Tornado Warning 47, NWS Paducah, KY

345 
WWUS53 KPAH 070039
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
739 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

KYC143-070047-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-130707T0100Z/
LYON KY-
739 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN
KENTUCKY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA...AND IS NO LONGER A THREAT TO LYON COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3688 8812 3694 8790 3681 8788 3680 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 263DEG 21KT 3687 8799

$$

KYC221-070100-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-130707T0100Z/
TRIGG KY-
739 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTY
IN WESTERN KENTUCKY UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 735 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR ENERGY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO...QUARTER SIZE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND TO 70 MPH.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL
         BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
PADUCAH.

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE BARKELY...GET AWAY FROM THE WATER AND MOVE TO 
SHELTER. TORNADOES CAN MOVE ACROSS WATER. IF YOU CAN HEAR 
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. BOATS CAN 
BE SWAMPED BY LARGE CAPSIZING WAVES CAUSED BY A TORNADO...EVEN ON 
SMALL BODIES OF WATER. MOVE INTO DOCK AND SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3688 8812 3694 8790 3681 8788 3680 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 263DEG 21KT 3687 8799

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

766 
WWUS53 KPAH 070055
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
755 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

KYC221-070102-
/O.EXP.KPAH.TO.W.0047.000000T0000Z-130707T0100Z/
TRIGG KY-
755 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN 
KENTUCKY WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING ARE STILL EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM AS IT MOVES 
ACROSS TRIGG COUNTY AND THROUGH THE COMMUNITY OF CADIZ THROUGH 830 
PM.

LAT...LON 3688 8812 3694 8790 3681 8788 3680 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 263DEG 21KT 3688 8788

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
708 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 708 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WILL HEAD NORTHEAST INTO WCNTRL
INDIANA BY 12Z SUNDAY CARRYING ALONG WITH IT CHANCE POPS FOR
CONVECTION. CURRENTLY...WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
AREA FUELED BY DECENT INSTABILITY AND MODEST FORCING VIA THE UPPER
LOW. COULD SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS. HOWEVER AT THIS TIME THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW IS QUITE WEAK...AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS NOT JUXTAPOSED
WITH THE BEST INSTABILITY. REMAINS TO BE SEEN IF WE WILL SEE ANY
STRONG CONVECTION THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY AND EARLY EVENING.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MAY SEE SOME CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER
ESPECIALLY THE NE 1/3 OF THE AREA WITH A WAVE FORECAST TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS ILLINOIS INTO INDIANA. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
UNSETTLED MONDAY AS WELL...THUS WILL LINGER SMALL CHANCE POPS FOR
CONVECTION. WE SHOULD SEE WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES AWAY. USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET/ECS
NUMBERS FOR TEMPS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

THE EASTERN TROUGH/WESTERN RIDGE PATTERN THAT HAS DOMINATED SINCE
EARLY SPRING SHOWS NO SIGNS OF ENDING...AT LEAST NOT THROUGH THE END
OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE A TEMPORARY EASTWARD EXTENSION OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT WILL BRING OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND HUMIDITY FOR A
COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RETURN OF COOLER AIR LATER NEXT WEEK WILL BE
PRECEDED BY A ROUND OF CONVECTION.

AS FAR AS THE DAILY DETAILS...SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW ON TUESDAY
WILL RESULT IN A HOT AND HUMID DAY. THOUGH NOT THAT UNUSUAL FOR
JULY...IT WILL BE OPPRESSIVE COMPARED TO THE RELATIVELY COOL WEATHER
OF THE PAST WEEK OR SO. THE CHANCE OF STORMS APPEARS RATHER LOW AS
THE UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS EASTWARD. BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE ON
THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CAP...PRIMARILY SW INDIANA AND PENNYRILE
REGION.

ON WEDNESDAY...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SOUTHEAST TOWARD
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY INTO A HOT AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THIS FRONT
WILL HAVE DECENT UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS A 500 MB SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES
OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THERE SHOULD BE EXTENSIVE COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. POPS WILL BE IN THE LIKELY
CATEGORY IN SOME AREAS. SHEAR PARAMETERS ARE NOT IMPRESSIVE...BUT
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG INSTABILITY AND ORGANIZED FORCING SUGGESTS
STORMS MAY CONTAIN TROPICAL DOWNPOURS ALONG WITH A FEW PULSY SEVERE
EVENTS.

COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER SOUTHWARD THURSDAY. POPS WILL
DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES.

THE FAMILIAR EASTERN TROUGH/WESTERN RIDGE PATTERN WILL RESTRENGTHEN
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A NORTH TO NORTHEAST LOW
LEVEL WIND FLOW...BRINGING A TOLERABLE AIR MASS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. WILL KEEP SMALL POPS FOR FRIDAY FOR SE MISSOURI AND SW
KENTUCKY AS THE LAST COUPLE ECMWF RUNS STALL THE FRONT OVER MISSOURI
FOR ABOUT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 708 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FINALLY EXITING THE REGION ON SUNDAY. AS A
RESULT...PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LESS THAN VFR CONDITIONS MAY STILL ACCOMPANY LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING...WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
ALSO...THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO AT LEAST MVFR IF NOT IFR. SUNDAY SHOULD
BE MAINLY DRY WITH SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AROUND 5 KNOTS ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1105 AM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-071000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1105 AM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THE REST OF TODAY
AND INTO EARLY TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

MODERATE FLOOD CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER IN ILLINOIS. MINOR RIVER
FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECAST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WABASH AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST EACH DAY. THE GREATEST
COVERAGE IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A FEW STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH
LOCAL WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. GIVEN A
MOVEMENT NORTHEAST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL THAT MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND SMALL TO MODERATE HAIL WILL BE SECONDARY HAZARDS WITH STRONGER
STORMS ON WEDNESDAY. STORM MOTION WILL LIKELY BE SOUTHEAST BETWEEN
10 AND 20 MPH.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE
RANGE OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AS WELL AS PART OF THE PURCHASE AREA
OF WEST KENTUCKY AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

MODERATE FLOOD CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THROUGH SUNDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER IN ILLINOIS. MINOR RIVER
FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS FORECAST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WABASH
AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
440 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

ILZ088>094-KYZ001>013-016-017-021-022-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-
114-070000-
UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-
HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-
CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...
ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...
POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
440 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND WESTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...PLEASE SEEK INDOOR SHELTER IF
A THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHES. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...
YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

THE STORMS ARE VERY SLOW MOVING...SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO
BE A CONCERN...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.