Storm Warning 3, NWS New York, NY

901 
WHUS71 KOKX 060854
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
354 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ANZ335-338-345-062200-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0013.130306T1100Z-130307T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
354 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS...AND
  NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-062200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0003.130306T1600Z-130307T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
354 AM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...EASTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT.

* SEAS...15 TO 20 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
  THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 48 TO
63 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.
COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND
DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

186 
WHUS71 KOKX 062117
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
417 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY...

ANZ335-338-345-071100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130308T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
417 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS... 
  AND NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST TO NORTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
  HIGHEST SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-350-353-355-071100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130307T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
417 PM EST WED MAR 6 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS...EASTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT.

* SEAS...15 TO 23 FEET ON THE OCEAN WATERS...AND 5 TO 9 FEET
  ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH
  THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 48 TO
63 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.
COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND
DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

006 
WHUS71 KOKX 070849
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
349 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY...

ANZ330-340-353-355-071700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130307T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130308T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
349 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO
  MORICHES INLET NY...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND PECONIC AND
  GARDINERS BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT. THERE MAY BE
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 KT.

* SEAS...14 TO 19 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-071700-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130308T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
349 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS... 
  AND NEW YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND SEAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-071700-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130307T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
349 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET NY TO
  MONTAUK POINT NY.

* WINDS...NORTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT.

* SEAS...17 TO 22 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 48 TO
63 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.
COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND
DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

412 
WHUS71 KOKX 071436
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
936 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-072245-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130308T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
936 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...NEW
  YORK HARBOR AND THE OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MORICHES
  INLET NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...10 TO 16 FEET ON THE OCEAN AND 3 TO 6 FEET ACROSS LONG ISLAND
  SOUND.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
  AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-072245-
/O.CON.KOKX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130307T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
936 AM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET NY TO 
  MONTAUK POINT NY.

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT.

* SEAS...12 TO 17 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 48 TO
63 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.
COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND
DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

213 
WHUS71 KOKX 072041
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
341 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

ANZ350-081100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130307T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130309T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY. THE STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET NY TO 
  MONTAUK POINT NY.

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.

* SEAS...10 TO 15 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EARLY THIS
  EVENING...THEN AGAIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-081100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130309T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...NEW 
  YORK HARBOR AND THE OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO 
  MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...8 TO 13 FEET ON THE OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EARLY THIS
  EVENING...THEN AGAIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
111 PM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TODAY AND REMAINS INTO
THIS EVENING...AND WEAKENS LATE TONIGHT. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE NORTHEAST DURING THE MID WEEK. HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST SO HAVE
ADJUSTED HIGHS INTO THE MIDDLE 40S AND UPPER 40S. LOWERED SKY
COVER THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE CWA. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM. WIND GUSTS
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVERHEAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COMPLEXITY WITH THE FORECAST WED INTO THURS ON HANDLING PCPN TYPE
AND AMOUNTS. MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW DEEPENING OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION AND PUSHING OFFSHORE BY MID DAY WED. HOWEVER...THERE
IS STILL DIVERGING SOLUTIONS ON THE EXACT PATH OF THE LOW AND HOW
FAR IT PUSHES NORTH AS WELL AS THE TRACK/STRENGTH OF THE
ACCOMPANYING CLOSED UPPER LOW. THE DEPARTING VORT MAX OVER THE NORTH
ATLANTIC SEEMS LESS OF AN ISSUE WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS...WITH
THE CLOSED LOW NOW A BIT SLOWER IN APPROACHING THE NORTHEAST. 00Z
NAM HAS THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST PCPN AMTS FOR THE TRI-STATE
REGION WITH THE BLOCKING HIGH STILL KEEPING THE ECMWF A BIT TO THE SOUTH.
OVERALL THOUGH...SOLUTIONS ARE EDGING FURTHER TO THE NORTH...WITH
PCPN LIKELY NOW ACROSS MOST IF NOT ALL THE CWA.

MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE PERIOD EVOLVE AROUND WINDS...PCPN AMTS...AND
COASTAL FLOODING THREATS. PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL FLOODING
SECTION FOR MORE INFORMATION.

WINDS...EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES DURING THE DAY WED WITH LLJ SETTING
UP ACROSS THE TRI STATE REGION. WINDS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 KTS EXPECTED
BY 00Z THURS...WITH THE STRONGEST FLOW BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z AS THE
WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH. 00Z NAM A BIT STRONGER WITH THE
WINDS...PRODUCING 70 KTS...WITH THE OTHER MODELS REMAINING SLIGHTLY
WEAKER BETWEEN 50 AND 60 KTS. HOWEVER...AS THE PROFILE BECOMES NEAR
ISOTHERMAL OVERNIGHT...THE STRONGEST OF THESE WINDS MAY HAVE TROUBLE
REACHING THE SURFACE...SO HAVE GONE WITH THE WEAKER...YET STILL
STRONG SOLUTION...BLENDING THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/CMC. WIND ADVISORIES
LOOK LIKELY FOR WED NIGHT INTO THURS ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...AND COASTAL CT...WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THE NYC METRO
AREA AND TO THE NORTH AND WEST. THERE IS ALSO A CHC THAT HIGH WIND
WARNING CRITERIA WILL BE MET...MAINLY EASTERN LI AND SE CORNER OF
CT. BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE WIND STRENGTHS...HAVE HELD
OFF FROM ANY ISSUANCE OF PRODUCTS AT THIS TIME. EXPECT THE STRONG
WINDS TO LAST INTO THURS...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST
BY THURS NIGHT.

PCPN AMTS...LATEST MODEL RUNS HOLD OFF ON BRINGING THE PCPN IN TILL WED
AFTN...SO HAVE LOWERED POPS TO SLIGHT CHC FOR WED MORNING...WITH ANY
PCPN OCCURRING THIS TIME BEING LIGHT IN NATURE...AND GENERALLY RAIN
AT THE COAST AND SNOW INLAND. UNFORTUNATELY...THE CONSISTENCY OF THE
MODELS DOESN/T PERSIST INTO WED NIGHT...WITH A GREAT SPREAD ON QPF
TOTALS FROM 00Z THURS BASICALLY UNTIL 00Z FRI. BECAUSE OF THE
INCONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE MODELS...CHOSE TO NOT DEVIATE TOO FAR FROM
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND WENT WITH A HPC/ECMWF/PREVIOUS FORECAST
BLEND. THIS KEEPS THE HIGHEST AMTS OVER EASTERN LI/SE CT AND THE
LOWEST AMTS OVER INTERIOR HUDSON RIVER VALLEY. ONE THING THE MODELS
CAN AGREE UPON IS THE HEAVIEST PCPN WILL OCCUR AFTER 00Z THURS.

