Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Norman, OK

205 
WGUS74 KOUN 130107
FFSOUN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
807 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKC099-130215-
/O.CON.KOUN.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-130813T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MURRAY OK-
807 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR
MURRAY COUNTY...

AT 805 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING OVER 
COUNTY ROADS BETWEEN SULPHUR AND DAVIS. UP TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN 
FELL EARLIER AND RUNOFF CONTINUES.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SULPHUR...DAVIS...DOUGHERTY...TURNER FALLS AND LAKE OF THE ARBUCKLES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 9689 3438 9722 3449 9724 3450 9715
      3455 9696 3452 9690

$$
11

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
251 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WITH RECENT MINOR RIVER FLOODING IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING THE PAST FEW MONTHS IN CENTRAL
PARTS OF THE STATE...WILL GO AHEAD AND ADD A FEW NORTHWEST AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA COUNTIES TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR WOODWARD TO OKC
AND HOLDENVILLE SHOULD HELP FOCUS STORM DEVELOPMENT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  THE EC MODEL
FAVORS THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A WEAK WAVE APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTHWEST.  RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY HIGH UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WHEN COOLER
AND DRIER AIR FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

ANOTHER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH A NORTHERLY
FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  THIS SHOULD BRING
AN INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH A
DECENT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.

MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A
WARMING TREND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  87  69  84 /  50  50  60  40
HOBART OK         72  92  70  84 /  30  40  60  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  97  73  87 /  20  20  50  40
GAGE OK           68  82  64  80 /  60  50  60  30
PONCA CITY OK     69  82  67  81 /  80  60  60  30
DURANT OK         74  97  73  88 /  30  30  60  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

TX...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
450 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-131000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
450 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW STORMS WILL BE
SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.

DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WILL BE A FOCUS FOR
STORMS. SOME OF THOSE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERE THROUGH THE EVENING.
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM LAST NIGHTS SHOWERS AND STORMS PUSHED
INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WILL BE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED STORMS
AS WELL. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE STORMS WILL DECREASE IN BOTH
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TOWARD AND AFTER SUNSET...ADDITIONAL
STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER AREAS THAT HAVE
HAD RECENT HIGH RAIN TOTALS WILL LEAD TO THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY FOR
NORTHERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY AUG 13.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...40 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS THAT MANAGE TO
DEVELOP. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE BY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT
500 AM TUESDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
454 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ041-042-047-122230-
JOHNSTON OK-PONTOTOC OK-MURRAY OK-
454 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN JOHNSTON...
SOUTHWESTERN PONTOTOC AND MURRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 453 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SULPHUR...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE NEAR AND EAST OF
SULPHUR...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SULPHUR...ROFF...MILL
CREEK...DOUGHERTY...HICKORY...LAKE OF THE ARBUCKLES AND SCULLIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

LAT...LON 3440 9707 3457 9712 3467 9674 3438 9672
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 257DEG 13KT 3450 9701

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W SULPHUR             34.51N 97.01W
08/12/2013                   MURRAY             OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS 4 INCH TREE LIMBS
            DOWN...REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES WITHIN CITY OF SULPHUR.

&&

JTK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ041-046-047-122315-
JOHNSTON OK-MURRAY OK-CARTER OK-
545 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN JOHNSTON...MURRAY
AND EASTERN CARTER COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 541 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE OF THE
ARBUCKLES...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SULPHUR...DAVIS...MILL CREEK...DOUGHERTY...GENE AUTRY...HICKORY...
LAKE OF THE ARBUCKLES...TURNER FALLS AND SCULLIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND NO WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

LAT...LON 3425 9708 3443 9722 3451 9717 3451 9714
      3453 9716 3463 9710 3459 9687 3439 9675
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 278DEG 7KT 3447 9703

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
550 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ009-010-014-015-122315-
ROGER MILLS OK-WOODWARD OK-DEWEY OK-ELLIS OK-
550 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ROGER MILLS...
SOUTHWESTERN WOODWARD...NORTHWESTERN DEWEY AND ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL
615 PM CDT...

AT 545 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM NEAR HARMON TO WEST OF ARNETT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VICI...ARNETT...CAMARGO AND HARMON.

LAT...LON 3626 9999 3624 9922 3594 9913 3593 10000
      3618 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 292DEG 10KT 3611 9954 3610 9977

KURTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
559 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ014>016-122330-
ROGER MILLS OK-CUSTER OK-DEWEY OK-
559 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ROGER MILLS...
NORTHWESTERN CUSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN DEWEY COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
CDT...

AT 558 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ANGORA...
MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEEDEY...MOOREWOOD AND ANGORA.

LAT...LON 3587 9956 3590 9955 3593 9951 3594 9951
      3594 9926 3572 9922 3571 9954 3586 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 258DEG 10KT 3582 9948

KURTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
601 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

OKZ022-023-122315-
WASHITA OK-CADDO OK-
601 PM CDT MON AUG 12 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN WASHITA AND WESTERN CADDO
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 558 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
COLONY...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EAKLY AND COLONY.

LAT...LON 3523 9870 3533 9872 3542 9857 3523 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 252DEG 9KT 3529 9867

KURTZ