Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2013

Winter Storm Warning 11, NWS Pueblo, CO

October 9, 2013Conejos County, Mineral County, Rio Grande County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this winter storm warning at Oct 9, 2013, 9:03 PM MDT for Conejos County, Mineral County, Rio Grande County, Colorado. It took effect at Oct 10, 2013, 12:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2013, 9:03 PM MDT (03:03 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 10, 2013, 12:00 AM MDT
Expired
Oct 11, 2013, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Conejos County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 230 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 253 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2013-10-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2013-10-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3260 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

562 
WWUS45 KPUB 100303
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
903 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

COZ068-100915-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.131010T0600Z-131011T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0011.131010T0600Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
903 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST OROGRAPHIC UPSLOPE FLOW IN COMBINATION
  WITH AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW DEVELOPING
  TONIGHT ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND THEN PERSISTING THROUGH
  THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL BE CAPABLE OF CREATING LOW 
  VISIBILITIES AS WELL AS SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS PRODUCING 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO
TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO THE
LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR
BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT. IF YOU
BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE UNTIL
HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN YOUR ENGINE 10
MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE IS CLEAR OF
SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ066-100915-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.131010T0600Z-131011T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS
903 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST OROGRAPHIC UPSLOPE FLOW IN COMBINATION
  WITH AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN SNOW DEVELOPING
  TONIGHT ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND THEN PERSISTING THROUGH
  THURSDAY EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL BE CAPABLE OF CREATING LOW 
  VISIBILITIES AS WELL AS SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS PRODUCING 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO
TRAVEL IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT.

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
800 
WWUS45 KPUB 100922
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
322 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-101530-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
322 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW AND AN UPPER LEVEL STORM
  SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND
  TONIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER SUNRISE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHTER
  SNOW WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ABOVE TIMBERLINE TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...PRODUCING
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE LOW VISIBILITY AND
  SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS...AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
  ARE LIKELY OVER WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ060-101530-
/O.EXB.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.131010T1800Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
322 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR |SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW
  ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL
  DEVELOP THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATER THIS
  MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER SNOW WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE
  AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF
  VERY HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
  ABOVE TIMBERLINE TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...PRODUCING
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE LOW VISIBILITY AND
  SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS...AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
  ARE LIKELY OVER INDEPENDENCE AND COTTONWOOD PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ066-101530-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS
322 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW AND AN UPPER LEVEL STORM
  SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY AND
  TONIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER SUNRISE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHTER
  SNOW WILL CONTINUE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR
  WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ABOVE TIMBERLINE TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACT....SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL PRODUCE LOW VISIBILITY AND
  SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS...AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS
  ARE LIKELY OVER HIGHER MOUNTAIN PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
610 
WWUS45 KPUB 101456
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
856 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-102200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
856 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST SOUTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
  UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL INCREASE AND BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...MAINLY IN
  THE AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
  MPH...PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ066-102200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS
856 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST SOUTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
  UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL INCREASE AND BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...MAINLY IN
  THE AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
  MPH...PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...NORTH PASS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ060-102200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.131010T1800Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
856 AM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST SOUTHWEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
  UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL INCREASE AND BECOME HEAVY AT
  TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
  EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND
  NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...MAINLY IN
  THE AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
  MPH...PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

LW
565 
WWUS45 KPUB 102127
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
327 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-110400-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
327 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE INTO TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING WITH LIGHTER SNOW AFTER THAT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
  WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES EARLY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ060-066-110400-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...
NORTH PASS
327 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET AND THE EASTERN
  SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE INTO TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING WITH LIGHTER SNOW AFTER THAT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
  WITH BRIEF VERY HEAVY SNOW AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES EARLY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...NORTH...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

LW
169 
WWUS45 KPUB 110335
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
935 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-110600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
935 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW ALONG THE
  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...BUT THE SNOW WILL BE DECREASING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND
  ICY...SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT
  LIMITED TO...WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ060-066-110600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...
NORTH PASS
935 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET AND THE 
  EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW ALONG THE
  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE DECREASING...WITH
  GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND ICY...
   SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
  THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT LIMITED TO...
   NORTH...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
088 
WWUS45 KPUB 110459
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1059 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-110600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1059 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN 
  UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW ALONG 
  THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...BUT THE SNOW WILL BE DECREASING. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND ICY...
   SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
  THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT LIMITED TO...
   WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ060-111100-
/O.EXT.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
1059 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW TONIGHT...WITH
  GENERALLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 9 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND ICY...
   SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
  THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT LIMITED TO...
   NORTH...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ066-110600-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS
1059 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET AND THE 
  EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN 
  UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW ALONG 
  THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BE DECREASING...
  WITH GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 7 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND ICY...
   SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
  THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT LIMITED TO...
   NORTH...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
552 
WWUS45 KPUB 110547
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1147 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

COZ068-110700-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WS.W.0011.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1147 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE
10000 FEET WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT.

THERE WILL STILL BE SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT...BUT
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

COZ066-110700-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T0600Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS
1147 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE
10000 FEET WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT.

SOME SNOW WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT ONLY LIGHT 
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

$$

COZ060-111200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-131011T1200Z/
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
1147 PM MDT THU OCT 10 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAWATCH RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...MOIST WESTERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
  LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING SNOW TONIGHT... WITH
  GENERALLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 9 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH... 
  PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A 
  COMBINATION OF SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...POOR VISIBILITY AND ICY...
   SNOW COVERED ROADS. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
  THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES...INCLUDING...BUT NOT LIMITED TO...
   NORTH...COTTONWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Oct 9, 8:55 PM MDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 8:55 PM MDT, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
855 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 852 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

LOOKING AT LATEST NAM12 MODEL RUN...HAVE DECIDED TO UPGRADE ZONE
68 (ERN SAN JUAN MTS ABOVE 10000 FT) TO A WINTER STORM WARNING.
WITH GOOD MSTR AND OROGRAPHIC FLOW EXPECTED OVER THAT ZONE
STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY THU...SNOW
AMOUNTS LOOK AS THOUGH THEY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. WL LEAVE ZONE 66
AN ADVISORY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

...MULTIPLE CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

CURRENTLY...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS DROPPING DOWN THE
WEST COAST WITH INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS
COLORADO.  THIS HAS LED TO MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER MOVING
INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE PLAINS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED NICELY ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.  WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTY
OUT NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER...WITH HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 15
PERCENT...CREATING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  EXTREME
CAUTION IS ADVISED...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN LAS ANIMAS...BACA AND
PROWERS COUNTIES WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING ACTIVITIES THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO NEAR LAS VEGAS NEVADA.  THIS WILL SEND A LEAD
WAVE OF ENERGY INTO WESTERN COLORADO THIS EVENING WITH SHOWER
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.  HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS FOCUS A MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE SAN JUAN RANGE
WHERE INCREASING MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL COMBINE
TO KEEP PERSISTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY GOING.  FURTHER NORTH OVER THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE
WITH LESS FAVORABLE OROGRAPHICS.  SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH WITH
COLD AIR STILL WELL TO THE WEST.  MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ABOVE 12KFT BY THURSDAY MORNING.  OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN MILD
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATION WITH CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION WITH
MID 40S TO MID 50S.

THURSDAY...MULTIPLE CONCERNS FROM WIND TO SEVERE STORMS OVER THE
PLAINS AND WINTER WEATHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS.  THE UPPER LOW WILL
EJECT NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHWEST COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY.  VERY
STRONG JET ENERGY WILL WORK NORTH AROUND THE LOW ACROSS COLORADO.
THIS WILL ALSO PUMP MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION.

