Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2013

Small Craft Advisory 81, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 22, 2013

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Oct 22, 2013, 3:26 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 23, 2013, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 22, 2013, 3:26 PM EDT (19:26 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 23, 2013, 12:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 25, 2013, 5:50 PM EDT
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

257 
WHUS71 KPHI 221926
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG A STALLED COLD 
FRONT ALONG THE DELMARVA COAST AND MOVE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

ANZ451>455-230830-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.131023T1600Z-131024T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
326 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM
EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SZATKOWSKI
10 follow-up statements
549 
WHUS71 KPHI 222337
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
737 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

ANZ451>455-230900-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.131023T1600Z-131024T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
737 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
271 
WHUS71 KPHI 230801
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

ANZ431-232115-
/O.EXA.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.131023T1600Z-131024T1000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
401 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451>455-232115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.131023T1600Z-131024T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
401 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
918 
WHUS71 KPHI 231912
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
312 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

ANZ450-240815-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.131024T1600Z-131024T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
312 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-451>455-240815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131024T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
312 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. 5 FT SEAS POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
  24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DRAG
667 
WHUS71 KPHI 240136
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
936 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

ANZ431-451>455-241000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131024T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
936 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-241000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.131024T1600Z-131024T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
936 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT...INCREASING
  TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT THURSDAY.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
423 
WHUS71 KPHI 240748
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

ANZ431-451>455-242100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T1000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-242100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.131024T0748Z-131025T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
815 
WHUS71 KPHI 241913
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

ANZ430-250815-
/O.EXB.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
313 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...UPPER DELAWARE BAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 2 FEET AND CHOPPY.

* TIMING...IN PROGRESS DURING MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES
  INTERMITTENTLY TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-451>455-250815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
313 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW
  JERSEY AS WELL AS THE ATLANTIC WATERS ADJACENT DELAWARE AND
  ALSO LOWER DELAWARE BAY.  

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SCATTERED GUSTS AROUND 25 KT ARE IN PROGRESS DURING MID
  AFTERNOON ON PORTIONS OF THESE WATERS. THESE SCATTERED GUSTS
  AROUND 25 KT MAY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT DURING TONIGHT
  AND THEN REVERT MORE TO A HERE AND THERE NATURE FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-250815-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
313 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...IN PROGRESS DURING MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES
  INTERMITTENTLY TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ITS POSSIBLE
  THESE 25 KT WIND GUSTS WILL BECOME MORE PERSISTENT AND
  WIDESPREAD DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
128 
WHUS71 KPHI 250129
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

ANZ430-431-451>455-251430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW 
  JERSEY AS WELL AS THE ATLANTIC WATERS ADJACENT DELAWARE AND 
  ALSO LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SCATTERED GUSTS AROUND 25 KT MAY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
  AND PERSISTENT OVERNIGHT AND THEN REVERT MORE TO A HERE AND
  THERE NATURE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-251430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...CONTINUE INTERMITTENTLY TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON. ITS POSSIBLE THESE 25 KT WIND GUSTS WILL BECOME MORE
  PERSISTENT AND WIDESPREAD LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
431 
WHUS71 KPHI 250756
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
356 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

ANZ455-250900-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
356 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND SEAS ARE BELOW AND WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY..

$$

ANZ430-431-451>454-252100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
356 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW
  JERSEY AS WELL AS ALL OF DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 4 FEET ON THE OCEAN AND 2 TO 3 ON THE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-252100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
356 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
717 
WHUS71 KPHI 251907
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
307 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

ANZ430-431-451>454-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
307 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW 
  JERSEY AS WELL AS ALL OF DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-252200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
307 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
858 
WHUS71 KPHI 252150
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
550 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013
  
ANZ451>454-261100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.131026T1600Z-131027T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
550 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A NEW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY. 
 
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT WINDS LIKELIHOOD WILL INCREASE AS SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-261100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.131026T1600Z-131027T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
550 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A NEW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY. 
 
* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
  KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT WINDS LIKELIHOOD WILL INCREASE AS SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-261100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-131025T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.131026T1600Z-131027T0600Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
550 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A NEW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 2 AM
EDT SUNDAY. 
 
