Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Warnings in 2013

Tornado Warning 2, NWS Norman, OK

April 17, 2013Jackson County, Kiowa County, Tillman County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this tornado warning at Apr 17, 2013, 5:22 PM CDT for Jackson County, Kiowa County, Tillman County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 38 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 17, 2013, 5:22 PM CDT (22:22 UTC)
Expired: Apr 17, 2013, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Tillman County, OK

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 17, 5:46 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 68	2 N Frederick, OK	RFD WIND

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 17, 1:21 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1182 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -193 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 662 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 407 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 433 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

780 
WFUS54 KOUN 172222
TOROUN
OKC065-075-141-172300-
/O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0002.130417T2222Z-130417T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
522 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN TILLMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
     
* AT 517 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A 
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS 
  STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF TIPTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST 
  AT 25 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE 
IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FREDERICK...TIPTON AND MANITOU. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW IN A STORM SHELTER OR AN INTERIOR ROOM OF A STURDY 
BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM DOORS AND WINDOWS.
&&

LAT...LON 3468 9887 3459 9884 3451 9883 3440 9877
      3435 9922 3449 9925
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 232DEG 23KT 3443 9917 

$$

1 follow-up statement

057 
WWUS54 KOUN 172243
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
543 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKC065-075-172252-
/O.CAN.KOUN.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130417T2300Z/
KIOWA OK-JACKSON OK-
543 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL KIOWA AND EXTREME 
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT 
OF THIS AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3460 9892 3459 9885 3458 9884 3443 9880
      3440 9906 3448 9910
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 241DEG 23KT 3446 9901 

$$

OKC141-172300-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130417T2300Z/
TILLMAN OK-
543 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR NORTH 
CENTRAL TILLMAN COUNTY...
                                
AT 540 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS 
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF 
FREDERICK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...GOLF BALL SIZE IS EXPECTED WITH THIS 
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANITOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW IN A STORM SHELTER OR AN INTERIOR ROOM OF A STURDY 
BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM DOORS AND WINDOWS.
&&

LAT...LON 3460 9892 3459 9885 3458 9884 3443 9880
      3440 9906 3448 9910
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 241DEG 23KT 3446 9901 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 17, 1:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 1:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
154 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...

...TORNADOES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA...

THE WARM FRONT HAS SOMEWHAT STALLED CURRENTLY NEAR THE I44
CORRIDOR AS THE COLDER AIRMASS HAS BEEN "REINFORCED" WITH
ONGOING ELEVATED MOIST CONVECTION/STRATUS NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.
CLEARING ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN OK AND W TX HAS ALSO BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS NEAR THE SFC LOW. AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS OVER WESTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON AND THE
DRYLINE SURGES EASTWARD...COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE BOTH
IN THE WARM SECTOR ESPECIALLY NEAR SSW OK/W N TX WHERE DEEP
MOISTURE CONVG IS EXPECTED WITH 0 CIN...HIGH INSTABILITY...AND
SFC CONVG NEAR THE DEVELOPING TRIPLE POINT. THESE DISCRETE STORMS
WILL THEN MOVE NE PERHAPS TRAVERSING THE WARM FRONT/STATIONARY
BOUNDARY. A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM FOR MOST OF
THE FA WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR...MOD TO HIGH INSTABILITY...AND
THE FRONT IN PLACE COMBINED WITH VERY LITTLE TO NO CIN. THE 15Z
OUN SOUNDING HAD 0 CIN. LATER TONIGHT AS PRESSURE RISES RAPIDLY
INCREASE NEAR EASTERN CO/WESTERN KS...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DIVE
SOUTH. STRONG SFC CONV ALONG THIS FRONT MAY RESULT IN A SQUALL
LINE DEVELOPING SOMEWHERE NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE I44 CORRIDOR
RESULTING IN MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND/HAIL THREAT THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE INITIALLY WITH TRAINING STORMS AND THEN WITH THE POSSIBLE
SLOW MOVING SQUALL LINE.