WINTER WEATHER...AS THE UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES...COLDER AIR ALOFT
WILL ADVECT INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.  THIS SHOULD ALLOW SNOW
LEVELS TO DROP TO AROUND 10-11 KFT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
PERSISTENT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP FAVORABLE OROGRAPHICS
OVER THE SAN JUAN RANGE WITH AT LEAST MODERATE LOWER ELEVATION RAIN
AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOWFALL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  MORE WIDESPREAD
SNOW SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND SPREAD INTO
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS BY LATE MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING.  SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THURSDAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE
FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA RANGES WHERE A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS OUT...TO LESS THAN 4 INCHES FOR THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE REMAINING MOUNTAIN RANGES.  IN
ADDITION...STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MOUNTAIN
TOPS PRODUCING BLOWING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND CAUSING
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS OVER HIGH MOUNTAIN PASSES.

HIGH WINDS AND BLOWING DUST...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD BRUTE FORCE WINDS OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY
AND EASTERN COLORADO PLAINS.  MIXING AND A STRONG GRADIENT SETTING
UP ACROSS THE REGION WILL LIKELY BRING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.  A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHERE SOME HIGH RESOLUTION
MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE INDICATING WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE.  ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND PLANTS
COULD BE BLOW AWAY OR DAMAGE.  IN ADDITION...TRAVEL ON EAST-WEST
HIGHWAYS WILL BE DANGEROUS...WITH VERY STRONG CROSS WINDS THAT COULD
TIP OVER HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.  BLOWING DUST WILL ALSO LIKELY BE AN
ISSUE DUE TO PERSISTENT LONG TERM DROUGHT AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER
THE PAST FEW WEEKS.  BLOWING DUST WILL LIKELY CAUSE REDUCED
VISIBILITIES ON AREA ROADWAYS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MODELS ARE LESS CONFIDENT IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THERE ARE A COUPLE OF MAIN ISSUES TO PLAY
OUT STILL...WHERE THE DRYLINE WILL SET UP...AND HOW MUCH MOISTURE
WILL BE AVAILABLE TO WORK WITH.  COARSER RESOLUTION MODELS ARE
SLOWER TO EJECT OUT THE DRYLINE WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING BY 21Z
OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.  THE HIGH RESOLUTION WRF...NMM AND ARW
ARE FASTER TO PUSH THE DRYLINE EAST INTO KANSAS WITH CONVECTION
DEVELOPING EAST OF THE CWA.  THE OTHER CAVEAT IS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY.  MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH ADVECTING 45 DEW
POINT AIR NORTH INTO EASTERN COLORADO BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS
WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY...WITH MOST MODELS ONLY GENERATING AROUND
600-800 J/KG CAPE.  IF STORMS CAN GET GOING...VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND LARGE HAIL.  LARGE DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS WILL PRODUCE A DEEP SUBCLOUD DRY LAYER THAT WILL
PROMOTE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.  AGAIN...IF/WHERE STORMS CAN GET
GOING WILL BE THE MAIN QUESTION...SO HAVE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
FOR THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  MOZLEY

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

A FEW WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN COLORADO IN THE FRIDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY PERIOD.  THURSDAY EVENING...WE WILL STILL BE
DEALING WITH THE THURSDAY SYSTEM.  STILL LINGERING MOUNTAIN SNOWS
...STRONG WINDS...AND POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER ALONG THE EASTERN
BORDER EARLY IN THE EVENING.  THEN...LATER IN THE EVENING...THE
STORM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

MODELS HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT ABOUT A SECOND PIECE OF ENERGY HANGING
BACK IN THE LONGER WAVE TROUGH AND SWINGING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOOK PRETTY WEAK BUT
CAPABLE OF A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE
PIKES PEAK REGION.  A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
DOWN TO ABOUT 7000 OR 8000 FEET...DEPENDING ON PRECIP INTENSITY.

