Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2013

Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 27, 2013El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 27, 2013, 2:21 PM MDT for El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado. It took effect at Jul 28, 2013, 9:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2013, 2:21 PM MDT (20:21 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 28, 2013, 9:00 AM MDT
Expired
Jul 28, 2013, 7:52 PM MDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2659 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

242 
WGUS65 KPUB 272021
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
221 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF COLORADO THE REST
OF TODAY... AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT. THIS COMBINATION MAY ALLOW FOR HEAVY RAINS TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT I-25 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW. IF
HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCARS...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

COZ081-084-085-280430-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0008.130728T1500Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
221 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY
  AND THE RAMPART RANGE. THIS INCLUDES THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST
  BURN SCARS.

* FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK
  REGION. THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING
  OVER THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS.

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE
  LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF A FLASH
  FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ067-068-280430-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
221 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
  THIS INCLUDES THE WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX. 

* THIS WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...AND LAST
  THROUGH TOMORROW. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  FLASH FLOODING IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HODANISH
6 follow-up statements
983 
WGUS65 KPUB 280406
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1006 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL GO INTO
EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE WALDO
AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS...

.MOISTURE HAS INCREASED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
AS MONSOON MOISTURE HAS MOVED OVER THE REGION AND A COLD FRONT
HAS PUSHED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE PIKES PEAK REGION. AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS GOING ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE OVERNIGHT...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
EVENING. THUS THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY FOR THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR...AND WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. IF THIS HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN
SCARS...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

COZ067-068-281215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1006 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR IN THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS AND THE UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW.
  THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IN AND
  NEAR THE BURN SCAR...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ081-084-085-281215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.130728T1500Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
1006 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MDT SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS IN EL PASO AND
  TELLER COUNTIES.

* FROM 9 AM MDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION.
  THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE
  WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS.

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE
  LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF A FLASH
  FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
474 
WGUS65 KPUB 280555
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1155 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK BURN
SCAR THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL GO
INTO EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE
WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS...

.MOISTURE HAS INCREASED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
AS MONSOON MOISTURE HAS MOVED OVER THE REGION AND A COLD FRONT
HAS PUSHED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE PIKES PEAK REGION. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS GOING ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE OVERNIGHT...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY EVENING. THUS THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY FOR THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR...AND WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. IF THIS HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE
BURN SCARS...THEN FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

COZ067-068-281400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1155 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR COMPLEX IN THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE 
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
  TOMORROW. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH 
  FLOODING IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ081-084-085-281400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.130728T1500Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
1155 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MDT SUNDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS IN EL PASO COUNTY
  AND TELLER COUNTY.

* FROM 9 AM MDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK 
  REGION. THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING 
  OVER THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS. 

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE 
  LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF A 
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
584 
WGUS65 KPUB 281252
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
652 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK BURN
SCAR THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL GO
INTO EFFECT AT 9 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR 
THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS...

.AMPLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO TODAY...WITH MONSOONAL MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE
STATE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
AND PIKES PEAK REGION BEHIND A COLD FRONT...WHICH MOVED ACROSS
THE AREA LAST NIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP LIGHT TO
MODERATE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS GOING ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
LATE EVENING. THUS THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR...AND WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WALDO
CANYON AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
EVENING. IF THIS HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCARS...THEN FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

COZ067-068-282100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
652 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX THROUGH THE EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IN AND
  NEAR THE BURN SCAR...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ081-084-085-282100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.130728T1500Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
652 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION TODAY.
  THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE
  WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS.

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE 
  LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF A 
  FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
975 
WGUS65 KPUB 281518
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
918 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS IN EL PASO COUNTY. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR
IN THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.AMPLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO THE REST OF TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THE
COMBINATION OF AMPLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON AND
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE STATE WILL ALLOW FOR
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO OCCUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
WALDO...BLACK FOREST AND WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCARS.

COZ081-084-085-282330-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
918 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION TODAY
  AND THIS EVENING. THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
  FLOODING OVER THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS.

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
  KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED
  TO QUICKLY EVACUATE IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF
  FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ067-068-282330-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
918 AM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE 
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX THROUGH THE EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL 
  BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IN 
  AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. 

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

HODANISH
793 
WGUS65 KPUB 282052
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
252 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS IN EL PASO COUNTY. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR
IN THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.AMPLE AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
THE COMBINATION OF AMPLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON
AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE STATE WILL ALLOW
FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO OCCUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WALDO...
BLACK FOREST AND WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCARS.

