Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Pocatello, ID

Bannock County, ID, Bear Lake County, ID, Bingham County, ID, Blaine County, ID, Bonneville County, ID, Butte County, ID, Caribou County, ID, Clark County, ID, Custer County, ID, Franklin County, ID, Fremont County, ID, Idaho County, ID, Jefferson County, ID, Jerome County, ID, Lemhi County, ID, Lincoln County, ID, Madison County, ID, Minidoka County, ID, Oneida County, ID, Power County, ID, Teton County, ID, Valley County, ID

091 
WWUS85 KPIH 302018
RFWPIH

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
218 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM MDT FOR IDAHO FIRE
ZONES 410 425 475 AND 476 FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM MDT FOR IDAHO FIRE
ZONE 413 FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...

.GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...THE SNAKE PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC
VALLEY. COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITY...EXPECT ANY FIRES TO SPREAD
QUICKLY IN THESE AREAS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
ZONE 413 THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. EXPECT STORMS TO BE
SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH THAN YESTERDAY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.

IDZ475-476-310300-
/O.CON.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130731T0300Z/
EAST SALMON RIVER MOUNTAINS/SALMON NF-
LEMHI AND LOST RIVER RANGE/CHALLIS NF-
218 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR IDAHO FIRE ZONES 475 AND
476...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN IDAHO...FIRE ZONE 475 EAST SALMON RIVER 
  MOUNTAINS/SALMON NF...FIRE ZONE 476 LEMHI AND LOST RIVER 
  RANGE/CHALLIS NF.

* TIMING: GUSTY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  PERSIST INTO THE EVENING.

* WIND: WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS: THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY CAN CREATE 
  EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ON CURRENT AND NEW FIRES IN THE CENTRAL 
  MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE
APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO.

&&

$$

IDZ410-425-310300-
/O.CON.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130731T0300Z/
UPPER SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/IDAHO FALLS BLM-
MIDDLE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/TWIN FALLS BLM-
218 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR IDAHO FIRE ZONES 410 AND
425...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN IDAHO...FIRE ZONE 410 UPPER SNAKE RIVER 
  VALLEY/IDAHO FALLS BLM...FIRE ZONE 425 MIDDLE SNAKE RIVER 
  VALLEY/TWIN FALLS BLM.

* TIMING: GUSTY WINDS WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  PERSIST INTO THE EVENING.

* WIND: WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY.

* HUMIDITY: 5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS: THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY CAN CREATE 
  EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ON CURRENT AND NEW FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE
APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO.

&&

$$

IDZ413-310300-
/O.CON.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130731T0300Z/
CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
218 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR FIRE ZONE 413...

* AFFECTED AREA: IN IDAHO...FIRE ZONE 413 CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU 
  NF.

* TIMING: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING... 
  INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND BECOMING SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT 
  LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW WINDS TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS: NEW FIRE STARTS ARE POSSIBLE AND GUSTY WINDS MAY FAN 
  NEW OR ONGOING FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLEASE ADVISE THE
APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO

735 
WWUS85 KPIH 310319
RFWPIH

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
919 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW 
HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEAST IDAHO FIRE ZONES 410 425 475 AND 476 AND 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE ZONE 413...

.RED FLAG CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST IDAHO.

IDZ410-413-425-475-476-310430-
/O.EXP.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-130731T0300Z/
UPPER SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/IDAHO FALLS BLM-CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
MIDDLE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/TWIN FALLS BLM-
EAST SALMON RIVER MOUNTAINS/SALMON NF-
LEMHI AND LOST RIVER RANGE/CHALLIS NF-
919 PM MDT TUE JUL 30 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW 
HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEAST IDAHO FIRE ZONES 410 425 475 AND 476 AND 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR FIRE ZONE 413...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
853 PM MDT MON JUL 29 2013