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT WINDS LIKELIHOOD WILL INCREASE AS SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND PEAK DURING THE EVENING BEFORE
  DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT ON SATURDAY. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ455-261100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0083.131026T1600Z-131027T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
550 PM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SMALL CRAFT WINDS LIKELIHOOD WILL INCREASE AS SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER ARE ANTICIPATED. WINDS AND SEAS
WITHIN THESE RANGES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 22, 11:30 AM EDT, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 22, 11:30 AM EDT, 3 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
STALLS JUST OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TAKE
SHAPE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSING JUST OFFSHORE OF THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN MOVES BACK IN ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH THROUGH ON SUNDAY WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK IN FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AREA OF LIGHT RAIN THAT WAS TO THE WEST OF OUR REGION EARLIER
THIS MORNING HAS HUNG TOUGH AND MOVED INTO OUR WESTERN AND
NORTHERN COUNTIES. UPDATED FORECAST REFLECTS LOCATION AND MOVEMENT
OF CURRENT PRECIPITATION. PUSHED TEMPS LOWER GIVEN GREATER CLOUD
COVER AND VERY MODEST PRECIPITATION OVER OUR WESTERN AREA. STILL
ANTICIPATING WEAKENING/DISSIPATION AS IT MOVES FURTHER EAST, BUT IT
HAS CERTAINLY BEEN OVER-PERFORMING SO FAR.

PRECIPITATION IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPCOMING FRONTAL PASSAGE
LATER TODAY. HAVE SLOWED DOWN TIMING BY AN HOUR OR TWO REGARDING
FRONTAL PASSAGE, WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURRING IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DELAWARE VALLEY, AND THE BOUNDARY THEN
GRADUALLY SHIFTING EAST AND OFF THE COAST DURING THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BEGIN THE DAY ACROSS THE
AREA, WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND A BIT GUSTY FOLLOWING
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
THE COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY IS
EXPECTED TO LINGER ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
GFS AND NAM CONTINUE TO SHOW A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR
OR JUST EAST OF THE DELMARVA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
WEDNESDAY. WE GRADUALLY STEP-UP POPS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FROM
MIDNIGHT ONWARDS THROUGH DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY, FROM CHANCE TO LIKELY
POPS. HIGHEST POPS ARE FORECAST TO BE FROM ABOUT THE I-95 CORRIDOR
SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE DELMARVA AND NJ. THIS AREA COULD SEE UP
TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES,
WITH UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S THROUGH THE SOUTHERN POCONOS TO LEHIGH
VALLEY AND MILDER MID 40S TO LOW 50S THROUGH THE DELAWARE VALLEY,
SOUTHERN NJ, AND THE DELMARVA. WE BLENDED THE LATEST MET/MAV
GUIDANCE WITH CONTINUITY FOR MINIMUM TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
START OFF THE LONGTERM WITH A FAIRLY COMPLEX SYSTEM THAT EMERGES OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND RIDES ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR
IMMEDIATE EAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT THIS MORNING KEEPING THE CENTER OF THE LOW CLOSE
ENOUGH TO THE REGION THAT A COLD RAIN WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD OUR
SOUTHERN ZONES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
DURING THE DAY. THERE IS PLENTY OF JET ENERGY TO OUR EAST WHICH
SHOULD KEEP THE HEAVIER RAIN OFFSHORE. THAT BEING SAID THE MODELS
ARE SHOWING SOME DECENT MID-LEVEL Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE AND
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ACROSS THE COASTAL AND ADJACENT INTERIOR ZONES
ALLOWING FOR A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE TO FALL...OUR
NORTHWESTERN ZONES MAY REMAIN MOSTLY DRY WITH TRACE AMOUNTS...THOUGH
THE TRACK OF THE LOW STILL HAS TIME TO SHIFT EAST OR WEST.

THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD RAPIDLY PULL AWAY LEAVING US WITH BREEZY AND
COOLER CONDITIONS WITH EAST COAST TROUGHING REMAINING FAIRLY
ENTRENCHED. MULTIPLE MID-LEVEL WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO ROUND THE BASE
OF THE TROUGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF IMPACTS
ON THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WAVE, BASED ON THE 00Z GUIDANCE, LOOKS
TO BE ROTATING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THE WAVE HAS A WEAK SURFACE INFLECTION THAT QUICKLY MOVES BY TO OUR
NORTH AS A CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM. WE MAINTAIN THE CONTINUITY FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH LIGHT RAIN, AND POSSIBLY A WET SNOWFLAKE
MIXED IN, ACROSS OUR NORTHERN ZONES SUNDAY MORNING. THE MID-LEVEL
FLOW BECOMES FLATTER AND NEARLY ZONAL BEHIND THE DEPARTING MID-LEVEL
TROUGH AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE
REGION.

TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE LONGTERM PERIOD SHOULD END UP BEING
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AS REINFORCING SHOTS OF COOLER CANADIAN
AIR ARE USHERED INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONTS AND WITH MID-LEVEL
TROUGHING PREVAILING.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

OVERALL, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MOSTLY
SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST
WINDS AT 5 KNOTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH DAYBREAK. A COLD FRONT
WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS
AFFECTING THE KRDG AND KABE TAF SITES, BUT IS NOT FORECAST TO
AFFECT TAF SITES FURTHER EAST. A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE
PHL METRO AREA IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME. IN ADDITION TO
THE WINDS BECOMING MORE WESTERLY, SOME GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE. ANY GUSTINESS SHOULD
DIMINISH BY AROUND 0Z, AND WE EXPECT THE WINDS TO CONTINUE TO VEER
TO THE NORTHWEST AND BE UNDER 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CEILINGS
ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER DOWN TO AROUND 5,000 OR 6,000 FEET LEADING UP
TO DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY FROM AROUND KPHL SOUTH AND EAST ALONG WITH
SOME RAIN AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE DELMARVA. SOME LOWERING
TO MVFR CIGS/VSBYS MAY OCCUR IN AREAS OF STEADIER RAIN.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE IN RA SOUTH AND
EAST OF PHL. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS POSSIBLE.

THURSDAY...MOSTLY VFR. WNW GUSTS AROUND 25KT POSSIBLE.

THURSDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND MOVE THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA AND
COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WE EXPECT SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH WINDS
INITIALLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY TODAY, BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND
THEN NORTHWESTERLY THIS EVENING FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOME
GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 KNOTS MAY OCCUR, ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY 1 TO 2 FEET THROUGH DELAWARE BAY,
WITH 2 TO 3 FOOT SEAS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.

DURING TONIGHT, SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE ALONG
THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE; ALTHOUGH, SOME
RAIN AND POSSIBLE REDUCED VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

OUTLOOK...
A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OF OUR
WATERS ON WEDNESDAY AND IN ITS WAKE SMALL CRAFT GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE THE CHANCES OF THE 25+
KNOT GUSTS BUT AS OF NOW ALL OF OUR WATERS COULD EXPERIENCE SCA
CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT LASTING INTO THURSDAY WITH
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES A BIT ON
THURSDAY WITH SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY. THE GRADIENT LOOKS TO TIGHTEN UP AGAIN BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH SCA POSSIBLE YET AGAIN THROUGH SUNDAY...AHEAD OF THE NEXT
POSSIBLE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SZATKOWSKI/HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...SZATKOWSKI/KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
AVIATION...SZATKOWSKI/HEAVENER/KLINE
MARINE...SZATKOWSKI/HEAVENER/KLINE
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 22, 4:35 AM EDT, 10 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ014-024>026-230845-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES SATURDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>023-027-PAZ060-070-071-101>106-
230845-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE NON
URBAN AREAS OUTSIDE OF PHILADELPHIA ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNING. A
MORE WIDESPREAD FROST OR FREEZE IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-230845-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY MORNING. A MORE WIDESPREAD FROST OR FREEZE IS POSSIBLE
SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-230845-
WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY MORNING. A MORE WIDESPREAD FROST OR FREEZE IS POSSIBLE
SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-230845-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
435 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 22, 3:30 PM EDTFreeze WatchPHISussex, Warren24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2013Every small craft advisory in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.