570 7914
      3575 7930 3584 7926 3584 7924 3586 7925
      3588 7925 3588 7922
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 199DEG 10KT 3578 7921

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
251 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

NCZ040-301915-
CHATHAM-
251 PM EDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN CHATHAM
COUNTY THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 250 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
HASTY...OR ABOUT OVER SILER CITY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SILER CITY.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS...STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MINOR
FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. DRIVERS ARE
URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 64 NEAR SILER CITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3564 7935 3564 7955 3584 7954 3584 7925
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 202DEG 21KT 3571 7945

VINCENT