Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Pueblo, CO

071 
WWUS55 KPUB 032136
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
336 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COC071-032215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-130803T2215Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
336 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 332 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THATCHER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3722 10388 3734 10400 3758 10374 3733 10345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 225DEG 17KT 3735 10384

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

PJC

536 
WWUS55 KPUB 032145
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
345 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COC071-032215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-130803T2215Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
345 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 344 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THATCHER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3727 10381 3738 10393 3758 10374 3733 10345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 225DEG 17KT 3738 10380

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

PJC

928 
WWUS55 KPUB 032154
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
354 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COC071-032215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-130803T2215Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
354 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 352 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THATCHER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3730 10377 3740 10389 3758 10374 3735 10349
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 225DEG 17KT 3741 10376

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

PJC

316 
WWUS55 KPUB 032203
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
403 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COC071-032215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-130803T2215Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
403 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 400 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THATCHER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3737 10370 3743 10386 3758 10374 3743 10358
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 225DEG 17KT 3744 10373

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

PJC

121 
WWUS55 KPUB 032210
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
410 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COC071-032220-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-130803T2215Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
410 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 415 PM MDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN PUEBLO.

LAT...LON 3737 10370 3743 10386 3758 10374 3743 10358
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 225DEG 17KT 3746 10370

$$

PJC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
255 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR THE BURN SCARS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
THREAT FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST PLAINS AS OF EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN THE 60S. THIS IS BEING
ADVECTED IN BY LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW.  CLOUD COVER HAS HUNG IN
LONGER ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON BUT IS ERODING ON WESTWARD
EDGE WHICH SHOULD ERODE CIN FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE AFTERNOON
PROGRESSES. MEANWHILE...MONSOON PLUME CONTINUES TO LAY ACROSS THE
REGION CAUGHT UP IN SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND WEST SIDE OF SFC HIGH AND
SFC DEW POINT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ARE QUITE RESPECTABLE...IN THE
40S WITH SOME LOWER 30S ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEY OF LAKE/CHAFFEE
COUNTIES.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE MOUNTAINS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE ADJACENT PLAINS WITH
MODELS SUGGESTING ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES TAKING SHAPE
AROUND 03Z BEFORE DROPPING TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTHWEST KS AND
TX/OK PANHANDLES TOWARDS MORNING.  SPC MESO ANALYSIS AS OF 18Z
SHOWING 2000+ J/KG OF CAPE. 0-6KM SHEARS WILL BE RUNNING AROUND
30-35 KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THUS...MULTICELL STORMS WILL PROBABLY
BE THE MAIN STORM THREAT...THOUGH COULD NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED
SUPERCELL ESPECIALLY WHERE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES MAXIMIZE.  THIS
WOULD MOST LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...PARTICULARLY KIOWA COUNTY.

OF POTENTIALLY EQUAL OR GREATER CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING ON THE BURN SCARS...PARTICULARLY WALDO AND BLACK FOREST.
SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW COMBINED WITH HEATING...AND WEAK SHORTWAVE
ENERGY EMBEDDED IN MONSOON PLUME ALOFT SHOULD TRIGGER THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE PIKES PEAK REGION THROUGH 2 PM...WITH A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFF TO THE EAST ACROSS THE WALDO AND BLACK
FOREST BURN SCARS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 PM.  A MYRIAD OF SHORT RANGE HIGH
RES MODELS SHOW THIS...THOUGH WITH VARYING TIMING.  OF COURSE...HAVE
SEEN THIS BEFORE IN THE MODELS AND HAD STORMS MIRACULOUSLY SPARE THE
BURN SCARS...BUT DEW POINTS SO HIGH (40S AND 50S) THREAT SHOULD BE
FAIRLY HIGH TODAY.  FLASH FLOOD WATCH STILL LOOKS ON TRACK.  THINK
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER 8 PM...BUT HRRR OCCASIONALLY SHOWS
ANOTHER ROUND MOVING OFF AROUND 04Z SO WILL MAINTAIN THE MIDNIGHT
END TIME OF THE WATCH FOR NOW.  FREQUENTLY THE HRRR OVERESTIMATES
THE INTENSITY OF ANY TRAILING ROUNDS OF CONVECTION.

THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR IS ALSO UNDER THE GUN TODAY FOR FLASH
FLOODING...THOUGH THREAT DOES NOT LOOK AS HIGH AS YESTERDAY.  WITH
PRECIP WATERS RUNNING AROUND 150% OF NORMAL ACROSS THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF CO...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE A THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING SHOULD IT IMPACT THE WEST FORK BURN
SCAR.  SO WILL BE MONITORING THIS REGION AS WELL.

OVERNIGHT...ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD AND EXIT THE AREA WITH
STRATUS SPREADING/DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVERNIGHT.

SUNDAY WILL BE HUMID AGAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE 50S AND 60S IN THE MORNING AND MONSOON PLUME STILL
OVER THE REGION.  MODELS SUGGEST LESS CONVECTION TOMORROW...AND EVEN
DRY SFC DEW POINTS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MTS A LITTLE IN THE
AFTERNOON STILL LOOKING AT CAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG ACROSS THE FAR
EAST PLAINS AND WITH MONSOON PLUME STILL OVERHEAD...AT LEAST THE
TYPICAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  BURN SCARS
WILL BE UNDER THE GUN AGAIN AS USUAL...BUT THREAT APPEARS A LITTLE
LOWER THAN TODAY...SO WILL NOT HOIST ANY WATCHES AT THIS TIME.
LATER SHIFTS CAN GET A LOOK AT THE LATEST RUNS AND REASSESS.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES TOMORROW SHOULD SKEW SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
THOSE OF TODAY.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...SEASONAL MONSOON WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH NEXT WEEK...

