Low Water Advisory 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

286 
WHUS71 KPHI 210826
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013

ANZ430-212130-
/O.EXP.KPHI.LO.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-130221T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130222T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
326 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING EXTENDED AND NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR THE UPPER PART OF DELAWARE BAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* LOW WATER ADVISORY...A NEW LOW WATER ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED
  DURING FORENOON...IF TIDAL DEPARTURE TRENDS SUPPORT A SIMILAR
  NEAR THRESHOLD LOW WATER EPISODE AS OCCURRED EARLIER THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN
PORT.


&&

$$

ANZ431-450>455-212130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-130222T0100Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
326 AM EST THU FEB 21 2013

...GALE WARNING EXTENDED AND NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND
  DELAWARE AS WELL AS LOWER DELAWARE BAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...WHILE A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 35 KNOTS MAY OCCUR THIS
  MORNING...THE MOST PERSISTENT AND WIDESPREAD 35 KNOT GUSTS OF
  THIS GALE WARNING EXTENSION SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM AND 7 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND A PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSEL. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE REMAIN IN
PORT.

&&

$$

DRAG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIME
PROVINCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
THROUGH FRIDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN...REACHING
OUR AREA FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW FROM THE PLAINS WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE
GREAT LAKES AREA EARLY THIS WEEKEND. A SECOND LOW WILL DEVELOP TO
THE SOUTH ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
THE PRIMARY CENTER OF THE MID LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED
OVER CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND EARLY THIS EVENING AND IT SHOULD PROGRESS
TO THE WATERS OFF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY. THE
SURFACE LOW SHOULD DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS CANADA'S MARITIME PROVINCES
DURING THE NIGHT.

OUR REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE CYCLONIC FLOW.
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRAWN INTO OUR REGION ON THE WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW. WIND SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH A BIT AFTER
DARK WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 OR 25 MPH.

THE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE SOMEWHAT FOR TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY OVER
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. HOWEVER, WITH THE CLOUDS BEING TRAPPED UNDER
AN INVERSION THE CLEARING MAY NOT BE QUICK TO TAKE PLACE.

BASED ON THE PREVAILING FLOW, WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT SCATTERED
FLURRIES IN OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES AND PERHAPS A FEW SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE ELEVATED TERRAIN WHERE SOME SPOTS MAY PICK UP A DUSTING.

MINIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE MAINLY IN THE TEENS AND
LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THE MID LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT EASTWARD ON THURSDAY.
HOWEVER, OUR REGION SHOULD REMAIN UNDER THE CYCLONIC FLOW WITH A
SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO PASS OVERHEAD DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY SHOULD BE ANOTHER BRISK DAY. WIND SPEEDS AT 925 HPA ARE
AGAIN FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOT RANGE. WHILE THE STRONGEST
OF THE WINDS SHOULD NOT MIX TO THE SURFACE, WE MAY SEE SOME GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH.

DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BUILDING INTO OUR REGION.
NEVERTHELESS, WE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE SOME STRATOCUMULUS OVERHEAD,
ESPECIALLY IN OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. THERE MAY ALSO BE LINGERING
FLURRIES THERE.

GENERALLY, AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE
ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN THOSE OF TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE BEGINNING OF
THE LONG TERM. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THU NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES.
HIGHS ON FRI WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE LOW 40S...A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL CONSIST OF A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING
FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION FRI-SAT. A WARM
ADVECTION PATTERN AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS/PCPN TO THE
AREA BEGINNING FRI NIGHT. THE AREA OF PCPN WILL BE LIGHT AND
DISORGANIZED AS IT ARRIVES...SINCE A SECOND LOW WILL BE DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE SOUTH. ANY PCPN THAT ARRIVES OVERNIGHT MAY BEGIN AS SOME
LIGHT SNOW OR POSSIBLY SOME MIXED WINTRY PCPN.

