Alert archive / Montana / Special Weather Statements in 2013

Special Weather Statement, NWS Missoula, MT

June 18, 2013Missoula County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this special weather statement at Jun 18, 2013, 4:39 PM MDT for Missoula County, Montana. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2013, 4:39 PM MDT (22:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2013, 5:45 PM MDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT

County Missoula County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2013-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2013-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -177 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1301 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-177 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 18, 2:15 PM MDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 2:15 PM MDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
215 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...An active weather scenario is setting up for the
next 24-48 hours as a low pressure system begins to approach and move
through western Montana and north central Idaho. Below are listed
the main impacts with this system:

***Strong Thunderstorms***: Thunderstorms are already beginning to
 form this afternoon under good surface heating and lots of energy
 and moisture aloft, a favorable pattern for strong to severe
 thunderstorms exists. The storms are expected to come in two main waves.
 The first wave is expected to form across southwest Montana this
 afternoon and move northward into west central and northwest
 Montana (generally east of a line from Hamilton to Missoula to
 Kalispell) this afternoon and evening. A second wave of
 thunderstorms will develop tonight over north central Idaho and
 move into northwest Montana (generally west of a line from Lost
 Trail Pass to Lowell to Plains to Eureka) overnight.
 Thunderstorms will have the potential to produce very heavy rain
 (which could affect flood prone basins and recent burn areas in
 Idaho county), hail potentially over 1 inch in diameter and
 strong winds greater than 50 mph. Those with outdoor activities
 today and tonight should keep an eye to the sky.

***Heavy rain***: As the upper low pressure system moves into the
 region tonight and Wednesday, a scenario for very heavy rain is
 developing. The heaviest rain is expected across the Clearwater
 mountains into the Idaho panhandle and across northwest Montana.
 1" to 2" of rain are possible in these areas tonight through
 Wednesday night. River and stream levels will likely rise
 although flooding is not anticipated at this time. There could be
 localized issues with ponding of water on roadways in urban
 areas. Elsewhere, most all of the region should see a wetting
 rain however amounts will be lower as you head into southwest
 Montana and Lemhi County. Another wave of moisture and energy
 associated with the upper low pressure system will impact
 northern Idaho and western Montana Wednesday afternoon. This
 could mean an additional 0.25 to 0.75 inch of rain, with the
 higher amounts in the higher terrain of northwest Montana.

***High terrain and mountain pass snow***: As the upper low
 pressure system approaches late Wednesday, much cooler air will
 rush into northern Idaho and western Montana. Snow levels should
 be between 6000 to 7000 feet with some slushy snow/road impacts
 possible over higher mountain passes such as Lost Trail Pass by
 Thursday morning. However, by the time the cooler air arrives,
 the heaviest precipitation should shift north into Canada and
 well east of the Divide. The upper low pressure system will
 continue to direct surges of moisture and a very cool air mass
 over the northern Rockies Friday and Saturday. Higher terrain
 areas should continue to see some additional snow.

In the longer term, the very cool and moist low pressure system
should exit to the east late Saturday. However, it appears a moist
westerly flow may set up over the northern Rockies late Sunday,
Monday and Tuesday with additional showers.

&&

.AVIATION...Scattered thunderstorms have already developed across
southwest Montana this afternoon. These storms are expected to
track northward through the afternoon and early evening and could
impact airfields KBTM between 18/2000z and 18/2300z, KMSO between
18/2200z and 19/0100z and KGPI between 18/2300z and 19/0300z. Some
thunderstorms could become quite strong with wind gusts over 45
kts, hail and very heavy rain reducing visibility at times. A
second wave of thunderstorms is expected for form late this
evening and will affect mostly north central Idaho into northwest
Montana although at the time this convection should miss the TAF
terminals. Late tonight into tomorrow morning, heavy rain will
develop across the region producing low ceilings which will
obscure the higher terrain and periodically lower visibility.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 2:57 PM MDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
257 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     HAIL             3 SW OVANDO             46.99N 113.18W
06/18/2013  M0.88 INCH       POWELL             MT   COCORAHS

            HAIL DURATION 7 MINUTES

&&

IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Jun 18, 2:58 PM MDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
258 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     HAIL             OVANDO                  47.02N 113.13W
06/18/2013  M0.25 INCH       POWELL             MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. HAIL DURATION 3
            MINUTES

&&

IRIS SYSTEM
Local storm report, Jun 18, 3:13 PM MDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
313 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S SALMON              45.12N 113.88W
06/18/2013  M44 MPH          LEMHI              ID   AWOS

            RAIN SHOWER PRODUCED STRONG WIND GUST AT THE
            SALMON AIRPORT.

&&

IRIS SYSTEM
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 3:14 PM MDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
314 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

IDZ009-010-182145-
EASTERN LEMHI COUNTY-WESTERN LEMHI COUNTY-
314 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LEMHI COUNTY UNTIL 345
PM MDT...

AT 305 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR INDIAN CREEK IN THE MUSTANG BURN...OR 21
MILES NORTHWEST OF SALMON...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF EXTREME NORTHERN LEMHI COUNTY AND MAY IMPACT HIGHWAY 93 BETWEEN
LOST TRAIL PASS AND GIBBONSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...MOVE TO A WELL
PROTECTED AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4540 11426 4555 11424 4553 11420 4565 11402
      4568 11403 4571 11399 4569 11396 4570 11393
      4566 11390 4537 11401
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 195DEG 22KT 4549 11409
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 3:19 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
319 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

MTZ004>006-043-182215-
BITTERROOT/SAPPHIRE MOUNTAINS-LOWER CLARK FORK
REGION-MISSOULA/BITTERROOT VALLEYS-POTOMAC/SEELEY LAKE REGION-
319 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN RAVALLI...NORTHWESTERN
GRANITE AND SOUTHERN MISSOULA COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 318 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BONNER TO 7 MILES
EAST OF STEVENSVILLE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...MISSOULA...
BONNER...FLORENCE...WEST RIVERSIDE BURN AREA...EAST MISSOULA...LOLO
AND TURAH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...MOVE TO A WELL
PROTECTED AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4696 11376 4655 11361 4644 11396 4685 11422
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 167DEG 15KT 4683 11379 4653 11394
Special weather statement, Jun 18, 4:39 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
439 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

MTZ004-005-182345-
LOWER CLARK FORK REGION-MISSOULA/BITTERROOT VALLEYS-
439 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MISSOULA AND EASTERN
MINERAL COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

AT 436 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALBERTON...OR 18 MILES WEST
OF MISSOULA...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...ALBERTON...
NINEMILE...HUSON AND CYR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...MOVE TO A WELL
PROTECTED AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4691 11455 4705 11466 4711 11426 4685 11429
      4681 11443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 170DEG 16KT 4688 11437

The office that day

Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 6:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOSilver Bow38 min
Jun 18, 2:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOPowell34 min
Jun 18, 3:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSO31 min
Jun 18, 3:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMissoula56 min
Jun 18, 3:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOMissoula42 min
Jun 18, 4:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOMineral, Missoula42 min
Jun 18, 5:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMissoula41 min
Jun 18, 5:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOFlathead38 min
Jun 18, 5:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOLake51 min
Jun 18, 5:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOFlathead48 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Montana, 2013Every special weather statement in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.