LATER SUNDAY...ANOTHER...LARGER TROUGH STARTS TO TAKE AIM AT THE
REGION.  BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IT IS STILL JUST DROPPING INTO
NORTHWEST UTAH...BUT IT IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO ASSIST IN DRAWING SOME
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN COLORADO ALONG THE KANSAS
BORDER.  COULD BE ENOUGH FOR SOME ISOLATED STORMS THERE FROM LATE
IN THE DAY THROUGH THE NIGHT.

THEN...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...THE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS
COLORADO...WITH THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM PROGGED OVER BACA COUNTY
AT 06Z TUESDAY.  THIS TRACK MAY BE GOOD ENOUGH TO BRING A BRIEF
ROUND OF SHOWERS TO MOST AREAS...ALTHOUGH THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAIN AREAS MAY BE TOO FAR SOUTHWEST TO BENEFIT.  THE
18Z RUN OF THE GFS IS SHOWING A LITTLE MORE PUNCH TO THE COLD FRONT
THAT MOVES THROUGH EASTERN PLAINS MONDAY EVENING THAN PREVIOUSLY
INDICATED.  IF THIS IS TRUE...MAYBE A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE AT GETTING
SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES AND PLAINS
BY TUESDAY MORNING.  H7 TEMPS GET DOWN TO AROUND -3 TO -4C SO COULD
BE BORDERLINE MIXTURE OF RAIN/WET SNOW DOWN TO ABOUT 5000 FEET
DEPENDING ON PRECIPITATION INTENSITY.  AT THOSE TEMPS...PROBABLY
WILL BE SNOW AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET...ALBEIT WET SNOW.

THERE MAY BE A LITTLE BIT OF TRAILING SHOWER ACTIVITY ALONG AND NEAR
THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.  THEN...WARMING AND DRYING AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE WEST.

BEHIND EACH ONE OF THESE SYSTEMS...WE'LL SEE THE FROST/FREEZE
POTENTIAL GO UP.  RIGHT NOW...LOOKS LIKE BEST BETS FOR SUBFREEZING
TEMPS WILL BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING. LW

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 247 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL THREE TERMINALS THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
REMAIN GUSTY AT KALS AND KCOS THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WITH SOUTHERLY
GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KTS. A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL
MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE MAIN IMPACTS
WILL BE STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MOVING INTO THE AREA BY
MID TO LATE MORNING. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE AT KALS
PRODUCING REDUCED VIS FROM BLOWING DUST. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE
AFTER 18Z AT KCOS AND KPUB WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 KTS LIKELY.
SHOWERS WILL ALSO DEVELOP AND LIKELY MOVE INTO THE TERMINALS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FOR KALS AND KCOS.  MOZLEY

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MDT
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR COZ066.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT MDT
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR COZ068.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR COZ094>099.

&&

UPDATE...28
SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...LW
AVIATION...MOZLEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 5:55 PM MDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
555 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-110000-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
555 PM MDT WED OCT 9 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG
AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STRONG FALL STORM WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN COLORADO THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM WILL LIKELY BRING SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL
TO THE SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...MAINLY DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS OVER WOLF CREEK AND CUMBRES
PASSES FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES...MAINLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE EASTERN MOUNTAIN RANGES WILL ALSO SEE A BRIEF PERIOD
OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT
LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE BREVITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION.

OVER THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND EASTERN PLAINS...STRONG SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH MAY
PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AND REDUCED VISIBILITY MAKING FOR
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

ELSEWHERE...THIS SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THE MAIN
THREAT FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS OF UP TO
60 MPH.

THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PLAINS ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. AT THIS TIME...THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WOULD APPEAR TO
BE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO AROUND 1 INCH IN
DIAMETER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 10, 3:25 AM MDTHigh Wind WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Kiowa, Las Animas, Prowers16 hr
Oct 10, 3:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas, Otero47 min
Oct 10, 3:30 PM MDTHigh Wind WarningPUBEl Paso, Fremont, Teller15 hr
Oct 10, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Otero38 min

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2013Every winter storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.