Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Pueblo, CO

502 
WWUS85 KPUB 182016
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
216 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES
THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND
EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

COZ228>230-191230-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0026.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0019.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
216 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 228...229 AND 230.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IS POSSIBLE IF A FIRE STARTS.

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ220>227-191230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0026.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0019.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
216 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...
224...225...226 AND 227...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...
221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226 AND 227.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IS POSSIBLE IF A FIRE STARTS.

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

444 
WWUS85 KPUB 190304
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
904 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES
THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220
THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

COZ220>230-191915-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0026.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0019.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
904 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...
224...225...226 AND 227...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...
221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IS POSSIBLE IF A FIRE STARTS.

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

491 
WWUS85 KPUB 190928
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
328 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES
THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS...FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...
PUEBLO...HUERFANO...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

COZ220>230-200130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0026.130619T1700Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0019.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
328 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...
223...224...225...226 AND 227...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...
221...222...223...224...225...226 AND 227...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR IS POSSIBLE IF A FIRE STARTS.

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

216 
WWUS85 KPUB 192056
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
256 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...FREMONT...AND
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM THROUGH 8 PM
THURSDAY...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH
INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...
PUEBLO...HUERFANO...FREMONT...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH
230...WHICH INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN
LUIS VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...FREMONT...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS
COUNTIES...

COZ220>230-201300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0019.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0027.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0020.130621T1600Z-130622T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
256 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...225...
226...227...228...229 AND 230...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228...229 AND
230... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...225...226...227...
228...229 AND 230...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 4 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES WILL EXHIBIT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. TAKE
  PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID FIRE STARTS. FUELS ARE DRY IN THESE AREAS
  AND FIRE WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY.

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

987 
WWUS85 KPUB 200201
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
801 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM 11 AM THROUGH 8 PM
THURSDAY...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH
INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO... PUEBLO...
HUERFANO...FREMONT...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...HIGH HAINES AND DRY FUELS FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 THROUGH 230...WHICH
INCLUDES THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE... SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...AND EL PASO...PUEBLO...
HUERFANO...FREMONT...AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

COZ220>230-201815-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-130620T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0027.130620T1700Z-130621T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0020.130621T1600Z-130622T0200Z/
UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-
FREMONT COUNTY-EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS-
SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-HUERFANO COUNTY-
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
801 PM MDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...
224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223...224...225...226...
227...228...229 AND 230...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...
221...222...223...224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220...221...222...223... 
  224...225...226...227...228...229 AND 230.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 4 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES WILL EXHIBIT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. TAKE 
  PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID FIRE STARTS. FUELS ARE DRY IN THESE AREAS 
  AND FIRE WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY. 

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1121 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 853 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

UPDATED TO CANCEL SVR WATCH 322 WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
THE MAIN THREAT FOR THE SE PLAINS ATTM. ALSO UPDATED POPS FOR
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HELPING TO FIRE STORMS
ACROSS NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY ATTM. RADAR ALSO INDICATING LIGHT
TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE WALDO BURN SCAR BECOMING LESS INTENSE
OVER THE PAST FEW SCANS. GAGES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF OF THE SCAR
INDICATING BETWEEN 0.02 AND 0.14 INCHES OVER THE PAST HOUR WITH
12 HOUR TOTALS ACROSS THE ENTIRE SCAR BETWEEN 0.15 AND 0.47
INCHES. FURTHER EAST...HAVE SEEN SOME IMPRESSIVE TOTALS WITH LAA
AND LHX ASOS REPORTING 1.83 AND 1.51 INCHES RESPECTIVELY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ARE
SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  THIS COULD BE
SUPPORTED BY A STRING OF WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH NRN CO.  SFC
DEW POINTS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR HAVE BEEN DROPPING OFF INTO THE
30S...WITH EASTERLY WINDS KEEPING DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER
50S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  WITH CAPES
INCREASING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER TO
AROUND 1500 J/KG IN MODEL SOUNDINGS...EXPECT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY TO THE EAST
OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR.  HAIL TO AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH OR GREATER WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS AS SPC
MESO ANALYSIS IS SHOWING DOWNDRAFT CAPES OF AROUND 1000-1400
J/KG...FAVORING DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL.   LCL'S LOOK A LITTLE HIGH
IN MODEL SOUNDINGS WHICH SHOULD LIMIT TORNADO POTENTIAL.

