Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Nashville, TN

824 
WGUS74 KOHX 010217
FFSOHX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
917 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

TNC141-010430-
/O.CON.KOHX.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130701T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PUTNAM TN-
917 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTY
UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

AT 915 PM CDT...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA, AND PREVIOUSLY FLOODED STREETS ARE NOW OPEN AGAIN. HOWEVER, 
MINOR FLOODING IS STILL BEING REPORTED IN PARTS OF COOKEVILLE, SO 
CAUTION IS ADVISED.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 8546 3626 8543 3625 8544 3621 8536
      3608 8539 3610 8563 3621 8563 3623 8558
      3622 8557 3624 8553 3626 8553 3626 8552
      3629 8546

$$

ROSE

720 
WGUS74 KOHX 010423
FFSOHX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1123 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

TNC141-010438-
/O.EXP.KOHX.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130701T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PUTNAM TN-
1123 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL PUTNAM
COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 1130 PM CDT...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3627 8546 3626 8543 3625 8544 3621 8536
      3608 8539 3610 8563 3621 8563 3623 8558
      3622 8557 3624 8553 3626 8553 3626 8552
      3629 8546

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
647 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.UPDATE...ADDED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAF'S.

&&

.AVIATION...BNA/CKV/CSV...SCATTERED CELLS CONTINUE ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE EARLY THIS EVENING AS A STRONG UPPER LOW REMAINS
SITUATED ALMOST DIRECTLY OVER THE MID STATE. HRRR MODEL SHOWS THIS
ACTIVITY DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER DARK, SO WILL HANDLE WITH VCSH
REMARKS (TEMPO AT CSV) THROUGH 02Z. LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT, WITH POSSIBLE LOW CIGS AT CSV. AN EVEN BETTER CHANCE OF
CONVECTION ON MONDAY, SO HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO TSRA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST REASONING WILL LEAN TOWARD A CONSENSUS MODEL SOLUTION
COMPROMISE FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED

FORECAST QUANDARIES...ACTUAL UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVEMENT POSITION
APPROACHING/INTO STATE AND EVENTUALLY WESTWARD MOVEMENT...ASSOCIATED
SHWR/TSTM CHANCES...TEMPS.

12Z SUN GFS EXPECTING UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MOVE INTO WRN PORTIONS OF STATE BY
THIS EVENING...AND THEN BEGINNING TO DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE NW. THIS WILL ALLOW
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING PATTERN TO BE ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE MID STATE
THRU TUE NIGHT. LATEST EURO AND NAM SIMILAR IN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVEMENT AND
POSITIONS WITH SUBTLETIES DIFFERENCES HERE AND THERE BETWEEN THEM AND THE
LATEST GFS SOLUTION. AGAIN...ACTUAL UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVEMENT POSITION AND
WHAT PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE IT PLACES FOR THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHWR/TSTM
DEVELOPMENTS PER SLY FLOW SFC/ALOFT WILL BE THE OVERALL KEY AGAIN HERE.
BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE ENTIRE MID STATE WILL BE ON MON AFTERNOON WHEN
NUMEROUS SHWRS/TSTMS ARE EXPECTED. EXPECTING A CHANCE OF SHWRS/TSTMS THRU
THE EVENING HRS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHWRS/CHANCE SHWRS PLATEAU AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS PATTERN OF EVENING CHANCE TSTMS FOR MON
AND TUE NIGHTS...TO A CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT...
AS POSSIBLE DIURNAL EFFECTS DIMINISH. HOWEVER...WITH THIS EXPECTED UPPER LEVEL
LOW MOVEMENT...EXPECT MOCLDY SKIES TO BE THE GENERAL TREND TONIGHT THRU TUE
NIGHT WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW SEASONABLE NORMS
THRU TUE AFTERNOON...WITH LOWS ALSO TRENDING GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES BELOW
SEASONABLE NORMAL VALUES ALSO. AS LIKE YESTERDAY ALSO...CAN NOT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED SHWR/TSTM RESULTING IN A BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOUR...BUT AM CONTINUING
TO NOT ANTICIPATE AT THIS TIME ANY OVERALL POTENTIAL OF ANY TYPE OF A
FLOODING EVENT WITH THIS SYSTEM AS FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES PRESENTLY
CONTINUE TO BE RATHER HIGH...BUT GENERALLY HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD
BE ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE...AND AREAS FURTHER TO THE EAST.

AS FOR WED THRU SUN...AS LIKE AROUND THIS TIME YESTERDAY...BERMUDA BASED
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE U.S. AS THIS
TIME PERIOD PROGRESS...THIS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP A SLY/SWLY SFC AND UPPER
LEVEL FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE MID STATE THRU THIS PERIOD ALSO...RESULTING IN
THE CONTINUANCE OF A GOOD MOISTURE FETCH ACROSS THE MID STATE. BUT RELIEF
DOES LOOK TO BE IN SIGHT FOR SHWR/TSTM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE AREA BY SUN
AFTERNOON AS RIDGING INFLUENCES SFC/ALOFT BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA.
AS LIKE THIS TIME YESTERDAY ALSO...AND STILL DO NOT EXPECT RAINFALL ALL THE
TIME ACROSS THE MID STATE PER THIS PATTERN THRU THIS TIME PERIOD...BUT
CONTINUE ALSO TO AT LEAST THINK THAT THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISO/SCT
SHWRS/TSTMS WITH VARIABILITY BETWEEN PTCLDY TO MOCLDY SKIES. AS FOR TEMPS...
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE GENERALLY BE SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLY NORMAL
VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH THE ANTICIPATED VARIABILITY IN CLOUD COVERAGE
AND POTENTIAL RAINFALL WITH LOWS GENERALLY AROUND SEASONABLY NORMAL VALUES.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
522 AM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-011030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
522 AM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

05

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
603 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

TNZ095-302330-
GILES-
603 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GILES COUNTY...

AT 600 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTH OF PULASKI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
5 MPH. TORRENTIAL RAIN IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. BRIEF,
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE PROSPECT AND ELKTON.

HALF INCH SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3524 8715 3530 8684 3521 8682 3504 8683
      3500 8683 3499 8684 3499 8703

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