Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 86, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

November 2, 2013

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Nov 2, 2013, 3:46 AM EDT. It took effect at Nov 3, 2013, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2013, 3:46 AM EDT (07:46 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 3, 2013, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 4, 2013, 12:00 PM EST
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

561 
WHUS71 KPHI 020746
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
346 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

ANZ430-431-022115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.131103T1100Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
346 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST
MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE OVER THE BAY AROUND DAWN SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-022115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
346 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...ENHANCED SEAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE
  SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-022115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
346 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...ENHANCED SEAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE
  SUNDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
923 
WHUS71 KPHI 021903
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
303 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

ANZ453>455-031100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
303 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...ENHANCED SEAS TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-031100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.131103T1100Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
303 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE OVER THE BAY AROUND DAWN SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-031100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
303 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...ENHANCED SEAS TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ARRIVE SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
414 
WHUS71 KPHI 030840
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

ANZ451>455-032145-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
340 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING
  AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-032145-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.131103T1100Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
340 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING
  AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-032145-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
340 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING
  AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
466 
WHUS71 KPHI 031431
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
931 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

ANZ430-431-040445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
931 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-040445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
931 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451>455-040445-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
931 AM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
413 
WHUS71 KPHI 032026
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

ANZ430-431-041100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
326 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-041100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
326 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451>455-041100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
326 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
243 
WHUS71 KPHI 040834
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

ANZ430-040945-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
334 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

ANZ452>455-042145-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131105T0500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
334 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 TODAY AND 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND/OR SEAS WILL PERSIST
  INTO THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-041700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
334 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST
  THROUGH MIDDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-041100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
334 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
  THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
875 
WHUS71 KPHI 041033
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
533 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

ANZ431-041700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
533 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH MORNING GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452>455-042345-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131105T0500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
533 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET TODAY AND 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND/OR SEAS WILL PERSIST 
  INTO THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-041700-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
533 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH MORNING GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND SEAS WILL PERSIST 
  THROUGH MIDDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
729 
WHUS71 KPHI 041709
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1209 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

ANZ450-451-041815-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131104T1700Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
1209 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH BELOW SCA LEVELS.

$$

ANZ431-041815-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-131104T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1209 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH BELOW SCA LEVELS.


$$

ANZ452>455-050500-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-131105T0500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1209 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND/OR SEAS WILL PERSIST 
  INTO THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 1, 9:58 PM EDT, 5 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 9:58 PM EDT, 5 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
958 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOW ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION THROUGH
TONIGHT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND TRACK EAST OF OUR AREA LATE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST SUNDAY BEFORE SHIFTING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH OUR
AREA LATER THURSDAY, WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD THIS EVENING, WHILE
A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA. WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE BEGINNING TO
TURN MORE SOUTHWARD WHERE THERE IS A DIRECTION; HOWEVER, MANY
PLACES ARE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO
SLIDE EASTWARD AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA, WINDS SHOULD BECOME
MORE WESTERLY, EVEN NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT WHERE THERE IS A
DIRECTION. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
IN A LOT OF SPOTS AND SHOULD PROVIDE SOME DECENT RADIATIONAL
COOLING TO TAKE PLACE.

A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE THE FRONT, AND
SHOULD BE CONFINED MOSTLY TO THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY,
AS A WEAK WAVE DEVELOPS TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND NEARS THE DELMARVA
LATE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE WE SHOULD REMAIN DRY ELSEWHERE AS LOWER
DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO FILTER IN FROM THE WEST- NORTHWEST.

SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY
IN THE MOIST/STABLE AIR WHERE WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AS
THE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD, WE THINK THE FOG SHOULD
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS DRIER AIR PUSHES IN.