ONE OR MORE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN CO
OVERNIGHT...DROPPING SOUTH SOUTHEASTWARD.  KIOWA COUNTY GETS CLIPPED
BY ONE ACCORDING TO NAM12...WHEREAS GFS KEEPS MAJORITY OF QPF ACROSS
SE CO THROUGH 06Z AS SE LOW LEVEL JET CRANKS UP...THEN PUSHES IT
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO OK/TX PANHANDLES THROUGH 12Z WED.  WILL MAINTAIN SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS THE MAJORITY OF THE NIGHT ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

LOW LEVEL EASTERLY OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ADVECT HIGHER
DEW POINTS BACK WESTWARD FOR TUESDAY LEADING TO GREATER CAPE FOR
AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO WORK WITH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MTS/PLAINS.
PROBLEM IS MODEL SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOW A BIT OF A CAP...PARTICULARLY
FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  STRATUS SHOULD
DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE EARLY MORNING...BUT HIGH RES
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW IT BREAKING BY LATE MORNING.  CAPE VALUES OF
AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG AND 0-6 KM SHEARS OF AROUND 40-50 KTS SHOULD
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN ACROSS MOST OF
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  WITH LCLS A LITTLE LOWER THERE WILL BE A
GREATER POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND EVEN AN ISOLATED
TORNADO...ESPECIALLY IF LOW LEVEL WINDS PULL AROUND MORE TO AN
EASTERLY COMPONENT INCREASING THE LOW LEVEL HELICITIES.  ANOTHER
CONCERN WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINFALL ON THE
WALDO BURN SCAR.  HOWEVER QPF AMOUNTS IN MODELS ARE GENERALLY UNDER
FLASH FLOOD CRITERIA (.50) SO THINK IT MIGHT BE ANOTHER HIT OR MISS
PROPOSITION.  WILL LET LATER SHIFTS GET A LOOK AT HIGH RES MODELS
AND RE-EXAMINE THE NEED FOR A FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

MEANWHILE...WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE GENERALLY
ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS.  WITH MUCH LOWER MOISTURE CONTENT
IN THE ATMOSPHERE...LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ONLY SPOTTY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS BOTH
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TOMORROW. -KT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)

IN THE LONGER TERM FORECAST...THERE WILL BE A RETURN TO HOT...DRY
AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AS SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BECOMES
PROMINENT FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
AXIS SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS UPPER LOW MOVES INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

AT THE SURFACE...LEE TROF DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY WITH WESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS INCREASING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY REMAIN ACROSS AREAS ALONG THE
KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD KEEP THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IN PLACE ONLY FOR KS/CO BORDER AREAS. HAVE ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
MOUNTAINS...EL PASO COUNTY...AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. FUELS IN THE
MOUNTAINS REMAIN CRITICAL. ELSEWHERE...THE FINE FUELS ON THE PLAINS
MAY NOT BE CRITICAL DUE TO RAINFALL FROM THE SPOTTY CONVECTION...THE
INCREASED RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND THE COOLER TEMPERATURES THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS. LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO EVALUATE FUELS INFORMATION
BEFORE ISSUING A RED FLAG WARNING. THURSDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE
ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY WITH CONTINUED HOT...DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS. THE WINDS DON'T LOOK AS STRONG THURSDAY AS
WEDNESDAY AND MODELS ARE HINTING AT A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVING
INTO THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING WHICH
MAY ALLOW FOR A BIT MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST OPENS UP AND MOVES EAST
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH MODELS HINTING AT SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
MAKING IT INTO THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS WITH WARM...DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING ELSEWHERE. WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS
THE CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONTINUED MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. STARK

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1117 PM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KCOS...KPUB AND KALS. HOWEVER
AFTER 20Z ON TUESDAY TSTMS WL BE POSSIBLE AT THE TERMINAL SITES
WITH BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL BEING POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR COZ220>227.

&&

UPDATE...MW
SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...STARK
AVIATION...28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1102 AM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-181715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1102 AM MDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS THEN
SPREAD EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON
MESA REGIONS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR IN PLACE OVER THESE
REGIONS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE EAST ON TO THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER
INSTABILITY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 25. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER ALONG WITH GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS APPROACHING 60 MPH.

EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. A SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL LIKELY DRIFT
SOUTHEAST ACROSS KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES OVERNIGHT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS CONVECTIVE SYSTEM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

FOR TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE PLAINS...INCLUDING THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE. SINCE
QUITE A BIT OF INSTABILITY WILL REACH THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF
THE MOUNTAINS...FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR OVER THE WALDO BURN SCAR
ON TUESDAY.

FOR WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COLORADO AND KANSAS BORDER. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. IN ADDITION...METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...VALLEYS AND I-25 CORRIDOR REGION.

ON THURSDAY...FRIDAY...AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY...METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR WEATHER SPOTTERS
WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS.

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