PCPN TYPE...WITH HIGH TEMPS PUSHING INTO THE LOWER 40S
WED...BASICALLY EXPECTING LIGHT RAIN...WITH SOME SNOW MIXING IN OVER
INTERIOR REGIONS DURING THE DAY WED. STILL EXPECTING A CHANGEOVER TO
ALL SNOW WED EVENING OVER INTERIOR REGIONS...WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE
THEN SLOWLY PUSHING TO THE COAST OVERNIGHT...AND ALL AREAS HAVING A
PERIOD OF ALL SNOW BY EARLY THURS MORNING. WITH THE PCPN
ONGOING...CHOSE TO SIDE CLOSER TO WET BULB TEMPS...WHICH HELPED
BRING TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE OF DEGREES. DESPITE THE LOWERING...THE
HEAVIEST PCPN LOOKS TO CORRESPOND MORE IN WITH THE TIMING OF THE
RAIN...MINIMIZING SNOWFALL TOTALS AT THIS TIME. IF THE TEMPS CAN
COOL AT A QUICKER RATE...OR IF THE HEAVIEST PCPN DELAYS 3-4
HOURS...WE COULD SEE MUCH HIGHER SF AMTS. AT THIS TIME...AM
GENERALLY THINKING 1-3 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA. THERMAL PROFILES DO
INDICATE WE SHOULD EXPECT A RAIN/SNOW EVENT...WITH A VERY LOW
PROBABILITY OF SLEET MIXING IN. DID ADJUST TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE
DEGREES ON THURSDAY AS WELL...WITH THE PCPN LINGERING LONGER. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURS MORNING...BUT
A TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED AFTER 18Z ACROSS MOST AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...HOWEVER A WEAK TROUGH DOES REMAIN BACK ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
STREAM ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA. THIS LOW CLOSES OFF AND MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SO WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS
THROUGH FRIDAY AND END FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
DIMINISH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE AREA. WILL BE ENOUGH
COLD AIR IN PLACE FOR A CHANCE OF SNOW INLAND AND RAIN ALONG THE
COAST...BECOMING SNOW AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF AND HPC
GUIDANCE. THIS KEEPS THE AREA DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
AREA AND SHIFTS EAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A SYSTEM DOES MOVE
INTO THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY NIGHT WITH A WARM FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
FRONT MONDAY EVENING...BUT WILL KEEP THE DAY PERIOD DRY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SIGNIFICANT AVIATION WEATHER IMPACTS LIKELY WED-THU...SEE OUTLOOK
SECTION BELOW.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND GIVES WAY TO
AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM AS IT MOVES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. VFR THOUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
TONIGHT...THEN TRENDING DOWN WITH MVFR AND LOWER ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE NORTHERN PART OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM MOVES IN.

WINDS FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON WILL BE NNW-N 5-10 KT WITH
SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KT. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITH A POSSIBILITY OF A SEA BREEZE
FOR COASTAL TERMINALS. WINDS BECOME NE-ENE AND INCREASE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NE WINDS AROUND 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KT DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY WITH FURTHER INCREASES TOWARDS EARLY WED EVENING. LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR WITH 2KFT WINDS OF 45-50 KT MID AFTERNOON TO
EARLY EVENING.

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: LOW CHANCE OF SEA BREEZE DEVELOPING 21-22Z.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: CHANCE OF SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT STARTING
BETWEEN 20-22Z. AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: WIND DIRECTION COULD MORE VARIABLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: LOW CHANCE OF SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT AFTER
20Z. AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY NIGHT...LOW PRES TRACKS EASTWARD OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. LL WIND SHEAR 2KFT WINDS OF 50-60KT.
PROLONGED STRONG NE WINDS G 40+ KT. IFR POSSIBLE IN RAIN AND SNOW.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.
.FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...CONTINUED STRONG WINDS...N G35-40KT. MVFR
POSSIBLE WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN.
.SAT...VFR. GUSTY N WINDS POSSIBLE.
.SUN...MAINLY VFR DURING THE DAY. POSSIBLE MVFR AT NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
WITH THE LOW SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA MOVING EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH WINDS AND GUSTS...ALONG WITH SEAS HAVE
SUBSIDED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. THERE COULD STILL BE
AN OCCASIONAL GUST UP TO 25 KT SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT THROUGH 14Z
UNTIL THE LOW MOVES FARTHER AWAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

OTHERWISE WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT UNTIL LATE
TONIGHT WHEN THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES.

WED AND THURS...
A STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS FOR THIS TIME
PERIOD WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE OF STORM FORCE WINDS OCCURRING.
GALES ARE LIKELY DURING THE DAY WED...WITH THE STORM FORCE WINDS
EXPECTED BY WED EVENING...AND LASTING INTO THURSDAY. WITH THE
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW DURING THE DAY WED...SEAS ON THE OCEAN
WATERS ARE FORECASTED TO REACH BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FT...WITH 4 TO 7
FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

AS THE LOW PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST...WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH...AND
BEGIN TO DIMINISH DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN
ELEVATED AT GALE FORCE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL BE SLOWER TO
RESPOND...REMAINING BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FT ON THE OCEAN.

THURSDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY...
WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH GALE GUSTS LOWERING TO SMALL CRAFT.
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS RETURN TO ALL THE FORECAST WATERS SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY TODAY AND THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TOWARD MORNING WITH ONLY A HUNDREDTH OR SO
OF QPF.

TOTAL LIQUID QPF IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED TO BE BETWEEN A QUARTER OF
AN INCH IN ORANGE COUNTY TO AROUND A HALF AN INCH IN NYC/WESTERN LI
AND COASTAL CT TO AROUND AN INCH ACROSS EASTERN LI. HOWEVER...THERE
IS HIGH UNCERTAINTY WITH TOTAL QPF AMOUNTS AND AMOUNTS COULD BE
HIGHER. THE POTENTIAL FOR BETWEEN 1 INCH ACROSS NW ZONES TO 2 INCHES
IN SE ZONES EXISTS. HYDRO RELATED ISSUES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME WITH THE PCPN OCCURRING OVER A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME.

AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF LIQUID QPF IS POSSIBLE FROM
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH THE LOWER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND
AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
MAIN FOCUS IS FOR THE WED AFTERNOON AND THU MORNING HIGH TIDE
CYCLES. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 3-4 FT OF SURGE DURING THE WED
AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TO
LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. HIGHEST CONCERN FOR MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE ALONG PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAY...WESTERN
SOUTH SHORE BAYS AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...WHERE INUNDATION OF
1 TO 3 FT IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST VULNERABLE LOW LYING AREAS.

THE AMOUNT OF SURGE DURING THE THU MORNING HIGH TIDE WILL BE
DETERMINED BY THE TRACK/INTENSITY OF LOW PRESSURE AND HOW QUICKLY
WINDS TURN TO THE NORTH. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 2 TO 4 FT OF
SURGE...RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND LOCALLY
MODERATE SURGE IN BAYS AREAS...AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WHERE
DRAINAGE WILL BE RESTRICTED.

SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION ISSUES FOR OCEAN FACING BEACHES AND TWIN
FORKS OF LI ARE LIKELY...WITH BREAKERS OF 8 TO 14 FT POSSIBLE.
LOCALIZED DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS
DUE TO THE COMBINED SURGE AND WAVE ACTION.

DUE TO THE HIGHER CONFIDENCE OF AT LEAST WIDESPREAD MINOR WITH
LOCALIZED MODERATE FLOODING DURING THESE HIGH TIDES...HAVE ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL AREAS EXPECT NEW LONDON COUNTY. THE
GREATER CONFIDENCE OF MODERATE FLOODING EXISTS OVER THE WESTERN
LONG ISLAND SOUND COASTLINES...AND THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG
ISLAND.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR CTZ009>011.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ071-073-078-079-176-177.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ072-074-075-080-081-178-179.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NJZ006.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

NJZ002-004-103>108-NYZ067>070-061030-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-061030-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WATCH.

STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE LIKELY ON ALL WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH WINDS THEN DIMINISHING TO GALES BY
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-012-061030-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A NOR-EASTER WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS
EAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDS THE EXACT DETAILS OF HOW THIS STORM
WILL EVOLVE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOW...AND STRONG WINDS...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.

THESE IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SEE THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009>011-NYZ071-073-078-079-176-177-061030-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A NOR-EASTER WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS
EAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDS THE EXACT DETAILS OF HOW THIS STORM
WILL EVOLVE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIDESPREAD MINOR TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING...HIGH SURF AND SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION ALONG THE OCEAN FACING BEACHES AND TWIN FORKS OF LONG
ISLAND...AND STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.

WHILE THE CURRENT FORECAST KEEPS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3
INCHES...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SEE THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-075-080-081-178-179-061030-
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
525 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A NOR-EASTER WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS
EAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDS THE EXACT DETAILS OF HOW THIS STORM
WILL EVOLVE...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIDESPREAD MINOR TO
LOCALIZED MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING...HIGH SURF AND SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION ALONG THE OCEAN FACING BEACHES...AND STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.

WHILE THE CURRENT FORECAST KEEPS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2
INCHES...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SEE THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.