River Flood Warning 7, NWS Pueblo, CO

990 
WGUS45 KPUB 130104 CCA
FLWPUB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
648 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN COLORADO... 

  FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS AFFECTING EL PASO COUNTY.

.HEAVY RAIN OVER WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY HAS CAUSED THE WATER LEVEL IN 
FOUNTAIN CREEK TO RISE RAPIDLY.  RAIN IS CONTINUING TO FALL OVER 
EL PASO COUNTY AND THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 12.4 FEET. THE 
RIVER WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL THAT TIME AND THEN 
DROP LATE TOMORROW EVENING. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF YOU ARE IN OR 
AROUND THE RIVER AREA. DEBRIS JAMS CAN CAUSE SHARP AND SUDDEN RISES 
IN THE RIVER LEVEL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC041-131248-
/O.COR.KPUB.FL.W.0007.130913T0103Z-130914T1526Z/
/FNEC2.2.ER.130913T0103Z.130913T0600Z.130914T0326Z.UU/
648 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY 8 PM THIS EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HOMES SOUTH OF 
  SECURITY WIDEFIELD AT THE END OF LEIGH LANE IN THE RESIDENTIAL 
  DEVELOPMENT ALONG SOUTHMOOR DRIVE.

$$

087 
WGUS85 KPUB 130724
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
124 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS AFFECTING EL PASO COUNTY. 

  FOUNTAIN CREEK NEAR FOUNTAIN AFFECTING EL PASO COUNTY. 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AFFECTING PUEBLO COUNTY.

.HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING HAS CAUSED THE 
WATER LEVEL IN FOUNTAIN CREEK AND IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER TO RISE 
RAPIDLY.  RAIN IS CONTINUING TO FALL EARLY THIS MORNING AND THESE 
RIVER POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE...OR REMAIN ABOVE 
FLOOD STAGE...THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THESE POINTS ARE 
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MID TO LATE MORNING. MOVE 
TO HIGHER GROUND IF YOU ARE IN OR AROUND THE RIVER AREA. DEBRIS 
JAMS CAN CAUSE SHARP AND SUDDEN RISES IN THE RIVER LEVEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC041-131924-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130914T1055Z/
/FNEC2.2.ER.130913T0235Z.130913T1200Z.130913T2255Z.UU/
124 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:01 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS THREATEN HOMES SOUTH OF 
  SECURITY WIDEFIELD AT THE END OF LEIGH LANE IN THE RESIDENTIAL 
  DEVELOPMENT ALONG SOUTHMOOR DRIVE.

$$

COC041-131924-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130914T1030Z/
/FHAC2.1.ER.130913T0608Z.130913T1200Z.130913T2230Z.UU/
124 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOUNTAIN CREEK NEAR FOUNTAIN.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.0 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

COC101-131924-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0009.130913T2100Z-130915T0130Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.130913T2100Z.130914T0600Z.130914T1330Z.UU/
124 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS 
  NEAR AVONDALE.

$$

440 
WGUS85 KPUB 131043
FLSPUB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
443 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...
 
  FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS AFFECTING EL PASO COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
COLORADO...

  ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE AFFECTING PUEBLO COUNTY.

  FOUNTAIN CREEK NEAR FOUNTAIN AFFECTING EL PASO COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE RESULTED IN HIGH WATER LEVELS IN FOUNTAIN 
CREEK AND WILL BRING RISING WATER LEVELS TO THE ARKANSAS RIVER TODAY.
FOUNTAIN CREEK AT FOUNTAIN WILL BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL LATE MORNING
AND WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT 
AVONDALE IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THEN REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE UNTIL ABOUT MIDMORNING SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS OF RIVERS AND STREAMS.  DURING A FLOOD...
SATURATED BANKS CAN EASILY BREAK OFF AND FALL INTO POTENTIALLY 
DEADLY...FAST FLOWING FLOOD WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION.  FOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS...
VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO AT WEATHER.GOV/PUEBLO.  
YOU CAN LINK DIRECTLY TO THE HYDROLOGY PAGE BY CLICKING ON RIVERS AND
LAKES UNDER THE HYDROLOGY SECTION OF THE LEFT HAND MENU BAR.

