Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
545 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD IN BEHIND THIS FRONT STARTING LATE TONIGHT BRINGING MUCH
COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A MOSTLY DRY
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY MORNING, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COOL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODIFY BACK TO NORMAL BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
WE WILL CLEAR THE WATCH BEHIND THE DECAYING SQUALL LINE AS FAST AS
WE CAN.  WILL BEGIN AT 610 PM.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE CWA UNTIL 10 PM. AN
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH/SFC COLD FRONT WILL TOUCH OFF TSTMS ACROSS
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE THREAT OF FLOODING REDUCED SINCE
CELLS NOW HAVE A DECENT MOTION TO THEM. LOCALIZED FLOODING A
POSSIBILITY HOWEVER.

THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE WRN COUNTIES EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN
CONTINUE EASTWARD PASSING OFF THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. DIMINISHING
PCPN AND CLEARING SKIES WILL ARRIVE AFTER FROPA. WINDS WILL SHIFT
FROM S/SW TO W/NW AFTER THE FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR ARRIVES
ACROSS THE AREA LATE. LOWS MOSTLY MAV/MET BLEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA FRIDAY AND A MUCH COOLER
AND DRIER AIR MAS WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S (NORTH) AND LOW TO
MID 70S (SOUTH). WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH AT TIMES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH A DEEP AMPLITUDE MID LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE COUNTRY WHICH DE-AMPLIFY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND BEFORE ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES IN EARLY MONDAY. THE MODELS THEN
SHOW SOME AGREEMENT IN ESTABLISHING A MORE ZONAL FLOW BY THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH A HINT OF SLIGHT RIDGING BY THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING IN FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD DOMINATE OUR WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK FRONT MAY CROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY, BUT WITH LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE, ANY PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE LIGHT. THEN ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
SOUTHERN CANADA WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA AND DOMINATE OUR WEATHER
INTO MIDWEEK. A WARM FRONT MAY TRY TO LIFT NORTH ON WEDNESDAY AS THE
SURFACE FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST.

IN TERMS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER, A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT THEN DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION,
FOLLOWED BY DRY WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A WARM
FRONT LIFTS NORTH AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FURTHER EAST. IN
AUTUMN-LIKE FASHION, TEMPERATURES WILL SEE-SAW THROUGH THE
PERIOD...STARTING OUT BELOW NORMAL FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT...THEN RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THEN
BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN ABOVE NORMAL LATE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

SO FAR: RDG G40 KT AT 511 PM CONVECTIVELY TIES IN WELL WITH DECAYING
LINE.

MOSTLY MVFR CONDITIONS WITH OCNL LOWER CIGS/HAZE INTO THE EVENING.
SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVERNIGHT AND AFFECT THE
WRN/CENTRAL AREAS BETWEEN 20-24Z AND THEN MOVE EAST TO THE SRN/ERN
TAF SITES FROM 23Z-02Z. GUSTY WINDS/HAIL A POSSIBILITY WITH TSTMS
SINCE A SVR WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN TO
THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH INCREASING W/NW WINDS. FRI...VFR WITH GUSTY
NW WINDS.

OUTLOOK...
FRI NIGHT THRU SUN...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL
OCCUR ON FRIDAY...GUSTS TO 20 KT ARE POSSIBLE. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SUN NIGHT INTO MON...MAINLY VFR. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH RESULTING IN A SW TO NW WIND SHIFT. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MON NIGHT THRU TUE...VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA ATLC WATERS ISSUED AT 540 PM AND CONT TIL MID. TOO MANY G25
KT. SEAS SHOULD COME UP BRIEFLY TO 5 FT. THEN NO SCA ANTICIPATED
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WINDS/SEAS HIGHER IN TSTMS WITH A WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE REGION
UNTIL 10 PM. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.
FRIDAY THE WINDS WILL BE W/NW ABOUT THE SAME SPEEDS. SEAS 3-4 FT
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SWELL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH EFFECTS OF TS
GABRIELLE STILL AFFECTING THE WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE MARINE WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH SUB-SCA CONDITIONS. ANOTHER WK CDFNT IS FCST TO CROSS THE
WATERS ON MONDAY, BUT SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE COASTS OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY FOR TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. AS A RESULT, THERE WILL LIKELY BE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MIKETTA
NEAR TERM...DRAG/O'HARA  543P
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...MIKETTA
AVIATION...MIKETTA/O'HARA 543P
MARINE...DRAG/MIKETTA/O'HARA 543P
RIP CURRENTS...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-131945-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
338 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-131945-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
338 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION, THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON FRIDAY AS
LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE REACH THE NJ AND
DE SHORE. OTHERWISE, NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-131945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
338 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 525 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
551 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MUHLENBERG TWP          40.39N  75.93W
09/12/2013                   BERKS              PA   NEWSPAPER

            TREE FELL ON HOUSE AND PERSON TRAPPED IN DEBRIS. TIME
            OF EVENT IS APPROXIMATE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1300426

BUNKER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
558 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

MDZ012-015-019-122300-
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
558 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT QUEEN ANNE'S...
SOUTHWESTERN KENT AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 555 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
GIBSON ISLAND TO DARES BEACH...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR STEVENSVILLE SOUTH AROUND 610 PM...ROCK
HALL AROUND 620 PM...GRASONVILLE AROUND 630 PM...OLD TOWN AROUND 640
PM...STARKEY CORNER AROUND 650 PM AND CORDOVA AROUND 700 PM.

LAT...LON 3876 7636 3887 7625 3881 7621 3883 7620
      3894 7624 3890 7624 3893 7628 3883 7638
      3894 7637 3905 7631 3899 7627 3900 7618
      3903 7625 3919 7628 3925 7592 3869 7599
      3857 7604 3873 7626 3867 7635 3877 7639

FORECASTER:AMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
600 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

NJZ001-007>009-PAZ055-062-122330-
HUNTERDON NJ-MONROE PA-MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-
600 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MORRIS...NORTHEASTERN
NORTHAMPTON...NORTHERN HUNTERDON...SOUTHEASTERN MONROE...SUSSEX AND
WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 557 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
BARTONSVILLE TO CALIFON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR MARSHALLS CREEK...ANALOMINK...ANALOMINK...
AND EAST STROUDSBURG AROUND 610 PM...HIDDEN LAKE...ECHO LAKE...ECHO
LAKE...AND WERRY LAKE AROUND 620 PM...MILLBROOK AND FLATBROOKVILLE
AROUND 630 PM.

LAT...LON 4121 7437 4105 7449 4106 7446 4097 7427
      4090 7426 4090 7433 4079 7436 4073 7454
      4076 7457 4073 7470 4067 7472 4060 7495
      4067 7522 4103 7533 4115 7513 4109 7503
      4110 7500 4118 7489 4129 7484 4136 7471

MEOLA