River Flood Warning 59, NWS Mobile, AL

086 
WGUS84 KMOB 201535
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1035 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.
  
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-201605-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-130420T1535Z/
/CLDA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* AT 9AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET


$$

ALC023-025-129-201605-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-130420T1535Z/
/LRYA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT SAT APR 20 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* AT 10AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
630 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

.AVIATION...[00Z ISSUANCE]...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 00Z SAT. A FEW
LOW CLOUDS COMBINED WITH BKN TO OVC MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THIS EVENING. BY MIDNIGHT CLOUD COVER SHOULD
BE WELL EAST OF ALL TERMINAL SITES IN SW AL AND NWFL. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE FROM THE NORTH AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING
INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 KNOTS AS CLOUDS CLEAR OUT OVERNIGHT THEN
SHIFTING NORTHEAST BY AFTER 15Z SAT...DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON.
32/EE

&&

.SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT]...A COLD FRONT MOVED
ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AND IS NOW WELL EAST OF THE AREA. A
MODERATE TO OCNLY STRONG NWLY FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT IS
ALLOWING MUCH COOLER AIR TO FILTER INTO THE FCST AREA. CONTINUED
CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...IN ADDITION TO THIS
COLD AIR ADVECTION HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY...WITH UPPER 40S IN SOME LOCATIONS. RAINS WILL BE ENDING OVER
WESTERN HALF OF FCST AREA BY SUNSET THIS EVENING...THEN ENDING OVER
EASTERN ZONES ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 BY MID EVENING. OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPS WILL BE NEAR RECORD LOWS...UPPER 30S OVER MOST OF THE INTERIOR
AND LOW TO MID 40S COASTAL. AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA ON SATURDAY...SKIES CLEARING AND TEMPS MODERATING WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S ACROSS THE REGION. 12/DS

UNDER HIGH PRESSURE...LIGHT TO CALM WIND AND MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES...OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE WELL
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WITH NUMBERS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S
INTERIOR TO NEAR 50 CLOSE TO THE COAST. /10

.LONG TERM [SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY]...AXIS OF BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROF
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WITH A WEAK
MID LEVEL IMPULSE FORECAST TO PIVOT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING...SO WILL KEEP REMAINDER OF WEEKEND
RAINFREE. HEADING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...A
FLATTENING FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
RESULTS IN A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN. TEMPERATURES MODERATING TO MORE
SEASONABLE VALUES. NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO APPROACH AND
MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WEDNESDAY BRINGS NEXT HIGHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE...RAINFREE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. /10

&&

.AVIATION (20/00Z TAF ISSUANCE)..IFR CIGS AND LIGHT RAIN THIS
EVENING...WITH CIGS LIFTING AND RAINS ENDING LATE EVENING.
GENERAL MVFR/VFR LATE EVENING INTO EARLY MORNING SATURDAY AND INTO
THE DAY SATURDAY. WINDS LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE
PERIOD. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. AREAS OF RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE MARINE AREA THIS
EVENING...BUT OTHERWISE LOOK FOR NO PCPN AND WINDS DIMINISHING AND
BECOMING MORE EAST OR SOUTHEAST BY EARLY SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THE HIGH SHIFTS OUT
OVER THE ATLANTIC MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACHING THE MARINE AREA FROM THE WEST. ON WEDNESDAY
THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...
BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE
SCEC/SCA CONDITIONS. 12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      40  70  44  74  54 /  20  00  00  00  05
PENSACOLA   44  71  50  72  57 /  20  05  00  00  05
DESTIN      47  72  52  70  60 /  20  10  00  00  05
EVERGREEN   40  68  38  74  48 /  20  00  00  00  05
WAYNESBORO  35  69  39  74  47 /  05  00  00  00  05
CAMDEN      38  68  39  74  48 /  05  00  00  00  05
CRESTVIEW   36  72  38  76  49 /  20  05  00  00  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE
     BAY...PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE
     BAY...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
406 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ634-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-202100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
406 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD NIGHT IS FORECAST. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING
FROM 35 TO 40 NORTH OF THE COAST COULD STRESS TENDER...COLD
SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT LOOK TO FALL OFF INTO THE UPPER 30S
OVER THE INTERIOR. THESE TEMPERATURES COULD STRESS TENDER...COLD
SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

GMZ630>633-635-650-655-670-675-202100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
406 PM CDT FRI APR 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALLER MARINE CRAFT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW RESULTING IN SEAS OF AROUND 4
FEET NEAR SHORE TO AROUND 7 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. CHOPPY CONDITIONS ON
BAYS AND SOUNDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW SUNDAY AND MONDAY RESULTS IN SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. ON WEDNESDAY...
A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE BRINGS BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN DURING THE OUTLOOK...AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS.