Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2013

Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Pueblo, CO

May 28, 20138 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at May 28, 2013, 2:51 PM MDT for 8 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 29, 2013, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2013, 2:51 PM MDT (20:51 UTC)
In effect from
May 29, 2013, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 29, 2013, 7:52 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Baca County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Custer County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

577 
WWUS85 KPUB 282051
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
HIGH HAINES VALUES...AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...227...233
AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...TELLER
COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND
BACA COUNTY...

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...AND
DRY FUELS HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA
COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-291300-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0013.130529T1700Z-130530T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0019.130529T1700Z-130530T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130529T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES
INDICES...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

* HAINES...6 THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ221-227-290300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130529T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
251 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 227...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 227.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
263 
WWUS85 KPUB 290245
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
845 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA
COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-291845-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130529T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.130529T1700Z-130530T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
845 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237 FOR THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ALLOWED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS EVENING TO EXPIRE.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 5 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

* HAINES...6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ221-227-290345-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130529T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
845 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 227...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ALLOWED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS EVENING TO EXPIRE.

$$
573 
WWUS85 KPUB 291011
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
411 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...WHICH
INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND
BACA COUNTY...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...227...233 AND 237...
WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET
MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-300215-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.130529T1700Z-130530T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
411 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ227-300215-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
411 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 227...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR ...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
501 
WWUS85 KPUB 291426 CCA
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
819 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORING UNTIL 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND
237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
AND BACA COUNTY...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...225...227...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT
COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND
BACA COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-300645-
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.W.0019.130529T1700Z-130530T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
819 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT TODAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ227-300645-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
819 AM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 227...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR ...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
329 
WWUS85 KPUB 292044
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
244 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA
COUNTY...

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM
MDT THURSDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...227...233 AND
237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA COUNTY...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...227...233 AND 237...WHICH
INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY... EASTERN LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-301245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0020.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0015.130531T1700Z-130601T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130530T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
244 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...225...233 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...225...233 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ227-301245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0014.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0020.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0015.130531T1700Z-130601T0200Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
244 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 227...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
407 
WWUS85 KPUB 300152
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
752 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...
AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM UNTIL 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...227...233 AND 237...WHICH INCLUDES
THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY... EASTERN LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA COUNTY...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...227...233 AND
237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...FREMONT COUNTY...SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY...
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AND BACA COUNTY...

COZ222-225-233-237-301800-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-130530T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0015.130531T1700Z-130601T0200Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
BACA COUNTY-
752 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237 FOR WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ALLOWED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WEDNESDAY EVENING TO EXPIRE.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...225...233 AND 237.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ227-301800-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.130530T1700Z-130531T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0015.130531T1700Z-130601T0200Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
752 PM MDT WED MAY 29 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 227...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 227.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES COULD GROW AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. THE COMBINATION 
  OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN 
  THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH. OUTDOOR BURNING AND ANY 
  OTHER ACTIVITIES THAT COULD ACCIDENTALLY START A FIRE SHOULD 
  BE SUSPENDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 28, 2:45 PM MDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 2:45 PM MDT, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
245 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...POSSIBILITY FOR ONE OR TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FAR SOUTHEAST
PLAINS...RETURN OF HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
DISTRICT TOMORROW...

SFC LOW JUST SOUTH OF LA JUNTA WITH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
ITS NORTHERN PERIPHERY KEEPING HIGHER DEW POINTS ACROSS THE ARKANSAS
RIVER VALLEY NORTHWARD.  HIGH RES SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE THIS
BOUNDARY MIXING BACK NORTH AND EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AS PRESSURES
FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AND BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
SPREAD NORTH AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA.  WE ARE ALREADY HITTING
OR COMING CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA ACROSS THE SE MOUNTAINS...AND
THIS SHOULD SPREAD INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THUS CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING LOOKS ON TRACK.  AS FOR SEVERE
WEATHER...AS BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTHWARD...DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL BE
POSITIONED ACROSS KIOWA AND PROWERS COUNTIES WITH 4KM NSSL WRF
SHOWING STORM INITIATION BY 20-21Z ACROSS PROWERS COUNTY.  IF MOISTURE
AXIS STAYS IN THIS REGION...A SEVERE STORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.  IF UPDRAFTS GO
UP QUICKLY...CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO...MOST LIKELY OF
THE LANDSPOUT VARIETY...SO THIS WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY.  SHOULD SEE
ACTIVITY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO KS EARLY THIS EVENING.

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...INCOMING TROF WILL KEEP ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS GOING ACROSS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS.  HIGHER PEAKS COULD SEE
A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOWFALL...THOUGH EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO REMAIN
ABOVE 10KFT.  LOW LEVEL JET CRANKS UP ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST
PLAINS WITH BOTH NAM12 AND GFS KEEPING CONVECTION JUST EAST OF THE
CO/KS BORDER.  WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE FAR EASTERN BORDER FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT AS HIGHER SFC DEW POINTS ADVECT
BACK WESTWARD AND CAPES INCREASE AGAIN.  HOWEVER...APPEARS BEST LIFT
AHEAD OF SFC LOW WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA.

