Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
304 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHORTWAVE JUST UPSTREAM. MODERATE MOISTURE SOURCE AND SLIGHTLY
INCREASED INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ISO-SCT CONVECTION
INTO THE EARLY EVE.

WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MAKE SLOW TRANSITION TO RIDGING INTO THE
LATE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH WEAK TROUGH AXIS DOES LINGER ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. THIS WILL KEEP ANYTHING ORGANIZED FROM AFFECTING
THE MID-SOUTH THUS CURRENT TREND WILL CONTINUE. MODERATE MOISTURE
BELOW H7 AND DAYTIME HEATING/ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP
LARGELY DIURNAL ISO-SCT STORMS IN THE MIX THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.

NO REAL APPRECIABLE CHANGES IN OVERALL PATTERN EARLY NEXT WEEK
BUT CHANGES ARE IN SIGHT BY EARLY WED. UPPER RIDGE BREAKING DOWN
MID-WEEK AS UPPER LOW SCOOTS NEAR THE US/CANADIAN BORDER. THIS
WILL SHARPEN TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US LATE WEEK...WITH AXIS
SWINGING THROUGH POSSIBLY FRI. DAYTIME HEATING PUSHING TEMPS WELL
INTO THE 80S TO AROUND 90 WILL PRODUCE DIURNAL CONVECTION THROUGH
WED...WITH PCPN CHANCES RAMPING UP LATE IN THE WEEK WITH INCOMING
TROUGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      68  89  68  89 /  20  20  20  20
CLARKSVILLE    66  90  67  89 /  20  20  20  20
CROSSVILLE     61  82  62  84 /  20  20  20  20
COLUMBIA       67  89  68  89 /  20  20  20  20
LAWRENCEBURG   67  89  67  89 /  20  20  20  20
WAVERLY        67  90  67  89 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
330 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-211015-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
330 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD PRODUCE TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
234 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

TNZ011-034-066-202015-
CUMBERLAND-FENTRESS-PICKETT-
234 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CUMBERLAND...FENTRESS AND PICKETT
COUNTIES...

AT 229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES EAST OF
BYRDSTOWN TO 11 MILES NORTH OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE PLEASANT HILL...PALL MALL...INDIAN
ROCK LAKE...CLARKRANGE...LAKE TANSI...GRIMSLEY...JAMESTOWN...
CROSSVILLE AND ALLARDT.

SMALL HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3629 8479 3629 8487 3621 8491 3615 8490
      3600 8472 3591 8469 3576 8491 3577 8525
      3591 8522 3600 8526 3611 8522 3610 8515
      3614 8510 3621 8508 3629 8512 3639 8512
      3662 8504 3660 8478 3640 8467

TB12

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
242 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

TNZ008-027-028-059-062-202015-
DAVIDSON-RUTHERFORD-SUMNER-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
242 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DAVIDSON...RUTHERFORD...SUMNER...
WILLIAMSON AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 238 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ANTIOCH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE OAK HILL...BERRY HILL...ANTIOCH...
PERCY PRIEST LAKE...RURAL HILL...LA VERGNE AND SMYRNA.

SMALL HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES
AND WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3631 8652 3608 8638 3587 8654 3588 8684
      3609 8697 3632 8681

TB12

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