Winter Storm Warning 12, NWS Pueblo, CO

701 
WWUS45 KPUB 160948
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
348 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

COZ074-075-079-080-161600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...RYE...
GREENHORN MTN
348 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6300 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH 
  COLORADO WILL BRING A ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACT...ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY 
  OVER THE MOUNTAIN PASSES. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN HEAVY 
  SNOW AT TIMES. HEAVY WET SNOW COULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES 
  FROM DOWNED TREES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&
 SR

$$

COZ065>068-072-073-161600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
INCLUDING...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...
CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK
348 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA 
  MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...THE UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND 
  EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH 
  COLORADO WILL BRING A ROUND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY 
  SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACT...ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY 
  OVER THE MOUNTAIN PASSES. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN HEAVY 
  SNOW AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ060-061-161200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131016T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
348 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET...AND WESTERN 
  CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH 
  COLORADO WILL BRING A ROUND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY 
  SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACT...ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY 
  ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN PASSES. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN 
  MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

394 
WWUS45 KPUB 161145
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
545 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

COZ060-061-161245-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131016T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
545 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 


$$

COZ074-075-079-080-161700-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...RYE...
GREENHORN MTN
545 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6300 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH 
  COLORADO WILL BRING A ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACT...ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY 
  OVER THE MOUNTAIN PASSES. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN HEAVY 
  SNOW AT TIMES. HEAVY WET SNOW COULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES 
  FROM DOWNED TREES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&
  SR

$$

COZ065>068-072-073-161700-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
INCLUDING...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...
CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK
545 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA 
  MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...THE UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND 
  EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH 
  COLORADO WILL BRING A ROUND OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY 
  SNOW TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACT...ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY 
  OVER THE MOUNTAIN PASSES. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN HEAVY 
  SNOW AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

414 
WWUS45 KPUB 161515
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
915 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

COZ074-075-079-080-161615-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
915 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH...ALLOWING FOR THE WINTER STORM
WARNING TO BE CANCELLED AT THIS TIME. 

$$

COZ065>068-072-073-161615-
/O.CAN.KPUB.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-131016T1700Z/
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
915 AM MDT WED OCT 16 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE ENDING THIS AFTERNOON.
ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY
LESS THAN AN INCH...ALLOWING FOR THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO BE
CANCELLED AT THIS TIME. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1110 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 942 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

UPDATED TO ADD THE WET MOUNTAINS TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
STORM REPORTS INDICATE 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN AND SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. SNOWFALL TOTALS
OVER THE WET RANGE WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 3 TO 8 INCH RANGE WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. EXPECT MOSTLY
SNOW ABOVE 6 KFT...WITH RAIN AND SNOW MIXING BELOW 6 KFT. MOST OF
THE PRECIPITATION FOR THE NIGHT LOOKS TO REMAIN CONFINED SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 50.

THE OTHER ISSUE FOR TONIGHT WILL BE HOW COLD IT GETS. GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO COME IN QUITE COLD...WITH MID 20S FOR THE PLAINS.
GIVE THE CLOUD COVER...IT WILL LIKELY KEEP THINGS INSULATED AND
TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND THE FREEZING MARK FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
IF CLOUDS CAN DISSIPATE TOWARDS MORNING...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
ENOUGH AND WE SHOULD RADIATIONALLY COOL QUICKLY...ESPECIALLY AREAS
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50.  MOZLEY

UPDATE ISSUED AT 602 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

MINOR UPDATES AT THIS TIME. HIGH-RES MODELS SOLUTIONS CONVERGING
ON THE NAM SOLUTION WITH A VORT MAX LIFTING NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN
NEW MEXICO OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD PLACE A MAXIMUM IN UPWARD MOTION
ACROSS THE SAN JUANS...SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE...FOCUSING AROUND 06-08Z. THERE COULD BE A 2
TO 3 HOUR PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVIER SNOW OVER THESE LOCATIONS.
IN ADDITION...LATEST HIGH-RES MODEL SOLUTIONS PRODUCING DECENT
EASTERLY UPSLOPE OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...SO HIGHER SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY AND THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR RADAR
AND SATELLITE TRENDS TO SEE IF THEY COME INTO LINE WITH WHAT THE
HIGH RES MODELS ARE SHOWING BEFORE MAKING ANY MAJOR
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. MOZLEY

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 306 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...SNOW FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR THE PLAINS...