COZ081-084-085-290500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
252 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION TODAY 
  AND THIS EVENING. THIS RAIN WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH 
  FLOODING OVER THE WALDO AND BLACK FOREST BURN SCARS. 

* PEOPLE IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCARS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO 
  KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST...AND BE PREPARED 
  TO QUICKLY EVACUATE IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED...OR IF 
  FLOODING IS OBSERVED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

COZ067-068-290500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
252 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY. 

* UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
  WEST FORK BURN COMPLEX THROUGH THE EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING IN AND
  NEAR THE BURN SCAR...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS OVER THE BURN SCAR...FLASH FLOODING WILL 
  LIKELY OCCUR. ROCK SLIDES AND ASH FLOWS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE 
  IN AND NEAR THE BURN SCAR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
427 
WGUS65 KPUB 290152
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
752 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE WALDO...BLACK
FOREST...AND WEST FORK BURN SCARS...

.THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION THOUGH
TONIGHT...THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BURN SCARS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

COZ067-068-290300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
752 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION...THEREFORE
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE WEST FORK BURN
SCAR. SOME LIGHT RAINFALL MAY OCCUR LATER TONIGHT...BUT ANY
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT.

$$

COZ081-084-085-290300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-130729T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
752 PM MDT SUN JUL 28 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WALDO AND BLACK
FOREST BURN SCARS FOR THE EVENING...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 27, 11:24 AM MDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 11:24 AM MDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1124 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 423 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

MONSOON MSTR PLUME MOVES OVR THE AREA TODAY...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OVR THE MTS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO AROUND 0.8 INCH.
THERE WL ALSO BE A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROF APPROACHING WRN CO BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVING ACRS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.  HIGH RES MODELS
ARE SHOWING PCPN DEVELOPING OVR SOME OF THE HYR ELEVATIONS BY LATE
MORNING AND THEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH
SOME ISOLD ACTIVITY SPREADING EASTWARD ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR...AND
THEN OVR THE REST OF THE SERN PLAINS BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
HIGHEST PCPN CHANCES WL AGAIN BE OVR THE HYR TRRN.  THE FLOW ALOFT
OVR THE HYR TRRN IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ALL THAT STRONG...SO STORMS
COULD BE SLOW MOVING. HEAVY RAIN WL BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY OVR
THE BURN SCARS.  WITH HIGH RES MODELS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR
RELATIVELY SIGNIFICANT PCPN AMOUNTS OVR THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN
SCAR...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT STILL LOOKS
REASONABLE.  MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OVR THE BURN
SCARS ALONG OR NEAR THE EASTERN MTS SO WL NOT ISSUE ANY WATCHES FOR
THOSE LOCATIONS.

AT THE SFC AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO WORK ITS WAY FROM
ABOUT WRN LINCOLN COUNTY AROUND MIDDAY...SOUTHEASTWARD INTO BENT COUNTY
THRU THE AFTERNOON.  EXPECTING DEW POINTS OVR THE FAR SERN PLAINS TO
BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 40S ALONG THE I-25
CORRIDOR.  WINDS OVR PROWERS..BENT AND KIOWA COUNTIES WILL INCREASE
FROM THE E...WITH SW WINDS OVR LAS ANIMAS AND BACA COUNTIES AS THAT
SFC LOW MOVES INTO THE SERN PLAINS...AND WE WL SEE DEEP LAYER SHEAR
VALUES OVR THE FAR SERN PLAINS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 50 KTS. WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE 50S OVR THE FAR ERN AREAS...CAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST
TO BE UP TO ABOUT 1500 J/KG.  SPC HAS OUTLOOKED THE FAR SERN CO
PLAINS FOR SEVERE STORMS.  THE MAIN THREATS WL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT THE THREAT OF LANDSPOUTS.