&&

COC101-132243-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0009.130913T2100Z-130915T0130Z/
/ADLC2.1.ER.130913T2100Z.130914T0600Z.130914T1330Z.UU/
443 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR AVONDALE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  4:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS 
  NEAR AVONDALE.

$$

COC041-131113-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130914T1055Z/
/FNEC2.1.ER.130913T0235Z.130913T0530Z.130913T0739Z.UU/
443 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FOUNTAIN CREEK AT COLORADO SPRINGS.
* AT  4:16 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1:39 AM FRIDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 3.4 FEET BY 
  MIDMORNING TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS BANKFULL.

$$

COC041-132242-
/O.CON.KPUB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130914T1030Z/
/FHAC2.1.ER.130913T0608Z.130913T0730Z.130913T2230Z.UU/
443 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOUNTAIN CREEK NEAR FOUNTAIN.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
314 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 313 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

TONIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION IS STARTING AFTER A BRIEF
LULL. SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF NEW MEXICO IS HELPING TO DEVELOP
THIS CONVECTION. WITH SOUTH TO NORTH MOTION...EL PASO COUNTY IS
THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE REGION FOR HEAVY RAIN...BUT HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE ANYWHERE FROM THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND EASTWARD.
ANTICIPATE HIGH PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND
LOW LCL/S. CELLS WITH MODEST REFLECTIVITIES WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. AFTER THE FIRST SHORTWAVE PASSES THIS
EVENING...ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE REGION AROUND
MIDNIGHT WITH CONVECTION INTENSIFYING. CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR CONTINUES UNTIL
6AM...WHICH ACCOUNTS WELL FOR THE SECOND SHORTWAVE.

FRIDAY...BAND OF PRECIPITATION MAY CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS DURING THE MORNING AS THE SHORTWAVE LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST.
FLOW ALOFT TURNS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. PRECIPITABLE WATERS DECREASE
SLIGHTLY FROM THURSDAY AS 700MB FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. THE
STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WOULD TEND TO HAVE STORMS MOVE OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE DAY. STORMS WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...BUT FEEL THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN HAS DECREASED ENOUGH NOT TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
AT THIS TIME. ALSO HAVE SOME CONCERNS THE ATMOSPHERE MAY TO TOO
STABLE TO GET WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. LATE SHIFTS CAN EVALUATE MORE
SUBTLE FEATURES AND DECIDE ON A WATCH. --PGW--

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 313 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

NO BIG CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST THINKING THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUNDAY...OWNING
TO THE THICK MONSOONAL PLUME ACROSS THE STATE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH.
THERE WILL STILL ENOUGH MOISTURE IN PLACE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL STILL A THREAT DUE TO THE WEAK STEERING FLOW
ALOFT. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...A PASSING SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER
OF STATES SENDS A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
WITH MOIST EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW HELPING TO INCREASE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MONDAY-THURSDAY...THE LATEST MODELS ALL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEEK AS A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH SETS UP ACROSS THE PAC NW COAST. THIS WILL KEEP
MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AND ALLOW
FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK TO ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. AS FOR PRECIPITATION...SHOULD SEE AVAILABLE
MOISTURE DIMINISHING THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK...WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POPS AREA WIDE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE TO DECREASE THEREAFTER AND HAVE KEPT
MAINLY ISOLATED DIURNAL POPS ACROSS THE AREA INTO MID WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 313 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

KCOS AND KPUB...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
CONVECTION AT KPUB AND KCOS THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.  ANTICIPATE
GENERALLY MFVR CONDITIONS...WITH IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL
DECREASE SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY..AND STILL ANTICIPATE MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

KALS...CONVECTION WILL BE LESS LIKELY THAN AT KCOS AND KPUB.
GENERALLY HAVE VFR CONDITIONS WITH MVFR OR IFR IN HEAVIER SHOWERS.
WITH TWO DISTURBANCES PASSING THURSDAY EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...THREAT FOR SOME CONVECTION COULD LINGER WELL INTO THE
NIGHT.   --PGW--

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR COZ072>088.

&&

SHORT TERM...PGW
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...PGW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1157 AM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-131800-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1157 AM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS...AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN IS POSSIBLE AND COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN TELLER AND WESTERN EL PASO
COUNTIES...WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED AS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAIN
THAT OCCURRED LATE LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHER STORM
THREATS TODAY WILL INCLUDE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
FROM AROUND MID AFTERNOON TO THIS EVENING...AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PASSES OVER THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY IN COMBINATION WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND. A NORTHERLY SURGE
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY IS PROJECTED TO BRING A RENEWED
THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER ARE BURN SCARS...FROM SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL BE HAZARDOUS
LIGHTNING AND HAIL GENERALLY UNDER 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER.

BY NEXT WEEK...DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN
TO SOUTHERN COLORADO.

IN ADDITION...ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ANTICIPATED FOR ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 12000 FEET THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WITH ELEVATIONS ABOVE 13000
FEET POTENTIALLY EXPERIENCING MODERATE SNOW AT TIMES. OUTDOOR
ENTHUSIASTS AS WELL AS CLIMBERS AND HIKERS SHOULD EXPECT WINTER
CONDITIONS ABOVE TREELINE INTO THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

06/06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
224 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HEAVY RAIN       9 WSW FOUNTAIN          38.66N 104.87W
09/12/2013  M3.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOST OF THIS FELL DURING A 2HR PERIOD THIS MORNING.

&&

PPERALES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
312 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COZ081-082-084-085-122130-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE
7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
312 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

   ALL OF WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY INCLUDING THE WALDO AND BLACK
   FOREST BURN SCARS.

