Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)...A MOIST AIR MASS WILL BE
BUILDING OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...WITH SEVERAL VORT
MAXES MOVING THROUGH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE REGION. WITH A LACK OF
SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING MECHANISMS...THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BE THE
MAIN FACTORS IN INITIATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND
UNFORTUNATELY THE MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THEIR TIMING.
GENERALLY...THE BEST PRECIP CHANCES APPEAR TO BE IN SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS THE DISTURBANCES TRACK TO THE
NE...AND A SE 850 MB FLOW SUPPLIES LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT...BUT IT APPEARS THAT
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AS THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH AXIS GETS
A LITTLE CLOSER. WILL HAVE CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS IN THE
MORNING...RISING TO LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL IN THE AFTERNOON. SEVERE
THREAT LOOKS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD...BUT SLOW MOVING OR TRAINING
STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE PLATEAU BOTH
THIS EVENING AND TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...WILL BE IN A RATHER
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE EXTENDED.  THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AND AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHWARD JUST EAST OF THE MRX CWA WILL
GENERATES LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS.  WILL BE BETWEEN WEATHER
SYSTEMS ON SUNDAY.  FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED...MODELS TRENDING
TOWARDS KEEP THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH ALONG THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY.  THIS COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD PROVIDE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM EACH DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  68  80  67  83  64 /  60  70  70  60  40
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    67  81  65  81  62 /  50  70  70  70  50
OAK RIDGE, TN            67  79  65  80  62 /  60  80  70  70  50
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   64  80  62  78  59 /  40  80  80  80  70

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

DGS/MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
355 AM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-060800-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
355 AM EDT WED JUN 5 2013 /255 AM CDT WED JUN 5 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
LATER THIS WEEK...AS TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO. AS A RESULT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THIS AFTERNOON...THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD FOR LOCAL SPOTTER
ACTIVATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

TNZ083-084-099-100-051945-
BRADLEY TN-HAMILTON TN-MEIGS TN-RHEA TN-
302 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MEIGS...HAMILTON...BRADLEY AND
RHEA COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 259 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SODDY-DAISY...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF
CHATTANOOGA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...DAYTON...
SODDY-DAISY...SHADY GROVE...SALE CREEK...GRAYSVILLE...HOPEWELL AND
BIRCHWOOD.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

DGS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
341 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

TNZ069-071-073-052030-
KNOX TN-NORTH SEVIER TN-NW BLOUNT TN-
341 PM EDT WED JUN 5 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOUNT...EXTREME WESTERN SEVIER
AND KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 339 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EAGLETON VILLAGE...OR 5 MILES EAST OF
ALCOA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES OR PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILDWOOD...SEYMOUR
AND LAKE FOREST.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

IN ADDITION...THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR
LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

DGS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>