Alert archive / Connecticut / Flash Flood Warnings in 2013

Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS New York, NY

November 27, 2013Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut; Rockland County, Westchester County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Nov 27, 2013, 5:41 AM EST for Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut; Rockland County, Westchester County, New York. It was in force for 5 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 27, 2013, 5:41 AM EST (10:41 UTC)
Expired
Nov 27, 2013, 10:30 AM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 27, 6:00 AM ESTCOASTAL FLOODStratford, CTWATER FLOWING INTO PARKING LOT AT MARINA ALONG MOUTH OF HOUSATONIC RIVER.
Nov 27, 8:00 AM ESTFLASH FLOODWest Haven, CTSTREET CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN WASHINGTON AVENUE AND WOOD STREET.
Nov 27, 8:00 AM ESTCOASTAL FLOODWest Haven, CTSTREET CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN WASHINGTON AVENUE AND WOOD STREET.
Nov 27, 8:13 AM ESTFLASH FLOODElmsford, NYROUTE 119 AT ROUTE 100A KNOLLWOOD ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
Nov 27, 8:44 AM ESTFLASH FLOODWestport, CTSOUTH COMPO ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 139 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2013-11-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2013-11-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 402 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
564 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
402 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

397 
WGUS51 KOKX 271041
FFWOKX
CTC001-009-NYC087-119-271430-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0043.131127T1041Z-131127T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
541 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  WESTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
  ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 930 AM EST. 

* AT 532 AM EST...FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON THE BRONX RIVER 
  PARKWAY IN SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY. FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO 
  EXPECTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 

* UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN PARTS OF THE WARNED 
  AREA...AND ANOTHER 1 TO LOCALLY UP 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS 
  POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 7285 4101 7365 4096 7366 4090 7376
      4087 7376 4092 7392 4100 7390 4114 7423
      4132 7399 4136 7355 4156 7295 4155 7286
      4158 7283 4156 7282 4158 7277

$$

GOODMAN
2 follow-up statements
969 
WGUS51 KOKX 271412
FFWOKX
CTC001-009-NYC087-119-271600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-131127T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
912 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  WESTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
  WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
  ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST...

* AT 905 AM EST...FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED ACROSS THE WARNING 
AREA...WHERE UP TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 
LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS 
MORNING. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF 
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. 
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. 
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS 
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY 
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 7285 4101 7365 4096 7366 4090 7376
      4087 7376 4092 7392 4100 7390 4114 7423
      4132 7399 4136 7355 4156 7295 4155 7286
      4158 7283 4156 7282 4158 7277

$$
698 
WGUS71 KOKX 271530
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1030 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

CTC001-009-NYC087-119-271529-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-131127T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROCKLAND NY-WESTCHESTER NY-NEW HAVEN CT-FAIRFIELD CT-
1030 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR FAIRFIELD...WESTERN
NEW HAVEN...WESTCHESTER AND ROCKLAND COUNTIES...

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE 
AREA HAS DIMINISHED. RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING...COMBINED 
WITH AN ADDITIONAL UP TO ONE INCH OF RAINFALL THROUGH LATE THIS 
MORNING...MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE...BUT 
THERE IS NO THREAT OF ANY MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING AT THIS 
TIME...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED. 

LAT...LON 4130 7285 4101 7365 4096 7366 4090 7376
      4087 7376 4092 7392 4100 7390 4114 7423
      4132 7399 4136 7355 4156 7295 4155 7286
      4158 7283 4156 7282 4158 7277

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 27, 4:23 AM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 4:23 AM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
423 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
THE COASTAL LOW IN THE MID-ATLANTIC TRAVELS RIGHT INTO THE FORECAST
REGION THIS MORNING. THEN THIS LOW MOVES NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE SAME TIMEFRAME. HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTH AND
WEST WILL SLOWLY BUILD LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN BUILD IN FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AND MOVE OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST ON SUNDAY. A COASTAL FRONT WILL DEVELOP ON
SUNDAY AND REMAIN INTO MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ON THE
FRONT AND MOVE UP THE COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THERE WILL BE ABOUT 5-6 MB DEEPENING IN 6 HRS GOING INTO THE EARLY
MORNING WITH THE LOW TRAVELING FROM MID-ATLANTIC DIRECTLY INTO THE
REGION.