UPPER TROF SWINGS THROUGH THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY WITH WESTERLY WINDS
SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SE MTNS INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS BY
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.  DRY LINE/SFC TROF AXIS SHIFTS
EASTWARD INTO KS AND ALTHOUGH AIRMASS WILL BE COOLER BEHIND THE
FRONT...SFC DEW POINTS DON'T RECOVER MUCH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS/SRN TIER OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.  THUS
ANOTHER DAY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THESE AREAS
AND WILL UPGRADE THE WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR FREMONT
COUNTY...THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS...AND THE NORTHERN RATON RIDGE AND
BACA COUNTY.  ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS
MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT BENEATH THE
UPPER TROF WILL ACT ON WHAT MEAGER MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE.
UNFORTUNATELY...THERE DOESN'T APPEAR TO BE MUCH MOISTURE AVAILABLE.
HARD TO NOT MAINTAIN AT LEAST ISOLATED POPS FOR MOST AREAS IN THE
AFTERNOON.  BEST CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF EL PASO COUNTY.  FREEZING LEVELS WILL BE
LOW...SO COULD SEE SOME SMALL HAIL WITH STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY IF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RESULTANT CAPE IS
HIGH ENOUGH. -KT

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

...MOSTLY DRY...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...FIRST SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE STATE
WEDNESDAY EVENING. A MODEST AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY MOVE
SOUTHWARD OVER THE PLAINS DURING THE EVENING. LEFT SOME ISOLATED
POPS FOR THE PLAINS AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS IN CASE THERE IS ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP A FEW STORMS. GFS IS THE MOST ENTHUSIASTIC
ABOUT DEVELOPING STORMS. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED SO ANY STORMS
WILL NOT PRODUCE MUCH RAINFALL. BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES WHERE
MOISTURE WILL BE MORE ABUNDANT.

.THURSDAY...NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE
WEST AS UPPER LOW SPINS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS.
SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH...AND THE
MOUNTAINS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES SHOULD GET SOME STORMS.
FURTHER EAST...LOWER LEVELS REMAIN DRY AND ONLY HAVE SILENT POPS
FOR MUCH OF THE PLAINS AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS. A WEAK BOUNDARY MAY
PROVIDE ENOUGH CONVERGENCE FOR A STORM OR TWO NEAR KIOWA COUNTY.
ADDED ISOLATED POPS TO KIOWA COUNTY...WHICH MATCHES SURROUNDING
OFFICE. HAVE SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH THE LOW HUMIDITIES
AND GUSTY WINDS. GRIDS ONLY HAVE WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
FOR MORE THAN 3 HOURS FOR ZONES 222 AND 225. WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT IS NOT THE CLASSIC RED FLAG PATTERN...AND STILL HAVE
SOME CONCERNS THERE MAY BE MORE MID LEVEL MOISTURE ALOFT THAN WHAT
IS IN THE MODELS. WHILE THE ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WOULD NOT ENOUGH
TO ENHANCE POPS...IT MAY KEEP HUMIDITIES ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WILL
LET LATER SHIFTS SEE HOW PATTERN EVOLVES AND ISSUE ANY WATCH IF
NEEDED.

.SATURDAY...UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CWA FROM THE NORTH. THE
MODELS SHOW SOME FAIRLY CHILLY AIR WITH THIS TROUGH...WITH GFS AND
GEM HAVING +2C AT 700MB. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL REMAIN CAPPED DURING THE DAY...SO ONLY HAVE ISOLATED POPS
OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES. EVEN IF THE CAP
WOULD BREAK OVER THE PLAINS...SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL BE IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S...AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WOULD TEND TO BE LIGHT.

.SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
REGION...WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH POSSIBLE PASSING TO THE NORTH ON
TUESDAY. GFS AND EC TRY TO DEVELOP A WEAK MONSOON PLUME OF
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. TYPICALLY...THE MODELS ARE TOO
MOIST...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE MOUNTAINS. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH PRECIPITATION FROM THESE
STORMS. THE GFS AND EC ALSO HAVE THE DRY LINE LINGERING NEAR THE
KANSAS BORDER. WILL INCREASE POPS SLIGHTLY FROM THE CR EXTENDED
PROCEDURE NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE PROXIMITY OF
THE DRY LINE. --PGW--

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 245 PM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TAF SITES WITH BREEZY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH
WINDS AT KCOS AND KPUB...AND SOUTHWEST WINDS AT KALS THROUGH 02Z.
GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL 02Z WHEN WIND GUSTS
DECREASE.  WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FOR THE TAF
SITES ON WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA.  AFTERNOON WINDS COULD GUST TO AROUND 25 KTS...ESPECIALLY FOR
KPUB AND KALS.  OTHERWISE...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH MVFR TO IFR CIGS AT TIMES TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.  TAF SITES ARE MOSTLY LIKELY TO REMAIN DRY.  BEST SHOT
COULD BE AT KCOS WITH A VCSH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ221-222-225-
227-233-237.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR COZ222-225-233-237.

&&

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...PGW
AVIATION...KT
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 11:13 AM MDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1113 AM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-291715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1113 AM MDT TUE MAY 28 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD. EXTRA CAUTION
SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRE STARTS THIS AFTERNOON.

A SEVERE STORM OR TWO MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE
KANSAS BORDER OVER KIOWA...PROWERS...OR BACA COUNTIES. LARGE HAIL
UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER STORMS IN THIS AREA. IN
ADDITION...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A
THREAT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS. SOME SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
AN INCH OR TWO MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 10000
FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...BRINGING AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO MOST OF THE AREA. SOME OF THE CONVECTION ALONG THE
PALMER DIVIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE ON THE STRONG
SIDE. PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM THREATS WEDNESDAY WILL BE LIGHTNING...WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH...AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES. IN
THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET...LOCAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
AN INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY. PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
THREATS DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND
40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL. IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000
FEET...LOCAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AFTER 2 PM ACROSS NEAR THE COLORADO KANSAS BORDER.

31/06

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2013Every red flag warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.