Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2013

Coastal Flood Warning 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

February 8, 20137 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Feb 8, 2013, 3:58 AM EST for 7 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Feb 8, 2013, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 8, 2013, 3:58 AM EST (08:58 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 8, 2013, 4:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 9, 2013, 5:32 AM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-02-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2013-02-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

215 
WHUS41 KPHI 080858
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT OUR REGION FROM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO PASS OFF CAPE HATTERAS, NORTH
CAROLINA ON THIS MORNING. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
TO THE NORTHEAST. THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO
THE EAST OF THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS ON THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-082100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0001.130209T0900Z-130209T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0001.130208T2100Z-130209T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
358 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EST SATURDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... AS WELL 
  AS AREAS ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND
  FRIDAY EVENING'S HIGH TIDE. WIDESPREAD MODERATE FLOODING IS
  ANTICIPATED AROUND SATURDAY MORNING'S HIGH TIDE.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  619 PM FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 643 AM SATURDAY, WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  549 PM FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 6.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 613 AM SATURDAY, WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  619 PM FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 6.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 624 AM SATURDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 619 PM
  FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT658 AM SATURDAY, WITH A FORECAST
  TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 619 PM FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 6.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 740 AM SATURDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 619
  PM FRIDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 6.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 640 AM SATURDAY, WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG 
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS OFF THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
  ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AT LEAST INTO THE 8 TO 12 FOOT RANGE FOR
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND MINOR TO MODERATE 
  PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE TIDES AND WAVE ACTION WILL 
  RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE OR MAJOR TIDAL
FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER
LEVELS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN DANGER AND
YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

ROBERTSON
4 follow-up statements
787 
WHUS41 KPHI 082010
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
310 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT OUR REGION FROM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WILL INTENSIFY AS IT
MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO
PASS TO THE EAST OF NEW JERSEY THIS EVENING ON ITS WAY TO THE NEW
ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-090415-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.130208T2100Z-130209T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
310 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... AS WELL 
  AS AREAS ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED 
  AROUND FRIDAY EVENING'S HIGH TIDE. WIDESPREAD MODERATE 
  FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND SATURDAY MORNING'S HIGH TIDE.

* AT SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  619 PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 643 AM SATURDAY...
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 549 PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL AROUND 6.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 613 AM
  SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  619 PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 624 AM
  SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 619
  PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 658 AM SATURDAY...
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 619 PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 740 AM
  SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH... DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  619 PM FRIDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 640 AM
  SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS... ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG 
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS OFF THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
  ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AT LEAST INTO THE 8 TO 12 FOOT RANGE FOR
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
  IS POSSIBLE. THE TIDES AND WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN MODERATE
  TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE OR MAJOR TIDAL
FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER
LEVELS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN DANGER AND
YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$
275 
WHUS41 KPHI 090233
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
933 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT OUR REGION FROM FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE EAST OF NEW JERSEY WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST. THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE
EAST OF NEW JERSEY THIS EVENING ON ITS WAY TO THE NEW ENGLAND
COASTAL WATERS.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-091045-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130209T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
933 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE... AS WELL 
  AS AREAS ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...AREAS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS
  ANTICIPATED AROUND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE.

* AT SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  643 AM SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0
  FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 613 AM SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  624 AM SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY...NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 658 AM
  SATURDAY...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 740 AM SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0
  FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH... DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 640
  AM SATURDAY... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS... ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG 
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS OFF THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
  ARE FORECAST TO BUILD AT LEAST INTO THE 8 TO 12 FOOT RANGE FOR
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
  IS POSSIBLE. THE TIDES AND WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN MODERATE
  TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE OR MAJOR TIDAL
FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER
LEVELS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN DANGER AND
YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$
329 
WHUS41 KPHI 090845
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-091600-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130209T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
345 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE...AS WELL
  AS AREAS ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...AREAS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS
  ANTICIPATED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

* AT SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  643 AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS...NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  613 AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY...NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  624 AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY...NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 658
  AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR...DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 740 AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH...DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  640 AM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS...ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS OFF THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
  ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BETWEEN 8 AND TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND MINOR PROPERTY 
  DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE TIDES AND WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN 
  MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE OR MAJOR TIDAL
FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER
LEVELS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN DANGER AND
YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY...PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$
466 
WHUS41 KPHI 091032
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
532 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-091600-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130209T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0003.130209T1032Z-130209T1600Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
532 AM EST SAT FEB 9 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE...AS WELL 
  AS AREAS ALONG DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS OFF THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
  WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 8 AND TO 12 FEET THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MOSTLY ROADSIDE FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY...THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED...LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Feb 8, 3:40 AM EST, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 8, 3:40 AM EST, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT, BEFORE STRENGTHENING AND MOVING TO NEAR CAPE COD SATURDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES ON MONDAY AND INTO EASTERN CANADA THROUGH TUESDAY, DRAGGING A
COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WINTER WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES IN PLACE. A WINDY ADVISORY WILL BE ADDED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE WATCH AREA.
MORE INFORMATION ON THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CONTAINED IN THE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING SECTION BELOW.

