River Flood Warning 78, NWS Mobile, AL

190 
WGUS84 KMOB 230314
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1014 PM CDT MON JUL 22 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN FLORIDA...
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-240314-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.130725T0600Z-130726T1800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.130725T0600Z.130726T0000Z.130726T1200Z.NO/
1014 PM CDT MON JUL 22 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET...SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

280 
WGUS84 KMOB 231359
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
859 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN FLORIDA...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC091-231429-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-130726T1800Z/
/CRVF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
409 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2013

.SHORT TERM [TODAY AND TONIGHT]...UPPER AIR MAPS ALONG WITH WATER
VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE HAS
PROGRESSED TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 10 KNOTS OUT OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI TO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF ALABAMA. THIS FEATURE...ALONG
WITH ADDITIONAL IMPULSES AT THE BASE OF A BROAD MID LEVEL TROF OF LOW
PRESSURE...WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND WILL BRING AN AREA OF ENHANCED
LIFT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. CONSIDERING THIS AND THE
INTERACTION OF DEEP MOISTURE (PRECIPITABLE WATERS FROM 2.00-2.25")
AND DAYTIME INSTABILITY...SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE STRONG AT TIMES...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...BRIEF
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. HEADING INTO
TONIGHT...SCATTERED EVENING STORMS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE
ISOLATED AFTER MIDNIGHT. AWAY FROM COOLING OFFERED BY STORMS...HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S. LOWS RANGE FROM 72 TO 77.

AT THE SURFACE...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
PERSISTS AND NOSES WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE
GULF...MAINTAINING A GENERAL WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW. GIVEN A
MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE BEACHES ALONG WITH A SPRING TIDAL
CYCLE...THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS AND
POTENTIALLY DEADLY RIP CURRENTS TODAY. /10

THIS AFTERNOON'S WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE.

[TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY]...SURFACE HIGH ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
ALONG WITH A WESTERN EXTENSION OF A RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM...WHILE A
SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE NORTH ON
WEDNESDAY WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
MEANWHILE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER
THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL SHIFT WEST AS AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO
DIG SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES
AND DISTURBANCES APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL MOVE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA BOTH DAYS...RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECTING MAINLY
ISOLATED TO LOW END SCATTERED COVERAGE BOTH NIGHTS. BASIN-WIDE
RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE TWO DAY PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ACROSS OUR FAR WESTERN ZONES TO NEAR ONE INCH
ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES. LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM TWO TO
THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY.

SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BOTH DAYS WITH
HIGHS INLAND AREAS RANGING FROM 90 TO 95 DEGREES...WITH MID TO UPPER
80S ALONG THE BEACHES. LOWS BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS WILL
BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH UPPER 70S AT THE BEACHES. /22

&&

.LONG TERM [THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...UPPER HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN BEGIN TO
BREAK DOWN OVER THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE EASTERN CONUS LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY WITH AN EASTWARD EXTENSION
OF THE SOUTHWEST HIGH BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF REGION. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN SHIFT SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER LARGE
TROUGH DIGS SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. AN UPPER HIGH WILL THEN
REBUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY. MEANWHILE THE SURFACE HIGH ACROSS
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND WESTERN EXTENSION OF THE RIDGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHILE THE
SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE
EXTENDED.

SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EXTENDED WITH HIGHS INLAND AREAS RANGING FROM 90 TO 95 DEGREES...
WITH MID TO UPPER 80S ALONG THE BEACHES. LOWS EACH NIGHT WILL BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 70S WITH UPPER 70S AT THE BEACHES. /22

&&

.AVIATION [22.12Z KMOB/KBFM/KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA FORECAST TO LOWER CIGS TO MULTIPLE LEVELS AT
TIMES THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. LOWEST BASES TO IFR CATEGORIES
WITH VSBY REDUCED TO 1SM OR LESS WITH PASSAGE OF ANY HEAVIER RAINS.
AWAY FROM STORMS TODAY...CIG BASES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE 3 KFT.
BRIEF AND STRONG WIND GUSTS OF VARYING DIRECTION IN AND NEAR
CONVECTION. LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW THIS MORNING BECOMES SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY. /10

&&

.MARINE...AN ELONGATED SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES WEST
TO EAST OVER THE GULF THIS WEEK. A LIGHT TO MODERATE...MAINLY WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS IN THE FORECAST. SEAS CHANGE LITTLE...
HOVERING MOSTLY IN THE 2 TO 3 FOOT RANGE MOST OF THE WEEK. WINDS...
WAVES AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER IN AND NEAR MARINE STORMS.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD IN STORMS. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      88  75  92  74  92 /  70  30  50  20  30
PENSACOLA   88  77  90  78  91 /  70  30  70  30  40
DESTIN      87  77  89  79  90 /  70  40  60  30  40
EVERGREEN   89  73  93  73  94 /  70  30  60  30  50
WAYNESBORO  89  72  94  72  93 /  60  30  50  20  30
CAMDEN      89  72  93  73  93 /  70  40  60  30  40
CRESTVIEW   89  73  92  74  92 /  70  40  60  30  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:      LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:      COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
ROSA...

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
426 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231130-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
426 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS A
SERIES OF IMPULSES...HIGH IN THE ATMOSPHERE...MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE IN
PLACE AND THE ONSET OF BETTER INSTABILITY THROUGH THE DAY...SOME OF
THE STORMS CAN BECOME STRONG. LOCALLY HEAVY...VISIBILITY REDUCING
HEAVY RAINS...BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE ONSHORE WIND FLOW...ROUGH SURF...AND A
SPRING TIDAL CYCLE WILL KEEP THE POTENTIAL OF FREQUENT... LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS IN PLACE ALONG AREA BEACHES INTO THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS DURING THE OUTLOOK...WITH THE BETTER COVERAGE EXPECTED
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WHEN INSTABILITY IS HIGHER. SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...BRIEF STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS FORECAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-231130-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
426 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS...WAVES AND SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER IN MARINE STORMS. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD IN STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS DURING THE OUTLOOK. WINDS...WAVES AND SEAS LOCALLY HIGHER
IN MARINE STORMS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD
IN STORMS.