MUCH COLDER TEMPS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT TOMORROW...WITH
HIGH ONLY CLIMBING INTO THE 40S AND 50S. BY FRIDAY MORNING
FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I44.
FOR NOW...WE WILL NOT ISSUE ANY HEADLINES FOR THIS GIVEN THE HIGH
IMPACT SEVERE EVENT AT STAKE BUT WILL PASS THIS ALONG TO THE MID
SHIFT. A SLOW WARM UP IS ANTICIPATED SAT-MONDAY...BUT YET ANOTHER
COLD FRONT APPEARS IT WILL IMPACT THE REGION BY TUESDAY. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL ALSO SUPPORT INCREASING RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT
WEEK. CHC POPS LOOK REASONABLE FOR THE MOMENT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
OK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1240 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

AVIATION...
A VERY SHARP STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS OK/TX...FROM KSWO TO KPWA TO
HKBR AT THIS TIME...WILL DIVIDE VERY WARM HUMID AIR FROM COOL VERY
HUMID AIR. LOW CEILINGS...MIST AND FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON NORTH OF THE FRONT. TSRA ARE LIKELY
ALONG AND N OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...AND SEVERE TSRA ARE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT AND SOUTH OF IT. LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH
TSRA FARTHER N THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE NOTED IN TAFS THE MOST LIKELY
CONVECTIVE OUTCOME...BUT THERE IS ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY THAT THIS
FORECAST SHOULD BE USED WITH EXTRA CAUTION. THE FRONT WILL BECOME
A COLD FRONT LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. TSRA ARE EXPECTED TO FOCUS
INTO A SQUALL LINE ALONG THE FRONT...AND REACH KOKC/KOUN/KLAW/KSPS
AROUND 0500Z TO 0600Z...THEN CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SE OVERNIGHT.
POST-FRONTAL TSRA WILL CONTINUE A FEW HOURS...THEN GRADUAL
CLEARING WILL BEGIN...ALONG WITH RATHER STRONG N TO NW WINDS. SOME
LLWS IS POSSIBLE JUST N OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...ESPECIALLY AT KPNC...WHERE LLWS HAS BEEN
INCLUDED IN THE TAF. -SN MAY OCCUR IN NW OK LATE TONIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013/

UPDATE...
COMPLEX SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION CONTINUES TO UNFOLD. WARM FRONT
HAS LIFTED NORTH IN THE METRO AREA CURRENTLY LYING ACROSS THE
OKLAHOMA CITY METRO /73 OVER 68 AT WILL ROGERS AIRPORT AND 56 OVER
52 AT WILEY POST AIRPORT./ THIS FRONT HAS SLOWED OR STALLED THIS
MORNING. DEVELOPMENT OF ELEVATED PRECIPITATION ABOVE THE FRONTAL
SURFACE AND PERSIST NORTH WINDS ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
KANSAS LIKELY ARE SIGNALS THAT THE FRONT WILL LIKELY NOT MOVE
NORTH MUCH FARTHER. MESOSCALE MODELS ALSO INDICATE THAT THE FRONT
MAY START MOVING SOUTH AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ISSUE
IS THAT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION LOOKS TO REMAIN SMALL SO STORM
DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY... MAY BE RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD AND
DEVELOP EARLY /DEPENDING ON HOW SOON STRATUS THINS./ T 16Z
SOUNDING FROM OUN MAY SHED MORE LIGHT ON THIS. THERE IS ALSO A
PERSISTENT SIGNAL OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW THIS
AFTERNOON... MOST LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

RESULTANT ISSUES ARE... /1/ TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN STRONG ACROSS THE WARM FRONT. THIS MEANS THAT THE WARM
FRONT AS A SOURCE OF ENHANCED VORTICITY WITH STORMS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WILL NOT BE IDEAL AS ANY STORM WOULD QUICKLY BECOME
ELEVATED ABOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IF IT GETS EVEN A SHORT
DISTANCE NORTH OF THE FRONT. IF WINDS STAY NORTHERLY IN THE COOL
SECTOR... THAT WILL NOT BE AN IDEAL WIND PROFILE EITHER. /2/ THE
BEST LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE
LOW/TRIPLE POINT LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON AND MOVE TOWARD CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THIS WILL
BE THE AREA OF MOST CONCERN FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT... ALTHOUGH
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE WARM SECTOR. /3/ IT
REMAINS UNCERTAIN WHAT WILL RESULT FROM THE BALANCE OF DELAYED
WARMING DUE TO STRATUS AND THE APPARENT LOW CIN WHICH WOULD
OTHERWISE FAVOR EARLY AND/OR WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT. /4/ EVEN
NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT... ELEVATED STORMS WITH A RISK OF LARGE
HAIL WILL PERSIST.

CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THAT SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL OF SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR. ELEVATED SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO
BE LIKELY NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. DURING THE EVENING... STORMS
WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND DEVELOP
INTO A SQUALL LINE.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES /MORE THAN USUAL/ ON HOW THINGS
WILL EVOLVE... ESPECIALLY WITH RESPECT TO THE COUNTERACTING
INFLUENCES OF CIN VS. DELAYED WARMING. BUT THE RISK OF SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER STILL EXISTS... ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTHWEST TO
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

SPEG.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS... FOG/DRIZZLE AND VARIABLE CEILINGS THIS MORNING.
CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE MOST PLACES TO MVFR/VFR BEFORE LOWERING
AGAIN TONIGHT. SCATTERED/WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON/NIGHT. STRONG VARIABLE WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY/TONIGHT. COLD CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

THIS MORNING... MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT/MORNING CONVECTION THAT THE
MODELS HAD BEEN SHOWING THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS NOT REALLY DEVELOPED
IN THE FA AND IS OCCURRING JUST NORTH IN KANSAS. A FEW SHOWERS STILL
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN NORTHERN OK THIS MORNING BUT FOR THE MOST
PART EXPECT THE TREND OF EVERYTHING IN KANSAS TO CONTINUE THIS
MORNING. FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA NORTH OF A WARM
FRONT. A FEW LOCATIONS ARE ALREADY REPORTING DENSE FOG. SO WILL
ISSUE A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE NW PART OF THE FA WHERE IT IS
MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AND LAST THE LONGEST. AREAS OF DRIZZLE COULD
ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA THIS MORNING.

THE WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM WEST CENTRAL TO NORTH CENTRAL OK BY THIS AFTERNOON. A
DRYLINE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO EXTEND SOUTH FROM THE WARM FRONT NEAR
THE OK TX STATE-LINE. THERE IS STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT/UNCERTAINTY
ON THE POSITION OF THE WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COULD HAVE AN
IMPACT ON THE SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. MEANWHILE... AN
UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL ALSO MOVE EAST AFFECTING THE AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT AND POSSIBLY
THE DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON... IN THE WARM SECTOR. THESE STORMS...
ESPECIALLY IF THEY CAN STAY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS... WILL LIKELY BE
SEVERE DUE TO THE INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR... WITH VERY
LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND
THIS FRONT. SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT BUT THE
TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAIN WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE... WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
SOME AREAS.

COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. LIGHT SNOW AND MAYBE SLEET MAY OCCUR IN NW PARTS OF
THE FA OVERNIGHT BEFORE THE PRECIP ENDS. THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
FOR THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND THE PRECIP LIGHT SO NO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED. THE PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM
WEST TO EAST THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD TONIGHT BUT CURRENTLY FORECASTED TO REMAIN
NEAR AND ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER... MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MUCH OF THE AREA AOB FREEZING.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THIS WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND
UPPER SYSTEM EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS/STORMS AND COLD WEATHER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  40  50  31  60 /  80  10  10  10
HOBART OK         38  51  28  61 /  80  10  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  44  56  31  64 /  70  10  10   0
GAGE OK           32  46  28  63 /  30  10  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  48  28  59 /  80  20  10  10
DURANT OK         59  59  34  60 /  80  50  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

26/03

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 4:45 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
445 PM CDT TUE APR 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS AND ALL BUT NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. A SLIGHT RISK EXISTS ACROSS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA INCLUDES LOCATIONS EAST OF A HOLLIS...TO
CLINTON...TO MEDFORD LINE AND INCLUDES THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA...
WICHITA FALLS...ENID...PONCA CITY...STILLWATER...ADA...ARDMORE...
AND DURANT. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS WEST OF THIS LINE AND INCLUDES
ELK CITY...WOODWARD...AND ALVA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SUPERCELLS AND SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE THROUGH 11 PM...PRIMARILY FROM SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS...INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL STORMS
THAT MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTH.

IMPACTS...
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH SUPERCELLS
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. GOLF BALL-SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO
75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH A SQUALL LINE LATE TONIGHT.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
SUPERCELL INITIATION WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY
WITH SUPERCELLS THIS EVENING.

DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE SOUTH OVER THE REGION AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SQUALL LINE OF STORMS
WHICH WILL HAVE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY APR 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES FROM A SLOW MOVING SQUALL LINE
MAY CAUSE FLOODING IN A FEW LOCATIONS TONIGHT...MAINLY EAST OF
A WICHITA FALLS...TO OKLAHOMA CITY...TO PONCA CITY LINE.

A SLEET AND SNOW MIXTURE IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF
FAR WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY AFTER
7 AM THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE AREA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THUNDERSTORMS LINGER THURSDAY MORNING.

SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
5 AM THURSDAY MORNING...WITH UPDATES AS NEEDED.