FOR THE MOST PART...THIS FORECAST WAS BASED HEAVILY ON THE 0000 UTC
ECMWF. THE 0000 UTC NAM LOOKS A BIT TOO STRONG AT THIS LATITUDE...
AND IS CONSIDERABLY FURTHER WEST THAT OTHER 0000 UTC MODEL
SOLUTIONS. THIS COULD BE DUE TO THE WARM BIAS SEEN ON THE
ANALYSIS...AND HOW THIS IS MANIFEST THROUGH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
SURFACE SYSTEM. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE 0000 UTC GFS LOOKS A BIT TOO
FAR EAST...CONSIDERING THAT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH GOES NEGATIVE THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD DEVELOPING IN THE UPGLIDE AHEAD OF THE
NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE HAS ARRIVED IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE. BASED ON THE 0000 UTC KWAL
SOUNDING...AND THE WARMTH OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER...THE PRECIPITATION
IS FALLING AS RAIN. FURTHER NORTH...TEMPERATURES ARE CLOSER TO
FREEZING...AND THE COLUMN IS COLDER (MORE LIKE THE 0000 UTC KIAD
SOUNDING).

AS THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD REACHES THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA...
IT SHOULD START AS SNOW...AS EVAPORATIVE COOLING BECOMES THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE DETERMINANT. AFTER THE COOLING IS EXHAUSTED...THE
BOUNDARY WARMS ENOUGH FOR A CHANGE TO RAIN. FURTHER NORTH...THE
COLUMN AND BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AS THE
DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE.

BASED ON THE 0000 UTC ECMWF...THE BEST PRECIPITATION RATES SHOULD BE
COINCIDENT WITH THE BEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING. THE BEST
BANDING POTENTIAL LIES WITH THE FORCING...AND THIS SHOULD ALSO OCCUR
IN THE 2100 UTC TO 0300 UTC TIMEFRAME FOR MOST PLACE. THE BEST LIFT
INITIALLY OCCURS CLOSER TO THE COAST...AND ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS.

WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REACHING CLOSE TO AN INCH (WHICH IS
TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY FEBRUARY)...HEAVY
RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND NEW
JERSEY. AT THIS POINT...IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE FLASHIER AREAS
(NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA OR NORTH CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY) WILL GET THE HEAVIEST RAIN. FOR THIS REASON...WE PASSED ON A
FLOOD WATCH THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
**IMPOSING WINTER STORM TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT OVER MOST OF OUR AREA**

WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE. PLEASE BE AWARE THAT
BANDING OF SNOW WILL CAUSE VARYING AMOUNTS WITHIN THE PREDICTED
VALUES AND THAT ITS POSSIBLE WE'LL NEED TO ADJUST THE AMOUNTS
LOWER IN LATER FORECASTS....ESPECIALLY SOUTH. THATS ONE REASON WHY
NO WARNING PHL AND NO ADVY IN E MD AND CENTRAL DE. JUST UNSURE HOW
MUCH COMMA HEAD BACKWASH CAN OCCUR FROM ALLENTOWN TO ATLANTIC CITY
SOUTHWARD.

FOR NOW...THIS SHOULD BALL PARK.

WHILE THIS SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS FIERCE AS DEC 26 2010... ITS
STILL GOING BE A MAJOR EVENT FOR THE REGION ALONG AND N OF
I78...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT FOR NNJ AND NE PA.

IF THIS DETERMINISTIC FORECAST PANS OUT...SOME ROADS MAY BE
BRIEFLY IMPASSABLE FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR INTENSE SNOW
FALL RATES.

FALL 12Z MODELS EXCEPT...THE LIGHTER UKMET...ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT. THIS INCLUDES THE 18Z NAM.

THIS STORM DEPENDS ON PHASING OF THE GTLKS SHORT WAVE WITH THE
FEEDER WARMER SHORT WAVE MOVING OFF THE MID ATLC COAST. ALL
DELICATE AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE BUT LEANING...COLDER AND SNOWIER.