UPPER TROF OVER UT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION TONIGHT SPREADING A ROUND OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
ACROSS THE REGION.  THIS SHOWS UP BEST IN THE 300-305K SFC DEPENDING
ON THE MODEL.  ALREADY STARTING TO SEE ECHOES ON RADAR ACROSS THE UPPER
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY AND PIKES PEAK REGION...AND WITH TIME THIS
SHOULD FILL IN AND DROP SOUTHWARD ALONG WITH THE ADVANCING UPPER
LOW.  MAIN CHALLENGE TONIGHT WILL BE FORECASTING SNOW AMOUNTS...AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

FIRST UP...SNOW AMOUNTS...LATEST RUNS ARE STILL PLACING HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT...THOUGH GFS IS A
LITTLE HEAVIER HANDED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...WHERE NAM12 IS HEAVIER FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN
SAN JUANS AND LA GARITAS.  OTHER AREA WHICH RECEIVES SOME HEAVIER
ACCUMS IS THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...MAINLY ABOVE 8.5 KFT.
FOR ALL THESE AREAS...4-8 INCHES LOOK REASONABLE.  EVEN THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY SHOULD PICK UP A WIDESPREAD INCH OR TWO...AND WITH H7 WINDS INCREASING
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST...COULD SEE SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE VALLEY.  HAVE
DECIDED TO ADD THE SAWATCH RANGE AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY ZONES TO
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.  THE SANGRES SHOULD START TO SEE
MODERATE SNOW STARTING AT AROUND 03Z...AND HAVE EXPANDED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THOSE ZONES. PIKES PEAK REGION SHOULD
ALSO PICK UP ON SOME SNOW...BUT UPSLOPE COMPONENT LOOKS FAIRLY
LIGHT...AND AREA LOOKS A LITTLE TO FAR EAST OF THE STRONGER
FORCING/UPGLIDE TO RECEIVE HEAVIER AMOUNTS.  TOTALS UP THAT WAY STAY
IN THE HALF INCH TO 2 INCH RANGE.

AS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
PLAINS...THE CLOUD COVER WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR WHICH COULD
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR A HARD FREEZE ACROSS THE AREA.  MODEL
SOUNDINGS OFF THE NAM EVEN SUGGEST THAT SOME AREAS COULD HOVER RIGHT
AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY.  ALL
OF THE GUIDANCE VALUES FOR THE PLAINS SUGGEST A WIDESPREAD
FREEZE...AND EVEN A HARD FREEZE FOR SOME AREAS...HOWEVER GUIDANCE
HAS BEEN OVERLY COLD LATELY.  IN SPITE OF THE CLOUD COVER...THINK
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP
TO AROUND OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
PLAINS.  WITH THE CLOUD COVER...CHANCE FOR FROST LOOKS LOW...SO WILL
GO WITH A FREEZE WARNING FOR THESE AREAS.  DON'T THINK THIS WILL BE THE
KILLING FREEZE ONCE EXPECTED...BUT IT COULD BE ENOUGH TO END THE
GROWING SEASON OVER PARTS OF KIOWA COUNTY...AND ENOUGH TO CAUSE
DAMAGE TO MORE SENSITIVE PLANTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
HIGHLIGHT WILL RUN FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 9 AM.

THE SYSTEM WILL PULL EAST OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH IMPROVING
CONDITIONS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY.  TIMING OF
CLOUDS CLEARING WILL BE THE MAIN CHALLENGE WHICH COULD PLAY HAVOC
WITH TEMPERATURES.  FOR NOW SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN GUIDANCE
VALUES.  -KT

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 306 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