MBS/11

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 17, 4:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
412 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             MANITOU                 34.51N 98.98W
04/17/2013  E1.00 INCH       TILLMAN            OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

FM

Special weather statement, Apr 17, 4:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
414 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKZ036-037-TXZ083-085-172200-
TILLMAN OK-JACKSON OK-WILBARGER TX-HARDEMAN TX-
414 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TILLMAN...SOUTHERN
JACKSON...NORTHWESTERN WILBARGER AND EAST CENTRAL HARDEMAN COUNTIES
UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 412 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF CHILLICOTHE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3469 9934 3420 9906 3420 9960 3434 9974
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 233DEG 22KT 3432 9960

Special weather statement, Apr 17, 4:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
419 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKZ013-019-020-172145-
LOGAN OK-PAYNE OK-NOBLE OK-
419 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LOGAN...WESTERN
PAYNE AND SOUTHERN NOBLE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 416 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST
OF LANGSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STILLWATER...LANGSTON...COYLE...MULHALL...LAKE CARL BLACKWELL AND
LAKE MCMURTRY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3614 9686 3586 9728 3597 9746 3629 9728
      3631 9707
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 213DEG 43KT 3599 9732

CMS

Special weather statement, Apr 17, 4:37 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
437 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKZ033-034-036-TXZ083-172215-
HARMON OK-GREER OK-JACKSON OK-HARDEMAN TX-
437 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...SOUTHWESTERN GREER...
NORTHWESTERN JACKSON AND NORTHWESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...

AT 435 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF
KIRKLAND...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3489 9994 3474 9952 3443 9990 3443 9999
      3443 10000 3473 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 179DEG 26KT 3451 10001

Special weather statement, Apr 17, 4:38 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
438 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

OKZ017-018-023-024-027-172215-
BLAINE OK-KINGFISHER OK-CADDO OK-GRADY OK-CANADIAN OK-
438 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BLAINE...
KINGFISHER...CADDO...GRADY AND CANADIAN COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 435 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF
FORT COBB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS
ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WATONGA...ALSO MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST.

IN ADDITION...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS ABOUT
15 MILES WEST OF LAWTON...AND ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST. THIS STORM IS
LIKELY TO ENTER GRADY AND CADDO COUNTIES AFTER 5 PM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A WARNING
IS ISSUED OR IF STORMS THREATEN YOU.

&&

LAT...LON 3614 9769 3485 9768 3487 9861 3584 9854
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 222DEG 47KT 3512 9835

CMS

Local storm report, Apr 17, 5:17 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
517 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             CACHE                   34.63N 98.62W
04/17/2013  E1.75 INCH       COMANCHE           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

FM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 17, 3:54 AM CDT	Dense Fog Advisory	OUN	Alfalfa, Dewey, Ellis, Harper, Major, Roger Mills and 2 more	6 hr
Apr 17, 12:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Harper	23 min
Apr 17, 12:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Harper	24 min
Apr 17, 1:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Woods, Woodward	28 min
Apr 17, 1:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Jackson	15 min
Apr 17, 1:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Woods	25 min
Apr 17, 1:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita	50 min
Apr 17, 1:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Tillman	46 min
Apr 17, 2:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Kiowa, Washita	49 min
Apr 17, 2:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman	46 min
Apr 17, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Jackson	29 min
Apr 17, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Kiowa, Washita	38 min
Apr 17, 3:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Tillman	51 min
Apr 17, 3:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Canadian	33 min
Apr 17, 4:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman	51 min
Apr 17, 4:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Jackson	46 min
Apr 17, 4:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Payne	26 min
Apr 17, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Tillman	54 min
Apr 17, 4:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Comanche, Cotton, Tillman	41 min
Apr 17, 4:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Harmon	38 min
Apr 17, 4:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Grady, Kingfisher	37 min
Apr 17, 4:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Comanche	49 min
Apr 17, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Beckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita	43 min
Apr 17, 5:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman	53 min
Apr 17, 5:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Canadian	50 min
Apr 17, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Comanche, Tillman	47 min
Apr 17, 5:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Logan	32 min
Apr 17, 5:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Comanche, Stephens	47 min
Apr 17, 5:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Greer	30 min
Apr 17, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Comanche, Grady	59 min
Apr 17, 5:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Grady	42 min
Apr 17, 5:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Comanche, Cotton, Tillman	40 min
Apr 17, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman	53 min
Apr 17, 5:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Roger Mills, Washita	49 min
Apr 17, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Greer, Harmon, Jackson	47 min
Apr 17, 6:07 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman	4 hr
Apr 17, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Comanche	52 min
Apr 17, 6:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Tillman	51 min
Apr 17, 6:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Blaine	35 min
Apr 17, 6:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Canadian, Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble, Oklahoma	32 min
Apr 17, 6:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Comanche	30 min
Apr 17, 6:49 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Caddo, Grady	26 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Oklahoma, 2013 Every tornado warning in 2013 Tornadoes in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.