PCPN CHANCES WL DECREASE OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH THAT SHORTWAVE TROF
MOVING ACRS THE AREA...THE FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING AREAS OF PCPN
CONTINUING THRU THE NIGHT.  WL KEEP ISOLD POPS IN THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS OVR MOST AREAS...BUT WL GO A LITTLE HIGHER ALONG THE CONTDVD
WHERE MODELS ARE SHOWING MORE PCPN COVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 423 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN ACTIVE
AND WET DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE
WITHIN THE WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE STATE. IN ADDITION...A WEAK
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL KEEP AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN
PLACE WITH MOIST EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

LATEST MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP BEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT NORTH OF THE
AREA WITH SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRANSLATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES...THOUGH DO INDICATE CONVECTIVE VORTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
MOISTURE PLUME AIDING IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH
THAT SAID...SHOULD SEE SOME CONVECTION ONGOING ALONG AND WEST OF
THE CONTDVD EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
MOVING ACROSS THE ADJACENT PLAINS WITH THE WEAK WESTERLY STEERING
FLOW ALOFT. HAVE KEPT SCATTERED POPS IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE IN PLACE FOR A FEW
STORMS TO DEVELOP AT ANYTIME...THOUGH BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL
BE FROM THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. PWATS AREA
ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1 AND 1.75 INCHES ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH ALL STORMS HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING ISSUES. IF THE CURRENT
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...LATER SHIFTS MAY HOIST A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND BURNS SCARS. WITH
THE AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE...TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES.

MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT...WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS ACROSS THE
STATE WITH LATEST MODELS INDICATING A MINOR DISTURBANCE MOVING
THROUGH THE FLOW. MODELS INDICATING BEST MONSOONAL MOISTURE MOVING
EAST OF THE AREA...THOUGH WITH AMPLE RESIDUAL MOISTURE...STRONG
SOLAR HEATING AND UVV WITH PASSING WAVE...SHOULD SEE SCATTERED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
ONCE AGAIN...WITH BEST COVERAGE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND
IMMEDIATE ADJACENT PLAINS. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLOW MOVING
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND MORE LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

TUESDAY-FRIDAY...A SLOW WARMING AND DRYING TREND CONTINUES TO BE
PROGGED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REBUILDS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES. ENOUGH MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN IN
PLACE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DIURNAL POPS EACH DAY...WITH BEST
COVERAGE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. CONVECTION...HOWEVER...LOOKS TO
BECOME MORE HIGH BASED WHICH WILL LESSEN THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1051 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE GREATER THAN NORMAL OVER THE NEXT
36 HOURS OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO. A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE COMBINED
WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE
MANY STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE REGION. A WEAK BOUNDARY JUST NORTH
OF KCOS AT 18Z TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH AND INITIATE STORMS
AFTER 19Z AROUND KCOS. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SOUTH
AND AFFECT THE WEATHER AT KPUB AFTER ABOUT 21Z. THIS SHOWER AND STORM
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

AT KALS...SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LOWER BOTH VIS AND CIGS AT ALL 3
TAF SITES. THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME SMALL HAIL AT
KCOS THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR COZ067-068.

&&

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...HODANISH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 11:00 AM MDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1100 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-281700-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COUPLE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL GENERALLY BE EAST OF A LINE FROM CALHAN...TO LA JUNTA
TO KIM. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.

RAINS CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WEST FORK COMPLEX
BURN SCAR WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PEOPLE
NEAR OR LIVING WITHIN THE BURN SCAR SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL LAST
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE.

ALL THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. WHEN THUNDER ROARS...GO INDOORS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
PLAINS. THE AREAS WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE RECENT BURN SCARS...INCLUDING THE WEST FORK
COMPLEX...THE BLACK FOREST...THE WALDO CANYON AND THE ROYAL GORGE.
THOSE IN OR PLANNING TO BE AROUND THE BURN SCARS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION IF NECESSARY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG ALONG
THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND THE REST OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SUNDAY.
HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH HAIL UP THE SIZE OF PENNIES...LOCAL WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN STORM THREATS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE
HIGH BASED WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BEING CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY...KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING ON THE AREA BURN SCARS SHOULD STRONGER STORMS MOVE OVER
THESE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

HODANISH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 27, 1:01 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
101 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

COZ084-085-271930-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
101 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  THE BLACK FOREST RAIN SCAR IN EL PASO COUNTY

AT 1256 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE BURN SCAR.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THESE STORMS SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 0.10 AND
0.20 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REST OF
TODAY...AND TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
TOMORROW.
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 1:50 PM MDT, 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
150 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

COZ081-084-085-272015-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
150 PM MDT SAT JUL 27 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  EAST CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
  WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  THIS INCLUDES...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

AT 144 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE BURN SCAR AREA. AT THIS TIME...RAINFALL FROM THESE STORMS
IS NOT HEAVY...AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER .20 INCHES
FOR THE AREA. HOWEVER...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS AND OTHERS IN THE
AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD
AN ADVISORY OR WARNING BE ISSUED.

SR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 4:01 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPUBMineral, Rio Grande119 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.