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE ACROSS THE REGION GIVEN
MORE CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND LESS
NORTH-NORTHWEST. EXPECTING MID-40S NORTH AND WEST TO LOW-50S SOUTH
AND EAST...HEAVIER WEIGHING ON THE MET FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
CONTINUE WITH THE BENIGN WEATHER AS THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PULLS
FURTHER NORTHEAST AND THE FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT TO SEA. MOST
OF THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE SATURDAY. BETTER COLD
AIR ADVECTION ALOFT KICKS IN AS THE LOW AND MID-LEVEL TROUGHS, WITH
THEIR ASSOCIATED COLD POOLS, PASSES THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN TO AROUND -6.5C/KM
AND GIVEN THERE IS STILL SOME LINGERING MOISTURE AT THESE LEVELS,
SOME ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS MAY OCCUR. THIS LOOKS TO HAVE A BETTER
CHANCE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN OUR NORTHERN ZONES.

OTHERWISE A PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY IS EXPECTED AS THE TROUGHS
MOVE THROUGH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ON THE MILDER SIDE
AS SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. A
BLEND OF THE MET/MAV WORKED BEST GIVEN THE VARIABILITY IN THE CLOUD
COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP IS COMPRISED OF AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH IN THE EAST THAT LIFTS OUT LATER SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH
RIDGING ARRIVING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A COLD SHOT ARRIVES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY MODERATION. THE RIDGE SHIFTS
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY BUT THEN TENDS TO BECOME ANCHORED NEAR FLORIDA.
THE NEXT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE
MODEL GUIDANCE OVERALL IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS, THEREFORE WE
USED A MODEL BLEND APPROACH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, THEN
SWITCHED TO WPC GUIDANCE THEREAFTER. SOME TWEAKS WERE THEN MADE
AFTER ADDITIONAL COLLABORATION WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES.

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...LOW PRESSURE ALONG A FRONT OFFSHORE
IS FORECAST TO LIFT UP NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS A SHARPENING
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE EAST. THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH
LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION AROUND SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER A
SURFACE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD SUNDAY ALTHOUGH THIS
MAY WEAKEN AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS SHIFTING EASTWARD. THIS WILL
ALLOW A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION. THE
COMBINATION OF STRONGER CAA WITH A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD RESULT IN EFFICIENT VERTICAL MIXING, LEADING TO BRISK
CONDITIONS SUNDAY. THERE SHOULD BE SOME LAKE EFFECT RESPONSE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, ALTHOUGH THE FLOW MAY BECOME TO
NORTHERLY ALONG WITH INCREASING SUBSIDENCE FOR IT TO LAST REAL LONG.
WE MAINTAIN A CHC OF FLURRIES/SPRINKLES ACROSS OUR FAR NORTHWEST
ZONES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS LITTLE TO NO MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION MAY MAKE IT THIS FAR SOUTHEAST. THE AIRMASS ON SUNDAY
MAY BE DRY ENOUGH TO KEEP STRATOCUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LIMITED, BUT
GIVEN THE COLDER AIR ALOFT THERE WILL PROBABLY BE SOME FLAT
STRATOCUMULUS DEVELOPMENT.

AS THE TROUGH MOVES OUT AND RIDGING STARTS TO ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT,
LESS WIND ALONG WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER AND A DRY AIRMASS SHOULD
RESULT IN GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS. THEREFORE, A MUCH
COLDER NIGHT IS FORECAST. THIS COLD SHOT SHOULD RESULT IN THE END OF
THE GROWING SEASON FOR THE REMAINING ACTIVE COUNTIES /IT OFFICIALLY
ENDS NOVEMBER 5TH/ WHICH IS NOT MANY.

FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MIGRATING INTO THE
PLAINS AND MIDWEST WILL ALLOW DOWNSTREAM RIDGING TO BUILD EASTWARD.
THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER DURING THIS TIME
FRAME. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST
MONDAY BEFORE SHIFTING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TUESDAY. THE
LINGERING COLD AIR WILL RESULT IN A RATHER CHILLY MONDAY, ALTHOUGH
THE WINDS SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE. THE RETURN FLOW THEN AROUND
THE DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH ALONG WITH A MODERATING AIRMASS WILL
ALLOW FOR SOME MODERATION TUESDAY. AN ITEM OF NOTE THOUGH IS THE
POSITION OF THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER, WHICH IS FORECAST TO BE IN NEW
ENGLAND. THIS POSITION WOULD ALLOW AN EASTERLY FLOW FOR A TIME
ACROSS OUR AREA AND POTENTIALLY BRING IN MORE CLOUDS AS THE OCEAN
INFLUENCE OCCURS. THIS COMBINED WITH BUILDING WAA COULD MAKE FOR A
FAIRLY CLOUDY TIME ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. DESPITE THE ONSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPING, WE OPTED TO GO WITH A DRY FORECAST AS THE AIRMASS WILL
NEED TO MOISTEN UP.

FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING ACROSS
THE MIDWEST, GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY WILL PUSH THE RIDGE OVER
THE EAST OFFSHORE. THE SURFACE HIGH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL
THEREFORE SLIDE EASTWARD WEDNESDAY, ALTHOUGH IN RESPONSE TO THE
RIDGE GETTING KNOCKED DOWN PROBABLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THURSDAY. THIS
WILL EVENTUALLY ALLOW OUR ONSHORE WINDS TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY
DURING THIS TIME FRAME, ALTHOUGH DEEPENING MOISTURE WITH WAA MAY
RESULT IN SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES /DRIZZLE?/ WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS SCHEDULED TO MOVE THROUGH LATER
THURSDAY. WE FOLLOWED CLOSELY TO THE WPC GUIDANCE, WHICH INCLUDED
SOME SLIGHT CHC TO LOW CHC POPS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT FROM
WEST TO EAST. HIGH/LOW TEMPERATURES LEANED TOWARD WPC GUIDANCE WHICH
SHOWS A WARMING TREND, ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE TEMPERED SOME
DEPENDING ON IF MORE CLOUD COVER IS PRESENT. AS OF NOW THOUGH GIVEN
THE FLOW FORECAST TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT,
WE WENT WITH A WARMER DAY THURSDAY.

FOR FRIDAY...AN INCOMING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SETTLE
INTO THE NORTHEAST ONCE AGAIN, AND THIS SHOULD PUSH A COLD FRONT
OFFSHORE TO ALLOW FOR A DRY DAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TOWARD THE
OHIO VALLEY WILL RESULT IN A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS ALONG
WITH THE AIRMASS COOLING MAY RESULT IN SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

TONIGHT...MOSTLY VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER, SOME
PATCHY GROUND FOG IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE STABLE/MOIST
AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WE WILL HOLD
OFF ON MAKING WIDESPREAD CHANGES UNLESS THIS LOOKS LIKE A
CONTINUING TREND AND AMEND AS NECESSARY. AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD, WE BELIEVE THE FOG CHANCES SHOULD DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT.

WE KEEP THE PREDOMINATE SOUTH- SOUTHWESTERLY WIND AT THE SURFACE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, THEN WEST-NORTHWEST AS THE FRONT FULLY
PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS MAY BECOME MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THERE COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS THAT MAY CLIP MIV AND ACY
THAT MAY PRODUCE SOME LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS BUT DID NOT FEEL
CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THE MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS POINT.
DRIER AIR SHOULD CONTINUE TO WORK IN OVERNIGHT WHICH SHOULD PREVENT
GROUND FOG FROM FORMING, OR AT LEAST PROVIDING VSBY RESTRICTIONS.

SATURDAY...VFR. WINDS START OFF SOUTHWESTERLY AND BACK MORE TOWARDS
THE WEST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. IT LOOKS LIKE WE COULD
HAVE SOME GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON, SO AN AFTERNOON GROUP WAS ADDED.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...VFR. NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 10-20 KNOTS,
WITH GUSTINESS MAINLY ON SUNDAY. THE WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY VFR, HOWEVER POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS
DEVELOPING FOR KACY AND KMIV. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS GENERALLY 5-10
KNOTS.

WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS IN THE MORNING, OTHERWISE
MAINLY VFR. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS MOSTLY 5-10 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
THE SMALL CRAFT OF THE DELAWARE BAY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. THE REST OF THE
ADVISORIES REMAIN AS THEY PREVIOUSLY WERE. THE SOUTHERN WATERS UP
THROUGH GREAT EGG CONTINUE THROUGH 2PM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS AFTER
THE GUSTS DROP OFF, THE SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO RUN AROUND 5 TO 7
FEET. THERE NORTH GOES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY GIVEN THE
TIME LAG IN THE SEAS DROPPING BELOW 5 FEET. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
THE SOUTHERN WATERS MAY COME DOWN EARLIER THAN 2PM AS SURFACE
WINDS MAY BE TOO FAR TO THE WEST GIVING MORE OF AN OFFSHORE
COMPONENT.

OUTLOOK...
A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A
COLDER AIRMASS ADVECTS IN AND A PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING REACHED
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. IT APPEARS THE GALE POTENTIAL
HAS LESSENED SOME ATTM. THE WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH AND BE BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FLOW TURNS MORE
ONSHORE. HOWEVER, DUE TO THE ONSHORE WIND COMPONENT EARLY NEXT WEEK,
SEAS ON THE OCEAN MIGHT REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH THE BETTER CHC
OF THIS OCCURRING ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN OCEAN ZONES.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ450>452.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ453>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GORSE
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER/ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE/HEAVENER/ROBERTSON
MARINE...GORSE/HEAVENER/ROBERTSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 1, 3:45 PM EDT, 12 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

DEZ001>004-MDZ020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-
021945-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
345 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-PAZ070-071-021945-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
345 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

FROST OR FREEZE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THE GROWING SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 5TH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-021945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
345 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 1, 10:13 PM EDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1013 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ010-012>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-020615-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...
NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
1013 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

...PATCHY DENSE FOG INTO THE OVERNIGHT...

CLEAR SKIES AND A STILL MILD AND MOIST AIRMASS ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR IS ALLOWING FOG TO FORM AND SOME OF THE FOG
HAS BECOME LOCALLY DENSE REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER OF A MILE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING IN DRIER
AIR AND START DISPERSING THE FOG LATER TONIGHT.

UNTIL THEN PLEASE BE ON THE ALERT FOR VARYING ROAD CONDITIONS AND
VISIBILITIES INTO THE OVERNIGHT. PLEASE USE LOW BEAMS WHILE
DRIVING THROUGH THICKER FOG PATCHES AND GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
BRAKING DISTANCES AND REACTION TIMES.
Special weather statement, Nov 2, 3:01 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
301 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

DEZ001-002-NJZ013-014-016>027-021130-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...FREEHOLD...
SANDY HOOK...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
301 AM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013

...FOG EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO BE DENSE IN PLACES..

FOG CONTINUES TO BLANKET SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN DELAWARE
AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF NEW JERSEY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE
FOG IS DENSE IN PLACES REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER OF A MILE. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF NEW JERSEY
WILL BEGIN STIRRING AND MIXING THE AIR MORE EFFICIENTLY AS WE
MOVE TOWARD MORNING, THIS WILL START DISPERSING THE FOG AS WE GET
CLOSER TO SUNRISE. IMPROVEMENT SHOULD COME FIRST ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 95 AND 195 CORRIDORS AND THEN SLOWLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.

UNTIL THEN PLEASE BE ON THE ALERT FOR VARYING ROAD CONDITIONS AND
VISIBILITIES. PLEASE USE LOW BEAMS WHILE DRIVING THROUGH THICKER
FOG PATCHES AND GIVE YOURSELF SOME EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR
DESTINATION AS WELL AS EXTRA BRAKING DISTANCE AND REACTION TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 2, 3:13 PM EDTFreeze WatchPHIDelaware, Philadelphia13 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.