IN TERMS OF WINDS...WITH SURFACE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK JUST W OF
NYC THIS MORNING...AND A BIT FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY
FORECAST...HAVE GONE AHEAD AND SPED UP THE ENDING OF WIND ADVISORY
TO 8 AM FOR NYC METRO/COASTAL SW CT/HUDSON/SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER/NORTHERN MIDDLESEX AND 10 AM LONG ISLAND/COASTAL SE
CT/NORTHERN NEW LONDON. AHEAD OF THE LOW WINDS WILL RANGE FROM
20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 40-55 MPH. SHOULD EXPERIENCE A BIT OF
THE LULL IN THE WINDS BETWEEN THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW TO THE
NORTH/EAST THIS MORNING AND THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NW AT 15-25
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH.

LOOKS LIKE THE NAM HAS A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON THE CURRENT QPF
DISTRIBUTION SO FAR. CMC IS RELATIVELY SIMILAR TO THIS SOLUTION.
NAM12 SPECIFICALLY LOOKING AT TIME HEIGHT DIAGRAMS SHOW MAXIMUM
VERTICAL OMEGA BY AROUND 09Z FROM SFC TO AROUND 500MB. THE DEEPENING
AND INCREASE OF LOW LEVEL JET ALONG WITH A TURN TOWARDS MORE
SOUTHERLY FLOW AS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH WILL ADVECT IN
GREATER WARMTH AND MOISTURE. HENCE...PWATS INCREASE TO AROUND
1.6-1.75 INCHES...HIGHEST ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL BE ENHANCED NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH THE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH FLOW INCREASING. THIS WILL THEN ENHANCE THE RAIN.

THEREFORE WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH GOING AS THE HEIGHT OF THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE THROUGH THE 12-14Z HOURS SO THROUGH THAT
TIMEFRAME RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES.

IF OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO TREND WITH THE SOLUTIONS OF THE NAM AND
CMC...THEN A QUICKER PROGRESSION OF RAIN WOULD TURN OUT WITHIN THE
12-18Z WED TIMEFRAME. THESE ARE REMARKABLY LOWER THAN THE GFS AND
ECMWF. NAM12 TIME HEIGHT SHOWS A DRAMATIC LOWERING OF OMEGA IN THE
LOW LEVELS BETWEEN 1000 AND 700MB AROUND 15Z OR SO. LOW STILL
DEEPENS AROUND 4-5MB AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE
FOCUS OF HIGHER RAIN WILL THEN BE OVER EASTERN LI AND SE CT. AT THIS
POINT...RAIN IS STILL THE PRIMARY PRECIP TYPE.

MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT AS WELL IN THE 12Z-18Z TIMEFRAME WITH
MUCAPE UP TO 100 J/KG AND SHOWALTER INDICES OF AROUND OR JUST BELOW
0.

ANOTHER REASON TO KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH GOING IS THAT THIS MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR EMBEDDED AREAS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN. THIS
WILL CREATE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL THAT WILL LIKELY BE
HIGHER THAN WHAT NUMERICAL PREDICTION MODELS CONVEY.

COLDER AIR MOVES IN DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE PRETTY MUCH ESTABLISHED WITHIN MORNING HOURS...WELL INTO THE 50S
AND TOUCHING NEAR 60 FOR SOME PLACES.

REGARDING THE FLOOD WATCH...TRENDED IT EARLIER FOR WESTERN HALF OF
REGION 21Z AND KEPT IT THROUGH 23Z FOR EASTERN HALF. OTHERWISE...NO
CHANGES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME RAPID COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH NORTHWEST FLOW
LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THE WINDS WILL BACK WITH HEIGHT.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA
FROM WEST TO EAST. MOST OF THESE WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF NYC
WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A COATING. MODELS ARE REALLY DRY UP
BETWEEN 00Z THU - 06Z THU WITH EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN TIER OF
NORTHERN ZONES AND TOTALLY DRY THEREAFTER.

WENT WITH COLDER NAM12 IN ADDITION TO MET MOS GUIDANCE FOR LOWS
TONIGHT...RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION.

A COLD DAY IS IN STORE FOR THURSDAY WITH CONTINUED COLD AIR
ADVECTION. WEATHER WILL BE DRIER HOWEVER. HIGHS WERE A BLEND OF MET
AND NAM12 TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS NOT GETTING ABOVE THE LOWER 30S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.

