Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2013

Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Pueblo, CO

May 7, 2013El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at May 7, 2013, 3:10 PM MDT for El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado. It took effect at May 8, 2013, 6:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2013, 3:10 PM MDT (21:10 UTC)
In effect from
May 8, 2013, 6:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 9, 2013, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2013-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -68 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1773 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

806 
WGUS65 KPUB 072110
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
310 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS THE
WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR REGION AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM
AREAS...INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD
COLORADO CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.AN APPROACHING CLOSED UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.  

COZ081-084-085-080515-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0001.130508T1200Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
310 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
  INCLUDING THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...EL PASO COUNTY...TELLER
  COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE.

* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A VIGOROUS CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER
  THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVING ACROSS
  SOUTHERN COLORADO ON THURSDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TO
  THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.  

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM WEDNESDAY
  INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO CANYON BURN
  SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF EXPERIENCING RAPID RUNOFF OF WATER
  RESULTING FROM HYDRO PHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSSES THAT
  RESULT FROM FIRE.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
11 follow-up statements
578 
WGUS65 KPUB 080030
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
630 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS
THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...INCLUDING
BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO CITY REGION
OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

COZ081-084-085-080900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.130508T1200Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
630 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* FROM 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
  CORNERS REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE
  OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TO AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON
  BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM WEDNESDAY
  INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO CANYON BURN
  SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF WATER...ALONG
  WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND
  VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
857 
WGUS65 KPUB 080530
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1130 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS
THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO
CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

COZ081-084-085-081330-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.130508T1200Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
1130 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* FROM 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE FOUR 
  CORNERS REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS 
  SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE 
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH 
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TO AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON 
  BURN SCAR. 

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE 
  TO FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM 
  WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO 
  CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF 
  WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO 
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
916 
WGUS65 KPUB 081049
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
449 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS
THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO
CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

COZ081-084-085-081900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.130508T1200Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
449 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
  CORNERS REGION THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN
  COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TO AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON
  BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE 
  TO FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM 
  WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO 
  CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF 
  WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO 
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
620 
WGUS65 KPUB 081631
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1031 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS
THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO
CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM TODAY INTO
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

COZ081-084-085-090115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
1031 AM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
  CORNERS REGION LATE THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE
  OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING...
  ESPECIALLY TO AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE 
  TO FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM 
  WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO 
  CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF 
  WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO 
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
085 
WGUS65 KPUB 082118
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
318 PM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY 
ACROSS THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM
AREAS...INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD
COLORADO CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY...INCLUDING THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

COZ081-084-085-090400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
318 PM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR...EL PASO COUNTY...TELLER
  COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING OVER SOUTHWESTERN
  AND SOUTH-CENTRAL COLORADO THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING...
  ESPECIALLY TO AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM FROM THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO
  CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF
  WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
781 
WGUS65 KPUB 090300
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
900 PM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE
WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...INCLUDING
BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO CITY
REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING
OVER PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE WALDO
CANYON BURN SCAR THURSDAY. 

COZ081-084-085-091100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
900 PM MDT WED MAY 8 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* FLASH FLOODING THREAT INCREASING AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE
  ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY
  THURSDAY. SCATTERED RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  CONTINUE TO OVER THE PIKES PEAK REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS ARE
  EXPECTED TO INCREASING IN COVERAGE AGAIN THURSDAY MORNING AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING IN THE
  FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON
  BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING WITH THE SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM THROUGH THE DAY
  THURSDAY. IF HEAVY RAINS DEVELOP...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR
  WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF WATER...ALONG WITH
  MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND
  VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
225 
WGUS65 KPUB 091019
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
419 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE
WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO
CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA OF EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

COZ081-084-085-091900-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
419 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA OF EL PASO COUNTY.

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY
  TODAY. RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE PIKES
  PEAK REGION. THIS WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
  FLASH FLOODING IN THE FORECAST FOR AREAS IN AND AROUND THE WALDO
  CANYON BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING FROM ANY SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
  ACROSS THE SITE TODAY. IF HEAVY THUNDERSTORM RAINS DEVELOP...THE
  WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF
  OF WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
019 
WGUS65 KPUB 091715
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1115 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE
WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM AREAS...
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD COLORADO
CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH
FLOODING OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA OF EAST CENTRAL
COLORADO.

COZ081-084-085-100000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
1115 AM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA OF EL PASO COUNTY.

* UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE 
  ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY 
  TODAY. RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE 
  PIKES PEAK REGION. THIS WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY 
  RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE FORECAST FOR AREAS IN AND 
  AROUND THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR. 