COMPUTER SIMULATIONS AS OF 3 PM CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL
FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREATER PIKES PEAK REGION
BETWEEN 330 PM AND 430 PM. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM
CANON CITY TO FORT CARSON AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AND MOVE
NORTH...BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TO AREAS IN WHICH ALREADY HAVE
RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN EARLIER TODAY AND LAST NIGHT. THIS HEAVY RAIN
THREAT WILL LAST INTO THE NIGHT TIME HOURS.

DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED...ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. GIVEN THE
AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT IS BEING FORECAST...THE FLASH FLOODING COULD BE
VERY EXTENSIVE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY FOR ALL OF THE
I-25 CORRIDOR AND SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE.

HODANISH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
325 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HEAVY RAIN       9 WSW FOUNTAIN          38.66N 104.87W
09/12/2013  M3.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOST OF THIS FELL DURING A 2HR PERIOD THIS MORNING.

1116 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.85N 104.85W
09/12/2013  M0.62 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FROM 1030 TO 1115 AM.

1040 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.85N 104.87W
09/12/2013                   EL PASO            CO   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS COLORADO
            AVENUE AT 31ST STREET

1031 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.82N 104.86W
09/12/2013  M0.40 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FROM 1020 - 1030 AM.

1030 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.82N 104.86W
09/12/2013  M0.40 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.40 FELL FROM 1020-1030 AM.

1026 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.81N 104.88W
09/12/2013  M6.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SINCE MIDNIGHT. STORM TOTAL 8.5 INCHES

0927 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.85N 104.85W
09/12/2013  M3.62 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SINCE YESTERDAY

0838 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 NNE CANON CITY        38.53N 105.18W
09/12/2013  M3.01 INCH       FREMONT            CO   MESONET

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NW COLORADO SPRINGS   38.88N 104.87W
09/12/2013  M2.21 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E WALSH               37.39N 102.24W
09/12/2013  M3.36 INCH       BACA               CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0720 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.82N 104.86W
09/12/2013  M4.65 INCH       EL PASO            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR AMOUNT...MOST OF IT FELL AFTER 6 PM.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SSE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.91N 104.82W
09/12/2013  M3.03 INCH       EL PASO            CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E CANON CITY          38.45N 105.19W
09/12/2013  M4.20 INCH       FREMONT            CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SE CANON CITY         38.44N 105.21W
09/12/2013  M3.89 INCH       FREMONT            CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE CANON CITY        38.45N 105.21W
09/12/2013  M3.40 INCH       FREMONT            CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W FLORENCE            38.39N 105.15W
09/12/2013  M3.23 INCH       FREMONT            CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW COLORADO CITY     37.92N 104.86W
09/12/2013  M3.11 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE MANITOU SPRINGS   38.85N 104.89W
09/12/2013  M4.85 INCH       EL PASO            CO   COCORAHS

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WSW COLORADO CITY     37.93N 104.88W
09/12/2013  M4.86 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   COCORAHS

0655 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ENE MANITOU SPRINGS   38.87N 104.88W
09/12/2013  M3.67 INCH       EL PASO            CO   MESONET

0655 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW COLORADO SPRINGS   38.80N 104.86W
09/12/2013  M5.06 INCH       EL PASO            CO   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL FROM CHEYENNE CREEK AT EVANS AVENUE.

0332 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.85N 104.85W
09/12/2013  M3.43 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SINCE 11 PM

0952 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      3 NW MANITOU SPRINGS    38.89N 104.95W
09/11/2013                   EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CDOT REPORTED CULVERTS OVERFLOWING AT THE MOUTH OF WALDO
            CANYON. SOME ROCK AND DEBRIS FLOWING ONTO HIGHWAY 24 FROM
            WALDO CANYON.

&&

MW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
408 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COZ081-082-084>086-122315-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW
6300 FEET-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK
BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
408 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING OVER TELLER AND EL
PASO COUNTIES BETWEEN 300 PM AND 4 PM. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP OVER THE BURN SCARS..AND
THOSE PARTS OF COLORADO SPRINGS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN...AT
ANY TIME. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH THE EVENING
AND NIGHT TIME HOURS.

IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP OVER THE BURN SCARS...OR OVER AREAS WHICH
RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN EARLIER TODAY...THEN FLOOD ADVISORIES OR FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
446 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SSW CALHAN            38.95N 104.34W
09/12/2013  M1.14 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL TOTAL IN 60 MINUTES. EASTERLY WINDS INCREASING.

&&

STARK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
447 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

COZ084-130100-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY
447 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER THE BLACK
FOREST BURN SCAR. RAINFALL RATES WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH 5
PM WITH TOTALS APPROACHING 0.75 INCHES AS THE SHOWERS PASS THROUGH
THE REGION. LOCALIZED FLOODING ON AREA ROADWAYS IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE BLACK FOREST BURN SCAR.