Severe Thunderstorm Warning 659, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1152 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1152 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND THE WESTERN HALF
OF OKLAHOMA. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY WEST OF A MEDFORD...
TO CHICKASHA...TO WICHITA FALLS...TO SEYMOUR TEXAS LINE.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT LIKELY TO BECOME SEVERE.

A GREATER CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN
PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. WARM MOIST SOUTHEASTERN LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE
AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW EVOLVING OVER EASTERN COLORADO THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA BY EARLY
EVENING AIDED BY THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
CONTINUE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AIDED BY THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION. HAIL UP TO TENNIS BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 6 PM AND 2 AM. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING IN
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE STORMS WILL DIMINISH.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY AUG 16.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...90 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...AND FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS...AND DRAINAGE AREAS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING...
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
5 AM FRIDAY.

KG/JTK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
309 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

TXZ088-089-152045-
BAYLOR TX-ARCHER TX-
309 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN BAYLOR AND NORTHWESTERN
ARCHER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 303 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF
MABELLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE KICKAPOO...MABELLE...LAKE DIVERSION...WESTOVER AND DUNDEE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF ON OR NEAR LAKE KICKAPOO AND DIVERSION...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND
MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE
OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
SAFE SHELTER NOW. DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3379 9913 3382 9883 3355 9867 3344 9918
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 358DEG 14KT 3366 9903

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
314 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

OKZ017-018-152045-
KINGFISHER OK-BLAINE OK-
314 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN KINGFISHER AND EAST
CENTRAL BLAINE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 312 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF HITCHCOCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 9835 3598 9817 3574 9801 3573 9831
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 316DEG 12KT 3587 9823

30

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