REGARDING WINDS...WITH 950 HPA AND BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY MORNING FORECAST ONLY TO 35-40 KT EXPECT WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AS IT IS NOT REALISTIC TO EXPECT
100 PERCENT MIXING. DO EXPECT WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30-45 MPH INTO THURSDAY MORNING - HIGHEST COASTAL AREAS AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. WINDS DIMINISH THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO 10-25 MPH WITH
GUSTS 30-40 MPH.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE MEAN UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS THU NIGHT INTO FRI
MORNING...OTHERWISE EXPECT FAIR WX WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO
CONTINUE INTO SAT AS STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES. THE FLOW
ALOFT BECOMES MORE NEARLY ZONAL AFTER THE PASSAGES OF THIS
SHORTWAVE...AND AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST SAT NIGHT...LOW LEVEL RETURN
FLOW IN COMBINATION WITH A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH WILL
BRING MORE CLOUDS LATE SAT NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LIFT IS
RATHER WEAK AT THIS TIME AND MOISTURE LIMITED...HOWEVER THERE IS A
VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE AS WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION
CONTINUE AND GULF MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. AS THE HIGH RETREATS
TO THE NORTHEAST SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...COLD AIR DAMMING IS
POSSIBLE AND MIXED PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE INLAND AS COASTAL
AREAS WARM IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW.

A COASTAL FRONT WILL DEVELOP OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY AS ADDITIONAL SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE REGION. THE LAST AND STRONGEST IN THIS
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL DEVELOP A LOW ALONG THE COASTAL FRONT MON
INTO TUE. FOLLOWED 26/12Z ECMWF GUIDANCE...WITH THE LOW PASSING
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN FROM LATE DAY MON INTO
TUE...WITH SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP POSSIBLE NORTH/WEST OF NYC
MON NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
**HIGH IMPACT AVIATION WEATHER EVENT TONIGHT**

VARYING IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MORNING...THEN GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT TOWARDS
THE TERMINALS...THEN MOVE NORTH OF THE TERMINALS LATER TODAY. CIGS
WILL REMAIN IFR/LIFR THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

BIGGEST CHALLENGE TODAY WILL BE THE CHANGING WIND DIRECTION AS THE
LOW MOVES OVER THE REGION. WINDS START OFF FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST
THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN EVENTUALLY TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST. THE MAIN TIME FOR THE WIND SHIFT WILL BE BETWEEN
13Z-17Z...OF COURSE THIS MAY VARY A BIT DEPENDING ON THE TERMINAL
LOCATION. WIND SPEEDS TO START WILL BE AROUND 20-28 KT SUSTAINED
WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT POSSIBLE. AS THE WINDS SHIFT...SPEEDS WILL
DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 KT. WILL KEEP SOME GUSTS IN THE TAFS...HOWEVER
THERE IS A CHANCE THE GUSTS COULD ALSO END FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. WIND
SHEAR WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE FROM NYC AND POINTS EAST WITH A 70KT LOW
LEVEL JET AROUND 2000FT.

ONCE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND THE LOW LIFTS TO THE
NORTH...SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN. THE PRECIPITATION
LINGERS DURING THE DAY...WITH GRADUALLY IMPROVING CIGS AFTER 15Z.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 12-16Z

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 11-15Z

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10-16Z

THE AFTERNOON KEWR HAZE POTENTIAL FORECAST IS GREEN...WHICH IMPLIES
SLANT RANGE VISIBILITY 7SM OR GREATER OUTSIDE OF CLOUD.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10-15Z

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10-16Z

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY TO FINE TUNE ANY
WIND SHIFTS AND CHANGING FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTH...THEN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 13-18Z

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.WED NIGHT. VFR. W-NW WINDS 20-25G35KT.

.THU...VFR. NW WINDS 20-25G30-35KT EARLY SLOWLY DIMINISHING TO
G20KT BY EVENING.

.THU NIGHT-SAT...VFR.

.SUN AND MON...MVFR CEILINGS. -DZ / -RA. SE SFC FLOW 10-15 KT.

&&

.MARINE...
HAVE EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING ON ALL WATERS THROUGH NOON (17Z)
THURSDAY. WHILE THERE COULD BE A LULL LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WHERE GUSTS COULD FALL BELOW GALES...DO NOT WANT TO MUDDLE
THINGS WITH A SHORT PERIOD WITHOUT HEADLINES OR A BRIEF DROP DOWN TO
AN SCA.

WILL USE SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS TO ADDRESS ANY WIND GUSTS OF 48 KT
OR HIGHER IN ISOLATED STRONGER CONVECTION THIS MORNING.

WINDS SHOULD FALL TO SCA LEVELS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON ALL WATERS.