MOIST PATTERN WILL CONTINUE.  SOUTHWEST MONSOON WILL CONTINUE TO
TAKE AIM AT SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
ADDITIONALLY...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN SOUTHERN
CANADA AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE US...WILL SEND SURFACE
BOUNDARIES SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AT TIMES...BACKING
THE MOISTURE UP AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS.  THIS PATTERN SHOULD KEEP
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND EAST
SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS.  ALSO...PERIODS OF ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW
BEHIND THE BOUNDARIES WILL HELP TO LIFT THE AIR AND SQUEEZE OUT THE
PRECIPITATION ON A MORE WIDESPREAD BASIS ACROSS THE AREA. SO...ALL
SEEMS IN PLACE FOR A RATHER WET PERIOD ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE
EACH DAY OF NEXT WEEK. SPECIFICS OF THE FORECAST ARE DIFFICULT BUT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT WE COULD SEE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES AFFECTING THE
PLAINS MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS...A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF
PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...AND THEN MORE SCATTERED
PRECIPITATION AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  ALL OF THESE DETAILS
ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.  STAY TUNED. LW

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 249 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH THIS EVENING
WITH KCOS HAVING THE GREATEST RISK.  WILL CARRY A TEMPO GROUP FROM
21Z TO 01Z TODAY FOR KCOS AND ADJUST AS NECESSARY BASED ON RADAR
TRENDS.  KPUB AND KALS ALSO CARRY A THREAT FOR -TSRA BUT WILL
MAINTAIN VCTS FOR NOW UNTIL RADAR TRENDS BECOME MORE CLEAR.  LOCAL
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH MVFR
CIGS/VIS WITH TSRA.  A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK ALSO LIES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS INCLUDING THE KCOS AND KPUB TAF SITES...BUT RISK AT
THIS POINT LOOKS TOO LOW TO MENTION GS OR GUSTS OVER 50 KTS IN THE
TAF.  THIS TOO WILL BE MONITORED. KALS WILL SEE POTENTIAL FOR -TSRA
IN VCNTY AFTER 20Z.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WITH MVFR CIGS/VIS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THERE AS WELL BUT WITH LESS OF A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.  EXPECT -TSRA THREAT TO DIMINISH AFTER 02Z
WITH KCOS AND KPUB SEEING MVFR TO IFR STRATUS MOVING IN AFTER 06Z.
THIS WILL PERSIST UNTIL 15-16Z...FOR KPUB...AND UNTIL AT LEAST 17Z
FOR KCOS. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR COZ081-082-084-
085.

&&

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...LW
AVIATION...KT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1107 AM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-041715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1107 AM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ALL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE WALDO
CANYON AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS WILL BE PARTICULARLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM ANY
STRONG STORMS THAT PASS OVER THE BURN SCAR AREAS.

A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 25. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. AN
ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION
TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS TODAY...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION IF WEATHER ALERTS...ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE MONSOON PLUME IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. WITH THIS PLUME REMAINING OVER THE
AREA...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR EVERY DAY OVER THE
REGION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS OVER THE MOUNTAINS...WHILE THE
ACTIVITY OVER THE PLAINS WILL RANGE FROM ISOLATED TO SCATTERED.
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM STORMS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH...PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. ANY STORM WHICH PRODUCES HEAVY RAIN
AND MOVES OVER ANY OF THE RECENT BURN SCARS WILL HAVE THE
CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AFTER NOON TODAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND AFTER 2 PM FOR
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 25.

31/50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
103 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ074-075-087-088-031930-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO
RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
103 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  SOUTH CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  WEST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  INCLUDING THE EAST PEAK BURN SCAR.

AT 100 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SPANISH PEAKS...OR 29 MILES NORTHWEST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT THE EAST BEAK BURN SCAR.

BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. AT
THIS TIME...IT APPEARS UP TO .30 OF RAIN COULD FALL ON THE BURN SCAR
THROUGH 130 PM AS THIS STORM MOVES ACROSS.  IF THIS STORM
STRENGTHENS FURTHER...THEN HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
135 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ081-082-084-085-032000-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE
7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
135 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  EAST CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  THIS INCLUDES...WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND WESTERN COLORADO
  SPRINGS.

AT 132 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CASCADE...OR 10 MILES WEST OF COLORADO
SPRINGS...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.
  MANITOU SPRINGS.
  CASCADE.
  CHIPITA PARK.
  GREEN MOUNTAIN FALLS.
  CRYSTOLA.
  AIR FORCE ACADEMY.
  WESTERN COLORADO SPRINGS.

HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AT
LEAST .20 CAN BE EXPECTED AND IF THIS STORM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN
THEN HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
200 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ081-082-084-085-032030-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE
7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
200 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  EAST CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  THIS INCLUDES....THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

AT 154 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CHIPITA PARK...OR 11 MILES WEST OF COLORADO
SPRINGS...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL FROM THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO IMPACT SAND AND
WELLINGTON GULCH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.
  AIR FORCE ACADEMY.

HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. IF THE STORM MAINTAINS
ITS CURRENT STRENGTH...AROUND .20 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL ON THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BURN SCAR.  HOWEVER IF THIS STORM
STRENGTHENS THEN HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AND A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING MAY BE ISSUED.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
227 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ088-032115-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
227 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 224 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF HOEHNE...OR 10 MILES EAST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PJC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
311 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

COZ088-094-032200-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
BELOW 7500 FT-
311 PM MDT SAT AUG 3 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 309 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTH OF TRINCHERA...OR 24 MILES EAST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PJC