River Flood Warning 4, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
620 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

.AVIATION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
GENERALLY ALONG THE SPINE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WITH AN
EXTENSIVE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN MOVING NORTHEAST UP ALONG
IT. WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING AROUND THE MOUNTAINS TODAY
AND TONIGHT...RAIN AND LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL THREE TAF
SITES THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. OVERALL...EXPECT SOME IFR
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...MVFR CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AND THEN IFR CONDITIONS RETURNING AFTER SUNSET.
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHEROKEE...CLAY.

TN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ANDERSON...BLEDSOE...BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...BRADLEY...
     CAMPBELL...CLAIBORNE...COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS...EAST POLK...
     GRAINGER...HAMBLEN...HAMILTON...HANCOCK...HAWKINS...
     JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...KNOX...LOUDON...MARION...MCMINN...
     MEIGS...MORGAN...NW BLOUNT...NORTH SEVIER...NORTHWEST
     CARTER...NORTHWEST COCKE...NORTHWEST GREENE...NORTHWEST
     MONROE...RHEA...ROANE...SCOTT TN...SEQUATCHIE...SEVIER
     SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...
     SOUTHEAST MONROE...SULLIVAN...UNICOI...UNION...WASHINGTON
     TN...WEST POLK.

VA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LEE...RUSSELL...SCOTT...WASHINGTON...WISE.
&&

DMG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
500 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-161000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
500 AM EST (400 AM CST) TUE JAN 15 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A
WIDESPREAD AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING REPORTS.

DMG/DH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
831 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

TNZ012-013-035-151500-
CAMPBELL TN-MORGAN TN-SCOTT TN-
831 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORGAN...CAMPBELL AND SCOTT
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM EST...

AT 821 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
THIS MORNING. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE NEAR ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE HOVERING NEAR FREEZING. LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. ROADWAY BRIDGES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO
BECOME ICY. TREES AND POWER LINES MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE SOME LIGHT
ICE.

17