...A QUICK SHOT OF SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY...MODELS ARE FINALLY COMING INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT INDICATING A QUICK SHOT OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PART OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
AT ANY RATE...SUBSIDENT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY AS AN EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE WITHIN THE DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST DIGS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WAVE AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT DIVES INTO NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND THEN CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
NOT MUCH AVAILABLE MOISTURE PROGGED WITH THE SYSTEM...THOUGH WITH
GOOD UVV WITH ASSOCIATED JET CORE AND PASSING FRONT...SHOULD SEE
SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CENTRAL MTS AND INTO THE
PIKES PEAK REGION LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWERS SPREADING
SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE EASTERN MTS AND PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO
EAST WITH DEVELOPING SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE SYSTEM. QUICK MOVEMENT OF
SYSTEM WILL ALSO LIMIT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITH ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN MTS THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY. NOT EXPECTING A LOT OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REST OF THE
AREA AS WELL...THOUGH COULD SEE A QUICK BURST OF SNOW AND SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ON GRASSY AREAS ACROSS PALMER DVD AND PORTIONS OF THE
PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE JET TRANSLATES ACROSS THE PLAINS.
ACROSS THE FAR SE PLAINS...COULD ALSO SEE SOME SNOW POSSIBLE MIXING
IN WITH RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY MORNING.

FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT...MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PROGGED
ACROSS THE STATE OWNING TO DRY WEATHER AND A SLOW WARMING TREND TO
NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DECOUPLED WINDS
OVERNIGHT...COULD SEE THE POTENTIAL FOR SUB FREEZING LOWS...WITH THE
GROWING SEASON ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS CONTINUING TO WIND DOWN.

SUNDAY-TUESDAY...DRY WEATHER WITH A CONTINUED WARMING TREND TO AT
AND ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES SUGGESTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE DESERT SW THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN
BUILDS EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

KALS...RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. CIGS AND VIS WILL BE PERIODICALLY
REDUCED AS THEY PASS...WITH PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. FOG AND REDUCED VIS/CIGS ARE LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
WHICH SHOULD CLEAR TO VFR BY 16Z.

KCOS...LESS CERTAINTY ABOUT SNOW SHOWERS AT THE TERMINAL. SO FAR
EVERYTHING HAS DISSIPATED BEFORE REACHING THE TERMINAL. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE 08-10Z TONIGHT.
BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN CIGS/VIS ARE LIKELY IF SNOW SHOWERS PASS OVER
THE TERMINAL. OTHERWISE MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT.
GIVEN THE LACK OF PRECIPITATION...HAVE REMOVED FOG POTENTIAL
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING.

KPUB...LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 09Z TONIGHT
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. EXPECT
IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS BY MID
MORNING.  MOZLEY

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR COZ083-086>089-
093>099.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR COZ066>068-
072>075-079-080.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR COZ060-061.

&&

UPDATE...MOZLEY
SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...MOZLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
957 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-170400-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
957 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS COLORADO TONIGHT BRINGING SNOW TO
THE REGION. MOUNTAIN AREAS WILL SEE 3 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS
WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FAVORED OVER THE SAN JUAN...SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAIN RANGES. SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY FALL TO
NEAR 6000 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A RAIN-SNOW MIX
EXPECTED BELOW 6000 FEET.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOW COLD IT DROPS WILL DEPEND
ON CLOUD COVER. AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50 WILL HAVE THE GREATEST
CHANCE OF CLEARING...AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S.
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50...CLOUD COVER MAY PERSIST LEADING TO OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER FALL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTH ACROSS COLORADO LATE THURSDAY
INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS TO MOST OF THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS WILL SEE
THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL.  A FEW INCHES OF SNOW COULD
ACCUMULATE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS BY EARLY
FRIDAY. ACROSS THE PLAINS...LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

88/10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
900 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0859 PM     SNOW             1 S RYE                 37.91N 104.93W
10/15/2013  E4.0 INCH        PUEBLO             CO   PUBLIC

            ON GRASSY SURFACES 1 INCH COLLECTING ON ROADWAYS.

&&

KMOZLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
929 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     SNOW             1 SSW RYE               37.91N 104.94W
10/15/2013  M4.5 INCH        PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KMOZLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1138 PM MDT TUE OCT 15 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     SNOW             2 W RYE                 37.92N 104.97W
10/15/2013  E8.0 INCH        PUEBLO             CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EPETERSE