OVER THE WEEKEND...A MOSTLY RAIN EVENT AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS ALONG
THE NC COAST AND MOVES NORTHEAST. THE GREATEST PCPN TOTALS SHOULD BE
FROM SAT LATE MORNING THEN OVERNIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME WARP AROUND
PCPN SUNDAY. BY THEN THE TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY BE COLD ENOUGH
FOR SOME SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH/WEST. SOME OF THE
PCPN SAT NIGHT MAY BE SNOW ACROSS THE SRN POCONOS AND NRN NJ...JUST
DEPENDS ON HOW STUBBORN THE COLD AIR REMAINS ACROSS THESE AREAS. WE
HAVE PLACED SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMS ACROSS THESE AREAS..WITH 'STORM
TOTALS' 2.0 TO 3.5 INCHES ACROSS THESE AREAS FOR THE 24 HR PERIOD
ENDING SUNDAY MORNING. SMALL CHANGES IN THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM MAY
CAUSE A READJUSTMENT OF THE TOTALS.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FOR MONDAY WITH MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER
EXPECTED. ANOTHER SYSTEM...SIMILAR IN APPEARANCE TO THE WEEKEND
STORM SETS UP FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MORE RAIN/SNOW (HIGHER
ELEVATIONS) IS FORESEEN.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SCATTERED TO
BROKEN CLOUD COVER TONIGHT AND MAINLY SCATTERED CLOUD COVER ON
THURSDAY. THE CLOUD BASES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 4000 TO 6000 FOOT
RANGE. SCATTERED FLURRIES, ESPECIALLY AROUND KABE AND POINTS TO THE
NORTH, WILL HAVE LIMITED IMPACT ON THE VISIBILITY.

A BRISK WEST NORTHWEST WIND IS ANTICIPATED. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15
TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS INTO THE LOWER 30S ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED SPEEDS ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 10 TO 15
KNOT RANGE FOR TONIGHT WITH GUSTS IN THE LOWER 20S. SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS AND GUSTS ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THOSE OF
TODAY.

OUTLOOK...
THU NIGHT AND FRIDAY...VFR WITH INCREASING CLOUDS FRI.
FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...SUB-VFR WITH LOW CLOUDS AND PCPN.
SUN NIGHT THRU MONDAY...MOSTLY VFR. GUSTY WINDS SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WE HAVE LEFT THE GALE WARNING IN PLACE FOR TONIGHT THOUGH IT
CONTINUES TO APPEAR MARGINAL FOR WIDESPREAD AND FREQUENT 34 PLUS
KNOT GUSTS. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR 34 PLUS KNOT GUSTS WILL BE
ON THE LOWER PART OF DELAWARE BAY AND ON THE OCEAN WATERS NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE BAY DUE TO THE FUNNELING EFFECT. AS A RESULT, WE HAVE
DECIDED TO INCLUDE THE WATERS OFF THE COAST OF DELAWARE IN THE GALE
WARNING.

BASED ON THE FORECAST AIR AND WATER TEMPERATURES AND ON THE EXPECTED
WIND SPEEDS, WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE MENTION OF FREEZING SPRAY FOR
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

THE PERSISTENT WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP TIDAL DEPARTURES BELOW
NORMAL FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HOWEVER, WE DO NOT EXPECT THERE TO
BE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON NAVIGATION. NO LOW WATER ADVISORIES WILL
BE ISSUED.

OUTLOOK... SUB SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE WATERS THU NIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
NEXT SYSTEM WITH A PERIOD OF SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED SAT AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. LOWERING WINDS/SEAS MONDAY.

NEAR BLOWOUT TIDE LEVELS POSSIBLE ALONG NORTHERN DEL BAY AND
TIDAL DEL RIVER THU.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...IOVINO
SHORT TERM...IOVINO
LONG TERM...O'HARA
AVIATION...IOVINO/O'HARA
MARINE...IOVINO/O'HARA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-212045-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
334 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION LATE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE REGION ON SUNDAY WITH
MORE SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ007>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ060>062-070-071-101>106-
212045-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
334 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION LATE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE REGION ON SUNDAY
PROVIDING MORE MIXED PRECIPITATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-212045-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
334 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-212045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
334 PM EST WED FEB 20 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.