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE
  SITE TODAY. IF HEAVY HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...
  THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID
  RUNOFF OF WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
185 
WGUS65 KPUB 092119
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
319 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED DOWNSTREAM
AREAS... INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS AND THE OLD
COLORADO CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN
SCAR AREA OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

COZ081-084-085-100000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
319 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA OF EL PASO COUNTY.

* UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN
  COLORADO LATER THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE IN AND NEAR THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR
  AREA FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
  KEEP THE THREAT OF FLOODING IN THE FORECAST FOR AREAS IN AND
  AROUND THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
  FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE
  SITE TODAY. IF HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP...THE
  WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF
  OF WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO
  HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS CAUSED BY THE FIRE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
762 
WGUS65 KPUB 092333
FFAPUB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
533 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AND ASSOCIATED
DOWNSTREAM AREAS...INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MANITOU SPRINGS
AND THE OLD COLORADO CITY REGION OF COLORADO SPRINGS...

.A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN
SCAR AREA OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

COZ081-084-085-100200-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
533 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART 
  RANGE. 

* UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN WILL
  ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE IN AND NEAR THE
  WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA FROM INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS
  WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF FLOODING IN THE FORECAST FOR AREAS IN
  AND AROUND THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR.

* THE WALDON CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE 
  TO FLASH FLOODING IF HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOVE 
  ACROSS THE SITE TODAY. IF HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS 
  DEVELOP...THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WILL BE CAPABLE OF 
  PRODUCING RAPID RUNOFF OF WATER...ALONG WITH MUD...ASH AND 
  DEBRIS FLOWS...DUE TO HYDROPHOBIC SOILS AND VEGETATION LOSS 
  CAUSED BY THE FIRE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
632 
WGUS65 KPUB 100152
FFAPUB

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
752 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

COZ081-084-085-100300-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130510T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...
COLORADO SPRINGS
752 PM MDT THU MAY 9 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO WILL
EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING AFTER SUNSET. WITH THE THREAT OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ENDING...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
TELLER AND EL PASO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE WALDO CANYON BURN
SCAR...WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 7, 2:47 PM MDT, 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 2:47 PM MDT, 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
247 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

ACTIVE METEOROLOGICAL REGIME DURING THE SHORT TERM(ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY) WITH ONE CONCERN BEING HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL(SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS)...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR BUT ALSO
OVER MANY OTHER LOCATIONS OF THE FORECAST DISTRICT AS VIGOROUS
CLOSED UPPER LOW SHIFTS FROM FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AT 00Z
WEDNESDAY INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO BY 00Z THURSDAY.  I WILL BE
ISSUING A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL(FOCUSED ON
THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR AREA) FOR PUBLIC ZONES 81/84 AND 85 FROM
12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY.

ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS FROM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT THANKS TO DEEPENING ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
LEVELS...UPPER ENERGY MOVING ACROSS THE CWFA...0 TO 6 KM BULK SHEAR
VALUES AROUND 40 KNOTS...LOCALIZED CAPES AROUND 1800 J/KG AND
LOCALIZED LIS AROUND -6C.  SPC 2ND DAY CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK HAS
PORTIONS OF KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTY IN THEIR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY.  I WILL HAVE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WORDING IN MY IMPENDING ZONES/GRIDS FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED COUNTIES
FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

AN ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL ISSUE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER
TERRAIN ACCUMULATING SNOW...ESPECIALLY FROM WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.  I WILL BE ISSUING A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PUBLIC ZONES
58/60/73/75/80 AND 82 FROM 13Z WEDNESDAY TO 03Z FRIDAY TO ACCOUNT
FOR THIS POTENTIAL.  IN ADDITION..FOR TONIGHT I HAVE DEPICTED
GENERALLY UNDER 4 INCHES OF SNOW OVER PORTIONS OF ZONES 58 AND 60
WILL LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS OVER OTHER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS.

MINIMUM TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RUN A CATEGORY OR SO
ABOVE EARLY MAY CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES MOST AREAS WHILE MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD RUN A CATEGORY OR TWO BELOW EARLY
MAY CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES.  FINALLY...LOW-GRADE GRADIENT WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

...MORE HEAVY RAIN IN THE FORECAST...
...HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

EXTENDED PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK FAIRLY WET...PARTICULARLY WED EVE THROUGH
THU EVE...AND THEN ANOTHER ROUND LATE FRI INTO THE WEEKEND. MAIN CONCERN
CONTINUES TO BE THE WALDO BURN SCAR DURING THIS TIME.