WARNINGS AND ADVISORY AMOUNTS MAY NEED ADJUSTMENT IN FUTURE
FORECASTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
BY SATURDAY MORNING, THE COASTAL STORM SHOULD BE NEAR CAPE COD AND
CONTINUING TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW MOST
IF NOT ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION BEING OUT OF OUR AREA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY, SO WE HAVE BACKED OUR
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY. OUR MAIN
CONCERN SATURDAY WILL BE THE STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE STORM AS HIGH
PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE STORM INCREASING THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 2,000-3,000 FEET
DIFFER BETWEEN THE GFS AND NAM; THE GFS SHOWS 30-35 KNOTS WHILE THE
NAM SHOWS 40-45 KNOTS. THE NAM WOULD INDICATE MUCH STRONGER WIND
GUSTS DURING THE DAY, BUT FOR NOW WE EXPECT WIDESPREAD 30-40 MPH
GUSTS WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WE DECIDED TO GO A FEW
DEGREES BELOW GFS MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS SATURDAY AS TEMPERATURES
MAY NOT RISE SIGNIFICANTLY IF WE HAVE A GOOD SNOW PACK FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA.

HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW THE WINDS TO BEGIN TO RELAX SATURDAY NIGHT.
WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND RIDGING ALOFT, DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

THEN THE FOCUS TURNS TO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY AND INTO EASTERN CANADA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRAG A COLD FRONT
ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES
AND MORE PRECIPITATION. A WARM FRONT COULD BE LIFTING ACROSS THE AREA
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING WHICH COULD HAVE SOME
LIGHT OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION. IF THE PRECIP STARTS EARLY ENOUGH
WHILE TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH, WE COULD HAVE A MIXTURE OF
SNOW/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. HOWEVER, AS THE
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD, WARM AIR IS EXPECTED TO SURGE NORTHWARD,
CHANGING MOSTLY EVERYONE OVER TO RAIN THROUGH THE DAY. ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA, PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS THE
AREA.

WITH NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY, TEMPERATURES
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM MONDAY, REMAINING
ABOVE NORMAL. MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY FOR TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER COASTAL LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT TO
OUR SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY, BUT FOR NOW THE GFS/ECMWF KEEP THE SYSTEM TO
OUR SOUTH. THE GFS DOES BRING UP SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOME OF
OUR AREA, WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS IT SOUTH. WE WILL KEEP WITH THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR NOW ACROSS THE
AREA DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY AND WAIT TO SEE WHAT LATER GUIDANCE
BRINGS US.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

CONDITIONS ARE MAINLY VFR EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH PRECIPITATION
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH...MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN
0600 UTC AND 0900 UTC FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH PRECIPITATION ONSET.
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD AVERAGE 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH
DAYBREAK.

BY 1300 UTC...CONDITIONS SHOULD DROP TO IFR WITH THE CEILINGS
LOWERING BELOW 1000 FEET AND VISIBILITIES DROPPING BELOW 3SM. LIFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD COMMENCE BEFORE 1700 UTC AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING...WITH THE LOWEST CONDITIONS GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF KPHL.
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 KNOTS DURING THE
MORNING...THEN SLOWLY BACK TO NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
BETWEEN 25 AND 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH AND EAST OF KPHL...WITH
THE HIGHEST GUSTS AT KACY.

LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...AS RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW
FROM KPHL SOUTH AND EAST...AND SNOW CONTINUES NORTH AND WEST. NORTH
WINDS WILL GUST BETWEEN 25 AND 35 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY FROM KPHL SOUTH
AND EAST. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL BETWEEN 0000 UTC AND
0600 UTC. AFTER 0600 UTC...CONDITIONS COULD SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH
IFR AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE EARLY, THEN IMPROVING
TO VFR. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE DAY, WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30
KNOTS, DECREASING BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

SUNDAY...VFR.

SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY VFR...MVFR AND/OR IFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE VERY
LATE.

MONDAY...MVFR AND/OR IFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH AREAS OF RAIN...POSSIBLE
WINTRY MIX EARLY NORTH.

MONDAY NIGHT...IMPROVING TO VFR OVERNIGHT.

TUESDAY...MOSTLY VFR. GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS 20-25 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...
NO CHANGES TO THE MARINE HEADLINES EARLY THIS MORNING. THE 0000 UTC
NAM LOOKS TOO FAR WEST WITH ITS TRACK...AND THE 0000 UTC GFS IS A
BIT TOO FAR EAST. THE 0000 UTC ECMWF IS A COMPROMISE TRACK...AND ITS
OUTPUT HAS BEEN USED EXTENSIVELY FOR THIS FORECAST.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST IS
TIGHTENING TO SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT WINDS. A GRADUAL RAMP UP OF THE
GRADIENT CONTINUES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...THE GRADIENT SUPPORTS GALE FORCE WIND
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OCEAN WATERS. THE BEST GRADIENT APPEARS
TO OCCUR BETWEEN 2100 UTC AND 0300 UTC. AT THE SAME TIME...925 MB
WINDS INCREASE TO 45 TO 50 KNOTS OVER THE OCEAN WATERS. MODEL
SOUNDINGS OVER THE OCEAN WATERS SUGGEST THAT THE 50 KNOTS OF
MOMENTUM REMAINS JUST ABOVE THE TOP OF THE SUPPRESSED INVERSION.

HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN COULD BRING SOME OF THIS MOMEMTUM DOWN...
SUPPORTING GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. WHILE THE GRADIENT...ESPECIALLY FROM
NON-NAM MODELS...DOES NOT APPEAR TO SUPPORT STORM FORCE GUSTS...THE
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN PLACE TO COVER GUSTS IN HEAVY RAIN ON THE
OCEAN. SEAS SHOULD JUMP QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE EAST NORTHEAST
FETCH RAMPS UP...AND FOR THE MOST PART A COUPLE OF FEET WAS ADDED TO
THE WAVEWATCH MODEL OUTPUT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

OVER DELAWARE BAY...THE GRADIENT IS NOT AS TIGHTEN...ESPECIALLY WITH
THE NON-NAM MODEL TRACKS. AS WITH THE OCEAN...THE BEST GRADIENT
FALLS IN THE 2100 TO 0300 UTC WINDOW...AND THIS IS THE BEST SHOT AT
STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUTH OF THE BAY. AS THE
SURFACE LOW PULLS ASTRIDE OF THE NEW JERSEY COAST...WINDS BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER 0600 UTC...AND GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ON
ALL WATERS.

OUTLOOK...

GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY EVENING. THE STORM WARNING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED BY A GALE WARNING BY SATURDAY. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH INTO SATURDAY NIGHT, THROUGH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN. HOWEVER, AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA INTO SUNDAY WINDS WILL FINALLY
DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AND REMAIN SO THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER, WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA; WINDS COULD
APPROACH GALE FORCE AGAIN. WINDS SHOULD DROP BACK BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS TUESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLACKENS SOME.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD AS WELL AS THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY COVERING BOTH THIS
EVENING'S HIGH TIDE AS WELL AS SATURDAY MORNING'S. THE ASTRONOMICAL
FORECAST FOR THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS LOWER THAN SATURDAY
MORNING'S WHICH MAY KEEP THIS EVENING'S HIGH TIDE IN THE UPPER END
OF MINOR. HOWEVER, GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT SATURDAY
MORNING'S WILL REACH MODERATE. WE MAY EVEN APPROACH SEVERE COASTAL
FLOOD LEVELS FROM ATLANTIC CITY NORTHWARD SATURDAY MORNING.

THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE BAY AND TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER DO
NOT LOOK LIKE THEY WILL REACH MINOR FLOOD LEVELS THIS EVENING, BUT
THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE MAY GET TO MINOR.

WE ARE NOT EXPECTING COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY AT THIS TIME

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR PAZ054-055-
     061-062.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR PAZ060-101-103>106.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR PAZ070-071-102.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR NJZ001-007-
     008.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ009-010-012>015-019-020-026.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NJZ016>018-021>025-027.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NJZ022>025-027.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR DEZ001.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST SATURDAY
     FOR DEZ003-004.
MD...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR MDZ008.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ450>455.
     GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     ANZ430-431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON
NEAR TERM...HAYES
SHORT TERM...DRAG
LONG TERM...ROBERTSON
AVIATION...HAYES/ROBERTSON
MARINE...HAYES/ROBERTSON
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...ROBERTSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 7, 4:20 PM EST, 11 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

NJZ014-026-082130-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WHICH COULD RESULT IN
POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. IN ADDITION,
POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-082130-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WHICH COULD RESULT IN
POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. IN ADDITION,
POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ024-025-082130-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WHICH COULD RESULT IN
POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. IN ADDITION,
POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-061-062-082130-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ009-010-015-019-PAZ060-101-103>106-082130-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-102-082130-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
EASTERN CHESTER-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ021>023-027-082130-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-003-082130-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-082130-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. THE RAIN
MAY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME MINOR ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ012-013-020-082130-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450>455-082130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-082130-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
420 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 8, 3:34 AM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May24 hr
Feb 8, 11:08 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Cape May, Cumberland4 hr
Feb 8, 1:06 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Ocean4 hr
Feb 8, 1:35 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean and 1 more4 hr
Feb 8, 3:45 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren2 hr
Feb 8, 5:17 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset118 min

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2013Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2013Every coastal flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.