AS FAR AS SEAS GO - THEY SHOULD PEAK TONIGHT AT 7-14 FT OVER THE
COASTAL OCEAN WATERS AND 4-7 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND. SEAS SUBSIDE
TO 4 TO 8 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS AND UNDER 5 FT ON THE SOUND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SCA CONDS SHOULD LINGER INTO THU EVENING ON THE OCEAN AND THE ERN
SOUND/BAYS AS NW FLOW SLOWLY DIMINISHES. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ON FRI...SCA CONDS COULD BRIEFLY RETURN TO
THE ERN OCEAN WATERS LATE DAY FRI INTO FRI EVENING...THEN RELATIVELY
QUIET CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MON WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATING. NEXT CHANCE OF SCA CONDS SHOULD OCCUR BEYOND THE FCST
PERIOD AS A COASTAL LOW APPROACHES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS FORECAST RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES
WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES. DUE TO RECENT PROLONGED DRY
CONDITIONS...MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THERE IS ENOUGH CHANCE OF URBAN/AREAL/SMALL STREAM
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORM DRAINS ARE CLOGGED BY LEAVES AND
ESSENTIALLY WHERE THERE IS MORE RUNOFF. ADDITIONALLY...LOW-LYING
COASTAL AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE EXACERBATED ROAD FLOODING DURING
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

LIGHT PRECIP EXPECTED FROM LATE SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING.
SIGNIFICANT QPF OF OVER 1/2 INCH IS LIKELY WITH THE COASTAL LOW
LATER MON INTO TUE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN CT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH SURF AND MINOR EROSION FROM THE BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES...WITH AN EXPECTATION
OF 7-11 FT BREAKING WAVES AT ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH TONIGHT. HAVE
CONTINUED THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY AS IS.

WHILE HAVE DOUBTS WILL ACHIEVE THE 2.5-3 FT DEPARTURES NEEDED FOR
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING - DO NOT HAVE SUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE TO CANCEL
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR EARLY THIS MORNING - SO HAVE LEFT
COASTAL FLOOD HEADLINES AS IS.

FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH FLOW EXPECTED
TO BEGIN TURN OFFSHORE WOULD EXPECT SURGE VALUES TO BEGIN TO FALL
RAPIDLY FROM AFTERNOON ON. THE ONLY AREA TO MONITOR WOULD BE THE
SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS WITH HIGH SURF LIMITING TIDAL DRAINAGE.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
DUE TO INTERFERENCE ISSUES WITH THE U.S. COAST GUARD
EMERGENCY BROADCAST CHANNEL...THE NEW YORK CITY NOAA ALL HAZARDS
WEATHER RADIO STATION KWO35 REMAINS OUT OF SERVICE. THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IS WORKING WITH SEVERAL U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
TO ISOLATE AND RESOLVE THIS TECHNICAL PROBLEM.

DURING THIS TIME...THE TRANSMITTER MAY BE RETURNED TO SERVICE
INTERMITTENTLY FOR USE OF THE NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO
DURING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATIONS...FOR ROUTINE
WEEKLY TESTS OF THE WARNING SYSTEM...AND TO DETERMINE IF THE
INTERFERENCE ISSUE HAS BEEN RESOLVED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR CTZ005>012.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR CTZ008-011-012.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR CTZ007-009-010.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR CTZ009-
     010.
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ078>081.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ078>081-177-
     179.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ079-
     081.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067>075-176>179.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ071>075-176-
     178.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ071-
     073.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ080-081-
     178-179.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NJZ006.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-
     345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN/JM
NEAR TERM...MALOIT/JM
SHORT TERM...MALOIT/JM
LONG TERM...GOODMAN
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...GOODMAN/MALOIT
HYDROLOGY...GOODMAN/JM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MALOIT
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 27, 5:23 AM EST, 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

CTZ008-011-012-NYZ078-281030-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-010-281030-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ007-281030-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-281030-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ071-073-281030-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ081-281030-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ072-074-075-176-281030-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHERN QUEENS-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ179-281030-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ178-281030-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ079-281030-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ177-281030-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-004-103>108-NYZ067>070-281030-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ006-281030-
HUDSON-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-006-281030-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-281030-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
523 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 27, 5:26 AM EST, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
526 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW NORTH WHITE PLAINS 41.05N  73.78W
11/27/2013                   WESTCHESTER        NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BRONX RIVER PKWY SOUTH BETWEEN OLD TARRYTOWN RD AND THE
            SPRAIN BROOK PKWY IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

PICCA

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 27, 3:43 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region3 hr
Nov 27, 4:41 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region3 hr
Nov 27, 7:11 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region2 hr
Nov 27, 7:30 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region60 min
Nov 27, 4:32 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond3 hr
Nov 27, 5:22 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX113 min
Nov 27, 5:25 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX2 hr
Nov 27, 7:23 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXSuffolk37 min
Nov 27, 7:26 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningOKX64 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Connecticut, 2013Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2013Every flash flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.