WED EVE INTO THU...UPPER LOW OVER S CENTRAL CO WILL RETROGRADE WWD TO
AZ BY THU EVE. HIGH PWATS CIRCULATING AROUND THE LOW WILL KEEP THE
THREAT OF HEAVY SHOWER ACTIVITY GOING OVER MUCH OF OUR CWA. THE HIGHEST
QPF STILL LOOKS TO BE OVER THE CONTDVD N OF KMYP...AND THE PIKES
PEAK REGION. TOTAL QPF FOR THE WALDO AREA IS IN EXCESS OF ONE
INCH...SO THE BURN SCAR WILL REMAIN UNDER THE GUN THROUGH THU...
DURING THE TIME OF OUR FLASH FLOOD WATCH. MUCH OF THE ERN PLAINS
WILL BE SOCKED IN WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIP AS UPSLOPE FLOW PERSISTS.
THIS WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER THE PLAINS AND COULD MEAN
MORE OF A STRATIFORM EVENT...HOWEVER ISOLD TS WILL REMAIN A THREAT
PARTICULARLY ALONG AND NR THE MTS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A LOW RISK OF
SOME STRONG OR SVR CONVECTION OVER THE ERN PLAINS EARLY WED EVE.
MOST OF THE HEAVIER CONVECTION SHOULD BE E OF OUR AREA AFTER 00Z
WED...BUT ONE OR TWO STRONG STORMS COULD BE ONGOING OVER KIOWA
COUNTY EARLY IN THE PERIOD.

HAVE GONE ON THE LOW SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS ON THU...MAINLY
UPPER 50S FOR THE PLAINS. H7 TEMPS WILL BE NR ZERO...AND WITH CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIP DO NOT ANTICIPATE A LOT OF MIXING. SNOW LEVELS WILL
REMAIN AROUND 9K FEET THROUGH THU FOR THE NRN RANGES...AND 10K FEET
OR HIGHER FOR THE SW MTS. SO...EXPECT THE HEAVIER SNOW TOTALS TO BE
ABOVE 11000 FEET...WITH SOME HEAVY WET SNOW FOR THE PASSES. HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS SUCH AS PIKES PEAK AND THE HIGHER PEAKS IN THE SAWATCH
AND SANGRES COULD SEE 1-2 FEET OF SNOW BY LATE THU. SNOW LEVELS
COULD BRIEFLY DROP AS LOW AS 8 K FEET OR POSSIBLY LOWER IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS.

A BIT OF A RESPITE THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING BEFORE PRECIP CHANCES
PICK UP AGAIN LATE FRI...AS A COLD FRONT RACES SWD THROUGH ERN CO.
THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF UPSLOPE TO THE PLAINS ON SAT.
THE 12Z GFS ALSO SHOWS AN INFLUX OF DEEP MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES...ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL PLUME THAT WILL SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE SE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY ACTUALLY END UP
BEING AN EVEN GREATER THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONGER CONVECTION ALONG WITH THE HIGH PWATS. ENSEMBLE GRIDS
REFLECT HIGH POPS THROUGH THIS PERIOD...AND SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE
THEM AT THIS POINT. FOR THE WEEKEND...TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW
AVERAGE...IN THE 60S FOR THE PLAINS AND 50S FOR THE MTS. FLOW SHOULD
BECOME MORE W-SW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL LEAD TO WARMER WX
FOR THE AREA. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 243 PM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SHIFTING FROM FAR NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA
AT 00Z WEDNESDAY INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO BY 00Z THURSDAY WILL
BRING INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TO THE TAF
SITES...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY.  THE KALS...KCOS AND KPUB TAF SITES
MAY EXPERIENCE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY DUE TO HEAVIER
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ081-084-085.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR COZ058-060-073-075-080-082.

&&

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...ROSE
AVIATION...77
Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 11:46 AM MDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1146 AM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

COZ058>089-093>099-081745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1146 AM MDT TUE MAY 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY IN RESPONSE TO
AFTERNOON HEATING. PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL PEAK DURING THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A DISTURBANCE EJECTS NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA. BOTH ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY WILL TEND
TO FAVOR THE MOUNTAIN AND HIGH VALLEY AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 25.
THE PRIMARY METEOROLOGICAL THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING. LOCAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY UNDER 4 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY TIED TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS FORECAST
TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLAINS CLOSER TO THE KANSAS
BORDER. WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL ALSO BRING ELEVATED
CONCERNS FOR RAINFALL ON THE WALDO CANYON BURN SCAR WHICH WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...
ESPECIALLY FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAINS AND PIKES PEAK. THE MAJORITY OF SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR ABOVE TREELINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS GENERALLY ABOVE 10000 FEET THROUGH
TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 3:26 PM MDTWinter Storm WatchPUBAlamosa, Chaffee, Costilla, Custer, El Paso, Fremont and 6 more13 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2013Every flash flood watch in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.