.UPDATE...THUNDERSTORMS THAT PRODUCED GUSTY OUTFLOWS THROUGH
PORTIONS OF EASTERN IDAHO EARLIER THIS EVENING HAVE EITHER
DISSIPATED OR MOVED EAST INTO WYOMING PER RADAR/SAT IMAGERY.
ANOTHER WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION REMAINS ALONG THE UTAH BORDER WITH
ANOTHER AREA TRAILING BEHIND IT IN NORTHEAST NEVADA. MODELS STILL
HAVING A HARD TIME WITH PAINTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. NAM PAINTS CONVECTION CONTINUING IN THE SOUTHERN
HIGHLANDS WHILE GFS AND HRRR PAINT AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION OVER
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. BASED ON ONGOING CONVECTION...LEFT SLIGHTLY
HIGHER POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS BUT TWEAKED CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS UP SLIGHTLY TO JUST BELOW MENTIONABLE THRESHOLDS.
ONLY OTHER CHANGE THIS EVENING IS TO ADJUST RED FLAG HEADLINE. WE
WILL LET 427 AND 413 EXPIRE WITH CONVECTION REMAINING ISOLATED
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE HEADLINE FOR 475 AND 476 WILL BE EXTENDED
INTO TUESDAY EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED REPEAT OF LOW HUMIDITIES AND
GUSTY WINDS. NO OTHER UPDATES ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING. DMH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 206 PM MDT MON JUL 29 2013/

DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS CUMULUS CLOUD DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI
MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHEAST HIGHLANDS. CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST HIGHLANDS. MODELS
SHOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST
HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY. LOOK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOST
RIVER/PAHSIMEROI MOUNTAINS AND UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING. EXPECT WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA.

LOOK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND ELEVATED WINDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM STARTS TO PUSH
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EAST. THURSDAY LOOK FOR MODERATE TO STRONG
WINDS AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AT OR NEAR RED FLAG CRITERIA
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES OVER
NORTHERN IDAHO THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. RED FLAGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR
THE REST OF THE AREA FOR MODERATE TO HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AS WELL ON THURSDAY. LOOK FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE WARMING UP THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO
MONDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BUILDING BACK IN. WYATT

AVIATION...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LOOK
FOR BREEZY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL TAF SITES.
ADDITIONALLY...LOOK FOR VICINITY THUNDERSTORMS FOR KIDA...KPIH AND
KBYI THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITH THUNDERSTORMS TO
THESE TAF SITES SOUTH. WYATT

FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING STILL IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR
ZONES 475 AND 476 FOR WIND GUSTS AND LOW HUMIDITY AND SOME SITES
HAVE VERIFIED ALREADY AT 2 PM.   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS STILL
EXPECTED THIS EVENING IN 427 AND 413 AND RED FLAG WARNING FOR THOSE
STILL IN EFFECT ALSO UNTIL 9 PM.   FRONTAL BOUNDARY BISECTS
SOUTHEAST IDAHO AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS IN SOUTHEAST PART OF
DISTRICT ENHANCING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WHILE TO THE NORTH OF
FRONT LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONGER WINDS PRESENT.   EXPECT LESS
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TUESDAY WITH MAINLY ISOLATED COVERAGE IN THE
SOUTHEAST.
GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ413-427.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING IDZ475-476.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
416 AM MDT MON JUL 29 2013

IDZ017>025-031-032-301245-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
416 AM MDT MON JUL 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SAWTOOTH NATIONAL FOREST AND THE CARIBOU
PORTION OF THE CARIBOU-TARGHEE NATIONAL FOREST...MEANS RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN THE AFFECTED AREA FROM NOON UNTIL 900 PM. THE ENTIRE
SALMON-CHALLIS NATIONAL FOREST IS UNDER A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
EXTREME LOW HUMIDITY AND WIND GUSTING TO 25 MPH FOR THE SAME TIME
PERIOD. SEE THE LATEST URGENT FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY IN AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SNAKE RIVER...EVEN THIS MORNING AND LASTING
LATE TONIGHT. EXPECT WIND GUSTING AS STRONG AS 50 MPH...BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT LEAST EVERY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN IDAHO...MAINLY IN AREAS SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE SNAKE RIVER AND ALONG THE IDAHO-MONTANA BORDER. A
DRY COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY MAY BRING CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS DECREASES
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.

MESSICK